Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (6/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (10/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (1/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (10/4/7/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LESLIE'S ROSE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
KINGDOM COME (IRE) Sep28 Aug31 Aug06     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
VALUE AREA Oct21 Sep17 Aug06     (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 19% 4.20    
OROZIMBA         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WOVEN RED         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
SHOP LIFTING Nov04 Aug26       (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
AQU-2   11/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORING CHANCE         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
FOXY CARA Oct12 Sep24 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
KRYSTALHEIR Aug27 Jul15 May21 Mar18 Feb11 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
RUN CHATA Apr06 Jan21       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
EASTERN STAR Oct26         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  HIDDEN WAR DANCE         (winney melvin)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
MONETARY MONARCH Oct12         (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
 
AQU-3   11/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CALL RAY Nov04 Oct22 Sep21 Aug25 Aug02 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
AGGREGATION Oct04 Aug23 May11 Jul18 May30 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Sep28 Aug20 Jun09 May13 Mar24 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Oct22 Oct12 Jul13 Jun13 Apr12 (dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
DADDY KNOWS Jun11 May11 Mar25 Feb26 Jan19 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50    
BENDOOG         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 0.80 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-4   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONY O Nov04 Oct27 Aug23 Jul21 Jun23 (donk david)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
CHARMING JIM Sep21 Jul14       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY Nov04 Sep06 Jul26     (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Oct27 May11       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
KY THIRTY WON Oct12         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
SLAPINTHEFACE Oct27 Aug23 Jun01 Nov11   (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
DOLLY'S BANK Oct27 Sep04 Aug23     (coffey mariali)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
MUGSY FURY Oct27 Sep04 Aug09 Jul07 Jun09 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
DOMINATION Oct27         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 8% 11.50    
10  KID KREESA Oct27 Sep04 Aug09 Jul14   (dixon lind)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
11  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 Jun18 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00    
12  A LISTER Sep21 Aug23 Jun18 Nov06 Oct07 (pringle edmund)HARKIE K 124 50.00    
 
AQU-5   11/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Central Park Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE COLLECTOR Oct28 Sep30 Aug31 Jul15 Jun16 (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
TYPHOON FURY Nov09 Oct15 Sep02     (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SANDERSON Oct22 Sep30 Sep01     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 20.00    
UNCLE TRULY Oct15 Sep09       (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
RUDDY BUDDY Nov04 Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME Nov18 Nov04 Oct08 Aug27 Jun23 (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
WALLEY WORLD Oct13 Sep02       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
QUOKKA Oct26 Sep28       (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SPIRIT PRINCE Oct28 Oct04 Aug31 Jul22   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
10  FRONTLINE WARRIOR Oct12 Sep03 Jul29     (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 38% 1.60    
11  BUFFOON (FR) Oct28 Sep02       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
12  BLUE CREEK Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 (brion keri)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
13  DAY AWAY Nov04 Oct01 Aug31 Aug13   (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 50.00    
SCR  PANDAGATE Oct13         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
 
AQU-6   11/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERSTARSUSAN Sep15 Aug10       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
P MUTTER PICKLE         (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
DACTILOGRAFA         (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 9% 9.50    
SCR  SNARKY Oct12 Sep01 Aug10     (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
HIGH TRACK         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  STEAL THE RHYTHM         (bond harold )RIVERA R 114 8.00    
BROOKLYN DANTZ         (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
MEL'S BABY SISTER Oct22         (giddings melanie)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Forever Together Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLAKIA Oct07 Sep16 Jul27 Feb26 Apr15 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00    
CIGAMIA         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
UNCORKED (AUS) Oct27 Sep09 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
TASS (GB) Oct19 Aug20 Jul23 May26 Oct26 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
MALAVATH (IRE) Jun17 Apr16 Nov05     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
CHILI FLAG (FR) Oct19 Aug17 Jul09 May26 Feb25 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) Sep17 Mar04 Sep18 Aug25 Jul24 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 28% 2.60    
REGAL REALM Sep09 Aug02 Jun21 May18 Feb26 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 1.40    
SCR  HOT FUDGE Jun16 May07 Apr16 Mar18 Jan29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.00    
 
AQU-8   11/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLFUL DESIRE Nov02 Sep24 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
BERN ROSEY BERN Oct26 May14 Apr22 Feb25 Jan13 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
ROJA LIGERA Oct22 Sep22 Aug06 Jun24 May19 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
CUPIDS GIRL Oct22 Oct07 Jun23 Apr22 Mar31 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 5% 17.40    
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Oct19 Sep22 Jan29 Jan15 Dec15 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
WARTAPPED Oct31 Oct04 Sep06 Aug09 Jul04 (delauro j)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
TRY IT AGAIN Oct26 Oct06 Jul27 Jun22 Jun16 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
U SHOULD B DANCING Aug27 Aug06 Jun10 May14 Apr22 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
BUNTY WINDERMERE Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jun03 Dec31 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-9   11/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA KISSES Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KARA PARA Oct19 Sep22 Aug23 Aug04 Jun23 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
LADY OF THOROTON Jul15 Jun10 May12 Apr21 Nov19 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
DISRUPTION Oct01 Aug23 Jul09 Dec04 Oct30 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
LINARITE Oct26 Oct06 Aug27 Aug11 Jul13 (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
DREAM ROAD Oct01 Sep02 Aug19 May06 Mar24 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
SPOOKY LADY Oct06 Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 Apr22 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
CAN'T FOOL ME Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Oct29 Sep30 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 6% 15.70    
CHARISSE Oct15 Jul13 Jun03 May05 Apr08 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
MARY KATHERINE Oct16 Jul13 Jun24 May18 Apr22 (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
10  SUPERS LUCKY LADY Sep14         (falcone robert)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
11  FROSTY INVASION Jul27 Jul02 May28 Apr14 Mar12 (schettino )DAVIS A 121 15.00    
12  SAIL WITH THE WIND Oct19 Oct01 Aug27 Jul29   (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN Oct27 Aug16 Jul19 Jul02 May28 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS Oct27 Oct13 Sep14 Aug12 Jul09 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
SCR  LAVON Oct19 Aug11 Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.