The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - December 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $10.00 -4.00
AQU-2   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
AQU-3   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $33.00 -4.00
AQU-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 7.40
AQU-5   Win (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 4.40
AQU-6   Win (4/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $15.40 -8.00
AQU-7   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
AQU-8   Win (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
AQU-9   Win (1/11/9/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 0.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/03/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECT FROM IKE 2 3 42 3   2nk 12 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 4.00  
BARGAINING POWER 3 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 32% 2.10 1.05 P
TAP YOUR HEART 1 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 3(chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 11.20  
SWING DISTRICT 4 4 31 4   4421¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 47% 1.10 1.30  
SCR  BURTON WAY               (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
SCR  PLAY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL BE FAMOUS 2 2 12 14   11(toscano john)RIVERA R 115 2.50 19% 4.40 1.00 W
HARLAN'S BOND 3 3 5 5   32(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 8.70  
STARRY MIDNIGHT 4 4 22 24   23(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 5.40  
GHOSTLY GIRL 1 5 43 46   48 4(toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 47% 1.10 3.25  
BIG HAZEL 5 6 68 611   613½ 512¾ (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00 16.70  
DANCE WITH ME BABE 6 1 3 3   513 616½ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
 
AQU-3   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LESLIE'S LOOT 3 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1(chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 15.50  
CARESS 1 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2(weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 30% 2.40 2.60 P
GUN SONG 4 3 42 4   34 3(hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 47% 1.10 1.00 S
ANTENNA 5 5 58 5   57 413½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 4.30  
BELLE'S BLUE BELL 2 4 31 3   4519¾ (david carlos )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 4.90  
 
AQU-4   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLYS GIRL 1 1 1 1   14 1(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 12% 7.40 5.70 W
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 4 7 5 33   24 2(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90 P
ROJA LIGERA 5 5 6 58   38 3(follett norman)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 15.80 S
MENDED WE STAND 2 3 4 46   54(padilla-)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 6.00 6.40  
MAGGIE 6 6 3 2   4511¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 4.70  
DUFRESNE 7 8 7 712½   613½ 613 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 11.60  
TRY IT AGAIN 3 2 2 611   714 720¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.60 64% 0.60 0.95  
1A  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW 8 4 8100 8100   8100 8100 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 1.60 0.95  
SCR  CUPIDS GIRL               (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
 
AQU-5   12/03/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:252 :504 1:16 1:404   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAPRUDER 6 6 6 6 3.2 1nk 1¼ (sharp joe)OLVER MADISON 115 4.50 8% 11.50 4.20 W
SOUTH STREET 4 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 27% 2.80 2.20 P
DADS GOOD RUNNER 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3½ 3(fisher linda)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00 2.90  
UNCLE WATER FLOW 5 4 4 5 5 42 4(dutrow w)USKE S 121 8.00 6.50  
MAMA BANNED ME 2 3 33 3 6 68 510 (follett no)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 22.70  
BOLD LOOKER 3 2 5 4 4 5610 (englehart ch)RIVERA R 118 2.50 40% 1.50 2.85  
SCR  CHIEF ENGINEER               (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino )DAVIS A 121 6.00    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE               (persa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 30.00    
 
AQU-6   12/03/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:363   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S GOLD 5 1 1 1 11 18 113½ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 6.70  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 6 6 7 6 5 410 213½ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 11.20  
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 3 2 2 2 21 28 315 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 7.50  
UN OJO 4 3 4 34 3 39 417¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20 49% 1.00 0.85  
COLLOQUY 2 5 3 45 4 513 520 (morley thoma)RIVERA R 118 8.00 11% 7.90 8.30  
NO SALT 7 8 8 88 710½ 623 627½ (miceli michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
EXIT RIGHT 8 7 64 5 6 724 732 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 14% 6.00 7.40  
MONTEBELLO 1 4 53 77 818½ 854 8100 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 13.80  
 
AQU-7   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY New York Stallion Series Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING MATCHA 6 6 66 5   1nk 1(reid robert )SANCHEZ J 124 1.00 42% 1.40 0.75 W
BUSTIN BAY 4 4 42 31   2nk 2(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 34% 1.90 2.95 P
LISA'S VISION 1 1 2 21   33(abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
LITTLE LINZEE 2 2 3 4   549 (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 7.90  
EASY PLAY 5 3 1 11   42 5(d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 13.60  
VALLELUJAH 3 5 5 66   612½ 621½ (davis robb)DAVIS A 120 15.00 26.25  
SCR  BANK ON ANNA               (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEETIE               (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
 
AQU-8   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY New York Stallion Series Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR 8 1 1nk 2½   11 1(weaver george)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.20 W
GENERAL BANKER 3 8 7 56   36 2(ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5.90  
BE THE BOSS 7 2 4¾ 1½   21 3(maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 16% 5.40 5.00 S
CALLALOO 2 4 5 6   44(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6% 17.10 11.70  
NIAGARA SKYLINE 6 7 8 88   611 511 (charalambous john)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 9% 9.80 12.30  
BARESE 5 6 6 44   711½ 611½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 3.95  
JEMOGRAPHY 4 3 2nk 34   59 712¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 21.40  
LOBSTA 1 5 3.2 77   815½ 816¾ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 12.00 29.50  
SCR  VACATION DANCE               (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-9   12/03/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY UP 8 12 3 2nk   1nk 1¼ (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 34% 1.90 4.00 W
12  NEEDED 12 6 2½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 3.80  
MIA NIPOTINA 1 3 7 4   34 3(sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 9.30  
LOVE LIKE CRAZY 5 9 56 6   647 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 6% 14.90 12.00  
11  NECESSARYANDPROPER 11 4 1½ 3.2   45 57 (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 14% 6.20 6.60  
BELLS TOLLING 3 7 109 7   710½ 68 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 20.00 21.00  
CHANGE ORDER 2 1 4 5   58 7(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
SIX O THREE 9 11 11 1010¼   813 810½ (terranova jo)RIVERA R 114 12.00 13% 6.60 17.10  
MYSARIA 6 2 9 1111¼   1014 910¾ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6.50  
GOING FOR GLORY 7 5 66 8   913½ 1011 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6.80  
CARA'S GIRL 4 8 1210¾ 9   1116½ 1116½ (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 119 50.00 52.25  
10  TSUKIMI 10 10 8 1213¾   1222½ 1226 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 21.70  
SCR  DACTILOGRAFA               (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
SCR  MANGIA               (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.