Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/5/1)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/5)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/3)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/1/7)-(1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(1/2/3)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/5/4)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(6/4/1)-(4/6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS FOX Dec09 Oct29       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 0.80 52% 0.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ Dec17 Nov19       (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  HANNAH GOOD         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CHIMICHURRI by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Dec28         (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
5  CITY BLOCKS Dec31 Oct01       (barker edw)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of UNCLE SOUTHERN by UNCLE CAMIE)
6  DELL ARTE         (quick patr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
AQU-2   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATER AND TOT Nov06 Jan07 Dec17 Oct21 Sep29 (englehart je)HARKIE K 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ARREBATO Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Jul04 Jun25 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 ★    
3  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Dec17 Nov24 Mar18 Nov06   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 47% 1.20    
4  FLASHY ALEX Dec17 Jan01 Dec04 Nov25 Oct22 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
5  BAD LARRY Nov17 Oct15 Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  SCOTTO Dec28 Dec17 Nov11 Oct15 Oct04 (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
7  BRENNAN'S WAR Aug31 Jul28 Jun18 May19 Jan08 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jerome Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUM ROLL PLEASE Dec02 Oct06 Sep01 Jul29   (cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 1.00 36% 1.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of IMPLY by E DUBAI)
2  KHANATE Nov09 Oct11 Sep03 Aug10   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONGOLIAN SHOPPER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  SWEET SODDY J Dec30 Dec08 Nov11 Oct28 Oct07 (ginter raymond )DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
4  EL GRANDE O Oct29 Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 ★    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  REGALO Dec09 Oct26 Sep15     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 5.00 35% 1.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PERFECT BOURBON by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
AQU-4   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EGYPT Dec08 Oct20 Feb18 Feb11   (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Nov16 Sep04 Sep17 Aug19 Aug03 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FOXYSOX by FOXHOUND)
3  HERO'S MEDAL Nov01 Sep21 Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  BOLT D'PLATA Oct22 Sep28 Aug23 Aug10   (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HEKAAYAAT by MR. GREELEY)
5  VENGE Dec08 Nov24 Oct13 Jul01 May21 (ribaudo rober)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
6  LUCENCY Dec08 Nov11 Jul21     (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
AQU-5   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRACA Dec08 Nov11       (giglio gina)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 9% 10.70    
2  DIANNESRETIRING Nov12 Sep04       (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 ★    
3  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Dec29 Nov21 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
4  ROB THE BANK Nov18 Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 Aug24 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT Nov04 Oct04 Aug18 Jul27   (de hor)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
6  RETAIL MAN Dec08 Oct22 Oct04     (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
7  COMPUTE IT         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Dec09 Aug02       (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  CAPTAIN PARTY Jun23 Jun01 May06 Jul08   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHEER BEAUTY by MIZZEN MAST)
3  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Dec07         (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of PLEASANT HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  SCHERZANDO Dec14 Nov16 Oct12 Sep04 Jul14 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
5  FLIP'S DREAM Dec09         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAURA CAN DISCO by DISCO RICO)
6  PASCHAL MOON Dec09 Nov25 Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
7  FLYING IN STYLE Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 Aug02 Jun09 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
 
AQU-7   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL TRYST Dec29 Nov30 Oct28 Oct14 Sep04 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
2  BUSINESS MODEL Dec06 Nov12 Oct28 Oct12 Sep30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
3  SET SAIL Dec02 Sep28 Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  BEACHWALKER Dec28 Dec15 Oct14 Oct04 Aug05 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 14% 5.90    
5  JEFF FA FA Nov30 Oct27 Sep16 Aug07 Jul17 (atras rob)RIVERA R 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  JOEY FRESHWATER Aug22 Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 May20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
7  HIGH OAK Dec02 Oct27 Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 118 1.40 ★    
 
AQU-8   01/06/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ladies Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Dec28 Oct29 Oct04 Aug09 Jul20 (barrera oscar )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 9% 9.60    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) Dec01 Oct27       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00    
  (by DROSSELMEYER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  RAYYA VALENTINE Dec15 Oct19 Sep24 Aug18   (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RAYYA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  SHE'S MO BUBBLY Dec16 Nov12 Sep22 Aug30 Jul29 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MICHELLE D'ORO by BERNARDINI)
5  COMPARATIVE Nov25 May19 Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COLLECTIVE by CHARISMATIC)
6  SADDLE UP JESSIE Dec23 Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 Jul22 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-9   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FIRST DEPUTY Dec09 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Aug30 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00    
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Dec11 Nov06 Oct13 Jan19 Oct17 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
2  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Dec09 Oct25 Oct04 Jun28 Jun12 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
3  HIGH HEAT Dec17 May30 May15 Apr25 Mar15 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 17.70    
4  HEIR PORT Nov26 Jul14 Jun03 May13 Apr20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  JOKER BOY Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 15.00 9% 10.30    
6  MR PHIL Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 Jul16 Jun22 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 2.00 28% 2.60    
7  STRIKING SPEED Dec17 Nov11 Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
8  CAN'T BEAT ME Nov21 Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 Jul26 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.