Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.40 $4.40 73%
AQU-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $23.60 $17.60 293%
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-1-3 $28.25 $25.25 842%
AQU-7   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $14.00 $8.00 133%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FRAU DIABLO 5 2 1½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.20 W
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of AUNT ESME by BIRDSTONE)
3  NYXED 3 1 2½ 2½   2nk 2¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 3.70  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ZINZAY by SMART STRIKE)
1  RISK FREE 1 4 53 41½   32 32 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
4  ALLEGEDLY (IRE) 4 6 65 63½   48 48¾ (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 20.40  
  (by ARROGATE out of ROMANTICISM by GONE WEST)
6  LIGHTBULB MOMENT 6 5 41 52   59 511¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 8.20  
  (by ARROGATE out of SCARY NOT SCARED by MALIBU MOON)
2  SPLIT SCREEN 2 3 3½ 31½   69¼ 617¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.25  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DIVIDED ATTENTION by A.P. INDY)
 
AQU-2   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POPPY'S PRIDE 2 2 11½ 12   12 12¾ (toscano jo)RIVERA R 117 3.50 2.85  
7  BOURBON'S HOPE 5 5 56 43½   32 22¾ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 15.00 11.70  
2  RYAN'S CAT 1 1 45½ 33   22 34 (rodriguez gu)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 7.70  
6  POWERFULLY BUILT 4 4 33½ 54½   54¾ 45¼ (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 124 5.00 13% 6.80 4.00  
5  THINKABOUTIT 3 3 21½ 22   42¼ 55½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.20 50% 1.00 0.80  
SCR  COMMANDING GENERAL               (wilson faith)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   12/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:133 1:394   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLASS ACT 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 35% 1.80 1.00 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of MISS DRAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
2  SWEET DISTRACTION 1 4 31½ 32 31½ 2½ 23 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 30.00 18.40  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
3  MARTINGALE 2 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 31 36¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 41% 1.40 0.90 S
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  RYE TIGRESS 4 2 44½ 415 426½ 441 472¾ (atras rob)RIVERA R 114 10.00 7.40  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of UCHITEL by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  CELESTIAL EXPRESS               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE ANGEL EXPRESS by MARCIANO)
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM               (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
SCR  REGULATORY RISK               (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-4   12/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:141 1:384   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  APOLLO RISING 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 11 13½ (walden willia)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 1.20  
4  LIFE AND LIGHT 4 3 21 2½ 2½ 21 23½ (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 9.40  
5  COMPLETE AGENDA 5 5 53½ 62½ 42 33½ 36¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90 2.25 S
1  PROVISION 1 1 31½ 42 32 44 47¼ (noda orlan)RIVERA R 115 10.00 16.80  
6  THISTLE 6 4 63½ 72¾ 63½ 57 58 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 14% 6.30 6.80  
7  STRONG LIGHT 7 7 75 31½ 52½ 68 610¾ (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 8.30  
3  HOMETOWN HERO 3 6 42 52 74 78½ 713½ (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 11% 7.80 18.50  
 
AQU-5   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOLDEN ROCKET 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 12½ 15½ (farro patricia)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 22% 3.50 2.80 W
1  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 22½ 25½ (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 38% 1.60 4.00 P
3  APRIL ANTICS 3 2 63 62¼ 65¾ 47½ 36 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 8% 11.30 2.40 S
6  AMITY ISLAND 6 6 73½ 73¾ 54¾ 36½ 46¼ (fisher linda)LUZZI J 121 15.00 18.40  
7  EROS'S GIRL 7 4 31 52¼ 44½ 69 510½ (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 21.70  
2  SISTER LINDA 2 7 53 42 33 57½ 610¾ (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 116 2.00 3.20  
4  CARBON 4 5 41½ 32 711¾ 719 731¾ (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 8.40  
 
AQU-6   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BUSSIA 7 3 42 31   1nk 1¼ (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 4.50 5.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LISINI by GRAND SLAM)
9  GHOSTBUSTIN 9 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 5% 19.00 1.90 P
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of YOUR TIME IS UP by FREUD)
1  FOXY CARA 1 4 53½ 65¼   53¼ 3½ (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30 2.65 S
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  EASTERN STAR 3 6 74½ 78¼   75¼ 41½ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 31% 2.30 3.50  
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
6  MOONLIT WEEKEND 6 8 64 55   42¾ 51½ (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 14.30  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
8  SHE'S A NATURAL 8 5 32 44   63¾ 62¾ (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 22.10  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
5  KRYSTALHEIR 5 7 99 89¼   87¾ 74¾ (coffey m)DAVIS A 122 15.00 46.25  
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
2  STEPPIN' HAWK 2 1 1½ 1nk   32½ 86¾ (hosang olive)HARKIE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00 41.00  
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of GOSHEN HAWK by COZAR)
4  RED JASMINE 4 9 86½ 99¾   99¾ 918½ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00 16.50  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ZIGGY FREUD by FREUD)
 
AQU-7   12/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIMED OUT 4 9 72¼ 42½   31 1½ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00 11% 8.20 6.00 W
6  JACKIE THE JOKER 6 3 31 2½   1nk 2½ (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5.60  
2  ITS COLD IN DEHERE 2 8 94¾ 98½   64 32½ (toscano jo)RIVERA R 117 4.50 ★ 3.60 S
8  SLACK TIDE 8 1 1½ 1½   2nk 44½ (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 115 5.00 65% 0.50 4.40  
3  HYDRA 3 7 83¼ 65   53½ 55¼ (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 3.85  
7  VEGAS WEEKEND 7 6 2½ 31   42 65¾ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 7.00  
9  VALLARAND 9 5 41 75½   86 77 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 30.00 71.50  
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER 1 2 62 54½   75½ 87 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
5  CAPTIVATING CARA 5 4 51½ 88   99 914¼ (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 11.40  
 
AQU-8   12/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FACTUALLY CORRECT 2 1 11 11   12 11¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 4.60  
9  RADIO RED 9 2 53 31½   22 21¼ (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 13% 6.80 2.95 P
8  SHADOW DRAGON 8 8 64 52½   55½ 37 (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.35 S
1  ZEEBEAR 1 7 42½ 41½   33½ 47 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 8% 11.10 3.75  
5  THRILL OF IT 5 5 31½ 21   44 57½ (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 10.00  
4  SIMPLY 4 4 96¾ 78¼   69½ 613½ (hennig mar)RIVERA R 117 8.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
6  BREW PUB 6 6 76½ 910¼   913 716½ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 18.60  
7  MASON MANIA 7 9 86½ 88¼   813 817 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 21.40  
3  DREAMPOINT 3 3 21 62¾   710 919¼ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 20.00 46.25  
SCR  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE               (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci m)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
 
AQU-9   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHARPAZ 9 1 11½ 11½   14½ 14¼ (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 8% 11.60 3.85 W
10  SIN NOMBRE 10 9 99 98¼   76¼ 24¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 21.30  
4  CHALKY CAT 4 11 86 75¾   66¼ 34¼ (barker edw)RIVERA R 117 12.00 19.20  
13  MESSI THE MAGICIAN 13 8 21½ 31½   24½ 47 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
8  WOODSIDE WARRIOR 8 12 1213 1011¼   99 57¼ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 9% 10.00 3.75  
2  VAUNTED 2 2 31½ 21½   34½ 67¾ (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 11.50  
5  BUSTINO SANTINO 5 10 1011 1113¼   1110 77¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 53% 0.90 2.85  
7  COMPROMISER 7 6 75½ 65¼   86½ 88½ (grossman bru)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 32.00  
12  MAJESTIC ARC 12 7 52½ 51¾   45½ 99¼ (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 124 30.00 51.50  
6  ALPHA SONNY 6 3 42 41¾   55¾ 1010½ (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00 76.25  
1  SOMAMA BEACH 1 5 63½ 86¼   109 1114 (jerkens ste)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 50.00 65.00  
3  FIRST SONS 3 13 1315½ 1318¾   1313 1214 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
11  WAR PRINCE 11 4 1111½ 1214¼   1213 1329 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 50.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.