Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $8.30 $4.30 108%
AQU-2   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $21.60 $15.60 260%
    DD (2/4)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $52.75 $46.75 779%
AQU-5   EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $49.75 $37.75 315%
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-2-1 $75.62 $63.62 530%
AQU-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.80 $1.80 30%
AQU-7   DD (2/1/4)-(5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $10.00 $1.00 11%
AQU-9   EXA (4/11)-(4/11/5/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-9 $12.00 $4.00 50%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LISTEN 3 2 12 12   1 1 (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 29% 2.50 3.15 W
DOROTHY'S DREAMS 4 3 32 22   2 2 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 3.30  
EXTRA DIRTY 5 1 22 33   39 310¾ (chatterpaul na)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 1.50  
BY THE GLASS 2 5 4 46   412 411 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60  
NATURAL FACT 1 4 5 59   516 519 (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 20.70  
SCR  SHE SHE'S SHADOW               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  UNHEARD               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
 
AQU-2   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN THE RING 4 2 5 5   31 1¼ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 17.20 9.80 W
RED D G P 1 1 1nk 2½   21 2¼ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 117 5.00 5.80  
QUICK HAMMER 6 3 2nk 1½   11 3 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50 11% 8.10 1.20 S
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 2 6 6 6   5 4 (toscano t)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 10.00  
SHORTSINTHEWINTER 5 5 4¾ 3½   43 510¼ (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 15.00 27.25  
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 3 4 3½ 4¾   6 611¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 57% 0.70 1.60  
SCR  FENWICK               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40    
 
AQU-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Fall Highweight Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD JOURNEY 1 5 58 5   4 11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 128 3.50 2.10  
  (by HARD SPUN out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
DURANTE 4 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 21 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 134 1.80 41% 1.40 1.50 P
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
ROTKNEE 2 4 31 31   3 3 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 130 2.00 33% 2.00 2.45 S
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
COWAN 3 3 42 4   5 4 (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 130 15.00 24.00  
  (by KANTHAROS out of TEMPERS FLAIR by SMART STRIKE)
WIN FOR GOLD 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 5 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 5.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of COOL TEN GRAND by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES               (ginter raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 130 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
 
AQU-4   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:12 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTELLO 3 3 52 4 4 2½ 1¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 5.00  
  (by CURLIN out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
J D FACTOR 1 2 1½ 1 1½ 1½ 2¼ (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 20% 3.90 3.25 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
FOR YOUR PLEASURE 6 4 31 2 31 31 3 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.20 54% 0.80 1.20 S
  (by ENTICED out of TRANQUIL SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GUM ISLAND 5 5 42 5 5 57 411¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 20.20  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STAGE STOP by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
BOLD AMBITION 2 1 2½ 3 2½ 42 511¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SILVER DOLLAR DIVA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FLUFF THE PILLOW 7 6 64 6 68 67 612¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.10  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
THE HERO CODE 4 7 7 7 7 711 722¼ (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 11.20  
  (by TAPIT out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
AQU-5   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 6 6 6 5   14 112¾ (toscano jo)RIVERA R 117 3.00 11% 7.90 2.85 W
TRADE SECRET 2 4 7 7   6 212¾ (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 5% 19.00 36.50 P
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 5 1nk 2nk   24 313 (toscano john )FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 53% 0.90 1.50 S
GRINGOTTS 8 1 4¾ 41   5 413¼ (younghans w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8.30  
VALLARAND 3 8 8 8   710½ 513¼ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 12.00 44.25  
ALPINE QUEEN 7 7 5¾ 3½   3 613¾ (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 8.60  
MORE MANGO 5 3 3.2 62   811 721¼ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 16.40  
CROWDING OUT 4 2 2nk 1nk   4 8100 (falcone robert )DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 14% 6.40 3.55  
 
AQU-6   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHEL'S ROCK 4 6 52 41   2½ 1 (david a)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 10% 8.60 2.90 W
ROYAL POPPY 6 4 41 31   3½ 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.25  
STONEWALL STAR 2 2 3½ 1½   1½ 3 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.65 S
MALIBU MOONSHINE 1 5 6 6   66 47 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30 5.50  
CENTRE COURT CHAMP 3 3 1½ 2½   4 5 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 120 12.00 20.50  
SHESALITTLE EDGY 5 1 2½ 53   5 610¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 16.50  
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREAMING UNCLE 4 3 2 22   11 13 (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 51% 1.00 0.85 W
VENGE 7 2 1 12   21 23 (ribaudo ro)RIVERA R 117 5.00 5.50  
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG 3 7 66 6   311 311 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 17.00  
GROWTH MINDSET 5 1 55 5   411 411¾ (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 37.50  
CITIZEN MACK 1 5 44 4   511½ 513¼ (englehart je)HARKIE K 124 4.00 27% 2.80 9.50  
IRON MAN JIMMY 6 4 32 35   612½ 618¼ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.45  
BRAGGADOCIOUS 2 6 7 711½   720½ 736 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 8.10  
SCR  BURTON WAY               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  TIMO               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
 
AQU-8   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL VARGO 5 3 43 5   31 1¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 11.90  
1A  FULL MOON MADNESS 6 4 5 42   11 2¼ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 6.70 DQ↓5
WHO HOO THATS ME 3 6 67 65   6 3 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 23% 3.30 3.20 P
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 1 5 22 31   52 4 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
MARIACHI 4 2 32 21   4 54 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 52% 0.90 1.35  
CAPONE 2 1 12 11   21 65 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 3.65  
SCR  CAUSES TROUBLE               (wyner harold)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
SCR  DARK VECTOR               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SCR  OCEAN'S RESERVE               (gyarmati leah)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
SCR  TETSU               (jacobson david)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:144 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 4 8 5 6 5¾ 15 112 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 72% 0.40 0.80 W
HOLDER CLOSE 9 5 9 7 6 5 212 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 11.60 P
10  LONE STAR WILDCAT 10 3 6 5 4¼ 25 312 (contessa c)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 17.80  
MOTHER MARY 7 9 10 9 7 67 414 (brown r)LUZZI J 119 15.00 34.00  
DAME CATHERINE 1 6 4¾ 1½ 1nk 36 514¼ (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00 6.00  
BORNFORGREATNESS 5 1 1nk 3½ 2nk 4 614¼ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 16.80  
LOVE THYSELF 8 2 3.2 4¾ 3.2 7 719½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 15.10  
11  LET'S CONNECT 11 4 7 8 8 812¼ 823 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
SHE'S A LAKER 3 11 8 10 9 918¼ 931 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 114 30.00 56.00  
ARCHIVIST 6 10 11 11 1114¼ 1023¼ 1035½ (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 42.25  
ALOTTA JAYS 2 7 2nk 2½ 1010¼ 1125¾ 1144¾ (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 40.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.