The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.40 -4.00
AQU-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.20 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
AQU-4   Win (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
AQU-5   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.10 -6.00
AQU-6   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.90 $5.90 -0.10
AQU-7   Win (9/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.50 $4.50 -3.50
AQU-8   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 6.00
AQU-9   Win (4/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $23.80 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE CROSS 2 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1nk (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.50 2.70  
IRISH JACKSON 4 4 3 3½   2nk 2nk (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 50% 1.00 2.15 P
DOLCE SERA 5 3 52 41   33(delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 9.30  
BUSTIN HOT 1 2 1½ 2nk   42 4(rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 2.50 26% 2.80 1.05  
PROPER GRAMMAR 3 5 4 52   55(pregman jr)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 29.50  
SCR  TWO REDHEADS               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40    
 
AQU-2   11/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:112 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER LINDA 2 1 1½ 11 1 12 1½ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 2.60  
RUN DEVIL 5 5 2½ 21 2 22 2½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 23% 3.30 3.65 P
MIA BEA STAR 4 4 3 53 58 535 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 8% 11.60 4.00 S
DISTORTED VIEW 6 6 5 4 45 34(linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 7.90  
TRIPLE P 1 3 4 3 33 46 510½ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 121 30.00 48.25  
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 3 2 6 610 612 611½ 613¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 39% 1.50 1.70  
 
AQU-3   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY GUN 3 2 1½ 2nk   1nk 1hd (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50 53% 0.90 3.50 W
SIX PERCENT 2 6 6 3   31 2hd (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 7.30  
QUICKFLASH 7 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 31 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 2.65  
BUSTIN SHOUT 1 3 3 5   42 4(rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 3.00 18% 4.70 2.85  
UNFLAPPABLE MAX 6 5 52 6   55(ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 20.10  
ALWAYS CHARMING 4 4 4 42   6615½ (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 3.45  
UNCLE CURLY 5 7 79 7   712½ 717¾ (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00 5% 17.30 19.40  
 
AQU-4   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD FOREST 2 3 4 3   12 1(kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 26% 2.90 2.00 W
LIFE CHANGER 1 1 79 58   54 2(terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 43% 1.30 3.10 P
2B  AMUNDSON 3 2 32 42   33 3(kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 2.00  
SCILLY CAY 4 4 68 712½   74(baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 4.20  
JEFF FA FA 6 5 12 11   22 56 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 8% 12.10 2.40  
ROYAL TRYST 7 7 8 816½   811¼ 6(arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
1A  CLEM LABINE 8 8 5 6   679 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 10.40  
3X  SEVEN NATION ARMY 5 6 22 21   44 810¼ (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 4.20  
SCR  CHEWING GUM               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
 
AQU-5   11/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:111 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A NYQUIST 8 4 3 3 3½ 1110 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 3.50 2.05  
EMBRACEABLE GAL 5 7 78 4 45 4210 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 10.20  
SWEET AS SUGAR 7 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 35 313 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 5% 19.00 34.50 S
VINTAGE 1 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 2414½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 1.80 65% 0.50 1.60  
SYNONYMOUS 3 6 812 812½ 812 810½ 514½ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 51.00  
ALICE KRAMDEN 4 5 4 78 7 710 615¼ (englehart chri)HARKIE K 118 15.00 22.50  
LUNA LOCA 6 2 5 5 5 5717¼ (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 7.50  
ACCEL ROSE 2 8 67 67 6 610 818½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 7% 13.50 4.30  
 
AQU-6   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUANARE 6 5 32 31   13 1(dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 19% 4.30 1.95 W
IRIDESCENT 3 1 1nk 11   23 2(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 49% 1.10 1.05 P
TWO'S A CROWD 2 3 4 43   39 316¼ (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 3.50  
TAPORICAL 1 4 611 6   613½ 417 (sells ra)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 9% 10.20 47.25  
AWESOME FOR SURE 5 6 5 5   513 518 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 32.00  
RUNNING LUCKY 4 2 2nk 21   411 622 (summers chad)MARTIN MATTIE 111 12.00 8.90  
SCR  BADLANDS RULER               (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ENGINE 8 1 4 21   11(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.25 W
BRAZILLIONAIRE 5 3 52 44   32(englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 5.80  
WINNING DRIVE 1 6 1½ 11   23(kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 12.70  
KLICKITAT 4 5 2½ 3   45 4(rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 6% 15.40 20.40  
PIT BOSS 2 8 8 59   58 5(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 3.50  
DATESFREEDOM 3 7 74 6   66(delauro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00 37.50  
SALTO DE TIGRE 7 4 64 711½   712½ 7(ferraro jame)RIVERA R 119 4.50 25% 3.00 4.50  
CO CONSPIRATOR 6 2 31 813   817½ 820 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM               (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   11/30/2023 6270ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:134 1:381   1:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLYMPIC DREAMS 5 1 33 31 2½ 2nk 1¼ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 19% 4.30 5.00 W
MISTICAL CURLIN 3 4 5 5 4 3½ 2¼ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 16% 5.10 4.10 P
SUERTE 6 2 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 31 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 3.25  
LEADING CONTENDER 1 5 43 42 5 43 4(brown c)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 33% 2.00 1.20  
BOLD VICTORY 2 6 68 64 64 59 5(dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 116 12.00 7.30  
BILLIEVE IN JOSH 4 3 1 1½ 31 629 649¾ (ficarella broo)HARKIE K 120 50.00 34.00  
SCR  FUNKENSTEIN               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
SCR  MACALLAN               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
 
AQU-9   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO IN PARIS 5 3 3½ 2nk   11(persaud randi)LUZZI J 119 12.00 10.90  
PICCOLO DIAVOLO 7 7 6 4   22(catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.50 P
SHADOW MAN 3 9 8 88   612½ 311¼ (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 4.80  
CROWN THAT SAINT 2 5 2½ 3½   3411¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.60  
MY MAN WOODY 9 1 7 53   510 512 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 6.00 6.60  
WON TEAM 6 2 4 75   713½ 613¼ (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 7.70  
LANIE'S FIRST DUDE 1 4 1½ 1nk   410 713½ (penaloza)GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
NOBLE ONE 8 8 910¼ 913½   918½ 817¾ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 43.75  
WILD JAIME 4 6 52 6   818 921½ (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 40% 1.50 4.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.