Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/2/4)-(1/3/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/3/8)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/8)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8)-(2/3)-(5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/6/7)-(2/7/4/6/10) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(2/7/4/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(2/7/4/6/10)-(1/9/10/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6/10)-(2/7/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6/10)-(2/7/4/6/10)-(2/7/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6/10)-(1/9/10/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6/10)-(1/9/10/5/4)-(1/7/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-7   WIN (1/9/10/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/5/4)-(1/9/10/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/5/4)-(1/9/10/5/4)-(1/9/10/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/10/5/4)-(1/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-8   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIFFY BUG Nov09 Oct09 Sep14     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
SCR  WARRIOR BERNICE Oct16 Sep28       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  MARY'S REWARD Aug23         (crane clovis)CORA D 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  HURRICANE BON Oct26         (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
5  PHABULOUS PHOEBE Nov09 Oct25       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 15% 5.80    
6  UNIVERSAL DESIGN Oct25 Sep14 Aug23     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU         (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
8  LUCY FIELDS Oct25         (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HINDENBURG Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 Sep20 Aug15 (brooks gerald)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00    
2  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Nov02 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jun28 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ANNAMATED MOON Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 5.00    
4  U U STAR Oct28 Oct17 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  HASHTAG WINNING Oct25 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
6  BEYOND THE BEND Nov02 Sep20 Aug25 Aug08 Jul20 (george a)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  FEDERAL CASE Oct26 Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 Jul26 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
8  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Nov02 Oct23 Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 (brooks geral)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEJUCO Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
2  MOMENT AT SEA Oct27 Sep03 Aug25 Jul15 Jun28 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
3  OUT OF STOCK Oct17 Sep11 Jan12 Dec02 Nov09 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  SYLVIA I AM Nov08 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jun28 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
5  BOB'S OUR UNCLE Nov08 Oct25 Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
SCR  BEST EVER Oct27         (lucas bonnie)CORA D 123 10.00    
7  BACK EAST Nov08 Aug16 Jul11 May24 Feb08 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00    
8  PRALINESALLSHOOKUP Oct27 Sep22 Sep01     (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 20.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  GURT'S WARRIOR Nov08 Oct27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
10  ABBY'S SPIRIT Sep13 Aug16 Jul13 Jun22 May05 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
 
PEN-4   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLAME CATALAYA Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 5.00    
2  SONG SAVER Oct23 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 54% 0.80    
3  STORMY SPELL Nov09 Jul05 Jun22 May25 May04 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
4  VANISHING FAITH Nov13 Oct30 Sep20 Aug30 Jul26 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00    
SCR  WICKED T Nov01 Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 Jul26 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Nov10 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE Nov13 Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 Jun30 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 120 8.00    
8  HELLO GRACIE Nov01 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun22 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Chocolate Town Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGOT A POKER FACE Nov08 Sep25 Aug18 Jun09 May19 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of EGOT by DEHERE)
2  WISH FOR PEACE Oct26 Aug03 Jul08 Jun28 Jun06 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of PALOMA MESA by SKY MESA)
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Nov03 Sep29 Aug11 Jul23 May27 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DUBAI ESCAPADE by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  STRAWBERRY TREAT Nov08 Oct24 Sep08 Aug18 Jul20 (zalalas michae)TORRES JOMAR 116 12.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of FISH BOWL by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  TRA LAD Nov01 Oct17 Sep25 Aug29 Jul26 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DEPUTY CURES BLUES by WAR DEPUTY)
6  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Oct18 Sep23 Sep01 Aug16 Jun18 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of WESTERN PEACE by PEACE RULES)
7  WILL E SUTTON Sep30 Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  LAUGHING BOY Nov08 Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 Aug04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
 
PEN-6   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Susquehanna Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY JUNIOR Nov15 Sep18 Aug18 Jul26 Jun15 (arnold pame)INIRIO J 118 8.00    
  (by CUBA out of FOXY DRUMMER by FLATTER)
2  SOFIA'S SECRET May29 Apr27 Jan26 Dec20 Nov13 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of ROSEDALE ARCH by ARCH)
3  DOCTOR ABBIE Oct31 Oct14 Sep25 Sep12 Aug04 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LA ESTRELLITA by CRYPTO STAR)
4  MAJESTIC CREED Oct30 Oct10 Sep23 Aug22 Jul17 (hawthorne )SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 11% 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAJESTIC GALE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  SWAN POINT Nov15 Aug21 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 (arnold pamela)CORA D 118 10.00    
  (by OXBOW out of FLEET SPECIAL by AFLEET ALEX)
6  WILL OR WON'T Oct29 Oct14 Sep14 Aug23 Jul28 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 8% 11.90    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of LOVE THIS KITTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  KNICKERSINATWIST Oct30 Oct10 Sep18 Aug18 Jul14 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of SINGMEALOVESONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  KILIMANJARA Nov03 Oct24 Sep21 Aug09 Jul07 (arnold pamela)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FLEAGLE KOWSKI by NICANOR)
9  BELLA PRIMA Oct09 Aug18 Jul14 Jun21 May06 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of NOISY FEET by TAPIT)
10  CHARM ALARM Nov08 Oct17 Sep22 Sep05 Aug03 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 18.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of GOLD MELODY by GOLDEN GEAR)
 
PEN-7   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Shamrock Rose Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMELINA Sep30 Aug05 Jul13 Jun18   (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
SCR  ROCK N REWARD Oct02 Sep20       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LUST FOR DIAMONDS by STREET BOSS)
3  FACE IT ALONE Nov02 Sep29 Sep01 Aug23   (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HARD ON THE HEART by FAIRBANKS)
4  BACK FORTY Oct25         (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00 11% 7.80    
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
5  LADY AHAVA Oct25 Sep14       (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 12.00 13% 6.70    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  NORMANDY LIFE Oct16 Sep23 Aug21 Jul28 Jul17 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 30.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of HYGH LIFE by LITE THE FUSE)
SCR  FIRST FORAY         (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 118 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of STIFLING by FLATTER)
8  JODY'S RUBY Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18   (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 124 12.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
9  DEWEY DOIT Oct16 Sep19 Aug21     (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by COAL FRONT out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  PLUS SIZED COURAGE Nov08 Oct09       (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of IAIN'TNOSIZETWO by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
11  CHUBLIN Oct28 Oct07 Sep03 Aug12   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 4.50    
  (by HEY CHUB out of LOCKETS ROCKET by FLAT OUT)
12  PAULA'S SURPRISE Nov09 Oct09       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
 
PEN-8   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIVE FORCE Nov08 Oct27 Sep22 Aug17 Aug08 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
2  EARLY FROST Oct27 Sep13 Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
3  BILLIEANNE Oct27 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 12% 7.70    
4  WILL TAKE ROSES Oct27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jun16 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 12.00    
5  MOONSAFE Nov03 Jul14 Jun21 May31 May06 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
6  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Nov08 Oct05 Sep13 Aug27 Aug03 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00    
7  QUEEN'S DREAM Oct27 Oct14 Sep22 Aug16 Jul14 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  AMEN SYLVIA Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 Jul14 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.