Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - December 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $7.40 $1.40 23%
AQU-2   EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $8.50 $2.50 42%
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $18.20 $12.20 203%
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $96.50 $90.50 1508%
    DD (4/6/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $20.50 $11.50 128%
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/6/2)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-4-5 $45.25 $18.25 68%
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-1 $34.75 $25.75 286%
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(2/6/5)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-5-1 $98.00 $71.00 263%
AQU-9   EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-7 $14.10 $2.10 18%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILO RIDGE 3 4 4 4   2½ 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 61% 0.60 0.65 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GRAND PORTEGE by GRAND SLAM)
WAR STRIDE 5 5 2nk 2½   1½ 2 (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 117 5.00 8% 12.20 8.30 P
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
LIGHT THE WAY 6 2 3.2 1½   3 3 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 6.40  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
PLAY 1 3 6 612½   5 4 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of BAKKEN BABY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
LOGIN REQUIRED 2 1 1nk 3½   4 59 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 11% 8.50 3.10  
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
GOLD 'N' SCARLET 4 6 5 510   612 621 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 25.25  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
AQU-2   12/09/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:143 1:384   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BURN 4 1 5 43 3½ 12 1 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.80 49% 1.00 1.45 W
TRUCULENT 6 3 31 2 1nk 22 2 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 16% 5.10 1.90 P
HIGHER QUALITY 3 2 42 5 4 45 3 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 7.30  
SIX PERCENT 5 6 6 64 53 35 4 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 8.40  
FUNKENSTEIN 1 4 1½ 1 2nk 57 511¾ (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 6.90  
AMERICA'S JUSTICE 2 5 2½ 32 6 621 630½ (sau)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 7% 13.70 10.00  
 
AQU-3   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATCH (GB) 5 3 3 31   2½ 1hd (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 8.10 W
UNCLE GEORGE 6 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2hd (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 29% 2.50 5.70 P
GOOD RAPPORT 4 4 4 42   3 3¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 4.50  
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 1 5 5 5   4 4 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 12.30  
G MUNNING 2 6 614½ 6   68 511 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 46% 1.20 0.55  
DADS GOOD RUNNER 3 2 1nk 2nk   57 615 (fisher linda)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 19.50  
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BIG ENGINE 6 5 6 5   42 1½ (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 11% 7.80 4.10 W
PRINTRACK 2 4 1½ 3.2   3½ 2½ (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 3.50 1.15  
NOLO CONTESTO 3 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 3¾ (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.20 S
AIR SHOW 4 6 53 6   5 4 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 6.90  
MISTER J T 5 1 31 2nk   1½ 5 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 12.50  
EGO MAN 1 3 4 4   6 6 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 55% 0.80 2.80  
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  COLONEL VARGO               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
 
AQU-5   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTBELATE 7 3 2½ 1nk   12 12 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 124 4.50 1.40  
CRITICAL THREAT 1 1 3 32   22 22 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.60 3.00 P
WINNING DRIVE 2 5 42 4   4 3 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 12% 7.30 6.10 S
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 3 4 1½ 2nk   32 4 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 15.00 14.80  
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 6 6 7 7   5 5 (grusmark karl)OLVER MADISON 117 20.00 38.00  
FIRST DEPUTY 5 7 6 5   6 6 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 7.00  
JOKER BOY 4 2 5 6   711¾ 726¾ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 42% 1.40 4.60  
SCR  CLEM LABINE               (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
 
AQU-6   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN IN DOUGH 4 5 4 31   21 1nk (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 4.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of IN A TWINKLING by INCLUDE)
CALDO CANDY 1 2 1½ 1nk   11 2nk (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 3.00 19% 4.20 2.65 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 2 6 3 4   3 3 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 15.10  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
PASCHAL MOON 6 1 54 5   4 4 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
GOOD REUNION 3 7 65 6   65 5 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80 42% 1.40 3.90  
  (by UNION RAGS out of GOODN'READY by MORE THAN READY)
FLIP'S DREAM 7 8 76 7   77 6 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 2.70  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAURA CAN DISCO by DISCO RICO)
FLYING IN STYLE 5 3 8 816¾   813 7 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 17% 4.80 9.00  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
THE MIGHTY DON 8 4 2½ 2nk   54 8 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 21.10  
  (by FREUD out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  BEARY FUNNY               (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-7   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:093     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 8 6 2 25   11 1¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 10.30  
AWESOME NATIVE 5 7 8 812   3 2¼ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 19% 4.20 1.80 P
TRAFALGAR 7 8 6 711   55 3¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 39% 1.60 2.35 S
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 6 1 1 15   21 4 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 14% 6.30 4.30  
MR BOB 3 2 5 5   45 5 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 17.00  
CHEWING GUM 4 4 7 611   6 65 (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 31.00  
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 1 5 3 36   7 714¼ (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 11.50  
VICTORIOUS WAVE 2 3 44 47   8 820 (englehart )RIVERA R 119 8.00 7% 13.80 8.50  
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY               (englehart ch)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
 
AQU-8   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Garland Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE 5 2 3 31   2nk 1¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 3.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
KANT HURRY LOVE 1 3 4 4   3 2¼ (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
HEADLAND 4 1 2½ 11   1nk 3 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 5.40  
  (by PAYNTER out of MISS SHELTOWEE by NAJRAN)
YOU LOOK COLD 2 4 5 5   5 4 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 3.60  
  (by FROSTED out of LUCKY DRAW by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
OLGA ISABEL 3 5 1½ 21   4 510¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 67% 0.50 1.10  
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PATRICIA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  DISCO EBO               (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
 
AQU-9   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLET'S DREAM 6 8 4 3   1nk 11 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 11% 8.50 2.75 W
  (by MITOLE out of CLOUD JUMPER by SLEW'S ROYALTY)
FABULOUS FOX 7 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 20% 3.90 3.15 P
  (by NYQUIST out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
POSEIDON'S MIST 5 1 31 42   43 3 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 27.50  
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
CALL HER BLUFF 2 6 5 64   65 4 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 10% 9.30 4.40  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
PHOTO FINISH 8 5 2nk 2nk   3 5 (cruz jesus)LUZZI J 119 4.00 6.50  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUPER MAMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
DOLCE VELOCE 3 2 6 5   5 6 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 30% 2.30 3.20  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SAVING MEMORIES 1 3 7 7   715 714½ (donk david)RIVERA R 114 15.00 19.30  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
LUCKY SPIN 4 7 8 811½   818½ 819¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 18.30  
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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