Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - December 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/6/2)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(2/6/5)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(2/1/4)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/2/1)-(1/2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/2/5/6)-(8/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(8/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(8/6/7/2)-(5/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/2)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/2)-(5/2)-(3/7/6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/7/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BAKKEN BABY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
2  LOGIN REQUIRED Nov12 Oct15 Feb11 Dec16 Nov06 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 11% 8.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
3  SILO RIDGE Aug20 Jul21       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 61% 0.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GRAND PORTEGE by GRAND SLAM)
4  GOLD 'N' SCARLET         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  WAR STRIDE Nov12 Sep17 Aug11     (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 117 5.00 8% 12.20    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
6  LIGHT THE WAY Oct15 Mar04 Jan21     (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-2   12/09/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNKENSTEIN Nov03 Oct12 Jan23 Oct16 Sep16 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
2  AMERICA'S JUSTICE Oct23 Oct03 Sep20 Aug15 Jul24 (sau)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 7% 13.70    
3  HIGHER QUALITY Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 Sep21 Sep08 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00    
4  NO BURN Dec02 May14 Mar25 Feb20 Jan20 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.80 49% 1.00    
5  SIX PERCENT Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 Jun11 Apr14 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
6  TRUCULENT Oct09 Aug25 Aug10 Jun24 Jun16 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 16% 5.10    
 
AQU-3   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 Aug19 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
2  G MUNNING Nov10 Oct15 Aug31 Jul15 Oct15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 46% 1.20    
3  DADS GOOD RUNNER Dec03 Nov25 Oct04 Sep17 Jul07 (fisher linda)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
4  GOOD RAPPORT Nov02 Oct15 Sep14 Aug20 Jun15 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
5  HATCH (GB) Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 Jul29 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNCLE GEORGE Jan21 Nov20 Aug25 Jun18 May21 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER Nov10 Oct21 Jun25 Mar04 Jan28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BIG ENGINE Nov30 Nov03 Sep21 Jul23 Jun22 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 11% 7.80    
SCR  COLONEL VARGO Nov24 Nov09 Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
2  EGO MAN Nov07 Sep29 Sep04 Jul30 Jul09 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
3  PRINTRACK Nov03 Oct04 Aug30 Aug04 Jul23 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 3.50    
4  NOLO CONTESTO Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep22 Aug24 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AIR SHOW Nov03 Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 Jul22 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
6  MISTER J T Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 Sep13 Aug20 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 Aug24 Aug02 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-5   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL THREAT Oct28 Sep09 Nov21 Oct16 Sep04 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
2  WINNING DRIVE Nov30 Nov25 Nov11 Sep28 Aug30 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
3  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Oct25 Oct04 Jun28 Jun12 May24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 15.00    
4  JOKER BOY Oct12 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
5  FIRST DEPUTY Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Aug30 Jul14 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
6  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Nov20 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Sep25 (grusmark karl)OLVER MADISON 117 20.00    
7  DONTBELATE Dec01 Oct21 Oct12 Aug05 Jul19 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 124 4.50    
SCR  CLEM LABINE Nov30 Sep09 Aug11 May13 Apr08 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
 
AQU-6   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD REUNION Nov10         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GOODN'READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BEARY FUNNY Nov16 Oct28 Aug27     (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
2  CALDO CANDY Nov16 Apr01       (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Aug02         (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  ROLLIN IN DOUGH         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of IN A TWINKLING by INCLUDE)
5  FLYING IN STYLE Oct28 Aug27 Aug02 Jun09   (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
6  PASCHAL MOON Nov25 Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 Aug17 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
7  FLIP'S DREAM         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAURA CAN DISCO by DISCO RICO)
8  THE MIGHTY DON Nov10 May19       (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00    
  (by FREUD out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
AQU-7   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep03 Jul14 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
2  VICTORIOUS WAVE Nov11 Sep16 Aug05 Jun27 Apr20 (englehart )RIVERA R 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Nov14 Oct08 Sep21 Aug25 Jul01 (englehart ch)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
4  MR BOB Nov23 Oct15 Aug25 Feb04 Jan01 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
5  CHEWING GUM Nov17 Oct27 Sep03 Jul26 Nov25 (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
6  AWESOME NATIVE Oct22 Sep02 Jul27 May21 Apr07 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Oct27 Sep24 Mar04 Jan14 Dec22 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
8  TRAFALGAR Dec02 Oct01 Sep14 Aug05 Jul01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
9  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Nov11 Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 Jun15 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
AQU-8   12/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Garland Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISCO EBO Oct31 Apr24 Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
2  KANT HURRY LOVE Nov05 Aug11 Jun25 May12 Mar25 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
4  YOU LOOK COLD Oct28 Aug25 Jul29 May12 Mar31 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LUCKY DRAW by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  OLGA ISABEL Oct26 Aug30 Jul22 Oct29 Oct07 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PATRICIA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  HEADLAND Nov17 Oct01 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of MISS SHELTOWEE by NAJRAN)
7  HOT FUDGE Dec01 Jun16 May07 Apr16 Mar18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
AQU-9   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVING MEMORIES Nov16 Oct29       (donk david)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
2  CALL HER BLUFF Nov09 Oct01 Sep01 Aug09   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 10% 9.30    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
3  DOLCE VELOCE Nov09         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ MY LOVE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  LUCKY SPIN         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  POSEIDON'S MIST Nov16 Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 Jul27 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
6  SCARLET'S DREAM Nov16 Oct22       (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 11% 8.50    
  (by MITOLE out of CLOUD JUMPER by SLEW'S ROYALTY)
7  FABULOUS FOX Oct29         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
8  PHOTO FINISH Oct21         (cruz jesus)LUZZI J 119 4.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUPER MAMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.