Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - March 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.00 $9.00 150%
AQU-3   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $15.30 $9.30 155%
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-2-7 $15.50 $12.50 417%
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-6 $54.00 $45.00 500%
AQU-5   EXA (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $16.40 $4.40 37%
AQU-6   TRI (9/5/2/6)-(9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-9-2 $39.87 $15.87 66%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITOLE'S GIRL 3 1 1nk 1nk   11 11 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 2.00  
  (by MITOLE out of SINISTER SIREN by EMPIRE MAKER)
LUNA PATINA 6 4 52 4   21 21 (dug)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 20% 3.90 4.10 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SOLO SURVIVOR by PLEASANT TAP)
BETTER BE SMART 2 2 31 5   52 3 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 39% 1.60 2.65 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
MARY UNION AVE 4 3 2nk 3.2   3 43 (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5.30  
  (by UNION JACKSON out of AVE RAVINA by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
TOP OF THE TABLE 1 6 617 613¾   610 5 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 11% 8.50 13.50  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
SPIRIT OF ESTHER 5 5 4 2nk   4 6 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 4.90  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SPIRIT OF ROSE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  BROOKLYN DANTZ               (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 5.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
AQU-2   03/02/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:391   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEEKY TICO 1 1 21 2 3 3 1½ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 118 5.00 15% 5.70 6.50 W
APOLLO RISING 5 2 31 3 22 1nk 2½ (walden willia)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 0.80  
MEMPHIS 2 3 45 4 411½ 46 3 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 123 10.00 15% 5.80 7.60 S
MODERN ERA (AUS) 3 4 514 522½ 523½ 512 46 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 15.00 16.80  
MASTERWORK 4 5 11 1 12 2nk 5 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.90  
SCR  STJAMES               (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
AQU-3   03/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:13     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAY'S LOVE 4 6 68 6   1½ 1 (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 9% 10.70 2.50 W
ACCELERINA 2 2 4 5   2½ 2 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.40 31% 2.20 1.90 P
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 5 5 53 43   31 3 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 20% 4.00 1.90 S
DRAMATIC EFFECT 6 4 31 3   5 4 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 10.00 16.80  
DEBBIE DARLING 1 1 1½ 1   4 5 (abreu r)LUZZI J 125 4.00 6.00  
MY GORGEOUS 3 3 2½ 2   6 611¾ (reynolds pa)PAREDES JHOVANY 118 30.00 43.50  
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI               (barker edwar)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK               (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA               (persau)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00    
 
AQU-4   03/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKSON'S DIXIE 3 4 4 31   1½ 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 2.00  
DUCKPHAT 6 1 66 6   33 2 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00 4.80 P
LIBERTY FLAME 4 5 52 5   43 3 (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 5.80  
HIGHWAY HARMONY 5 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 44 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5.00  
CHASING DAYLIGHT 1 6 2½ 42   5 5 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 66% 0.50 5.50  
MAGGIE 7 3 3½ 2nk   64 6 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 17.40  
REIGNING CHICK 2 7 7 710   79 7 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 5% 18.60 4.70  
SCR  GEORGE'S VICE               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
 
AQU-5   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:242   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUT FEELING 1 4 53 4¾ 3.2 2nk 1½ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 30% 2.40 2.50 W
GOLDINI 3 6 42 2nk 2nk 1nk 2½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 7% 12.40 5.30 P
CO CONSPIRATOR 5 2 2½ 3.2 4 43 3 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00 58.25  
1A  PIT BOSS 7 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 3 4 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20  
PRINCE OF JOY 2 1 6 6 5 54 5 (legall r)DAVIS A 118 30.00 16.90  
FULL MOON FEVER 6 5 3 5 7 68 615 (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 2.10  
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 4 7 7 7 6 7 718 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 23.80  
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  FIRST GLIMPSE               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80    
SCR  FUNKENSTEIN               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.00    
 
AQU-6   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUALLY CORRECT 3 4 11 1½   1½ 1 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 19% 4.40 2.10 W
RADIO RED 7 3 21 2½   2½ 2 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 48% 1.10 2.20 P
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 2 8 86 6   44 3 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 8% 11.60 8.80 S
HERO'S MEDAL 1 9 911 9   76 43 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 12.00  
11  MISTER J T 8 1 32 3   3 5 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00 26.25  
12  SKYLANDER 9 2 5 5   5 6 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 7.20  
AZTEC 6 7 7 7   88 7 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 20.00 16.00  
DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 5 43 4   6 8 (fisher linda)HARKIE K 120 50.00 70.75  
GOT THUNDER 4 6 6 8   99 912 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  SHIPSATIONAL               (barker edward )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY               (nevin mich)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  VESPUCCI               (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00    
 
AQU-7   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Busher Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JODY'S PRIDE 6 6 31 21 2½ 1½ 1 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 48% 1.10 0.95 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
CARMELINA 7 4 11 11 1½ 2½ 2 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 13% 6.80 8.80 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
GIN GIN 2 5 7 6 4 34 3 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 3.20  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BEFORE YOU KNOW IT by HARD SPUN)
AOIFE'S MAGIC 5 2 6 7 5 4 4 (dotolo davi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 15.00 6% 16.20 16.10  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of POLARIZED by MEDICEAN)
REGULATORY RISK 1 1 4 4 34 55 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7.20  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SICILIAN PRINCESS 3 7 5 5 77 68 613¼ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 13% 6.50 7.30  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
PRINCESS MAYFAIR 4 3 21 3 6 7 721¼ (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 24.25  
  (by WEST COAST out of TOAST OF MAYFAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-8   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Stymie Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:113 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINETIC SKY 1 7 6 6 43 4 1hd (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 4.90  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
QUALITY CHIC 7 1 1nk 11 1½ 11 2hd (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
PETULANTE 8 2 2nk 21 31 31 3½ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 16% 5.40 1.95 S
  (by ARROGATE out of AUNTJENN by UNCLE MO)
COASTAL MISSION 4 4 5 5 2½ 21 44 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 18% 4.60 3.85  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
DOUBLE CROWN 3 6 7 7 7 610 513¼ (ginter raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 14.90  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
CASTLE CHAOS 6 3 4 4 5 5 618 (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 31% 2.20 3.10  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
IRON WORKS 5 8 8 810 813 813½ 718 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 118 50.00 30.50  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SILVERPOCKETSFULL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
LAUGHING BOY 2 5 31 31 6 712 821¾ (jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 16.50  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
 
AQU-9   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Tom Fool Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHOW 3 5 1nk 1nk   1 1 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 124 3.50 13% 6.40 2.80 W
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
MANNY WAH 4 3 43 3   2 2 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 14.30  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
STAGE LEFT 7 6 6 5   44 3 (jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 9.30  
  (by CONGRATS out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 6 7 7 7   5 4 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 13% 6.60 3.55  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OH MAYBE BABY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 1 2 3 43   65 5 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 116 30.00 6% 15.10 30.50  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TORCHWOOD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ROTKNEE 5 4 2nk 2nk   32 66 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 46% 1.20 1.45  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
LISTENTOYOURHEART 2 1 5 6   78 712 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 7.60  
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
SCR  DURANTE               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
AQU-10   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Gotham Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:11 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINISTIC 2 9 5 4 32 3 12 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 18% 4.60 3.90 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GIULIO'S JEWEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  JUST A TOUCH 9 3 31 3 4 4 22 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 13% 6.90 1.70 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of TOUCHING BEAUTY by TAPIT)
EL GRANDE O 6 5 2½ 21 1nk 1 3 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5.30  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MAXIMUS MERIDIUS 1 10 1½ 11 2nk 2 4 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of QUIET VIRTUE by TURKOMAN)
13  CAPITAL IDEA 11 1 9 106 58 56 5 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 8.40  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of REVER DE VOUS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DEPOSITION 4 8 8 6 7 6 614¼ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 50.00 82.75  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
11  LIGHTLINE 10 2 7 74 6 7 718¾ (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 10% 9.30 17.80  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of UPPERLINE by MARIA'S MON)
BERGEN 7 4 62 8 1014¾ 913½ 821¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 32% 2.10 4.30  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ELIMINATE 8 7 10 9 811¾ 812 926¼ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 29.50  
  (by CURLIN out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
FACENDA 3 11 1124¼ 1131 1138¾ 1135½ 1036¼ (o'neill )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 71.50  
  (by VIOLENCE out of AMIENS by OXBOW)
AIR CAV 5 6 4 5 914¼ 1023½ 1151¼ (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 57.00  
  (by MITOLE out of IN A CLOUD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  KHANATE               (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONGOLIAN SHOPPER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  SLIDER               (sadler w)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DAYS LIKE THIS by CONGRATS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.