Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Sunday - December 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.60 $2.60 43%
AQU-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.90 $1.90 32%
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $20.80 $14.80 247%
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-4 $18.80 $9.80 109%
AQU-5   PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/4/2)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  2-4-2 $57.25 $30.25 112%
AQU-6   PK4 (3/1/2)-(3/4/2)-(2/1/4)-(8/1/2) 81 $0.50 $40.50  2-4-2/3/5-1 $65.12 $24.62 61%
AQU-9   WIN (6/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.60 $2.60 33%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARONESS BOURBON   (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 116 3.50 2.55  
RALEIGH ST. CLAIR   (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 4.50 3.70  
RUDY RUDY RUDY   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 1.60 58% 0.70 1.30 S
MIGHTY GLORY   (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 11% 8.40 4.50  
1A  WISE CONVERSATION   (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 111 1.60 1.30  
NOBLE ONE   (pregman john)HARKIE K 119 8.00 28.50  
MAX S   (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
 
AQU-2   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY THE FISH   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.50 3.15  
SHASI   (donk david)RIVERA R 113 2.50 9% 10.10 2.90 P
ALTERINA   (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 10.20  
SHIGEKO   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 65% 0.50 0.75  
PROPER GRAMMAR   (pregman john)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
LEMON TAFFY   (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 40.00  
 
AQU-3   12/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AS SUGAR   (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 3.30 W
SIMPLE SUGAR   (giglio gina)LUZZI J 122 12.00 5.60  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 15% 5.60 2.75 S
MADDIE'S SURPRISE   (sells rach)RIVERA R 117 10.00 12.40  
DIAMOND COLLECTOR   (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.80  
LUNA LOCA   (arenas marcel)OLVER MADISON 115 6.00 7.30  
SCR  BOY IS SHE A LADY   (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 115 1.80    
 
AQU-4   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENTLEMAN JOE   (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.95 W
MARKET ALERT   (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 11% 8.30 4.40 P
SITTIN ON GO   (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 6.50  
ALFIO   (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 16.20  
CLASSIC MARK   (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.00 3.60  
TWO THIRTY FIVE   (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 118 3.00 33% 2.00 1.85  
SCR  FORTY TWO ACE   (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
 
AQU-5   12/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA TROUBLE   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80 39% 1.60 0.85 W
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SOLAR SURGE by BERNARDINI)
OUTTAWATERBURY   (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 15.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
SEBA M   (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 119 2.50 14% 6.30 3.55 S
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GHOSTING by GHOSTZAPPER)
1A  SHORE TIME   (siculietano dan)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.00 28% 2.60 4.60  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
AVA'S UNCLE BILLY   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 3.80  
  (by UNCLE MO out of AVA K. by DIXIE UNION)
FRATELLINO   (siculietano)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 4.60  
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  CHARLES J   (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
SCR  TEMPESTA CREMISI   (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ALABAMA BOUND by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
AQU-6   12/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S UP BRO   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 9% 10.10 1.60 W
M B'S MUNNING   (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 15.00 14.20  
JESTER'S SONG   (de hor)RIVERA R 117 5.00 3.60 S
SKI PATROL   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 68% 0.50 2.95  
HE'S GOT IT   (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
ROCK THE WEEKEND   (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 24.75  
MIDNIGHT WORKER   (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 24.25  
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 5.80  
 
AQU-7   12/10/2023 6270ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY CHIC   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 6.10  
COSTA TERRA   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 31% 2.20 1.30 P
I AM THE LAW   (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 10% 8.50 10.00 S
MIDNIGHT TROUBLE   (morley tho)RIVERA R 113 30.00 38.50  
LITTLE DEMON   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 24% 3.20 3.40  
PORTOS   (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 22.10  
SYSTEMIC CHANGE   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 13% 6.70 6.50  
FOWLER BLUE   (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8.90  
 
AQU-8   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE CHOCOLATE   (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.60 61% 0.70 0.50 W
SECURITY CODE   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 7% 14.30 6.10 P
SWEETEST PRINCESS   (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 8.00 9.20  
MONGOLIAN PANTHER   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 10% 9.30 4.80  
VIENNA CODE   (williams and)HARKIE K 122 30.00 47.25  
MYTOWN MYRULES   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 8.00  
SCR  AWILLAWAY   (dunham g)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
SCR  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT   (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
SCR  MURSAL   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
AQU-9   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX FOSTER   (englehart jeffr)RUIZ ELISEO 116 10.00 12% 7.40 4.30 W
WAFLR   (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 18.30  
DUDLEY DICKERSON   (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 26% 2.90 3.20 S
NOBILIS   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 39% 1.50 2.50  
PERFECT OUTCOME   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 5.10  
ESCAPE KEY   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 4.60  
ENGLISH STORM   (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
SINALOA   (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 18.10  
SCR  RUNANDSCORE   (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.