Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/2/6)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/1)-(1/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/2/5)-(4/6/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/6/8)-(4/8/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(4/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(4/8/2/7)-(7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/7)-(4/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/7)-(4/8/2/7)-(4/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/7)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/7)-(7/4/1)-(8/7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(8/7/6/2)-(1/11/9/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/2)-(1/11/9/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/11/9/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/9/6/3)-(1/11/9/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/9/6/3)-(1/11/9/6/3)-(1/11/9/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP YOUR HEART Oct28 Oct13       (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
2  COLLECT FROM IKE Nov12 Oct22 Sep04 Jul02 May26 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
3  BARGAINING POWER Oct05 Aug17 Oct09 Sep10   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  BURTON WAY Nov11 Oct15 Aug17 Jul30 Jun23 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
5  SWING DISTRICT Nov02         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  PLAY         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY GIRL Oct26 Oct07 Sep14 Aug11 Jul22 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
2  WILL BE FAMOUS Nov18 Nov03 Sep22 Aug16 Apr02 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 115 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Nov09 Oct08 Sep14 Aug09 Jul27 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
4  STARRY MIDNIGHT Apr16 Feb19 Jan22 Nov27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
5  BIG HAZEL Nov09 Oct19 Aug11 Jul26 Jun25 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
6  DANCE WITH ME BABE Nov10 Oct06 Jul23 Jun24 May18 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARESS Nov11 Oct05       (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 30% 2.40    
2  BELLE'S BLUE BELL Nov05 Sep28       (david carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
3  LESLIE'S LOOT Oct08 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 May04 (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
4  GUN SONG Oct21         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 47% 1.10    
5  ANTENNA Nov26 Oct14 Aug26 Jul29   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
 
AQU-4   12/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRY IT AGAIN Nov19 Oct26 Oct06 Jul27 Jun22 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.60 64% 0.60    
1A  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Nov16 Oct22 Sep15 Mar03 Jan12 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 1.60 ★    
2  EVERLYS GIRL Oct22 Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
3  MENDED WE STAND Nov07 Oct20 Sep20 Aug26 Aug09 (padill)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 6.00    
SCR  CUPIDS GIRL Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Jun23 Apr22 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
5  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Nov17 Oct20 Aug20 Jul13 Jun17 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROJA LIGERA Nov19 Oct22 Sep22 Aug06 Jun24 (follett norm)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 ★    
7  MAGGIE Oct26 Sep15 Jul30 Jul16 Jun15 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
8  DUFRESNE Oct26 Sep24 Aug06 Jul19 May28 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
 
AQU-5   12/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS GOOD RUNNER Nov25 Oct04 Sep17 Jul07 Jun23 (fisher linda)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Nov20 Nov11 Sep14 Aug16 Aug04 (schettin)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
3  MAMA BANNED ME Nov11 Nov02 Oct06 Aug16 Jul26 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
4  BOLD LOOKER Sep01 Aug20 Jul21 Jun18 May13 (englehart )RIVERA R 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 30.00    
6  SOUTH STREET Nov11 Nov02 Oct07 Aug16 Aug10 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
7  UNCLE WATER FLOW Nov11 Oct15 May11 Dec09 Dec02 (dutrow w)USKE S 121 8.00    
8  ZAPRUDER Nov16 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 Jul03 (sharp joe)OLVER MADISON 115 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  CHIEF ENGINEER Aug20 Aug04 Jul09 Jun30 May29 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
 
AQU-6   12/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTEBELLO Aug23 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 Jun30 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
2  COLLOQUY Nov04 Oct04 Jul28 Jul03 May13 (morley tho)RIVERA R 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
3  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Nov04 Aug23 Jul07 May29 May06 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00    
4  UN OJO Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug02 Jan19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20 49% 1.00    
5  MAMA'S GOLD Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 Aug17 May28 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
6  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Nov04 Oct04 Sep03 Aug02 Jun23 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
7  NO SALT Nov02 Oct17 Sep10 Aug10 Jul02 (miceli micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  EXIT RIGHT Nov06 Oct20 Sep25 Aug30 Jul26 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-7   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY New York Stallion Series Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISA'S VISION Nov05 Oct22 Aug27 Jul19 Jun10 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  LITTLE LINZEE Aug27 Jul19 Jun18 Apr23 Mar24 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GEE LINZ by FROST GIANT)
3  VALLELUJAH Oct29 Aug30 Aug11 Jul07 Feb05 (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of AVE RAVINA by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
4  BUSTIN BAY Nov25 Oct27 Sep24 Aug24 Jul13 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  EASY PLAY Nov14 Oct03 Sep02 Aug08 Jun19 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
SCR  BANK ON ANNA Oct29 Aug11 Jun25 May12 Dec04 (serpe philip )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
7  MORNING MATCHA Nov03 Sep23 Aug21 Jul08 May27 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 124 1.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOME ICE by IAM THE ICEMAN)
SCR  SWEETIE Oct29 Sep14 Jul03 Jun15 May11 (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
  (by EFFINEX out of MARGIES SMILE by WHEELAWAY)
 
AQU-8   12/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY New York Stallion Series Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOBSTA Oct29 Sep20 Aug13 Jul24 May29 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
  (by EMCEE out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
2  CALLALOO Oct15 Oct01 Sep04 Mar24 Mar04 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
  (by TRINNIBERG out of LEAPING LADY by MASS MEDIA)
3  GENERAL BANKER Oct15 May14 Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
4  JEMOGRAPHY Nov11 Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 Feb26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
5  BARESE Oct29 Sep04 Aug11 Jul01 May29 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of RIGHT PREVAILS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  NIAGARA SKYLINE Oct29 Oct01 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 (charalambous jo)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by WAR DANCER out of EXPRESSLY YOURS by BIG BROWN)
7  BE THE BOSS Nov10 Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jul04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by LAOBAN out of LEMME by LEMON DROP KID)
8  TODAY'S FLAVOR Oct29 Oct07 Sep22 Aug11 Jun10 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by LAOBAN out of EVANGELICAL by DEVIL'S BAG)
SCR  VACATION DANCE Nov18 Oct27 Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
 
AQU-9   12/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY UP Oct12 Sep15 Aug10     (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  MANGIA Nov09         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
2  MIA NIPOTINA Oct22 Oct01       (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
3  CHANGE ORDER Nov09         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BELLS TOLLING Nov02 Oct01       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
5  CARA'S GIRL Nov09 Oct01       (friedman mit)HARKIE K 119 50.00    
6  LOVE LIKE CRAZY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 6% 14.90    
7  MYSARIA Nov10 Oct21       (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
8  GOING FOR GLORY Nov09 Oct21       (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
9  SIX O THREE         (terranova )RIVERA R 114 12.00 13% 6.60    
10  TSUKIMI Nov02 Sep28       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
11  NECESSARYANDPROPER Nov09 Oct01       (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 14% 6.20    
12  NEEDED Nov09 Sep15 Jul26     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
SCR  DACTILOGRAFA Nov19         (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.