The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 4.40
AQU-2   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.70 -4.00
AQU-3   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 0.00
AQU-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
AQU-5   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
AQU-6   Win (1/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $13.80 -8.00
AQU-7   Win (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
AQU-8   Win (8/9/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $11.20 -8.00
AQU-9   Win (5/8/9/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.70 $9.70 -0.30

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/07/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAU DIABLO 5 2 1½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.20 W
NYXED 3 1 2½ 2½   2nk 2¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 3.70  
RISK FREE 1 4 53 4   32 32 (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
ALLEGEDLY (IRE) 4 6 65 6   48 4(martin f)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 20.40  
LIGHTBULB MOMENT 6 5 41 52   59 511¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 8.20  
SPLIT SCREEN 2 3 3½ 3   6617¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.25  
 
AQU-2   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY'S PRIDE 2 2 1 12   12 1(toscano john)RIVERA R 117 3.50 2.85  
BOURBON'S HOPE 5 5 56 4   32 2(jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 15.00 11.70  
RYAN'S CAT 1 1 4 33   22 34 (rodriguez gust)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 7.70  
POWERFULLY BUILT 4 4 3 5   54(abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 124 5.00 13% 6.80 4.00  
THINKABOUTIT 3 3 2 22   45(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.20 50% 1.00 0.80  
SCR  COMMANDING GENERAL               (wilson faith)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   12/07/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:133 1:394   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASS ACT 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 35% 1.80 1.00 W
SWEET DISTRACTION 1 4 3 32 3 2½ 23 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 30.00 18.40  
MARTINGALE 2 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 31 3(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 41% 1.40 0.90 S
RYE TIGRESS 4 2 4 415 426½ 441 472¾ (atras rob)RIVERA R 114 10.00 7.40  
SCR  CELESTIAL EXPRESS               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM               (englehart jeffrey)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00    
SCR  REGULATORY RISK               (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80    
 
AQU-4   12/07/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:141 1:384   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO RISING 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 11 1(walden william)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 1.20  
LIFE AND LIGHT 4 3 21 2½ 2½ 21 2(pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 9.40  
COMPLETE AGENDA 5 5 5 6 42 33(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90 2.25 S
PROVISION 1 1 3 42 32 44 4(noda orlando)RIVERA R 115 10.00 16.80  
THISTLE 6 4 6 7 6 57 58 (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 14% 6.30 6.80  
STRONG LIGHT 7 7 75 3 5 68 610¾ (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 8.30  
HOMETOWN HERO 3 6 42 52 74 7713½ (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 11% 7.80 18.50  
 
AQU-5   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ROCKET 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 11(farro patricia)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 22% 3.50 2.80 W
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 22(falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 38% 1.60 4.00 P
APRIL ANTICS 3 2 63 6 6 436 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 8% 11.30 2.40 S
AMITY ISLAND 6 6 7 7 5 34(fisher linda)LUZZI J 121 15.00 18.40  
EROS'S GIRL 7 4 31 5 4 69 510½ (ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 21.70  
SISTER LINDA 2 7 53 42 33 5610¾ (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 116 2.00 3.20  
CARBON 4 5 4 32 711¾ 719 731¾ (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 8.40  
 
AQU-6   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSSIA 7 3 42 31   1nk 1¼ (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 4.50 5.90  
GHOSTBUSTIN 9 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 5% 19.00 1.90 P
FOXY CARA 1 4 5 6   53½ (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.65 S
EASTERN STAR 3 6 7 7   74(donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 31% 2.30 3.50  
MOONLIT WEEKEND 6 8 64 55   45(duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 14.30  
SHE'S A NATURAL 8 5 32 44   66(sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 22.10  
KRYSTALHEIR 5 7 99 8   87(coffey mar)DAVIS A 122 15.00 46.25  
STEPPIN' HAWK 2 1 1½ 1nk   38(hosang oliver )HARKIE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00 41.00  
RED JASMINE 4 9 8 9   9918½ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00 16.50  
 
AQU-7   12/07/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMED OUT 4 9 7 4   31 1½ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00 11% 8.20 6.00 W
JACKIE THE JOKER 6 3 31 2½   1nk 2½ (bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5.60  
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 2 8 9 9   64 3(toscano john)RIVERA R 117 4.50 3.60 S
SLACK TIDE 8 1 1½ 1½   2nk 4(potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 115 5.00 65% 0.50 4.40  
HYDRA 3 7 8 65   55(toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 3.85  
VEGAS WEEKEND 7 6 2½ 31   42 6(martin f)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 7.00  
VALLARAND 9 5 41 7   86 77 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 122 30.00 71.50  
OUR LITTLE TIGER 1 2 62 5   787 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
CAPTIVATING CARA 5 4 5 88   99 914¼ (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 11.40  
 
AQU-8   12/07/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUALLY CORRECT 2 1 11 11   12 1(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 4.60  
RADIO RED 9 2 53 3   22 2(gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 13% 6.80 2.95 P
SHADOW DRAGON 8 8 64 5   537 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.35 S
ZEEBEAR 1 7 4 4   347 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 8% 11.10 3.75  
THRILL OF IT 5 5 3 21   44 5(terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 10.00  
SIMPLY 4 4 9 7   6613½ (hennig mark)RIVERA R 117 8.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
BREW PUB 6 6 7 910¼   913 716½ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 18.60  
MASON MANIA 7 9 8 8   813 817 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 21.40  
DREAMPOINT 3 3 21 6   710 919¼ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 20.00 46.25  
SCR  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE               (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
 
AQU-9   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARPAZ 9 1 1 1   11(duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 8% 11.60 3.85 W
10  SIN NOMBRE 10 9 99 9   72(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 21.30  
CHALKY CAT 4 11 86 7   63(barker edwar)RIVERA R 117 12.00 19.20  
13  MESSI THE MAGICIAN 13 8 2 3   247 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
WOODSIDE WARRIOR 8 12 1213 1011¼   99 5(sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 9% 10.00 3.75  
VAUNTED 2 2 3 2   36(ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 11.50  
BUSTINO SANTINO 5 10 1011 1113¼   1110 7(levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 53% 0.90 2.85  
COMPROMISER 7 6 7 6   88(grossman bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 32.00  
12  MAJESTIC ARC 12 7 5 5   49(shivmangal lolit)LUZZI J 124 30.00 51.50  
ALPHA SONNY 6 3 42 4   51010½ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00 76.25  
SOMAMA BEACH 1 5 6 8   109 1114 (jerkens steve)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 50.00 65.00  
FIRST SONS 3 13 1315½ 1318¾   1313 1214 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
11  WAR PRINCE 11 4 1111½ 1214¼   1213 1329 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 50.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.