Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (12/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (5/7/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEAH ALEAH Oct21 Sep14       (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
STOLEN MAGIC Sep28 Sep02       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
WAJDA Oct01 Aug25       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  CORPORATE POWER         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
BONUS MOVE         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
SARDIS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
LIVEHAPPY Oct01         (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 5% 18.60    
ALLEGRINI         (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
 
AQU-2   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT RUNNING Oct05 Aug30 Aug06 Jun03 May13 (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Oct21 Sep22 Aug30 Aug06 Jul01 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
WAFLR Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Jul26 Jun18 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE Sep02 Aug16 Aug10     (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
DUDLEY DICKERSON Oct24 Sep25 Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
WATCH HILL Oct15 Aug20       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
LOOKIN' TO WIN Nov04 Oct12 Jul07     (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 116 12.00    
AULA Oct13 Sep25 Jul26 Jul01 May19 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-3   11/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCALA DREAM Sep15 Aug27 Jul20 May29 May06 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60    
1A  EMARAATY (GB) Oct19 Sep04 Jun10 Sep05 Aug04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
HIGH TIDE Oct06 Aug25 Jul27 Jun04 Jul14 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING Nov02 Oct01 Aug18 Jul16 Jun17 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
CARPENTERS CALL Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Oct29 Sep19 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 15% 5.70    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Nov05 Oct19 Sep02 Aug23 Aug12 (lawrence jame)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
SCR  DRIPPING GOLD Sep09 Jul27 Jul01 May27 Apr12 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
CRABS N BEER Oct14 Sep10 Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
NOLO CONTESTO Oct27 Oct06 Sep22 Aug24 Jul22 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 121 20.00    
RUNNING BEE Oct26 Sep05 Aug10 Jul02   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE Oct06 Sep28 Aug19 Jul26 Jul07 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Oct19 Aug30 Jun04 Dec30 Dec03 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LARRY Oct15 Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 Jun03 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Oct14 Oct05 Sep15 Jun11 Apr29 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 7% 13.80    
M B'S MUNNING Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Nov11 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
FLASH KISS Oct14 Apr20 Dec16 Jul17 Jun24 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 9% 10.40    
HATCH (GB) Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 Jul29 Jun23 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
SORPRESO Oct24 Oct11 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
LEGENDARY LORE Oct15 Oct03 Aug20 Jun25 May26 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
GUN MAESTRO Oct21 Sep01 Aug18 Jun18 Jun09 (abreu fernando)USKE S 122 8.00    
PREDICTED Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 May26 (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
AQU-5   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET WISDOM Oct20 Sep14 Aug12     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
BRICK AMBUSH Oct05         (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
PODERE Oct20         (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
PROPHETIC Oct20         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
VIN SANTO Nov03 Sep17 Sep02     (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET TONE Nov03 Oct14       (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
SCR  MAMA'S MIDDIE Oct13 Aug12 Jul16     (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
JUDGE RULES         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
INONIT Oct13 Aug11       (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
 
AQU-6   11/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tepin Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMIS GIRL Nov02         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIVING MAGIC Oct27 Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 (schoenthal phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
MEMORIALIZE Oct04 Aug20 Jul20     (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
AWESOME CZECH Oct27 Sep15 Aug24 Jul14   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI Sep30 Sep16 Aug02     (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
BEING BETTY Sep15 Jul26       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
VOTER REGISTRATION (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
GOLD LIGHTNING Oct27 Oct04 Aug31     (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SCORPIA Oct22         (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  MOST OF ALL Oct20 Sep03 Aug20     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00    
SCR  ANTENNA Oct14 Aug26 Jul29     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
 
AQU-7   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWING GUM Oct27 Sep03 Jul26 Nov25 Oct01 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
1A  SYNTHESIS Nov02 Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 Jul29 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00    
SCARAMOUCHE Oct14 Sep25 Feb25 Dec24 Nov21 (preciado guadal)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00    
BABY YODA Sep21 Aug25 Jul16 May06 Oct29 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
KINETIC SKY Sep21 Sep15 Jun15 Apr30 Mar04 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
NOVA RAGS Jun22 Apr28 Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
GUN IT Oct14 Jul29 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
 
AQU-8   11/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Autumn Days Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THAT MAGIC Oct22 Sep23 Aug06 Jul28 Jun28 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
LADY MILAGRO Oct28 Oct04 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 120 30.00    
STERLING SILVER Oct29 Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 Jun25 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00    
LOON CRY Nov05 Oct12 Aug31 Aug07 Jul08 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE Nov03 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 May28 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  MAIL ORDER Aug02 Jul03 Nov27 Sep30 Sep02 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SALVAJE Nov02 Oct14 May05 Mar26 Apr22 (synnefias dimit)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
POPPY FLOWER Jul22 Jun09 May07 Apr14 Sep13 (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  RISK FREE Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 Jul08 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
10  HEADLAND Oct01 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 May29 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
11  ITSAKEYPER Oct29 Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 Jun16 (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
12  DANSE MACABRE Oct19 Sep02 May03 Mar04 Oct08 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  UNIFIED ALLIANCE Sep02 Jul14 Jun11 Apr29 Apr03 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE Jun16 May07 Apr16 Mar18 Jan29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
 
AQU-9   11/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAGNA         (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
1A  TURRIGA Oct26         (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 6.00    
STARTS NOW Nov05 Oct05 Jul29 Jun17 Apr15 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
SAINTE CHAPELLE Sep24         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
MISS FASHIONISTA Dec16 Nov18 Oct01     (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
VOLEUSE Sep14 Sep04 Jul22 Dec16 Nov17 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  NORTH END LADY Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jun17 May21 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
SHELLY Aug27 Jul03       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
BOSTON STRONG MAMA Nov10 Oct20 Aug27 Jul08   (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
MALU Oct12         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00    
10  LADY LAOBAN Aug27 Jul29 Jun03 Apr08   (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
11  SHE'S A NATURAL Oct26 Sep24 Sep14 Jul29 Jul03 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
12  ACCELERINA Sep01 Jul04 Aug20     (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR Aug27 Jul15 May21 Mar18 Feb11 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 121 12.00    
SCR  EASTERN STAR Oct26         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.