Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
AQU-2   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
AQU-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 0 $8.70  
AQU-4   Win (7/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
AQU-5   Win (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $9.80  
AQU-6   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
AQU-7   Win (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 12.00
AQU-8   Win (11/8/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
AQU-9   Win (12/9/7/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $14.60  
AQU-10   Win (2/6/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $25.40 $25.40 15.40

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAT MO MATIC 5 5 2 1   1½ 1nk (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 39% 1.60 0.95 W
HAVE YOU HEARD 2 2 42 43   2½ 2nk (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 3.00 4.80  
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 4 3 3 3   32 3 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 3.45 S
LIVEHAPPY 3 1 1 2   43 4 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 35% 1.80 4.20  
FIRST TRUMPET 1 4 5 5   510 518 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 9.30  
 
AQU-2   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARGAINING POWER 2 2 2 21   1 13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 75% 0.30 0.60 W
GRAND AGAIN 3 1 1 11   2 23 (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 7.60  
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 5 4 4 3   35 3 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.30 S
COMPROMISER 1 3 32 4   4 410¾ (grossman bruce )SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 8.30  
EDITOR'S CHOICE 4 5 5 514½   518½ 531¼ (cash russell)RIVERA R 117 20.00 20.70  
SCR  BURTON WAY               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80    
SCR  MOTIVO               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE KENDRIC               (breed j)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
 
AQU-3   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT-12:52
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE 8 1 7 53   2½ 1nk (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 3.35  
KUPP 1 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (nevin michel)RIVERA R 117 3.00 67% 0.50 1.85 P
ALTERNATE REALITY 4 8 8 8   4 3 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 3.55 S
DEVIL'S CAY 7 2 43 4   32 4 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5.20  
TEN CENT TOWN 5 4 3 3   75 54 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 12.00 10.70  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 6 6 64 63   65 64 (shivmangal lol)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00 50.50  
JOKING WAY 2 5 2½ 2½   5 7 (romero jesus)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 15.00  
STREET SWAGG 3 7 53 7   810 810 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
SCR  PRESIDENT Z               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
SCR  THUNDERIAN               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00    
 
AQU-4   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:133 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MO BUBBLY 8 8 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 11% 7.70 5.30 W
COPPA GIRL 7 7 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 1.40 53% 0.90 1.35 P
SWEETIE 3 4 4 32 32 3 35 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 10.10  
FREUDIAN 4 3 6 6 44 45 4 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 116 12.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
PARIS STYLE (FR) 2 2 53 5 54 5 59 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 4.30  
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 6 5 8 810 8 610 6 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 47.25  
OCEAN GATEWAY 5 6 7 75 7 810½ 714 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 19.70  
ICHIBAN 1 1 3 42 6 710½ 814 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 10% 9.20 3.50  
 
AQU-5   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NARCISO DALI 9 2 4 2nk   2½ 1 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 3.90  
NATURAL HARBOR 5 6 1½ 1nk   1½ 2 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 41% 1.50 0.85 P
THE COBBLER 7 9 6 4   3 3 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00 18.50 S
PINE VALLEY 8 1 2½ 31   4 4 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 30.00 81.00  
BAYOU SPIRIT 1 7 9 9   6 510 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 16.50  
RETURN THE RING 2 3 8 74   7 611½ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 7% 14.20 13.30  
1A  BORLETTI (IRE) 4 4 3 52   5 713½ (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 5% 18.90 13.70  
SCREAMING UNCLE 3 5 52 63   910½ 813¾ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 25% 3.00 5.30  
COLLECT FROM IKE 6 8 73 8   810 914 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 21.70  
SCR  SHARPAZ               (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
 
AQU-6   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET AND ROLL 3 5 5 5   31 1¼ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 18% 4.50 3.30 W
DR. KRAFT 6 1 3.2 3.2   1nk 2¼ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 31.75  
WARALO 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3¾ (englehart chri)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 28% 2.60 5.00 S
11  LEFTEMBEHIND 8 7 6 6   52 4¾ (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 22.50  
LOCKE AND KEY 5 4 7 7   7 5 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 34% 2.00 2.45  
LEO AND ROYAL 1 6 2nk 2nk   6 62 (englehart je)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
10  KID BILLY 7 3 4 4   4 73 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 4.60  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 4 8 8 8   8 8 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 5.00  
SCR  BAD LARRY               (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
SCR  THE REVENGER               (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED 1 1 1½ 1nk   11 1½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 12% 7.50 9.00 W
OCEAN'S RESERVE 4 5 4 43   4 2½ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.40 P
BEZOS 9 2 32 3½   21 3 (fisher linda)LUZZI J 120 50.00 53.25  
SHIPSATIONAL 3 4 9 912   67 4 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 21.70  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 8 6 6 7   5 54 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 14% 6.40 9.80  
BEST BET 6 3 2½ 2nk   3 6 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 12.50  
JUST CALL RAY 7 7 8 67   7 7 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5.90  
LEDDY 2 9 78 811½   8 8 (goberdha)RUIZ GARCIA 115 50.00 70.75  
SAVINGS RATE 5 8 5 54   910¾ 916¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.40  
 
AQU-8   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:124     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SHEA D LADY 2 8 6 3   1½ 1 (david a)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 7% 13.40 2.75 W
WALK WITH ME 8 4 5 8   8 2 (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 25% 2.90 9.60 P
ELITE STATUS (GB) 9 6 4 4   3½ 3 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 20.30  
12  SUN AND WIND 12 3 2nk 21   2½ 4 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 40.75  
MISS LAO 1 7 105 107   9 54 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 18.10  
10  ARTEMIS GIRL 10 10 115 6   6 6 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 8.50  
MY PERFECT MISTAKE 6 1 31 5   7 7 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6% 14.70 16.90  
11  SOLOSHOT 11 5 1nk 11   4 87 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 27% 2.70 2.80  
BOOK OF WISDOM 7 2 9 11   53 9 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.70 4.80  
E STORMY 3 9 7 74   10 10 (rice linda)RIVERA R 118 20.00 30.25  
HOLDER CLOSE 4 11 12 1211¾   1211¾ 1115 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 118 50.00 77.75  
TOUR JETE 5 12 8 95   11 1219¾ (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 13.00  
 
AQU-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONIO OF VENICE 1 2 3 31   31 1¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 6.30  
12  BRICK AMBUSH 11 6 5 4   2nk 2¾ (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 24% 3.20 3.70 DQ↓12
HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS 3 1 11 1½   1nk 3 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 14.60  
THE BIG TORPEDO 7 4 42 5   55 4 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 21% 3.80 6.50 S
LIBERTY CENTRAL 6 11 1212 12   10 5 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 11% 7.90 28.75  
B D SAINTS 8 12 11 10   7 6 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 21% 3.70 1.75  
PROFITABILITY 5 8 10 9   97 7 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 46.75  
KING FREUD 4 3 74 7   6 8 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 28.50  
10  SOLO IN PARIS 9 10 98 8   4 99 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 15.00 27.75  
13  PALACE BOSS 12 7 6 6   8 1011 (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 51.75  
SOLO EMPIRE 2 9 8 11   1217½ 1132 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 20.00 54.50  
11  SOLO'S FURY 10 5 21 2½   1110½ 1259 (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
SCR  KAZ' MEGA BANK               (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  WO HOP               (mott william )MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
 
AQU-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYMUS 4 2 2½ 1   12 1½ (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 W
10  MANGIA 8 3 3 3   22 2½ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 5% 18.20 3.35 P
MEL'S ANGEL 1 8 1112½ 1115½   711 3 (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 119 20.00 32.00  
NIGERIA 7 11 8 6   59 4 (lakeman andr)RIVERA R 114 30.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
12  NO LAYUPS 10 10 76 46   48 5 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5.90  
13  SIX O THREE 11 9 98 911   911½ 611¼ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 38.75  
AWESOME GLO 5 5 5 7   811½ 712 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 34.50  
11  KHALI'S STORM 9 6 6 5   6 814¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 15.40  
DACTILOGRAFA 3 7 10 1013½   1114¼ 915 (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00 35.75  
SOL EMPERATRIZ 2 1 1½ 2   37 1016½ (d'angelo jose )CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 50% 1.00 2.05  
HIGH TRACK 6 4 45 89   1014 1117 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 19% 4.40 3.70  
SCR  GOING FOR GLORY               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.