Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-5   Win (1/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (9/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (6/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-10   Win (8/3/10/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP OF THE TABLE         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  BROOKLYN DANTZ Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov19   (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 5.00    
BETTER BE SMART         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
MITOLE'S GIRL Jan28         (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
MARY UNION AVE Feb10         (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SPIRIT OF ESTHER         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
LUNA PATINA         (dugga)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
AQU-2   03/02/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEEKY TICO Feb18 Feb10 Dec31 Dec01 Oct15 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  STJAMES Feb11 Jan12 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
MEMPHIS Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Dec28 Dec15 (noda orl)GRISALES DANILO 123 10.00 15% 5.80    
MODERN ERA (AUS) Feb12 Jan27 Jan09 Dec19 Dec05 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 15.00    
MASTERWORK Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 Mar31 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
APOLLO RISING Jan12 Dec07 Oct13 Jul21 Jul01 (walden william)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20    
 
AQU-3   03/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBBIE DARLING Feb11 Nov26 Nov10 Oct15 Mar11 (abreu r)LUZZI J 125 4.00    
ACCELERINA Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Sep01 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.40 31% 2.20    
SCR  DREAMING OF CARLI Feb17 Nov10 Jun23 May18   (barker edward )HARKIE K 125 20.00    
MY GORGEOUS Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 (reynolds patr)PAREDES JHOVANY 118 30.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA         (persaud )GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00    
JAY'S LOVE Feb03 Jan05       (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Feb02 Jan13 Dec15 Nov26 Oct26 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
DRAMATIC EFFECT Feb11 Dec15 Nov05 Oct06 Jul29 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 10.00    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK Feb17 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00    
 
AQU-4   03/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING DAYLIGHT Feb11 Dec30 Dec08 Nov16 Oct05 (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 66% 0.50    
REIGNING CHICK Feb11 Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 Jul27 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 5% 18.60    
JACKSON'S DIXIE Feb11 Dec29 Dec15 Nov24 Nov04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
LIBERTY FLAME Feb19 Jan05 Dec08 Jul30 Jul09 (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
SCR  GEORGE'S VICE Jan26 Dec31 Dec08 May13 Mar05 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
HIGHWAY HARMONY Jan26 Dec29 Nov21 Dec04 Nov04 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
DUCKPHAT Dec30 Dec08 Nov03 Aug18 Jul26 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00    
MAGGIE Feb16 Dec03 Oct26 Sep15 Jul30 (goberdhan chand)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
 
AQU-5   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PIT BOSS Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  FUNKENSTEIN Jan11 Dec09 Nov03 Oct12 Jan23 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.00    
GUT FEELING Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 Oct07 Sep14 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 30% 2.40    
PRINCE OF JOY Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 Dec01 (legall ric)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
GOLDINI Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 7% 12.40    
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Oct25 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Feb23 Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 (jones ed)GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00    
SCR  FIRST GLIMPSE Dec02 Oct13 Aug03 Jul01 May25 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80    
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL Jan27 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 Sep03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
FULL MOON FEVER Jan04 Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May11 (englehart jeffrey)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO'S MEDAL Feb09 Jan06 Nov01 Sep21 Aug11 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
KUNSHAN BRIDGE Feb09 Jan14 Dec29 Dec16 Dec01 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY Jun23 Jun02 May14 Apr16 Mar11 (nevin michel)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  VESPUCCI Jun11         (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00    
FACTUALLY CORRECT Feb09 Dec07 Oct29 Oct20 Aug27 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
GOT THUNDER Feb09 Nov12 Oct26 Aug05 Jun18 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Feb11 Jan28 Dec28 Dec09 Dec03 (fisher linda)HARKIE K 120 50.00    
AZTEC Dec04 Nov08 Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 20.00    
RADIO RED Jan18 Dec07 Oct29 Sep21 Aug23 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  SHIPSATIONAL Dec16 Jul01 Jun10 Apr14 Mar11 (barker r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
11  MISTER J T Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 (rodri)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
12  SKYLANDER Feb03 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul03 (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Busher Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGULATORY RISK Dec30 Oct25 Sep16     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
GIN GIN Jan13 Nov25 Oct29 Sep21 Aug08 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
SICILIAN PRINCESS Feb14         (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 13% 6.50    
PRINCESS MAYFAIR Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov11   (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
AOIFE'S MAGIC Dec27 Nov15 Sep23 Sep11   (dotolo david)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 15.00 6% 16.20    
JODY'S PRIDE Nov03 Oct08 Aug09     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 48% 1.10    
CARMELINA Dec30 Nov22 Sep30 Aug05 Jul13 (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
AQU-8   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Stymie Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINETIC SKY Feb03 Dec31 Dec28 Nov17 Sep21 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
LAUGHING BOY Jan26 Jan07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct21 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
DOUBLE CROWN Feb17 Jan28 Dec23 Dec16 Nov24 (ginter j)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00    
COASTAL MISSION Dec02 Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
IRON WORKS Feb03 Jan01 Nov26 Nov11 Oct13 (goberdhan chand)OLVER MADISON 118 50.00    
CASTLE CHAOS Jan27 Dec02 Nov02 Sep16 Aug13 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
QUALITY CHIC Jan26 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PETULANTE Jun17 May06 Jan20 Dec16 Aug21 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
AQU-9   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Tom Fool Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jan18 Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Sep21 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 116 30.00 6% 15.10    
LISTENTOYOURHEART Feb02 Dec31 Jun09 May06 Apr07 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00    
SUPER CHOW Feb03 Dec24 Nov20 Oct22 Aug05 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 124 3.50 13% 6.40    
MANNY WAH Feb03 Dec30 Nov04 Oct06 Apr08 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00    
ROTKNEE Jan28 Dec30 Nov24 Oct29 Sep15 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Jan12 Dec09 Nov11 Sep16 Aug13 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
STAGE LEFT Feb03 Dec30 Dec23 Dec08 Nov18 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
SCR  DURANTE Jan27 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 Oct14 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
AQU-10   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Gotham Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHANATE Feb03 Jan06 Nov09 Oct11 Sep03 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
MAXIMUS MERIDIUS Jan30 Dec26 Nov27     (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DETERMINISTIC Aug12         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
FACENDA Jan30         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 118 50.00    
DEPOSITION Feb03 Dec30 Nov21 Nov14 Nov04 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 50.00    
AIR CAV Jan27 Oct07 Aug30     (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
EL GRANDE O Feb03 Jan06 Oct29 Oct07 Sep24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
BERGEN Jan27 Nov25 Oct07     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
ELIMINATE Feb10 Dec08 Oct27 Aug12   (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
10  JUST A TOUCH Jan27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 13% 6.90    
11  LIGHTLINE Feb03 Dec31 Oct14 Sep14   (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  SLIDER Jan06 Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 Jul29 (sadler w)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
13  CAPITAL IDEA Jan28 Dec31       (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.