The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
AQU-2   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.90 $4.90 -1.10
AQU-3   Win (1/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
AQU-4   Win (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $67.50 -8.00
AQU-5   Win (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
AQU-6   Win (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
AQU-7   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
AQU-8   Win (12/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $104.50 -8.00
AQU-9   Win (5/7/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 -3.10
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STOLEN MAGIC 1 2 21½ 31   1nk 11¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.80 W
5  BONUS MOVE 3 1 11½ 1½   2nk 21¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.90  
3  WAJDA 2 3 31½ 2½   33 310¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 1.30 S
7  LIVEHAPPY 5 6 611½ 513½   59¼ 412¼ (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5% 18.60 4.70  
6  SARDIS 4 4 49½ 413   49 513¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.00  
8  ALLEGRINI 6 5 511 616   612¾ 615¾ (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.30  
SCR  ALEAH ALEAH               (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  CORPORATE POWER               (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
 
AQU-2   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AULA 8 1 31 31 2½ 11 14 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 28% 2.60 1.45 W
6  WATCH HILL 6 3 1nk 11 1½ 21 24 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 6.80  
5  DUDLEY DICKERSON 5 7 74¼ 62¾ 54½ 36 38 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 41% 1.40 2.35 S
2  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 2 5 41½ 42 44 46½ 411 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 ★ 4.20  
3  WAFLR 3 2 2nk 21 34 58 515 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 16.40  
1  SILENT RUNNING 1 6 64 74¼ 611 613½ 621 (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 14.60 12.60  
7  LOOKIN' TO WIN 7 8 89¼ 86¾ 816 719½ 729 (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 116 12.00 41.50  
4  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE 4 4 52½ 52¼ 715 823½ 843¾ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 46.25  
 
AQU-3   11/17/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:103 1:341   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUNNING BEE 8 1 1½ 1½ 11 12½ 13¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 19% 4.30 1.40 W
6  CRABS N BEER 5 2 63½ 64 54 33½ 23¾ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80 P
1A  EMARAATY (GB) 4 3 32 32 31½ 22½ 34½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20 1.10 S
4  WOW WHATA SUMMER 3 5 76½ 85½ 86 65½ 45¾ (lawrence jame)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 20.00  
1  OCALA DREAM 2 8 88 75½ 75 55½ 56½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 1.10  
2  HIGH TIDE 7 7 2½ 2½ 21 44 68¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 22.80  
9  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 9 6 42½ 42½ 43½ 76 712 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 45.75  
7  NOLO CONTESTO 6 4 53 53 64½ 88 818¾ (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 121 20.00 33.00  
3  CARPENTERS CALL 1 9 99 97 910½ 918 922½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 15% 5.70 10.50  
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
SCR  DRIPPING GOLD               (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE               (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  M B'S MUNNING 3 4 3½ 51¼   11 12¼ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 10.00 32.75  
9  PREDICTED 9 1 63¼ 62¼   53 22¼ (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 10% 8.90 7.20 P
8  GUN MAESTRO 8 2 51¼ 3.2   21 32¼ (abreu fernando)USKE S 122 8.00 5.20  
1  BAD LARRY 1 6 1½ 1nk   31 43¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 2.30  
4  FLASH KISS 4 8 811¾ 911¾   76½ 53¼ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 9% 10.40 13.10  
5  HATCH (GB) 5 5 4¾ 4¼   42 64 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.45  
7  LEGENDARY LORE 7 7 79¼ 77¼   86¾ 77¼ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 115 5.00 11.70  
6  SORPRESO 6 9 912¼ 89¾   97¼ 87¾ (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 45.75  
2  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 2 3 2½ 2nk   66 913¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 7% 13.80 7.30  
 
AQU-5   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRICK AMBUSH 2 2 21 22½ 1nk 12½ 12 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 11% 8.20 4.30 W
9  INONIT 8 4 56 69½ 44 44 22 (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 47.25  
5  VIN SANTO 5 5 66 46 32½ 33 32½ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00 S
1  QUIET WISDOM 1 1 11 12½ 2nk 22½ 45¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60  
4  PROPHETIC 4 3 34½ 36 56 510 512½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5.40  
8  JUDGE RULES 7 8 78½ 711½ 611½ 612 612¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 18% 4.60 6.60  
6  SWEET TONE 6 7 88¾ 812 712 713 714¾ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00 60.25  
3  PODERE 3 6 45½ 59 825 838 864¼ (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 34.25  
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/17/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Tepin Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:131 1:244   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MEMORIALIZE 2 1 34½ 31½ 32 32½ 1¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.80 1.20 W
4  AWESOME CZECH 3 2 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 2¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 15.30  
8  GOLD LIGHTNING 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 21½ 32 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 40% 1.50 2.65 S
1  ARTEMIS GIRL 1 3 55½ 41½ 42 44 44¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
6  BEING BETTY 4 4 44½ 52 56½ 55 55 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 12.30  
7  VOTER REGISTRATION (FR) 5 6 65¾ 63 612 615 618¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 2.55  
SCR  ANTENNA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
SCR  LIVING MAGIC               (schoenthal phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
SCR  MOST OF ALL               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00    
SCR  SCORPIA               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
 
AQU-7   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:092     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KINETIC SKY 5 5 43½ 42½   32 11¼ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 23% 3.40 5.30 W
6  GUN IT 7 1 11 11   1nk 21¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 2.20  
3  BABY YODA 3 4 21 21   2nk 32 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 19% 4.20 2.95 S
2  SCARAMOUCHE 2 2 31½ 32½   42½ 45 (preciado guadal)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00 4.30  
5  NOVA RAGS 6 7 76½ 75¾   64 55¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 20% 4.00 3.60  
1  CHEWING GUM 1 3 54½ 54   53 66 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 14.30  
1A  SYNTHESIS 4 6 64½ 65½   75 76¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 14.30  
 
AQU-8   11/17/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Autumn Days Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:213 :434 :552     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY MILAGRO 2 3 12 12   15 11½ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 120 30.00 51.25  
12  DANSE MACABRE 9 1 54½ 55½   55¾ 21½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 35% 1.80 1.35 P
1  ALL THAT MAGIC 1 8 43½ 45½   66¼ 31¾ (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 5% 19.00 4.90 S
3  STERLING SILVER 3 9 64¾ 66½   35 42 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 8.30  
4  LOON CRY 4 5 75¾ 88   45½ 52 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 10% 9.50 5.40  
8  POPPY FLOWER 6 6 85¾ 77   87¾ 63¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 28% 2.50 3.30  
11  ITSAKEYPER 8 7 96¼ 98½   98¼ 75¼ (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 47.75  
7  SALVAJE 5 4 22 32½   25 86½ (synnefias dimit)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 69.75  
10  HEADLAND 7 2 32 22   76¾ 97¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 18.00  
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  MAIL ORDER               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  RISK FREE               (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
SCR  UNIFIED ALLIANCE               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
 
AQU-9   11/17/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:374     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAGNA 8 7 108 106¾ 84¼ 1nk 13¾ (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 16% 5.40 2.45 W
3  SAINTE CHAPELLE 2 11 32 32½ 31½ 2nk 23¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 15.20  
5  VOLEUSE 4 9 54 44 53 31 33¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 32% 2.10 5.30 S
1A  TURRIGA 12 1 42 54 42½ 41½ 45¾ (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 6.00 ★ 2.45  
7  SHELLY 5 8 86½ 65 64 63½ 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60 3.10  
10  LADY LAOBAN 9 4 75 75½ 74 84¼ 66¼ (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 8.80  
9  MALU 7 5 97 86½ 96¼ 95¼ 76½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 12.20  
2  STARTS NOW 1 12 1½ 12 11 52½ 87 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
4  MISS FASHIONISTA 3 10 1210¾ 128½ 119¼ 105¼ 98 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
12  ACCELERINA 11 2 2½ 22 21 73¾ 108¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 47.75  
11  SHE'S A NATURAL 10 6 118¼ 118¼ 106¾ 117¼ 1112 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 51.75  
8  BOSTON STRONG MAMA 6 3 64½ 96¾ 129¾ 128¼ 1219½ (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 37.00  
SCR  EASTERN STAR               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR               (coffey mar)DAVIS A 121 12.00    
SCR  NORTH END LADY               (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.