Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%
AQU-2   DD (3/2/7)-(5/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-8 $11.40 $2.40 27%
AQU-3   EXA (1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-6 $19.10 $7.10 59%
    TRI (1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-6-1 $13.87 $1.87 16%
AQU-5   WIN (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.60 $2.60 33%
AQU-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    DD (8/3/1)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-4 $10.40 $1.40 16%
    PK3 (1/8/2/5)-(8/3/1)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-3-4 $61.25 $25.25 70%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STOLEN MAGIC 1 2 21½ 31   1nk 11¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.80 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
5  BONUS MOVE 3 1 11½ 1½   2nk 21¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.90  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LADY MAMBA by WAR FRONT)
3  WAJDA 2 3 31½ 2½   33 310¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 1.30 S
  (by LAOBAN out of UNTAPPED SECRET by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
7  LIVEHAPPY 5 6 611½ 513½   59¼ 412¼ (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5% 18.60 4.70  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  SARDIS 4 4 49½ 413   49 513¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
8  ALLEGRINI 6 5 511 616   612¾ 615¾ (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.30  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PERDY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  ALEAH ALEAH               (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  CORPORATE POWER               (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ROAD TO VICTORY by QUALITY ROAD)
 
AQU-2   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AULA 8 1 31 31 2½ 11 14 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 28% 2.60 1.45 W
6  WATCH HILL 6 3 1nk 11 1½ 21 24 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 6.80  
5  DUDLEY DICKERSON 5 7 74¼ 62¾ 54½ 36 38 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 41% 1.40 2.35 S
2  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 2 5 41½ 42 44 46½ 411 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 ★ 4.20  
3  WAFLR 3 2 2nk 21 34 58 515 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 16.40  
1  SILENT RUNNING 1 6 64 74¼ 611 613½ 621 (bond harol)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 14.60 12.60  
7  LOOKIN' TO WIN 7 8 89¼ 86¾ 816 719½ 729 (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 116 12.00 41.50  
4  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE 4 4 52½ 52¼ 715 823½ 843¾ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 46.25  
 
AQU-3   11/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:103 1:341   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUNNING BEE 8 1 1½ 1½ 11 12½ 13¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 19% 4.30 1.40 W
6  CRABS N BEER 5 2 63½ 64 54 33½ 23¾ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80 P
1A  EMARAATY (GB) 4 3 32 32 31½ 22½ 34½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20 1.10 S
4  WOW WHATA SUMMER 3 5 76½ 85½ 86 65½ 45¾ (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 20.00  
1  OCALA DREAM 2 8 88 75½ 75 55½ 56½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 1.10  
2  HIGH TIDE 7 7 2½ 2½ 21 44 68¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 22.80  
9  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 9 6 42½ 42½ 43½ 76 712 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 45.75  
7  NOLO CONTESTO 6 4 53 53 64½ 88 818¾ (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 121 20.00 33.00  
3  CARPENTERS CALL 1 9 99 97 910½ 918 922½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 15% 5.70 10.50  
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
SCR  DRIPPING GOLD               (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE               (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  M B'S MUNNING 3 4 3½ 51¼   11 12¼ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 10.00 32.75  
9  PREDICTED 9 1 63¼ 62¼   53 22¼ (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 10% 8.90 7.20 P
8  GUN MAESTRO 8 2 51¼ 3.2   21 32¼ (abreu fernando)USKE S 122 8.00 5.20  
1  BAD LARRY 1 6 1½ 1nk   31 43¼ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 2.30  
4  FLASH KISS 4 8 811¾ 911¾   76½ 53¼ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 9% 10.40 13.10  
5  HATCH (GB) 5 5 4¾ 4¼   42 64 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 44% 1.30 2.45  
7  LEGENDARY LORE 7 7 79¼ 77¼   86¾ 77¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 115 5.00 11.70  
6  SORPRESO 6 9 912¼ 89¾   97¼ 87¾ (delauro edward )CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 45.75  
2  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 2 3 2½ 2nk   66 913¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 7% 13.80 7.30  
 
AQU-5   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRICK AMBUSH 2 2 21 22½ 1nk 12½ 12 (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 11% 8.20 4.30 W
  (by LAOBAN out of STEVE'S PHILLY by TALE OF EKATI)
9  INONIT 8 4 56 69½ 44 44 22 (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 47.25  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
5  VIN SANTO 5 5 66 46 32½ 33 32½ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00 S
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
1  QUIET WISDOM 1 1 11 12½ 2nk 22½ 45¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  PROPHETIC 4 3 34½ 36 56 510 512½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5.40  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
8  JUDGE RULES 7 8 78½ 711½ 611½ 612 612¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 18% 4.60 6.60  
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
6  SWEET TONE 6 7 88¾ 812 712 713 714¾ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00 60.25  
  (by TONALIST out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
3  PODERE 3 6 45½ 59 825 838 864¼ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 34.25  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of PRINCESS JENNY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
 
AQU-6   11/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tepin Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:131 1:244   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MEMORIALIZE 2 1 34½ 31½ 32 32½ 1¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.80 1.20 W
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SMART EMMA by SMART STRIKE)
4  AWESOME CZECH 3 2 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 2¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 15.30  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  GOLD LIGHTNING 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 21½ 32 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 40% 1.50 2.65 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ACTING CLASS by NOACTOR)
1  ARTEMIS GIRL 1 3 55½ 41½ 42 44 44¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
  (by SOLOMINI out of DANCING ONTHEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
6  BEING BETTY 4 4 44½ 52 56½ 55 55 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 12.30  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADY JOAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
7  VOTER REGISTRATION (FR) 5 6 65¾ 63 612 615 618¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 2.55  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ANTENNA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HARKNESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  BROCKNARDINI               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BROAD STRIPES by BERNARDINI)
SCR  LIVING MAGIC               (schoenthal ph)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MOST OF ALL               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INDULGENT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SCORPIA               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SCORPIO QUEEN by CHOISIR (AUS))
 
AQU-7   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:092     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KINETIC SKY 5 5 43½ 42½   32 11¼ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 23% 3.40 5.30 W
6  GUN IT 7 1 11 11   1nk 21¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 2.20  
3  BABY YODA 3 4 21 21   2nk 32 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 19% 4.20 2.95 S
2  SCARAMOUCHE 2 2 31½ 32½   42½ 45 (preciado guad)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00 4.30  
5  NOVA RAGS 6 7 76½ 75¾   64 55¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 20% 4.00 3.60  
1  CHEWING GUM 1 3 54½ 54   53 66 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 14.30  
1A  SYNTHESIS 4 6 64½ 65½   75 76¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 14.30  
 
AQU-8   11/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Autumn Days Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:213 :434 :552     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY MILAGRO 2 3 12 12   15 11½ (martin car)RIVERA R 120 30.00 51.25  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of TRIBECKY by SAINT LIAM)
12  DANSE MACABRE 9 1 54½ 55½   55¾ 21½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 35% 1.80 1.35 P
  (by ARMY MULE out of SYLPHIDE by BLAME)
1  ALL THAT MAGIC 1 8 43½ 45½   66¼ 31¾ (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 5% 19.00 4.90 S
  (by FAST ANNA out of HERMIONE'S MAGIC by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  STERLING SILVER 3 9 64¾ 66½   35 42 (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 8.30  
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  LOON CRY 4 5 75¾ 88   45½ 52 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 10% 9.50 5.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
8  POPPY FLOWER 6 6 85¾ 77   87¾ 63¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 28% 2.50 3.30  
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  ITSAKEYPER 8 7 96¼ 98½   98¼ 75¼ (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 47.75  
  (by BRILLIANT SPEED out of FINDERS KEY by LINDSEY'S ROBERTO)
7  SALVAJE 5 4 22 32½   25 86½ (synnefias dim)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 69.75  
  (by KANTHAROS out of WILDCAT HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
10  HEADLAND 7 2 32 22   76¾ 97¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 18.00  
  (by PAYNTER out of MISS SHELTOWEE by NAJRAN)
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PAY THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  HOT FUDGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MAIL ORDER               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AGATHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  RISK FREE               (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
SCR  UNIFIED ALLIANCE               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STAR POWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-9   11/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:374     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAGNA 8 7 108 106¾ 84¼ 1nk 13¾ (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 16% 5.40 2.45 W
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SCHEME by TIZWAY)
3  SAINTE CHAPELLE 2 11 32 32½ 31½ 2nk 23¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 15.20  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
5  VOLEUSE 4 9 54 44 53 31 33¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 32% 2.10 5.30 S
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
1A  TURRIGA 12 1 42 54 42½ 41½ 45¾ (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 6.00 ★ 2.45  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
7  SHELLY 5 8 86½ 65 64 63½ 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60 3.10  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TESTA ROSSI by DR FONG)
10  LADY LAOBAN 9 4 75 75½ 74 84¼ 66¼ (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 8.80  
  (by LAOBAN out of LA MOUSSE by VISION AND VERSE)
9  MALU 7 5 97 86½ 96¼ 95¼ 76½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 12.20  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of LEVETTA by VIOLENCE)
2  STARTS NOW 1 12 1½ 12 11 52½ 87 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  MISS FASHIONISTA 3 10 1210¾ 128½ 119¼ 105¼ 98 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABOVE FASHION by PADDY O'PRADO)
12  ACCELERINA 11 2 2½ 22 21 73¾ 108¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 47.75  
  (by ACCELERATE out of DELAY OF GAME by BERNARDINI)
11  SHE'S A NATURAL 10 6 118¼ 118¼ 106¾ 117¼ 1112 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 51.75  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
8  BOSTON STRONG MAMA 6 3 64½ 96¾ 129¾ 128¼ 1219½ (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 37.00  
  (by MSHAWISH out of VINDA by VINDICATION)
SCR  EASTERN STAR               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR               (coffey m)DAVIS A 121 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
SCR  NORTH END LADY               (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TURNING TIDE by MULA GULA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.