The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $11.00 -6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
AQU-3   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 6.40
AQU-4   Win (6/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
AQU-5   Win (10/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
AQU-6   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
AQU-7   Win (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
AQU-8   Win (1/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $45.00 $45.00 37.00
AQU-9   Win (10/4/7/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $22.00 -10.00
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESLIE'S ROSE 1 1 1nk 1½   13½ 19¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 4.50  
3  VALUE AREA 3 6 3½ 31   23½ 29¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 19% 4.20 3.60 P
6  SHOP LIFTING 6 2 2nk 2½   34 310½ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 59% 0.70 0.55 S
2  KINGDOM COME (IRE) 2 4 41½ 42½   47 414¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 19.50  
5  WOVEN RED 5 5 63 67   512 516¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 12.90  
4  OROZIMBA 4 3 52½ 55½   617 630½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 31.75  
 
AQU-2   11/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORING CHANCE 1 3 31½ 31½   1nk 14¾ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 22% 3.60 3.50 W
7  MONETARY MONARCH 6 2 21 21   3½ 24¾ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 2.05  
5  EASTERN STAR 5 1 11 11   2nk 34¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 25% 3.00 8.20 S
2  FOXY CARA 2 6 63 41½   4¾ 44¾ (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 30% 2.40 2.00  
4  RUN CHATA 4 5 41½ 65½   68¾ 516¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5.00  
3  KRYSTALHEIR 3 4 52 55   58¾ 616½ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 122 10.00 23.20  
SCR  HIDDEN WAR DANCE               (winney melvin)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
 
AQU-3   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:103 1:224   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AGGREGATION 2 2 1nk 1½ 11½ 13 13½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 18% 4.50 4.20 W
1  JUST CALL RAY 1 1 31½ 31½ 42½ 44½ 23½ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 17.90  
6  BENDOOG 5 5 52¼ 52 21½ 23 34 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 0.80 53% 0.90 0.50 S
5  DADDY KNOWS 4 3 2nk 2½ 31½ 33½ 44 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50 7.00  
3  FROMANOTHAMUTHA 3 4 42 42 53½ 54½ 57½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.90  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
 
AQU-4   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:132 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SLAPINTHEFACE 5 4 64 41¼ 31½ 21 12¼ (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 37% 1.70 3.80 W
5  KY THIRTY WON 4 3 11 1nk 1nk 11 22¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 4.60  
4  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 3 11 107½ 106¼ 106¾ 67 32¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.25 S
9  DOMINATION 8 10 117½ 117¾ 118¼ 89¾ 44¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 8% 11.50 2.80  
11  IMPULSIVE SPENDING 10 9 74½ 83¾ 94¾ 56½ 54¼ (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00 ######  
1  TONY O 1 1 85 73¼ 62¾ 46½ 65¾ (donk david)RIVERA R 116 20.00 18.90  
10  KID KREESA 9 6 21 2nk 2nk 35½ 77½ (dixon lind)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 28.25  
8  MUGSY FURY 7 7 96 95¼ 84¼ 910¾ 89 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 58.00  
2  CHARMING JIM 2 2 32 51¾ 73¼ 79½ 911 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
7  DOLLY'S BANK 6 5 42½ 62¼ 52¾ 1011¾ 1012¾ (coffey mariali)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00 32.25  
12  A LISTER 11 8 53½ 31 41¾ 1112¼ 1114½ (pringle edmund)HARKIE K 124 50.00 ######  
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Central Park Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:133 1:26   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SPIRIT PRINCE 8 4 41 31 31 11 11½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 20% 4.00 2.80 W
7  WALLEY WORLD 6 3 61¾ 62½ 63¼ 52 21½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.60  
2  TYPHOON FURY 2 11 104¼ 73½ 53 31½ 31½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 10.00  
10  FRONTLINE WARRIOR 9 6 72¾ 52 41½ 21 42¼ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 38% 1.60 6.00  
3  SANDERSON 3 8 83¼ 115¼ 117¼ 62½ 52½ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 20.00 41.75  
1  WINE COLLECTOR 1 7 51½ 83¾ 85¼ 74 63½ (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
11  BUFFOON (FR) 10 10 93¼ 94¼ 106¼ 95¼ 73¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★ 6.40  
8  QUOKKA 7 5 114½ 105¼ 74¼ 84¼ 84¾ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 49.75  
5  RUDDY BUDDY 5 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 41½ 95¼ (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00 98.25  
12  BLUE CREEK 11 12 127½ 126¾ 128¼ 115½ 108 (brion keri)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 22.40  
4  UNCLE TRULY 4 1 2nk 42 95¾ 127 119½ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.65  
13  DAY AWAY 12 9 3½ 2½ 2nk 105¼ 1220½ (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 50.00 73.00  
SCR  PANDAGATE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  P MUTTER PICKLE 2 1 1½ 12½   15½ 18¼ (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 25% 3.10 3.40 W
8  MEL'S BABY SISTER 6 3 31 22½   25½ 28¼ (giddings melanie)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.20  
7  BROOKLYN DANTZ 5 4 64 58   310½ 312¼ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 5.60  
5  HIGH TRACK 4 2 2½ 32½   411 413¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 36% 1.80 0.95  
3  DACTILOGRAFA 3 5 52 69½   515½ 521½ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 9% 9.50 36.75  
1  SUPERSTARSUSAN 1 6 41½ 47   618½ 634 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 6.00  
SCR  SNARKY               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
SCR  STEAL THE RHYTHM               (bond harold )RIVERA R 114 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Forever Together Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:114 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHILI FLAG (FR) 6 2 32 32 31½ 21 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.40 4.30 W
4  TASS (GB) 4 6 43 42½ 41½ 42 21 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 23.30  
3  UNCORKED (AUS) 3 3 75½ 84 85½ 73¼ 31 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00 27.00  
1  WILLAKIA 1 8 85½ 73½ 63½ 63 41¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00 6.10  
8  REGAL REALM 8 4 21½ 21 2½ 11 51¾ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 28% 2.60 2.25  
2  CIGAMIA 2 7 65 63 52 52½ 62¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 4.00  
7  FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 7 1 11½ 11 1½ 31 76¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 28% 2.60 5.40  
5  MALAVATH (IRE) 5 5 53½ 53 75 89¼ 818¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 7% 12.40 6.80  
SCR  HOT FUDGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 1.40    
 
AQU-8   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BUNTY WINDERMERE 9 1 3½ 1½   12 1¼ (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00 5% 19.00 21.50 W
3  ROJA LIGERA 3 6 62¼ 74½   56 2¼ (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 38.50  
7  TRY IT AGAIN 7 3 52 42½   34 3½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 6.50  
1  WILLFUL DESIRE 1 5 1nk 2½   22 41¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 43% 1.30 1.55  
5  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 5 7 85¼ 85   66½ 51½ (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 17.10  
2  BERN ROSEY BERN 2 4 41½ 52½   45 62 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 6.20  
4  CUPIDS GIRL 4 9 95¼ 96½   78½ 73¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 5% 17.40 3.10  
8  U SHOULD B DANCING 8 8 74¼ 64   810 810½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 29% 2.40 6.00  
6  WARTAPPED 6 2 2nk 31½   911½ 914¼ (delauro j)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 38.25  
 
AQU-9   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:233 :494 1:142 1:374   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPOOKY LADY 6 4 11 11½ 1½ 1nk 1½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 10.00  
10  SUPERS LUCKY LADY 10 2 21 21½ 2½ 2nk 2½ (falcone robert)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 36% 1.80 4.80 P
4  LINARITE 4 1 55 63½ 64½ 43 3½ (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 32% 2.10 6.10 S
12  SAIL WITH THE WIND 12 5 43 42½ 31½ 32½ 41 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
3  DISRUPTION 3 3 32½ 32 52½ 53½ 55¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.00  
1  SARATOGA KISSES 1 10 76 74 74½ 76½ 65½ (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
7  CAN'T FOOL ME 7 8 107¾ 85½ 96 66 75½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 6% 15.70 3.55  
5  DREAM ROAD 5 7 87½ 95½ 106½ 910 88¾ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 48.50  
2  LADY OF THOROTON 2 12 118¾ 117 119 1010¼ 99¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 5.70  
9  MARY KATHERINE 9 9 97¾ 106 85 1211¾ 1010 (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 45.50  
8  CHARISSE 8 11 1213¾ 129 129½ 88 1110½ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 33.00  
11  FROSTY INVASION 11 6 66 53 42 1111¼ 1214¼ (schettino )DAVIS A 121 15.00 37.25  
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  KARA PARA               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  LAVON               (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS               (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.