The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (4/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
PEN-2   Win (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
PEN-3   Win (1/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $11.20 -8.00
PEN-4   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.00 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $15.20 $15.20 9.20
PEN-6   Win (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
PEN-7   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IF WE GET LUCKY 8 1 12½ 12   13½ 12 (ramirez ricardo)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 25% 3.00 2.80 W
2  BAYOU SHACK 2 4 44 33   34½ 22 (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 12% 7.60 1.20 P
6  ASHAAB 6 6 55 43½   44½ 32¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.70 4.30 S
5  SPENDOLINI 5 3 22½ 22   23½ 44¼ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 10.60  
4  RAGING BEAR 4 7 66 68½   68½ 58 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 119 3.50 30% 2.40 7.20  
3  LUCKY DUDE 3 8 87¼ 79½   79½ 69 (krebs steven)NUNEZ Y 120 10.00 13.00  
7  FREEDOM'S START 7 2 34 55½   58 79¾ (albright g)DAVIS A 120 20.00 90.80  
1  KEYSTONE HANK 1 5 77 811½   813 816½ (morrell r)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 36.40  
 
PEN-2   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:123 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BESTSUGARDADDYEVER 6 5 44½ 43 31½ 11 14¼ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50 29% 2.40 1.30 W
1  EGOT A POKER FACE 1 4 32 31 42 42½ 24¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 42% 1.40 1.80 P
8  WILD VINE 5 1 11 1nk 2nk 31 34½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.90 S
5  THUNDERIAN 2 3 21 2nk 1nk 21 44¾ (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50 2.50  
7  GOOSE HUNTER 4 2 65 66 69½ 610 511½ (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00 35.50  
6  PREDOMINATE 3 6 54½ 54 58½ 59 611¾ (krebs steven)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 18.00  
SCR  BROTHER BRAD               (alvarado di)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI CANDY               (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON               (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   12/06/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
1:484         1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AMOUNT 3 10 1012¾ 99½ 67½ 31½ 12½ (castillo mich)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 ★ 4.60  
2  NO MORE TALK 2 2 53 43½ 43 21 22½ (sullivan elliot)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.20 P
1  WENTZ 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 36 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00 S
9  GUSHING OIL 9 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 43½ 410½ (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 49.10  
5  JUST NOD AND SMILE 5 8 99¾ 89 78½ 711½ 514½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 21.80  
6  BLOOD MOON 6 6 65 67 89½ 611 619¼ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00 21.20  
10  C C'S WARRIOR 10 4 41½ 32 31½ 59½ 723¾ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 6% 15.40 7.50  
4  DIGGERS DIAMOND 4 7 89½ 1010 1013 813½ 824¼ (geist da)SMITH DANIEL 119 50.00 ######  
8  SNEADS 8 9 76 77 912½ 1016 925½ (murphy tim)DAVIS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.30  
7  ARISTOCAT 7 3 31½ 55 56½ 915 1027¾ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 3.80  
 
PEN-4   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:121 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEE JAY 6 1 11 11½ 11½ 12 1¾ (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 4.50  
6  BOSS LOGIC 5 2 21 21½ 21½ 22 2¾ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 53% 0.90 1.20 P
1  PRINCE OF RAIN 1 4 42 33 43½ 36 36 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
3  BUSINESS MODEL 3 6 53½ 54½ 54½ 46½ 47½ (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 8.90  
5  GRAND WISER 4 5 32 43 33 56½ 59¼ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80 2.30  
2  WISH FOR PEACE 2 3 66 68½ 68½ 610 611¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 24.30  
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50    
 
PEN-5   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:281     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FILTERED LIGHT 6 5 31 21 2nk 1½ 12¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 13% 6.80 6.60 W
1  DRY HUMOR 1 6 52 41¼ 1nk 2½ 22¼ (alvarado di)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 1.50 51% 1.00 0.40 P
2  FOREVER FIFI 2 3 62½ 64¼ 64¾ 67 35 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 16% 5.40 4.50 S
5  OMIKAMI 5 4 42 51¾ 51¾ 35½ 45¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 6.90  
4  CHARLIZE CHUB 4 2 1½ 11 31 46 514 (wyner harold)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 18.90  
3  BIG SIS NIC 3 1 2½ 31 41¼ 56 616¼ (murtough step)INIRIO J 121 6.00 43.40  
 
PEN-6   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHUCK ADAMS 7 1 1nk 11½   12½ 16¼ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 1.40 42% 1.40 3.00 W
1  FAST LEARNER 1 3 2nk 21½   22½ 26¼ (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60 3.50  
3  WATCH THE TRAMCAR 3 7 61¾ 42   33½ 38¼ (boniface c)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 3.40  
4  IN THE AIR 4 4 51¾ 32   45½ 411¼ (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 9% 10.20 2.60  
6  MR. NORMANDY 6 6 74¼ 65   67½ 513¼ (albright g)DAVIS A 122 15.00 32.00  
5  RUMORS TO BLAME 5 5 41¼ 53½   57½ 618 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 15% 5.50 5.60  
2  POLIE 2 2 3.2 75½   710 723¾ (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 8.00 16.80  
 
PEN-7   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHUCKA MOON 3 2 41½ 31   1½ 1¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 41% 1.50 0.80 W
7  NEW JERSEY HEIST 7 4 31 2nk   2½ 2¼ (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00 6.20  
2  BACK EAST 2 6 53½ 52¾   32½ 32 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.50 13.60  
1  BEJUCO 1 5 64 65¼   56 48¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 17% 5.00 5.80  
4  Z MYSTIQUE 4 1 1½ 41¼   66 512¼ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
6  GEM DANCER 6 3 2½ 1nk   43½ 612¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 11.40  
5  PRALINESALLSHOOKUP 5 7 76 78¼   78 713½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 123 12.00 87.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.