The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
PEN-2   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 4.40
PEN-3   Win (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $42.80 -6.00
PEN-4   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
PEN-5   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $10.00 -6.00
PEN-6   Win (2/7/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -6.40
PEN-7   Win (1/9/10/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40
PEN-8   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHABULOUS PHOEBE 4 7 6 6   21 1(kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 15% 5.80 1.20 W
MARY'S REWARD 2 3 1 11   11 2(crane clovis)CORA D 121 3.50 25% 3.10 4.20 P
UNIVERSAL DESIGN 5 6 7 52   335 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00 22% 3.50 6.60 S
HURRICANE BON 3 4 2 21   44 4(lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 6.50  
ZIFFY BUG 1 5 42 4   54 59 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 15.00  
LUCY FIELDS 7 1 3 3   68 617 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 6.20  
ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU 6 2 5 7   712 717¾ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 7.90  
SCR  WARRIOR BERNICE               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-2   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
1:114         1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 1 1 11 1   13 1¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.10 4.20 W
U U STAR 2 4 21 4   23 2¼ (perez a)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.50 19% 4.30 2.20 P
BEYOND THE BEND 4 2 31 2   33 3(george a)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 25% 3.00 1.90 S
FEDERAL CASE 5 5 5 5   54(kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 12.90  
HASHTAG WINNING 3 6 6 66   653 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 4.90  
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 6 3 4 3   45 6(brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00 7.10  
SCR  ANNAMATED MOON               (smith th)SMITH DANIEL 115 5.00    
SCR  HINDENBURG               (brooks e)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00    
 
PEN-3   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ABBY'S SPIRIT 7 6 7 5   21 1(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 20.40  
BEJUCO 1 5 1½ 1nk   11 2(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 3.00 60% 0.70 0.50 P
BACK EAST 5 3 41 4¾   32 3(kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00 7.00  
PRALINESALLSHOOKUP 6 4 52 2nk   42 4(stites flint )INIRIO J 123 20.00 6% 17.10 55.00  
BOB'S OUR UNCLE 4 2 2½ 3.2   54 57 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 17.70  
MOMENT AT SEA 2 1 31 6   66(beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 2.70  
OUT OF STOCK 3 7 63 7   710¾ 718¼ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 9% 10.00 12.90  
SCR  BEST EVER               (lucas bonnie)CORA D 123 10.00    
SCR  GURT'S WARRIOR               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
SCR  SYLVIA I AM               (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
 
PEN-4   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SPELL 2 1 4 31   1nk 1(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 19% 4.30 2.40 W
VANISHING FAITH 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 2(flores-coba )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00 4.50  
SONG SAVER 1 4 1½ 2nk   31 3(crook-demasi kat)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 54% 0.80 1.00 S
HELLO GRACIE 4 2 32 45   48 413½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.20  
SCR  BLAME CATALAYA               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 5.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM               (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE               (ramirez silvi)RAMOS C 120 8.00    
SCR  WICKED T               (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Chocolate Town Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:12 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGHING BOY 7 3 2 2 2nk 11 11 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00 4.00  
EGOT A POKER FACE 1 6 1 1 1nk 21 21 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 5.20  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 3 2 68 57 45 35 3(zalalas michael)TORRES JOMAR 116 12.00 41.50  
WISH FOR PEACE 2 1 7 710 69 47 4(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 118 20.00 4.40  
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 5 4 4 33 3 57 5(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 35% 1.80 1.60  
TRA LAD 4 7 32 4 58 611 612 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 44% 1.30 4.90  
WILL E SUTTON 6 5 53 6 710 716 722¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
 
PEN-6   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Susquehanna Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC CREED 4 4 2½ 2½ 21 11 1(hawthorne bo)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 11% 8.00 0.80 W
KNICKERSINATWIST 7 1 1½ 1½ 11 21 2(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 26% 2.80 5.10 P
DOCTOR ABBIE 3 3 43 54 5 36 3(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00 8.80  
SWAN POINT 5 10 97 87 6 449 (arnold pamela)CORA D 118 10.00 36.60  
FOXY JUNIOR 1 7 75 7 7 58 510½ (arnold pamela)INIRIO J 118 8.00 29.20  
SOFIA'S SECRET 2 8 109 1011½ 810½ 812 611¼ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50 27% 2.80 4.50  
KILIMANJARA 8 6 6 44 35 6713 (arnold pamela)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00 35.00  
BELLA PRIMA 9 5 3 3 46 79 814½ (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 86.30  
WILL OR WON'T 6 2 54 66 911½ 916 924¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 8% 11.90 8.40  
10  CHARM ALARM 10 9 8 9 1012½ 1017 1030¾ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 18.00 31.70  
 
PEN-7   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Shamrock Rose Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMELINA 1 1 1 1   18 1(reid robert )SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 23% 3.40 2.30 W
BACK FORTY 3 5 6 3   39 2(salvaggio michae)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00 11% 7.80 20.30 P
11  CHUBLIN 9 2 3 2   28 3(robb j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 4.50 6.20  
12  PAULA'S SURPRISE 10 3 2 43   510½ 412½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00 22.70  
10  PLUS SIZED COURAGE 8 8 8 5   410½ 512¾ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 13% 6.60 1.40  
DEWEY DOIT 7 6 7 10   713½ 614½ (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 14% 6.10 4.40  
LADY AHAVA 4 10 1010¾ 9   813¾ 715 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 12.00 13% 6.70 41.40  
JODY'S RUBY 6 7 5 6   612½ 816½ (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 124 12.00 26.50  
FACE IT ALONE 2 4 44 89   913¾ 918 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00 75.60  
NORMANDY LIFE 5 9 9 78   1014¼ 1022¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 30.00 73.20  
SCR  FIRST FORAY               (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 118 15.00    
SCR  ROCK N REWARD               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00    
 
PEN-8   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S DREAM 7 2 58 44   42 1hd (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 17% 5.00 0.70 W
MOONSAFE 5 4 3 3   2nk 2hd (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6.80  
POSITIVE FORCE 1 1 1 1   1nk 31 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 3.50 41% 1.50 2.70 S
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT 6 3 2 2   34(martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 6.50  
EARLY FROST 2 5 68 57   55(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 50.00  
WILL TAKE ROSES 4 6 7 67   66 6(bobadilla j)VARGAS L 120 12.00 27.60  
BILLIEANNE 3 7 4 7   7712¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 12% 7.70 13.60  
SCR  AMEN SYLVIA               (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.