Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $11.00  
AQU-2   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
AQU-3   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 6.40
AQU-4   Win (6/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
AQU-5   Win (10/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
AQU-6   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
AQU-7   Win (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
AQU-8   Win (1/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $45.00 $45.00 37.00
AQU-9   Win (10/4/7/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $22.00  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LESLIE'S ROSE 1 1 1nk 1½   1 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 4.50  
VALUE AREA 3 6 3½ 31   2 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 19% 4.20 3.60 P
SHOP LIFTING 6 2 2nk 2½   34 310½ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 59% 0.70 0.55 S
KINGDOM COME (IRE) 2 4 4 4   47 414¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 19.50  
WOVEN RED 5 5 63 67   512 516¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 12.90  
OROZIMBA 4 3 5 5   617 630½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 31.75  
 
AQU-2   11/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORING CHANCE 1 3 3 3   1nk 1 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 22% 3.60 3.50 W
MONETARY MONARCH 6 2 21 21   3½ 2 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 2.05  
EASTERN STAR 5 1 11 11   2nk 3 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 25% 3.00 8.20 S
FOXY CARA 2 6 63 4   4¾ 4 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 30% 2.40 2.00  
RUN CHATA 4 5 4 6   6 516¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5.00  
KRYSTALHEIR 3 4 52 55   5 616½ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 122 10.00 23.20  
SCR  HIDDEN WAR DANCE               (winney melvin)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
 
AQU-3   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:103 1:224   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGREGATION 2 2 1nk 1½ 1 13 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 18% 4.50 4.20 W
JUST CALL RAY 1 1 3 3 4 4 2 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 17.90  
BENDOOG 5 5 5 52 2 23 34 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 0.80 53% 0.90 0.50 S
DADDY KNOWS 4 3 2nk 2½ 3 3 44 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50 7.00  
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 3 4 42 42 5 5 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.90  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
 
AQU-4   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:132 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAPINTHEFACE 5 4 64 4 3 21 1 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 37% 1.70 3.80 W
KY THIRTY WON 4 3 11 1nk 1nk 11 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 4.60  
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 3 11 10 10 10 67 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.25 S
DOMINATION 8 10 11 11 11 8 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 8% 11.50 2.80  
11  IMPULSIVE SPENDING 10 9 7 8 9 5 5 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00 ######  
TONY O 1 1 85 7 6 4 6 (donk david)RIVERA R 116 20.00 18.90  
10  KID KREESA 9 6 21 2nk 2nk 3 7 (dixon lind)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 28.25  
MUGSY FURY 7 7 96 9 8 910¾ 89 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 58.00  
CHARMING JIM 2 2 32 5 7 7 911 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
DOLLY'S BANK 6 5 4 6 5 1011¾ 1012¾ (coffey mariali)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00 32.25  
12  A LISTER 11 8 5 31 4 1112¼ 1114½ (pringle edmund)HARKIE K 124 50.00 ######  
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
 
AQU-5   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Central Park Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:133 1:26   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT PRINCE 8 4 41 31 31 11 1 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 20% 4.00 2.80 W
WALLEY WORLD 6 3 6 6 6 52 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.60  
TYPHOON FURY 2 11 10 7 53 3 3 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 10.00  
10  FRONTLINE WARRIOR 9 6 7 52 4 21 4 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 38% 1.60 6.00  
SANDERSON 3 8 8 11 11 6 5 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 20.00 41.75  
WINE COLLECTOR 1 7 5 8 8 74 6 (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
11  BUFFOON (FR) 10 10 9 9 10 9 7 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6.40  
QUOKKA 7 5 11 10 7 8 8 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 49.75  
RUDDY BUDDY 5 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 4 9 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00 98.25  
12  BLUE CREEK 11 12 12 12 12 11 108 (brion keri)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 22.40  
UNCLE TRULY 4 1 2nk 42 9 127 11 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.65  
13  DAY AWAY 12 9 3½ 2½ 2nk 10 1220½ (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 50.00 73.00  
SCR  PANDAGATE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P MUTTER PICKLE 2 1 1½ 1   1 1 (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 25% 3.10 3.40 W
MEL'S BABY SISTER 6 3 31 2   2 2 (giddings melanie)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.20  
BROOKLYN DANTZ 5 4 64 58   310½ 312¼ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 5.60  
HIGH TRACK 4 2 2½ 3   411 413¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 36% 1.80 0.95  
DACTILOGRAFA 3 5 52 6   515½ 521½ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 9% 9.50 36.75  
SUPERSTARSUSAN 1 6 4 47   618½ 634 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 6.00  
SCR  SNARKY               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
SCR  STEAL THE RHYTHM               (bond harold )RIVERA R 114 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Forever Together Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:114 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILI FLAG (FR) 6 2 32 32 3 21 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.40 4.30 W
TASS (GB) 4 6 43 4 4 42 21 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 23.30  
UNCORKED (AUS) 3 3 7 84 8 7 31 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00 27.00  
WILLAKIA 1 8 8 7 6 63 4 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00 6.10  
REGAL REALM 8 4 2 21 2½ 11 5 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 28% 2.60 2.25  
CIGAMIA 2 7 65 63 52 5 6 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 4.00  
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 7 1 1 11 1½ 31 7 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 28% 2.60 5.40  
MALAVATH (IRE) 5 5 5 53 75 8 818¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 7% 12.40 6.80  
SCR  HOT FUDGE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 1.40    
 
AQU-8   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNTY WINDERMERE 9 1 3½ 1½   12 1¼ (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00 5% 19.00 21.50 W
ROJA LIGERA 3 6 6 7   56 2¼ (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 38.50  
TRY IT AGAIN 7 3 52 4   34 3½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 6.50  
WILLFUL DESIRE 1 5 1nk 2½   22 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 43% 1.30 1.55  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 5 7 8 85   6 5 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 17.10  
BERN ROSEY BERN 2 4 4 5   45 62 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 6.20  
CUPIDS GIRL 4 9 9 9   7 7 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 5% 17.40 3.10  
U SHOULD B DANCING 8 8 7 64   810 810½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 29% 2.40 6.00  
WARTAPPED 6 2 2nk 3   911½ 914¼ (delauro j)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 38.25  
 
AQU-9   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:233 :494 1:142 1:374   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOKY LADY 6 4 11 1 1½ 1nk 1½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 10.00  
10  SUPERS LUCKY LADY 10 2 21 2 2½ 2nk 2½ (falcone robert)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 36% 1.80 4.80 P
LINARITE 4 1 55 6 6 43 3½ (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 32% 2.10 6.10 S
12  SAIL WITH THE WIND 12 5 43 4 3 3 41 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
DISRUPTION 3 3 3 32 5 5 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.00  
SARATOGA KISSES 1 10 76 74 7 7 6 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
CAN'T FOOL ME 7 8 10 8 96 66 7 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 6% 15.70 3.55  
DREAM ROAD 5 7 8 9 10 910 8 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 48.50  
LADY OF THOROTON 2 12 11 117 119 1010¼ 9 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 5.70  
MARY KATHERINE 9 9 9 106 85 1211¾ 1010 (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 45.50  
CHARISSE 8 11 1213¾ 129 12 88 1110½ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 33.00  
11  FROSTY INVASION 11 6 66 53 42 1111¼ 1214¼ (schettino )DAVIS A 121 15.00 37.25  
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  KARA PARA               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  LAVON               (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS               (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.