The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Sunday - December 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.10 -6.00
AQU-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.30 -6.00
AQU-3   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
AQU-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 1.90
AQU-5   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
AQU-6   Win (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
AQU-7   Win (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $14.20 -8.00
AQU-8   Win (9/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
AQU-9   Win (6/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:123 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BARONESS BOURBON 4 4 31½ 41¼ 1nk 1½ 13 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 116 3.50 2.55  
2  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR 1 5 65 64¼ 43½ 43 23 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 4.50 3.70  
1  RUDY RUDY RUDY 5 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 33½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 1.60 58% 0.70 1.30 S
4  MIGHTY GLORY 3 1 52½ 31 31½ 32 43¾ (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 11% 8.40 4.50  
1A  WISE CONVERSATION 6 2 42 51¼ 53¾ 54½ 57½ (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 111 1.60 1.30  
3  NOBLE ONE 2 6 78½ 75¼ 66¾ 610½ 616½ (pregman j)HARKIE K 119 8.00 28.50  
6  MAX S 7 7 2nk 2nk 77¾ 720½ 751½ (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
 
AQU-2   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:114 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JOEY THE FISH 4 3 3.2 3.2 1½ 11½ 18 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.50 3.15  
3  SHASI 3 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 21½ 28 (donk david)RIVERA R 113 2.50 9% 10.10 2.90 P
5  ALTERINA 5 4 4¼ 51¾ 57 57 39¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 10.20  
1  SHIGEKO 1 2 5¾ 2nk 31 32 410½ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 65% 0.50 0.75  
2  PROPER GRAMMAR 2 6 61¼ 41¾ 43½ 45 511¼ (pregman j)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
6  LEMON TAFFY 6 5 2nk 62¼ 68 611½ 622¼ (henry n)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 40.00  
 
AQU-3   12/10/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:112     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET AS SUGAR 2 2 11½ 11½   14 12¾ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 3.30 W
5  SIMPLE SUGAR 5 3 32 21½   24 22¾ (giglio gina)LUZZI J 122 12.00 5.60  
1  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 1 1 44 44   35 37¼ (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 15% 5.60 2.75 S
4  MADDIE'S SURPRISE 4 5 66½ 67   48 411½ (sells rachel)RIVERA R 117 10.00 12.40  
3  DIAMOND COLLECTOR 3 4 21½ 32½   610½ 514¾ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.80  
6  LUNA LOCA 6 6 55½ 54½   59 619¼ (arenas marcelo)OLVER MADISON 115 6.00 7.30  
SCR  BOY IS SHE A LADY               (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 115 1.80    
 
AQU-4   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:102 1:232   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GENTLEMAN JOE 4 4 54½ 55 32½ 12 13¼ (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.95 W
2  MARKET ALERT 2 2 32 43½ 22 22 23¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 11% 8.30 4.40 P
1  SITTIN ON GO 1 5 44 32½ 43 33½ 33¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 6.50  
5  ALFIO 5 6 66½ 66 67½ 68 410½ (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 16.20  
7  CLASSIC MARK 6 3 2nk 21½ 53 57 515¼ (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.00 3.60  
3  TWO THIRTY FIVE 3 1 1nk 11½ 12 44½ 619½ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 118 3.00 33% 2.00 1.85  
SCR  FORTY TWO ACE               (baker charlton)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
 
AQU-5   12/10/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOTSA TROUBLE 1 1 1½ 11½   11 12¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80 39% 1.60 0.85 W
6  OUTTAWATERBURY 5 4 31½ 21½   21 22¾ (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 15.70  
4  SEBA M 3 6 63½ 42   34 38 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 119 2.50 14% 6.30 3.55 S
1A  SHORE TIME 4 3 53½ 52¼   45½ 412¾ (siculietano dan)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.00 28% 2.60 4.60  
7  AVA'S UNCLE BILLY 6 5 42½ 65¾   612½ 519¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 3.80  
1  FRATELLINO 2 2 2½ 32   511½ 626¼ (siculietano d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 4.60  
SCR  CHARLES J               (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
SCR  TEMPESTA CREMISI               (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
 
AQU-6   12/10/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S UP BRO 1 2 12 11½   12½ 11½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 9% 10.10 1.60 W
3  M B'S MUNNING 3 5 22 21½   22½ 21½ (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 15.00 14.20  
5  JESTER'S SONG 5 3 34½ 33   33½ 33¾ (de horac)RIVERA R 117 5.00 ★ 3.60 S
8  SKI PATROL 8 1 66 46   45½ 44½ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 68% 0.50 2.95  
2  HE'S GOT IT 2 4 55½ 56   56½ 54¾ (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
6  ROCK THE WEEKEND 6 7 88½ 810¼   613 615¼ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 24.75  
7  MIDNIGHT WORKER 7 8 77 710   713½ 723¼ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 24.25  
4  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 4 6 45 68   814½ 827½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 5.80  
 
AQU-7   12/10/2023 6270ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:482 1:123 1:373   1:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUALITY CHIC 4 3 42 43 41¼ 13 13¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 6.10  
1  COSTA TERRA 1 5 63 66½ 53¼ 33 23¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 31% 2.20 1.30 P
5  I AM THE LAW 5 2 31½ 32 21 23 35 (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 10% 8.50 10.00 S
2  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 2 4 2½ 21½ 31 53¾ 46½ (morley thoma)RIVERA R 113 30.00 38.50  
3  LITTLE DEMON 3 1 1½ 11½ 11 43½ 57¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 24% 3.20 3.40  
8  PORTOS 8 7 76 79½ 813¼ 713¾ 612 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 22.10  
6  SYSTEMIC CHANGE 6 6 53 56 65¼ 613¾ 712 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 13% 6.70 6.50  
7  FOWLER BLUE 7 8 86¼ 89½ 711¾ 814¾ 812¾ (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8.90  
 
AQU-8   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  WHITE CHOCOLATE 6 1 11 11   12½ 13½ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.60 61% 0.70 0.50 W
5  SECURITY CODE 3 3 21 21   22½ 23½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 7% 14.30 6.10 P
2  SWEETEST PRINCESS 1 5 32 31½   33½ 35¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 8.00 9.20  
4  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 2 6 52½ 54½   47½ 48½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 10% 9.30 4.80  
8  VIENNA CODE 5 2 42½ 44½   59½ 511¼ (williams andre)HARKIE K 122 30.00 47.25  
6  MYTOWN MYRULES 4 4 64 69   613 615¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 8.00  
SCR  AWILLAWAY               (dunham g)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
SCR  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT               (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
SCR  MURSAL               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
AQU-9   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113 1:244   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAX FOSTER 2 3 1½ 11½ 1½ 11½ 12 (englehart jeffrey)RUIZ ELISEO 116 10.00 12% 7.40 4.30 W
4  WAFLR 3 1 2½ 21½ 2½ 21½ 22 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 18.30  
7  DUDLEY DICKERSON 6 6 75 73¾ 76 54½ 32½ (moore michael )HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 26% 2.90 3.20 S
6  NOBILIS 5 4 43½ 42½ 43½ 44½ 43¼ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 39% 1.50 2.50  
5  PERFECT OUTCOME 4 2 32½ 63¼ 65½ 65 54 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 5.10  
1  ESCAPE KEY 1 7 54 32½ 32½ 34 64¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 4.60  
8  ENGLISH STORM 7 5 64½ 53 53½ 75¼ 78 (giangiulio mic)HARKIE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
9  SINALOA 8 8 813 818¾ 826 835¼ 847¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 18.10  
SCR  RUNANDSCORE               (pino v)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.