Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/6)-(1/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/6)-(1/9/8)-(1/2/10/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/8)-(1/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/8)-(1/9/8)-(1/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/8)-(1/2/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8)-(1/2/10/8)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/8)-(1/2/10/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/8)-(1/2/10/3/8)-(1/2/10/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/10/8)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/10/8)-(6/5/1)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/2/6)-(7/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(7/5/4)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYSTONE HANK Oct18 Aug02 Jun05 May23 Oct20 (morrell justin )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
2  BAYOU SHACK Nov16 Oct07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
3  LUCKY DUDE Nov20 Oct19 Sep10 Aug20 Jul28 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
4  RAGING BEAR Oct16 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  SPENDOLINI Nov01 Oct02 Sep21 Jul24 Oct25 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00    
6  ASHAAB Nov10 Oct26 Sep01 Jul29 Jun16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
7  FREEDOM'S START Nov16 Jun09 May18 Apr28 Mar22 (albright )VARGAS L 120 20.00    
8  IF WE GET LUCKY Nov08 Oct18 Sep25 Sep07 Jul13 (ramirez ricar)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-2   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGOT A POKER FACE Nov22 Nov08 Sep25 Aug18 Jun09 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Nov10 Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI CANDY Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Aug31 Aug23 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  BROTHER BRAD Nov04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug03 May31 (alvarado )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
5  THUNDERIAN Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50    
6  PREDOMINATE Nov02 Oct24 Oct04 Sep04 Aug18 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
7  GOOSE HUNTER Nov10 Oct23 Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00    
8  WILD VINE Nov17 Nov03 Sep15 Feb08 Dec21 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BESTSUGARDADDYEVER Oct17 Sep21 Sep02 Oct22 Sep01 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-3   12/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WENTZ Sep15 Dec21 Nov22 Sep19 Aug24 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  NO MORE TALK Nov19 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug30 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  AMOUNT Nov01 Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 (castillo mi)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 ★    
4  DIGGERS DIAMOND Nov16 Nov02 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 (geist )SMITH DANIEL 119 50.00    
5  JUST NOD AND SMILE Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 May17 May02 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
6  BLOOD MOON Nov21 Nov13 Oct30 Sep14 Aug30 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
7  ARISTOCAT Nov01 Sep21 Sep01 Aug08 Jul27 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00    
8  SNEADS Nov21 Nov13 Oct25 Oct17 Oct03 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GUSHING OIL Nov16 Aug16 Jul13 Jun20 May26 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
10  C C'S WARRIOR Nov15 Oct25 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 6% 15.40    
 
PEN-4   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF RAIN Oct24 Jun18 May22 Apr24 Mar27 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WISH FOR PEACE Nov22 Oct26 Aug03 Jul08 Jun28 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
3  BUSINESS MODEL Nov12 Oct28 Oct12 Sep30 Aug13 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY Nov22 Nov08 Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50    
5  GRAND WISER Nov08 Oct06 Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  BOSS LOGIC Nov03 Oct05 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
7  DEE JAY Nov12 Sep23 Aug18 Aug05 Jul20 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRY HUMOR Sep21 Aug23 Jul06 Feb01 Jan04 (alvarado )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 1.50 51% 1.00    
2  FOREVER FIFI Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 Apr21 Mar30 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
3  BIG SIS NIC Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug24 Jul21 (murtough st)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
4  CHARLIZE CHUB Nov07 Oct25 Oct06 Sep20 Aug20 (wyner haro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00    
5  OMIKAMI Nov08 Oct11 Jun20 May29 Apr20 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
6  FILTERED LIGHT Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 Aug22 Jul12 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
PEN-6   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LEARNER Nov02         (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60    
2  POLIE Nov15 Nov03 Oct10 Sep27 Aug25 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
3  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Sep22         (boniface kev)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
4  IN THE AIR Nov11 Oct10       (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 9% 10.20    
5  RUMORS TO BLAME Nov10         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  MR. NORMANDY Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 May23   (albright )VARGAS L 122 15.00    
7  CHUCK ADAMS Nov15 Nov03       (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-7   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEJUCO Nov22 Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 Aug23 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  BACK EAST Nov22 Nov08 Aug16 Jul11 May24 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.50    
3  CHUCKA MOON Feb10 Jan20 Nov18 Oct29 Sep29 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  Z MYSTIQUE Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct13 Sep15 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  PRALINESALLSHOOKUP Nov22 Oct27 Sep22 Sep01   (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
6  GEM DANCER Nov08 Oct25 Sep13 Aug24 Jun03 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
7  NEW JERSEY HEIST Nov02 Oct04 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.