The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - November 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -0.40
AQU-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $10.20 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
AQU-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
AQU-5   Win (11/10/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.60 -8.00
AQU-6   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
AQU-7   Win (9/7/10/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $28.40 $28.40 18.40
AQU-8   Win (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $27.60 -8.00
AQU-9   Win (11/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 -0.10

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARIS STYLE (FR) 5 2 3½ 3½ 12 11(mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.40 11% 8.00 0.80 W
AFRICAN WATERS 4 5 4 42 32 22(mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 121 1.60 64% 0.60 3.05 P
TOOSHAY 3 4 53 55 5 58 310¾ (contessa gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 16.80  
DREAMING OF MO 2 1 2nk 2½ 4 3412 (martin f)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 2.60  
ALLEGEDLY (IRE) 1 3 1nk 1½ 22 4514¾ (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 13.90  
 
AQU-2   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 7 7 4 4   51¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 4.10  
BURN JAKEY BURN 4 5 5 5   41 2¼ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 6% 14.50 34.75 P
MUDVILLE NINE 5 6 63 6   631 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 5.40  
CAMM' DUKE 6 3 2½ 3.2   1½ 41 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6.20  
THREE ZERO 3 2 3½ 2nk   2½ 52 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 36% 1.70 3.65  
FACE ABARRIO 1 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 6(nevin michel)RIVERA R 113 3.50 30% 2.40 3.20  
BUCKORTWO 2 4 77 710¾   779 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 3.45  
SCR  WILL BE FAMOUS               (toscano t)OLVER MADISON 112 12.00    
 
AQU-3   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNNY GRAB 4 6 1nk 1½ 1nk 1½ 14 (de horac)RIVERA R 114 3.00 63% 0.60 0.85 W
SCARLET'S DREAM 5 3 3.2 2½ 2nk 2½ 24 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 9.10  
POSEIDON'S MIST 7 1 6 53 4 4319½ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 10.00 11% 8.40 8.70 S
SAVING MEMORIES 2 5 5 6 57 59 420 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 9.10  
MISS BOURBON 1 4 2nk 3 35 3521¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
PRACTICAL ROYALTY 3 7 7 7 710½ 615 625¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 5.70  
H M S VICTORY 6 2 4 4 610 718 733½ (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 44.25  
SCR  EKWANOK               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHASING DAYLIGHT 5 2 2 21 1nk 1½ 12 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 62% 0.60 1.10 W
HOWZYOURCASHFLOW 2 4 4 3 32 32 22 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 113 1.60 1.10 P
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL 3 1 1 11 2nk 2½ 3(ryan s)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 7.00  
RACING COLORS 6 5 6 5 4 43 4(follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 116 20.00 20.00  
AMITY ISLAND 7 7 714½ 711 6 67 5(fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 9.30  
JOLLY MISS JILL 1 3 32 42 53 56(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 17% 4.90 2.60  
DIAMOND COLLECTOR 4 6 5 65 710 712½ 723 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
SCR  MOONBOOTS               (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  VINTAGE               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
 
AQU-5   11/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY GUN 2 4 1½ 1nk   11(maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 5.80  
10  SKI PATROL 9 1 10 9   62(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 17% 4.80 2.40 P
AMANI'S EAGLE 5 10 52 6   44 3(morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 6.90  
COUNTERFEITCURENCY 8 9 1112¾ 1112¼   1144 (ryan s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 13.30  
HOMETOWN HERO 4 11 9 10   75(morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 41.00  
1A  CHARGER 3 3 2½ 4¾   26(rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 10.60  
12  BIG SAVE 11 7 41 2nk   33 7(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 9.80  
11  KHAFRE 10 2 6 5   58(antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 56% 0.80 7.20  
JOHN'S PROTEGE 6 6 8 8   109(englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 57.50  
MOVING PICTURES 1 8 7 7   910(rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 8.00 10.60  
COMMERCE COMET 7 5 31 3½   81118¾ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00 3.55  
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH               (barker r)LUZZI J 117 30.00    
SCR  ISLAND D'LITE               (magee kieron)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
 
AQU-6   11/16/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:102     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 6 4 3½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 30% 2.30 1.60 W
CLEVER FOREVER 4 2 4 5   32¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 29% 2.50 2.05 P
BEARY FUNNY 2 5 57 4   431 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 6.60  
CALDO CANDY 1 1 2nk 3½   2nk 4(bond harold )RIVERA R 117 4.00 15% 5.80 3.15  
SCHERZANDO 3 6 6 6   65(sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 11.20  
CLANCY FANCY 5 3 1nk 2nk   56(de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 31.75  
SCR  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE               (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
SCR  TWIRLING VINE               (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
 
AQU-7   11/16/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:113 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE OF COURAGE 7 11 7 7 6 3½ 12 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 19% 4.10 2.95 DQ↓4
SELL SOMETHING 3 4 32 3 52 2½ 22 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 W
11  LEFTEMBEHIND 11 9 8 8 7 41 3(tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 37.00  
ROCKET AND ROLL 9 7 42 42 2½ 1½ 4(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 35% 1.80 5.10 S
BARREL OF QUESTS 6 3 6 53 8 755 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 40.25  
ZAPRUDER 2 5 1011¼ 1012¾ 9 86(sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 48.25  
10  LORD FLINTSHIRE 10 6 54 6 31 57(brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 19% 4.30 2.90  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 5 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 6810 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 20.00 42.25  
TOP ENVOY 8 8 9 911¾ 10 910¼ 912¼ (mann m)RUIZ ELISEO 116 30.00 95.25  
12  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 12 10 1113¼ 1117¾ 1110¼ 1111¼ 1014 (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 52.50  
SHINSUN 4 12 1214¼ 1218¾ 1211¾ 1011¼ 1114½ (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50 6% 14.80 3.55  
LT. MITCHELL 1 1 1½ 2nk 42 1215¼ 1229¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 8.10  
SCR  BOURBON CHASE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  LEO AND ROYAL               (englehart jeremiah )RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
SCR  TRAPPE THE DREAM               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   11/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETEST PRINCESS 5 4 9 7   41½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 10.00 12.80  
MAJESTIC RETURN 8 9 2½ 1nk   1½ 2½ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 18% 4.70 3.55 P
TEMPERMENTAL 6 2 6 6   33(atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 3.65  
COUSIN KRISTI 3 3 1½ 2nk   2½ 4(bond ja)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 16% 5.10 7.70  
TIMELY CONQUEST 7 5 4 4   65 5(hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.40  
MZ BIG BUCKS 2 1 5 5   76 6(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
FONTANAFREDDA 9 8 32 34   55 7(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 22.90  
CARBON 1 6 8 913¾   810 8(younghans william)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 29.00  
SILVER FIST 4 7 7 810¾   911 913¼ (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 40.50  
 
AQU-9   11/16/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:151 1:393   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE ME TO JIMMY 8 2 5 52 52 31½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 27% 2.70 2.95 W
12  CHAMPAGNE JUAN 11 6 7 74 74 72½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 8.20  
SCAT TU TAP 1 4 21 1½ 1nk 1nk 31 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 8.70 S
HEART N SOUL 4 1 31 3½ 3½ 2nk 41 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 4.50  
BREES 3 5 8 85 8 651 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 13.00  
11  WAR OFFICER 10 9 10 96 9 86(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 36% 1.80 1.90  
TRIUMPHANT ROAD 5 8 4 4 4 42 7(barker r)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 85.75  
WILD GUESS 6 7 6 63 6 98(tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 20.00 21.80  
NOSTALGIC ONE 7 11 11 11 11 109(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 9% 9.80 14.70  
10  ONE BITE 9 10 9 10 10 1110(servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 121 20.00 93.25  
PUJOL 2 3 11 2½ 2nk 511(henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 50.00 ######  
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.