The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $21.60 $21.60 15.60
AQU-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
AQU-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80
AQU-4   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
AQU-5   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.40 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $23.40 $23.40 17.40
AQU-7   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $14.20 -6.00
AQU-8   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.20 -6.00
AQU-9   Win (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $57.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:152     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 4 3 21 2nk   12 1(chichakly amir)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 12% 7.30 9.80 W
CITY BLOCKS 5 1 32 31   22 2(barker edwar)RIVERA R 115 6.00 6.90  
BROOKLYN DANTZ 2 5 4 4   413 311¾ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 9.90  
FABULOUS FOX 1 2 11 1nk   38 413 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 0.80 52% 0.90 0.65  
HANNAH GOOD 3 6 5 5   516½ 525½ (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.50 14% 6.30 2.85  
DELL ARTE 6 4 6 614¾   631½ 646¾ (quick patric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00 46.75  
 
AQU-2   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:012     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LARRY 5 4 1 1   11(giddings melanie)LUZZI J 123 3.50 32% 2.10 2.55 W
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 3 2 2 2   22(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 47% 1.20 0.95 P
FLASHY ALEX 4 5 610 49   43(persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 23.90  
BRENNAN'S WAR 7 6 3 33   3412½ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 15.40  
SCOTTO 6 7 713 716   614½ 514 (jones edua)DAVIS A 120 20.00 30.50  
ARREBATO 2 1 58 59   510 614 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 3.70  
TATER AND TOT 1 3 42 610   715½ 730 (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 123 10.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
 
AQU-3   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Jerome Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:15 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRUM ROLL PLEASE 1 5 5 5 32 2nk 1(cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 1.00 36% 1.70 0.60 W
EL GRANDE O 4 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 2(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 2.50 P
KHANATE 2 4 3.2 3½ 2½ 3311¼ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 10.90  
REGALO 5 2 2nk 2nk 4 4417¼ (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 5.00 35% 1.80 5.30  
SWEET SODDY J 3 1 4 4 56 513 533¾ (ginter jr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 15.60  
 
AQU-4   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:16 1:283   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCENCY 5 2 43 3½ 2nk 112 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 54% 0.80 1.20 W
HERO'S MEDAL 2 3 21 2nk 1nk 222 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.25 P
BOLT D'PLATA 3 1 56 510½ 3 33 3(terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 4.50 S
TRIUMPHANT ROAD 1 4 32 4 5 516½ 428 (barker edward )HARKIE K 122 15.00 18.20  
VENGE 4 5 11 1nk 44 416 532 (ribaudo robert )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 4.00  
SCR  EGYPT               (de horacio)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50    
 
AQU-5   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:02     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROB THE BANK 4 2 1nk 1½   11(brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 3.70  
COMPUTE IT 7 7 4 4   32(ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.95 P
SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 3 7 5   53(de horac)RIVERA R 115 5.00 5.90  
RETAIL MAN 6 1 2nk 2½   24(ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 62% 0.60 3.15  
BRACA 1 4 3 33   43 5(giglio gina)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 9% 10.70 3.10  
DIANNESRETIRING 2 5 5 717   614½ 616¾ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 6.60  
ONE WITHEVERYTHING 3 6 6 616½   714½ 717 (goberdhan chand)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 47.25  
 
AQU-6   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:144     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESSI THE MAGICIAN 3 1 1½ 1½   12 1(kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 17% 4.80 10.70 W
PASCHAL MOON 6 2 3 4   33 2(sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 11.20  
FLYING IN STYLE 7 3 5 6   44 33 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 6.80  
SCHERZANDO 4 6 7 7   55 43 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 8.00  
FLIP'S DREAM 5 7 2½ 2½   22 5(levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 1.50  
CAPTAIN PARTY 2 4 63 5   7614 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 28% 2.50 6.10  
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 1 5 42 3   67 723 (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 31% 2.20 3.00  
 
AQU-7   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY FRESHWATER 6 2 22 2nk   11(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 6.10  
HIGH OAK 7 1 3 3   22(mott i)DAVIS KATIE 118 1.40 1.00 P
BUSINESS MODEL 2 7 67 6   334 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 7.20  
BEACHWALKER 4 5 5 5   447 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 14% 5.90 7.70  
ROYAL TRYST 1 6 710½ 711¼   711½ 510¼ (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 38.75  
JEFF FA FA 5 3 12 1nk   58 612¾ (atras rob)RIVERA R 118 5.00 19% 4.30 10.80  
SET SAIL 3 4 4 4   610 714½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 33% 2.00 3.70  
 
AQU-8   01/06/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Ladies Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:154 1:421   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPARATIVE 5 2 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 1¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 2.10  
SADDLE UP JESSIE 6 4 32 3 1nk 1nk 2¼ (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 44% 1.30 3.65 P
EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) 2 5 64 6 54 33(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 2.70  
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 1 3 42 4 4 410 417¾ (barrera s)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 9% 9.60 7.70  
SHE'S MO BUBBLY 4 1 1½ 11 3 511 523¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 18% 4.60 4.10  
RAYYA VALENTINE 3 6 5 5 66 616½ 632¾ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 11.40  
 
AQU-9   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T BEAT ME 8 5 53 42   2½ 1(barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 27.50  
1A  FIRST DEPUTY 7 6 64 64   32(englehart jeffrey)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 8.90  
STRIKING SPEED 6 4 3 1½   1½ 3(potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 2.20  
HIGH HEAT 2 2 4 3   447 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 17.70 10.00  
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 1 7 77 7   657 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 6.10  
HEIR PORT 3 1 21 5   56(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 35% 1.90 3.20  
MR PHIL 5 3 11 2½   7713¾ (rodriguez rud)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 2.00 28% 2.60 2.90  
JOKER BOY 4 8 817 822½   817½ 826 (quick)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 15.00 9% 10.30 39.75  
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI)               (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.