Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/5/4)-(3/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/1/5)-(4/2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/2/5/6)-(1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(1/2/7)-(4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/8/7)-(1/2/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(4/7/1)-(9/8/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(9/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(9/8/5/7)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (9/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/7)-(9/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/7)-(9/8/5/7)-(9/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/5/7)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5/7)-(1/7/3)-(4/2/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN HOT Nov03 Feb02 Jan28 Nov27 Oct30 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  TWO REDHEADS Oct26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 Nov05 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40    
3  DIVINE CROSS Sep14 Aug16 Jan22 Dec04 Oct14 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.50    
4  PROPER GRAMMAR Jul28 May12 Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 (pregman jr)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00    
5  IRISH JACKSON Apr30         (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
6  DOLCE SERA Nov09 Oct08 Sep22 Jul30 Jun01 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   11/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE P Nov09 Oct15 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
2  SISTER LINDA Oct15 Jun01 Mar30 Dec29 Dec01 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50    
3  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 Aug16 Aug03 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
4  MIA BEA STAR Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 Jul02 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 8% 11.60    
5  RUN DEVIL Nov09 Sep28 Aug25 Aug03 Jun02 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  DISTORTED VIEW Oct30 Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 Jun19 (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
 
AQU-3   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN SHOUT Nov12 Nov03 Sep16 Aug23 Jul14 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  SIX PERCENT Oct22 Sep21 Jun11 Apr14 Mar11 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
3  TOMMY GUN Nov16 Oct13 Oct02 Aug09 Jul15 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
4  ALWAYS CHARMING Oct01 Sep04 Jul15 Jun17 May12 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50    
5  UNCLE CURLY Nov03 Aug18 Jul30 May29 Dec22 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00 5% 17.30    
6  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Oct19 Aug23 Jun26 May17 Apr22 (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00    
7  QUICKFLASH Oct22 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul12 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-4   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CLEM LABINE Sep09 Aug11 May13 Apr08 Mar11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00    
SCR  CHEWING GUM Nov17 Oct27 Sep03 Jul26 Nov25 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
2  EMERALD FOREST Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 Jul14 Jun15 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
2B  AMUNDSON Oct29 Aug23 Jun09 Apr30 Mar05 (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00    
3  SCILLY CAY Oct28 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jun22 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00    
3X  SEVEN NATION ARMY Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
4  LIFE CHANGER Jun10 Apr01 Jan27 Nov26 Nov05 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  JEFF FA FA Oct27 Sep16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 8% 12.10    
6  ROYAL TRYST Oct28 Oct14 Sep04 Aug09 Jul23 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   11/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE Aug28 Jul30 Jun04 May11 Apr15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
2  ACCEL ROSE Nov04 Aug18 Jul21 Jun17 May18 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 7% 13.50    
3  SYNONYMOUS Nov04 Oct19 Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
4  ALICE KRAMDEN Nov03 Oct08 Jul16 Jun16 May12 (englehart ch)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
5  EMBRACEABLE GAL Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Sep26 Sep03 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
6  LUNA LOCA Nov04 Oct26 Sep24 Aug18 Jul02 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
7  SWEET AS SUGAR Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 Aug18 Jul09 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUST A NYQUIST Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 Jul09 Jun18 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-6   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPORICAL Nov01 Oct19 Aug30 Aug03 Jul15 (sells )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  BADLANDS RULER Nov10 Oct07 Aug05     (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
3  TWO'S A CROWD Oct29 Oct04 Sep10 Aug20   (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
4  IRIDESCENT Oct29 Aug31 Aug11     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 49% 1.10    
5  RUNNING LUCKY Nov11 Oct19 Aug25 Aug04 Jul16 (summers chad)MARTIN MATTIE 111 12.00    
6  AWESOME FOR SURE Nov02 Sep22 Aug26 Aug06   (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
7  GUANARE Oct07 Aug26       (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-7   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING DRIVE Nov25 Nov11 Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
2  PIT BOSS Oct28 Oct12 Oct05 Aug29 Aug02 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
3  DATESFREEDOM Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep21 Aug25 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM Sep26 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
5  KLICKITAT Nov12 Oct06 Sep15 Jul27 Jun17 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 6% 15.40    
6  BRAZILLIONAIRE Sep13 Aug02 Jul01 May30 Dec04 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50    
7  CO CONSPIRATOR Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 Aug16 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SALTO DE TIGRE Oct12 Oct04 Aug18 Aug02 Jul20 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
9  BIG ENGINE Nov03 Sep21 Jul23 Jun22 May21 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-8   11/30/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADING CONTENDER Oct22 Sep03 Jul22 Aug13   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  BOLD VICTORY Oct22 Oct12 Jul13 Jun13 Apr12 (dutrow richar)OLVER MADISON 116 12.00    
3  MISTICAL CURLIN Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  PADDINGTON Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
5  BILLIEVE IN JOSH Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Jun21 Jun02 (ficarella br)HARKIE K 120 50.00    
SCR  FUNKENSTEIN Nov03 Oct12 Jan23 Oct16 Sep16 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
7  OLYMPIC DREAMS Oct29 Sep03 Aug02 May29 May11 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MACALLAN Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 Apr09 Feb12 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
9  SUERTE Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug10 May24 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 
AQU-9   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANIE'S FIRST DUDE         (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CROWN THAT SAINT Oct07 Aug04 Jul20     (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  SHADOW MAN Nov11 Oct05       (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
4  WILD JAIME Oct06         (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  SOLO IN PARIS Nov02 Oct04       (persaud randi)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
6  WON TEAM Nov11 Oct15       (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
7  PICCOLO DIAVOLO         (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NOBLE ONE Aug11         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
9  MY MAN WOODY Nov10 Nov02 Sep22 Sep03   (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.