Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(6/3/4/2)-(4/6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(4/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(4/3/7)-(6/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(6/1/2/4)-(11/9/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(11/9/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(11/9/4/6)-(2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (11/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/9/4/6)-(11/9/4/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/9/4/6)-(11/9/4/6/10)-(11/9/4/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/9/4/6)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/9/4/6)-(2/1/6)-(8/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(8/4/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(8/4/10)-(2/3/11/5/12) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-8   WIN (8/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/10)-(8/4/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/10)-(8/4/1/10)-(8/4/1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/10)-(2/3/11/5/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/3/11/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12)-(2/3/11/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACES Aug11 Jul20 Jun30 May11 Mar10 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 124 4.00    
2  STRUMMIN MARY Oct27 Jul22 Jul01     (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00    
SCR  ASPEN LINK Nov01         (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
4  CALLING Jul31 Jun04 Mar23 Mar12 Feb18 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
5  KASENS TRIBE Aug12 Jun29 Jun15 May26 May11 (daigle)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
6  SAINT MARY Oct27 Jul20 Jun22 May26   (brinkman bre)TORRES A 122 6.00 9% 10.00    
7  NICELY UNIFIED Oct27 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  HALF HOUR TO GLORY Nov01         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
 
FG-2   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME TO MEDDLE Oct17 Sep24 Aug20 Jul23 Jun16 (forster g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50    
2  COME ON COME ON Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Dec09 Oct30 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZAICI Aug10 Jul13 Jun24 Jun04 May19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  CHILI RED Oct20 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May19 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  CLASSIC RUNNER Oct21 Oct06 Sep06 Aug24 Aug07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
6  FABLED RULER Sep12 Sep04 Jul31 Jun10 May06 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 118 6.00 37% 1.70    
7  I DONT KNOW EITHER Sep09 Aug20 Jul02 Jun12 May15 (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 110 15.00    
8  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Oct28 Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 Jun02 (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 115 5.00    
 
FG-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Aug04 Jun25 Jun11 May05 Oct19 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GALLANT BUCK Oct17 Sep30 Sep09 Aug06 Jul13 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50    
3  KEESAWAH Jan01 Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 Sep03 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 5.00 5% 18.60    
4  CREME DE BALI Sep23 Sep10 Jul31 Jun03 May07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  UNCLE NICK Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
6  HEARTTHROB HALO Nov11 Oct20 Jul20 Jun22 May26 (breaux samu)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
7  PREFERITO DA BARBI Sep05 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr02 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
8  OVER CALENDARED Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 (hernandez javie)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00    
9  CHEATIN CHARLIE Nov11 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 Apr22 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50    
 
FG-4   11/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOESAHANDFUL Oct25 Mar19 Feb18     (pessin l)GRAHAM J 121 5.00    
2  FOE Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 Mar19 Feb23 (rubley kelly)PARKER L 121 8.00    
3  SOLOMON VANDY Oct25 Sep09 Mar01 Oct15 Sep16 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  WHISKEY AND EASY Nov04         (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 6.00 39% 1.60    
5  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Apr18 Aug20       (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
SCR  REGIMENTAL Aug31 Aug16 Jul23 Jul06 May25 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00    
7  BENISSIMO Aug21 Jun25 Jun02 Apr15 Feb19 (arey anthony)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
8  GOD OF WINE Oct21 Jan21 Oct03     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
 
FG-5   11/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER SCOTT Aug20 Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 (ducoing sturges)LANERIE J 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  SYVESTAR Sep11 Aug12 Jul06 May04 Mar22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 12% 7.00    
3  SNAKEBIT Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 Jun12 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
4  JOEY'S GAME Oct26 Oct07 Aug21 Aug12 Jun22 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50 11% 8.20    
5  JIMMIE'S HALO Oct26 Aug21 Aug12 Jul13 Feb10 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
6  CAJUN CRAZY Nov02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov25 Oct07 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  TSURIS Aug28 Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 May06 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
8  GO BROTHER GO May15 Mar26 Feb24 Dec11 Nov24 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
 
FG-6   11/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY BOOMER Nov03 Oct18 Aug20 Apr01 Jan06 (ward dan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00    
2  SAMURAI MIKE Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 Aug02 Jul15 (litfin neva)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
3  SAINT CHARLES Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 Aug17 Aug05 (biehler michael )PARKER L 121 8.00    
4  AFLEET ASCENT Sep10 Aug04 Jul22 Jun29 May29 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 5% 17.20    
5  SIGN OF WAR Aug21 Aug13 Apr01 Mar05 Jan21 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00    
6  SMOKIN RICHIE Oct04 Sep04 Aug10 Jul21 May03 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SILVER WINGS Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 Apr30 Feb24 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
8  ONEMORETIMEAROUND Oct14 Sep09 Jul15     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
9  THE GREEN MO'STER Oct13 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Nov24 (singh s)SINGH R 121 8.00 11% 8.50    
10  SEVEN SCENTS Oct04 Sep13 Aug02 Jun15 May04 (asmussen ste)TORRES A 121 4.00 ★    
11  LYRICAL POET Oct18 Sep03 Aug02 Oct23 Sep14 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  GOOD HEART Oct12 Sep02 Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00    
 
FG-7   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION MIST Nov02         (walsh brenda)TORRES A 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  COLONIAL ROSE Oct11 Aug26 Jul23     (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
3  STARINA Sep30         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REBRIDLED DREAMS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  THORNY Oct27 Sep30       (mcpeek kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BOULE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  BA DEE YAH Sep23 Aug13       (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PEARL TURN by BERNARDINI)
6  FLEET FROST Oct18         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
  (by FROSTED out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
 
FG-8   11/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COFFEE COUNTY May06 Apr14 Mar16 Mar03 Feb10 (cuccia j)MELANCON G 120 6.00 ★    
2  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Sep09 Jul15 May27 Apr20 Mar19 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
SCR  MANGELSEN Jul14 Mar16 Mar04 Jan20 Aug06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00    
4  REAL CITY SPEED Aug05 Jul13 Jun02 May03 Mar03 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  BRITTS A CLOSER Sep11 Aug05 Jul22 Jun04   (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
6  RANCH WATER Oct20 Aug11 Jul21 Apr28 Mar26 (landry )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
7  HUDSON'S TURN Sep11 May28 Mar03 Jan20 Sep12 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
8  DEER CROSSING Sep11 Aug04 Jul13 Jun03 Apr12 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
9  PEPPER JACK Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 Sep02 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
10  CHARLIE G Sep02 Jul20 Jun15 May25 May03 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNDAY BREEZE Oct24 Mar22 Mar03 Feb02 Jan05 (devaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
SCR  HOME VISIT Oct20 Sep15 Sep07 Jul07 Jun23 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
 
FG-9   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGSCOTE         (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of UP AT DAWN by UNCLE MO)
2  FASTENED         (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEMPHIS MELISSA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  HERO WORSHIP         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ADORE YOU by TACTICAL CAT)
SCR  ROYAL MINT         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of REGALLY BRED by A.P. INDY)
5  GAVEL Sep03         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
6  COOKN WIT CATMAN Oct29         (catalan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MINDFULLY by BERTRANDO)
7  B FIFTY TWO         (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of STORMY B by CHEROKEE RUN)
8  CARRY THE FLAG         (courville )ALBERT S 120 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FLAGSTAFF by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  GIANNO         (rivelli larry)PARKER L 120 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SETHNA by DISCREET CAT)
10  GOOD LORD Oct29         (amoss thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
11  GOOGOL JOKE Oct13         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 18% 4.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  PHANTOM SPEED         (stidham michael)LANERIE J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.