Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-2   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (7/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (11/8/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (12/9/7/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (2/6/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST TRUMPET Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul09   (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
HAVE YOU HEARD Nov09 Oct21       (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 3.00    
LIVEHAPPY Nov17 Oct01       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Nov04 Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 Jul09 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50    
STRAT MO MATIC         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-2   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE KENDRIC Nov22 Nov06 Oct16     (breed j)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
COMPROMISER Dec07 Jul28 Jun30 Jun09   (grossman bruce )SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00    
BARGAINING POWER Dec03 Oct05 Aug17 Oct09 Sep10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 75% 0.30    
GRAND AGAIN Nov25 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Apr29 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00    
SCR  BURTON WAY Nov11 Oct15 Aug17 Jul30 Jun23 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80    
EDITOR'S CHOICE Jul14 Jun03 May21 Nov13 Sep30 (cash russell)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Nov17 Oct21 Sep22 Aug30 Aug06 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOTIVO Nov09 Oct05 Aug26 Jul21 May25 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
 
AQU-3   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT-12:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRESIDENT Z Nov26 Nov15 Aug13 Jul23 Sep11 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
SCR  THUNDERIAN Dec06 Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00    
KUPP Nov02 Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 Jul14 (nevin michel)RIVERA R 117 3.00 67% 0.50    
JOKING WAY Nov02 Oct13 Aug25 Jun15 Apr29 (romero jesus)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
STREET SWAGG Nov26 Nov02 Oct08 Aug25 Jul28 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALTERNATE REALITY Nov14 Oct08 Sep21 Aug25 Jul01 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50    
TEN CENT TOWN Dec01 Oct15 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Dec10 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 Aug10 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
DEVIL'S CAY Nov11 Oct21 Oct08 Jul28 Jul07 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
CLUBHOUSE Nov09 Oct21 Sep15 Aug17 Aug09 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICHIBAN Nov25 Oct29 Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 10% 9.20    
PARIS STYLE (FR) Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Aug30 Aug18 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
SWEETIE Oct29 Sep14 Jul03 Jun15 May11 (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
FREUDIAN Nov09 Sep22 Aug31 Aug12 Jun17 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
OCEAN GATEWAY Jul13 Jun02 Apr30 Mar26 Feb12 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
DREAMAWAYSEVEN Nov12 Sep24 Jul04 Apr28 Mar30 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
COPPA GIRL Nov26 Sep04 Aug09 Jul15 Jun10 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
SHE'S MO BUBBLY Nov12 Sep22 Aug30 Jul29 Jun03 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 11% 7.70    
 
AQU-5   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BORLETTI (IRE) Nov25 Oct13 Sep04     (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE Dec09 Jan21 Nov20 Aug25 Jun18 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
BAYOU SPIRIT Oct27 Aug11 Jul14 May27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
RETURN THE RING Nov24 Aug13 Jul08 Jul15   (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCREAMING UNCLE Nov24 Oct13 Aug31 Aug11 Jul02 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
NATURAL HARBOR Nov03 Sep25 Feb25 Dec16 Nov03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  SHARPAZ Dec07 Nov10 Jun25 May29 Dec08 (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Sep04 Jul02 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
THE COBBLER Nov26 Nov11 Oct20 Aug17 Mar18 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
PINE VALLEY Nov10 Nov02 Sep28 Sep11 Sep01 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 30.00    
10  NARCISO DALI Nov02 Oct04 Aug30 Aug13 Jan07 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
 
AQU-6   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO AND ROYAL Nov18 Oct23 Oct09 Sep12 Aug27 (englehart je)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Nov16 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul28 (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
WARALO Nov01 Sep19 Aug29 Jul26 Jul03 (englehart chri)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BAD LARRY Nov17 Oct15 Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
ROCKET AND ROLL Nov16 Oct01 Aug27 Jan14 Dec16 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
AMEDEUS MUSIC Oct20 Sep24 Aug01 Jul08 May29 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
LOCKE AND KEY Nov10 Oct01 Aug31 Aug17 Jul07 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  THE REVENGER Oct28 Apr14 Mar18 Jan26 Dec29 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
DR. KRAFT Dec01 Aug15 Jun26 May14 Apr22 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
10  KID BILLY Nov18 Dec31       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
11  LEFTEMBEHIND Nov16 Aug31 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
 
AQU-7   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED Oct29 Sep28 Sep01 Jul28 Jun24 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
LEDDY Nov12 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (goberdhan chand)OLVER MADISON 115 50.00    
SHIPSATIONAL Jul01 Jun10 Apr14 Mar11 Feb11 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Dec02 Oct29 Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SAVINGS RATE Nov12         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
BEST BET Jun19 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
JUST CALL RAY Nov19 Nov04 Oct22 Sep21 Aug25 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
KUNSHAN BRIDGE Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Sep16 Aug31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
BEZOS Nov04 Oct22 Sep16 Jul22 Jul01 (fisher linda)LUZZI J 120 50.00    
 
AQU-8   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LAO Oct22         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
MY SHEA D LADY Nov18 Sep24 Aug27 Jul01   (david a)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 7% 13.40    
E STORMY         (rice lin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
HOLDER CLOSE Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 Aug24   (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 118 50.00    
TOUR JETE Nov10         (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
MY PERFECT MISTAKE Nov10         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
BOOK OF WISDOM Oct21 Sep28 Aug10 Jul14   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
WALK WITH ME Nov09         (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 25% 2.90    
ELITE STATUS (GB)         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
10  ARTEMIS GIRL Nov17 Nov02       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
11  SOLOSHOT Nov18 Sep25 Aug27     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
12  SUN AND WIND Oct20 Sep15 Aug24 Jul19 Jun23 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
 
AQU-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONIO OF VENICE Sep25 Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 May12 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SOLO EMPIRE Dec02         (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
KING FREUD Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Aug24   (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
PROFITABILITY Nov20 Oct18       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
LIBERTY CENTRAL Dec02 Nov04       (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
THE BIG TORPEDO Nov12         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  WO HOP         (mott william )MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
B D SAINTS Oct29 Oct04 Sep17 Aug23 Aug03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
10  SOLO IN PARIS Nov30 Nov02 Oct04     (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
11  SOLO'S FURY Oct29 Oct05 Sep04     (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  BRICK AMBUSH Nov17 Oct05       (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
13  PALACE BOSS         (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  KAZ' MEGA BANK         (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00    
 
AQU-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEL'S ANGEL Nov12 Oct20 Oct10 Jul26   (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SOL EMPERATRIZ Oct01         (d'angelo jose )CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
DACTILOGRAFA Nov19         (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00    
KAYMUS         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME GLO Oct08 Sep01       (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
HIGH TRACK Nov19         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  GOING FOR GLORY Dec03 Nov09 Oct21     (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
NIGERIA         (lakeman andr)RIVERA R 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MANGIA Nov09         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 5% 18.20    
11  KHALI'S STORM Aug27         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
12  NO LAYUPS Nov02         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
13  SIX O THREE Dec03         (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET Sep15 Aug24       ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.