Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $25.00 $1.00 4%
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-3-6 $38.50 $14.50 60%
PEN-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $38.20 $26.20 218%
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4-6 $39.90 $33.90 565%
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(6/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $37.20 $13.20 55%
PEN-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.80 $2.80 70%
PEN-7   EXA (1/9/10/5/4)-(1/9/10/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-4 $96.40 $56.40 141%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHABULOUS PHOEBE 4 7 6 6   21 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 15% 5.80 1.20 W
MARY'S REWARD 2 3 1 11   11 2 (crane clovis)CORA D 121 3.50 25% 3.10 4.20 P
UNIVERSAL DESIGN 5 6 7 52   3 35 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00 22% 3.50 6.60 S
HURRICANE BON 3 4 2 21   44 4 (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 6.50  
ZIFFY BUG 1 5 42 4   54 59 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 15.00  
LUCY FIELDS 7 1 3 3   68 617 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 6.20  
ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU 6 2 5 7   712 717¾ (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 7.90  
SCR  WARRIOR BERNICE               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-2   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
1:114         1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 1 1 11 1   13 1¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.10 4.20 W
U U STAR 2 4 21 4   23 2¼ (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.50 19% 4.30 2.20 P
BEYOND THE BEND 4 2 31 2   33 3 (george a)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 25% 3.00 1.90 S
FEDERAL CASE 5 5 5 5   5 4 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 12.90  
HASHTAG WINNING 3 6 6 66   6 53 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 4.90  
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 6 3 4 3   45 6 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00 7.10  
SCR  ANNAMATED MOON               (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 5.00    
SCR  HINDENBURG               (brooks gerald)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00    
 
PEN-3   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ABBY'S SPIRIT 7 6 7 5   21 1 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 20.40  
BEJUCO 1 5 1½ 1nk   11 2 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 3.00 60% 0.70 0.50 P
BACK EAST 5 3 41 4¾   32 3 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00 7.00  
PRALINESALLSHOOKUP 6 4 52 2nk   42 4 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 20.00 6% 17.10 55.00  
BOB'S OUR UNCLE 4 2 2½ 3.2   54 57 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 17.70  
MOMENT AT SEA 2 1 31 6   6 6 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 2.70  
OUT OF STOCK 3 7 63 7   710¾ 718¼ (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 9% 10.00 12.90  
SCR  BEST EVER               (lucas bonnie)CORA D 123 10.00    
SCR  GURT'S WARRIOR               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
SCR  SYLVIA I AM               (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
 
PEN-4   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SPELL 2 1 4 31   1nk 1 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 19% 4.30 2.40 W
VANISHING FAITH 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 2 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00 4.50  
SONG SAVER 1 4 1½ 2nk   31 3 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 54% 0.80 1.00 S
HELLO GRACIE 4 2 32 45   48 413½ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.20  
SCR  BLAME CATALAYA               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 5.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM               (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE               (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 120 8.00    
SCR  WICKED T               (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Chocolate Town Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:12 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGHING BOY 7 3 2 2 2nk 11 11 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00 4.00  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
EGOT A POKER FACE 1 6 1 1 1nk 21 21 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 5.20  
  (by TIZNOW out of EGOT by DEHERE)
STRAWBERRY TREAT 3 2 68 57 45 35 3 (zalalas michae)TORRES JOMAR 116 12.00 41.50  
  (by WELL SPELLED out of FISH BOWL by NORTHERN AFLEET)
WISH FOR PEACE 2 1 7 710 69 47 4 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 118 20.00 4.40  
  (by MSHAWISH out of PALOMA MESA by SKY MESA)
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 5 4 4 33 3 57 5 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 35% 1.80 1.60  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of WESTERN PEACE by PEACE RULES)
TRA LAD 4 7 32 4 58 611 612 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 44% 1.30 4.90  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DEPUTY CURES BLUES by WAR DEPUTY)
WILL E SUTTON 6 5 53 6 710 716 722¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by CURLIN out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DUBAI ESCAPADE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
PEN-6   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Susquehanna Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC CREED 4 4 2½ 2½ 21 11 1 (hawthorne )SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 11% 8.00 0.80 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAJESTIC GALE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
KNICKERSINATWIST 7 1 1½ 1½ 11 21 2 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 26% 2.80 5.10 P
  (by SKY MESA out of SINGMEALOVESONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
DOCTOR ABBIE 3 3 43 54 5 36 3 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00 8.80  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LA ESTRELLITA by CRYPTO STAR)
SWAN POINT 5 10 97 87 6 4 49 (arnold pamela)CORA D 118 10.00 36.60  
  (by OXBOW out of FLEET SPECIAL by AFLEET ALEX)
FOXY JUNIOR 1 7 75 7 7 58 510½ (arnold pame)INIRIO J 118 8.00 29.20  
  (by CUBA out of FOXY DRUMMER by FLATTER)
SOFIA'S SECRET 2 8 109 1011½ 810½ 812 611¼ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50 27% 2.80 4.50  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of ROSEDALE ARCH by ARCH)
KILIMANJARA 8 6 6 44 35 6 713 (arnold pamela)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00 35.00  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FLEAGLE KOWSKI by NICANOR)
BELLA PRIMA 9 5 3 3 46 79 814½ (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 86.30  
  (by KEEN ICE out of NOISY FEET by TAPIT)
WILL OR WON'T 6 2 54 66 911½ 916 924¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 8% 11.90 8.40  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of LOVE THIS KITTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  CHARM ALARM 10 9 8 9 1012½ 1017 1030¾ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 18.00 31.70  
  (by WELL SPELLED out of GOLD MELODY by GOLDEN GEAR)
 
PEN-7   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Shamrock Rose Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMELINA 1 1 1 1   18 1 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 23% 3.40 2.30 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
BACK FORTY 3 5 6 3   39 2 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00 11% 7.80 20.30 P
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
11  CHUBLIN 9 2 3 2   28 3 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 4.50 6.20  
  (by HEY CHUB out of LOCKETS ROCKET by FLAT OUT)
12  PAULA'S SURPRISE 10 3 2 43   510½ 412½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00 22.70  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
10  PLUS SIZED COURAGE 8 8 8 5   410½ 512¾ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 13% 6.60 1.40  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of IAIN'TNOSIZETWO by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DEWEY DOIT 7 6 7 10   713½ 614½ (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 14% 6.10 4.40  
  (by COAL FRONT out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
LADY AHAVA 4 10 1010¾ 9   813¾ 715 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 12.00 13% 6.70 41.40  
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
JODY'S RUBY 6 7 5 6   612½ 816½ (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 124 12.00 26.50  
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
FACE IT ALONE 2 4 44 89   913¾ 918 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00 75.60  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HARD ON THE HEART by FAIRBANKS)
NORMANDY LIFE 5 9 9 78   1014¼ 1022¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 30.00 73.20  
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of HYGH LIFE by LITE THE FUSE)
SCR  FIRST FORAY               (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 118 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of STIFLING by FLATTER)
SCR  ROCK N REWARD               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LUST FOR DIAMONDS by STREET BOSS)
 
PEN-8   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S DREAM 7 2 58 44   42 1hd (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 17% 5.00 0.70 W
MOONSAFE 5 4 3 3   2nk 2hd (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6.80  
POSITIVE FORCE 1 1 1 1   1nk 31 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 3.50 41% 1.50 2.70 S
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT 6 3 2 2   3 4 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 6.50  
EARLY FROST 2 5 68 57   5 5 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 50.00  
WILL TAKE ROSES 4 6 7 67   66 6 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 12.00 27.60  
BILLIEANNE 3 7 4 7   7 712¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 12% 7.70 13.60  
SCR  AMEN SYLVIA               (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.