Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-4   WIN (7/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (7/8/1/4)-(7/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-7 $13.30 $1.30 11%
AQU-6   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.60 $0.60 8%
AQU-7   WIN (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $20.00 $12.00 150%
    EXA (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-4 $31.75 $15.75 98%
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(5/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $32.50 $16.50 103%
AQU-8   DD (5/4/8/1)-(11/8/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-2 $37.00 $17.00 85%
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(5/4/8/1)-(11/8/7/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00  5-1-2 $103.25 $23.25 29%
AQU-10   WIN (2/6/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $25.40 $15.40 154%
    EXA (2/6/10/4/9)-(2/6/10/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-10 $79.00 $59.00 295%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STRAT MO MATIC 5 5 21½ 11½   1½ 1nk (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 39% 1.60 0.95 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELUSIVE RAVEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  HAVE YOU HEARD 2 2 42 43   2½ 2nk (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 3.00 4.80  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
4  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 4 3 31½ 31½   32 34¼ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 ★ 3.45 S
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  LIVEHAPPY 3 1 11½ 21½   43 44½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 35% 1.80 4.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  FIRST TRUMPET 1 4 53½ 54½   510 518 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 9.30  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
 
AQU-2   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BARGAINING POWER 2 2 21½ 21   11½ 13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 75% 0.30 0.60 W
4  GRAND AGAIN 3 1 11½ 11   21½ 23 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 7.60  
7  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 5 4 42½ 32½   35 37½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.30 S
2  COMPROMISER 1 3 32 44½   48½ 410¾ (grossman bruc)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 ★ 8.30  
6  EDITOR'S CHOICE 4 5 59½ 514½   518½ 531¼ (cash russe)RIVERA R 117 20.00 20.70  
SCR  BURTON WAY               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80    
SCR  MOTIVO               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE KENDRIC               (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
 
AQU-3   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT-12:52
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CLUBHOUSE 8 1 74¼ 53   2½ 1nk (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 3.35  
2  KUPP 1 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (nevin mich)RIVERA R 117 3.00 67% 0.50 1.85 P
5  ALTERNATE REALITY 4 8 85¾ 84¼   43½ 31½ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 ★ 3.55 S
8  DEVIL'S CAY 7 2 43 42½   32 41¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5.20  
6  TEN CENT TOWN 5 4 31½ 31½   75 54 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 12.00 10.70  
7  ROCK THE WEEKEND 6 6 64 63   65 64 (shivmangal l)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00 50.50  
3  JOKING WAY 2 5 2½ 2½   54½ 76¼ (romero jesus)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 ★ 15.00  
4  STREET SWAGG 3 7 53 73¼   810 810 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
SCR  PRESIDENT Z               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
SCR  THUNDERIAN               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00    
 
AQU-4   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:133 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHE'S MO BUBBLY 8 8 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 11% 7.70 5.30 W
7  COPPA GIRL 7 7 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 1.40 53% 0.90 1.35 P
3  SWEETIE 3 4 42½ 32 32 34½ 35 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 10.10  
4  FREUDIAN 4 3 63½ 64½ 44 45 46¼ (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 116 12.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
2  PARIS STYLE (FR) 2 2 53 53½ 54 57½ 59 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 4.30  
6  DREAMAWAYSEVEN 6 5 86½ 810 88¾ 610 69½ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 47.25  
5  OCEAN GATEWAY 5 6 74½ 75 76¾ 810½ 714 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 19.70  
1  ICHIBAN 1 1 31½ 42 64¼ 710½ 814 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 10% 9.20 3.50  
 
AQU-5   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NARCISO DALI 9 2 41½ 2nk   2½ 12¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 3.90  
5  NATURAL HARBOR 5 6 1½ 1nk   1½ 22¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 41% 1.50 0.85 P
8  THE COBBLER 7 9 62½ 41½   32½ 36¼ (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00 ★ 18.50 S
9  PINE VALLEY 8 1 2½ 31   45½ 49¾ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 30.00 81.00  
2  BAYOU SPIRIT 1 7 94¾ 94¾   67½ 510 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 16.50  
3  RETURN THE RING 2 3 83¼ 74   79½ 611½ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 7% 14.20 13.30  
1A  BORLETTI (IRE) 4 4 31½ 52   55½ 713½ (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 5% 18.90 13.70  
4  SCREAMING UNCLE 3 5 52 63   910½ 813¾ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 25% 3.00 5.30  
7  COLLECT FROM IKE 6 8 73 84½   810 914 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 21.70  
SCR  SHARPAZ               (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
 
AQU-6   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROCKET AND ROLL 3 5 51¾ 51¾   31 1¼ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 18% 4.50 3.30 W
9  DR. KRAFT 6 1 3.2 3.2   1nk 2¼ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 31.75  
3  WARALO 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3¾ (englehart ch)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 28% 2.60 5.00 S
11  LEFTEMBEHIND 8 7 62¾ 62¾   52 4¾ (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 22.50  
7  LOCKE AND KEY 5 4 72¾ 72¾   72¾ 51¼ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 34% 2.00 2.45  
1  LEO AND ROYAL 1 6 2nk 2nk   62½ 62 (englehart )RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
10  KID BILLY 7 3 41¼ 41¼   41½ 73 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 4.60  
6  AMEDEUS MUSIC 4 8 83¾ 84¼   85¾ 86¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 5.00  
SCR  BAD LARRY               (giddings melan)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman mit)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
SCR  THE REVENGER               (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISARMED 1 1 1½ 1nk   11 1½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 12% 7.50 9.00 W
4  OCEAN'S RESERVE 4 5 43½ 43   41½ 2½ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
9  BEZOS 9 2 32 3½   21 32¾ (fisher linda)LUZZI J 120 50.00 53.25  
3  SHIPSATIONAL 3 4 99¼ 912   67 43¾ (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 21.70  
8  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 8 6 67½ 77½   56½ 54 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 14% 6.40 9.80  
6  BEST BET 6 3 2½ 2nk   31½ 64¾ (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★ 12.50  
7  JUST CALL RAY 7 7 88¼ 67   77¼ 75¼ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5.90  
2  LEDDY 2 9 78 811½   88¾ 88¾ (goberd)RUIZ GARCIA 115 50.00 70.75  
5  SAVINGS RATE 5 8 53½ 54   910¾ 916¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.40  
 
AQU-8   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:124     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MY SHEA D LADY 2 8 62¼ 31½   1½ 12½ (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 7% 13.40 2.75 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
8  WALK WITH ME 8 4 51¾ 84½   84¼ 22½ (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 25% 2.90 9.60 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIGHT BE by POSSE)
9  ELITE STATUS (GB) 9 6 41½ 41½   3½ 33¼ (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 20.30  
  (by BIG BROWN out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  SUN AND WIND 12 3 2nk 21   2½ 43¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 40.75  
  (by FREUD out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
1  MISS LAO 1 7 105 107   96¾ 54 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 18.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of MISS NANCY by ARCH)
10  ARTEMIS GIRL 10 10 115 63½   63½ 66¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 8.50  
  (by SOLOMINI out of DANCING ONTHEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
6  MY PERFECT MISTAKE 6 1 31 52½   73¾ 76¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6% 14.70 16.90  
  (by FREUD out of TO THE NINES by SUPER SAVER)
11  SOLOSHOT 11 5 1nk 11   41½ 87 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 27% 2.70 2.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
7  BOOK OF WISDOM 7 2 94¾ 117¼   53 98½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.70 4.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
3  E STORMY 3 9 72¾ 74   106¾ 109¼ (rice linda)RIVERA R 118 20.00 30.25  
  (by LAOBAN out of E STORM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  HOLDER CLOSE 4 11 128½ 1211¾   1211¾ 1115 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 118 50.00 77.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
5  TOUR JETE 5 12 84¾ 95   119¾ 1219¾ (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 13.00  
  (by WAR DANCER out of DANCING BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
AQU-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONIO OF VENICE 1 2 31½ 31   31 1¾ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 6.30  
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
12  BRICK AMBUSH 11 6 52½ 41½   2nk 2¾ (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 24% 3.20 3.70 DQ↓12
  (by LAOBAN out of STEVE'S PHILLY by TALE OF EKATI)
3  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS 3 1 11 1½   1nk 32¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 14.60  
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
7  THE BIG TORPEDO 7 4 42 51½   55 43¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 21% 3.80 6.50 S
  (by BIG BROWN out of U. S. S. O'BRIEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  LIBERTY CENTRAL 6 11 1212 129¾   107½ 53½ (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 11% 7.90 28.75  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
9  B D SAINTS 8 12 118½ 107¼   75¼ 64½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 21% 3.70 1.75  
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
5  PROFITABILITY 5 8 108½ 97¼   97 75¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 46.75  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of VICKI T by STREET SENSE)
4  KING FREUD 4 3 74 74¾   65¼ 87¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 28.50  
  (by FREUD out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  SOLO IN PARIS 9 10 98 85¼   44½ 99 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 15.00 27.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of PEERESS by AMERICAIN)
13  PALACE BOSS 12 7 63½ 64½   86¾ 1011 (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 51.75  
  (by LAOBAN out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
2  SOLO EMPIRE 2 9 86½ 118¼   1217½ 1132 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 20.00 54.50  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
11  SOLO'S FURY 10 5 21 2½   1110½ 1259 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of LITERARY LADY by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  KAZ' MEGA BANK               (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  WO HOP               (mott willia)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
AQU-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KAYMUS 4 2 2½ 11½   12 1½ (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 W
10  MANGIA 8 3 31½ 31½   22 2½ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 5% 18.20 3.35 P
1  MEL'S ANGEL 1 8 1112½ 1115½   711 37½ (giddings melan)LUZZI J 119 20.00 32.00  
9  NIGERIA 7 11 87½ 67½   59 48¼ (lakeman an)RIVERA R 114 30.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
12  NO LAYUPS 10 10 76 46   48 58¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5.90  
13  SIX O THREE 11 9 98 911   911½ 611¼ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 38.75  
5  AWESOME GLO 5 5 55½ 78½   811½ 712 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 34.50  
11  KHALI'S STORM 9 6 65½ 56½   69½ 814¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 15.40  
3  DACTILOGRAFA 3 7 108½ 1013½   1114¼ 915 (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00 35.75  
2  SOL EMPERATRIZ 2 1 1½ 21½   37 1016½ (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 50% 1.00 2.05  
6  HIGH TRACK 6 4 45 89   1014 1117 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 19% 4.40 3.70  
SCR  GOING FOR GLORY               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.