Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $49.00  
AQU-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
AQU-3   Win (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $13.00  
AQU-4   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.70  
AQU-5   Win (13/1/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 8.40
AQU-6   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $7.50  
AQU-7   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
AQU-8   Win (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $41.40 $41.40 35.40
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TO BE LOVED BY YOU 3 6 11 12 13½ 14½ 12¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 23.50  
8  JUST MUSIC 6 1 54 54 38 35½ 22¾ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 ★ 1.30 P
5  CHA CHA CHUKKA 5 2 76½ 76 411 48½ 38½ (rodriguez r)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 16% 5.20 5.40 S
9  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 7 3 42 42½ 23½ 24½ 48½ (chichakly amir)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00 11.30  
1  BY THE GLASS 1 7 65½ 64½ 612½ 510½ 510¾ (dutrow e)RUIZ ELISEO 114 5.00 27% 2.80 3.70  
4  EXTRA DIRTY 4 4 21 32 713 716 620¼ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 25% 3.00 5.50  
2  UNION BELLE 2 5 31 22 512½ 615½ 720½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 7.10  
SCR  CELESTIAL EXPRESS               (contessa gar)RIVERA R 114 12.00    
SCR  WAKE UP LAUREN               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50    
 
AQU-2   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KINETIC SKY 2 5 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1hd (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 22% 3.60 3.00 W
5  TABEGUACHE 5 3 41 42½ 52¼ 31 2hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6.60  
3  BEACHWALKER 3 1 64 54 42 41½ 3½ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 5% 19.00 27.25 S
1  WINIT 1 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 41¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 51% 1.00 3.30  
4  FILM STAR 4 2 3½ 31 3½ 53½ 511¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 1.60  
6  UNBRIDLED BOMBER 6 6 53½ 66 66¼ 67½ 611¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 5.20  
 
AQU-3   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DIVINE CROSS 4 5 42¾ 31½   1nk 12¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 5.50  
3  CURLINS CHOIR 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 22¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 38% 1.60 1.00 P
4  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 7 63¼ 64¾   54 34 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 ★ 3.60 S
9  ROJA LIGERA 7 1 3.2 2nk   31½ 44¼ (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 9.40  
1  ANILEATE 1 6 52¾ 54¼   42½ 54½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 117 12.00 11% 7.80 10.50  
8  FANCY FELINE 6 3 73¾ 76¼   64½ 64½ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 22% 3.60 12.00  
7  LOCKBOX 5 4 2nk 41¾   710½ 716 (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 14.80  
SCR  IT TAKES HEART               (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
 
AQU-4   12/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:381   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUST KATHERINE 4 4 43½ 33½ 31½ 11 15¼ (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80 0.85  
2  TONED UP 2 5 57 510 58¾ 44 25¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 ★ 11.60 P
4  CRYPTO MAMA 3 1 1½ 11 1nk 21 36½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 6.40  
6  INTO HAPPINESS 5 2 2½ 21 2nk 33 417½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 34% 2.00 3.50  
1  AMANDA'S FOLLY 1 3 32 44½ 48½ 513 536½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 18% 4.50 3.55  
SCR  SWEET WILLEMINA               (lake a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00    
 
AQU-5   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PROVEN HOPE 4 5 53 42½ 2nk 1½ 1½ (barker edward )HARKIE K 123 12.00 13% 6.60 7.20 W
1  SOUTH STREET 1 7 42½ 31½ 3½ 2½ 2½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 20% 4.00 2.40 P
12  MEMPHIS 8 1 2½ 21 63¼ 44 32 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.10 S
6  SORPRESO 3 9 86½ 84¼ 52¾ 57 48 (delauro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 44.50  
8  SCOTTO 5 8 96¾ 73¾ 42½ 67 58 (jones edua)DAVIS A 121 50.00 57.25  
10  DADS GOOD RUNNER 7 2 1½ 11 1nk 33 68½ (fisher linda)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00 ★ 8.30  
13  DEPUTY CONNECT 9 3 32 53½ 713¼ 712½ 714 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 28% 2.50 2.75  
9  MAMA BANNED ME 6 4 63 63½ 815¼ 818 819¼ (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 30.00 67.25  
4  CONNECT THE BROCKS 2 6 75½ 96¾ 917¼ 922 924¾ (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 30.00  
SCR  ARREBATO               (chatterpaul naip)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  FLASH KISS               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
SCR  OPPORTUNITY SET               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
SCR  PAPI ON ICE               (persaud randi)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 50.00    
SCR  UNCLE WATER FLOW               (reynolds j)USKE S 121 10.00    
 
AQU-6   12/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAPONE 2 3 11½ 1½   12 12¼ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★ 2.75  
1A  DARK VECTOR 8 2 31½ 2½   22 22¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 74% 0.30 1.35 P
5  QUICK HAMMER 3 5 42 32   34½ 37½ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 ★ 11.10 S
1  KENTUCKY JOKER 1 8 98¼ 911   711¼ 49¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 1.35  
8  SCREAMING UNCLE 6 6 21½ 44   49½ 59¼ (englehart chri)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 22.00  
10  GOOD RAPPORT 9 1 74¼ 76   511 611¼ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 11.60  
11  JUNGFRAU 10 9 85¼ 87   812¾ 713 (cox h)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 ★ 5.20  
7  MUDVILLE NINE 5 7 64 55½   611 813½ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 21.30  
9  PINE VALLEY 7 4 53½ 66   913¾ 915 (jones edua)DAVIS A 120 30.00 76.00  
6  ICE ROAD 4 10 1018¼ 1026   1033¾ 1055¾ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
SCR  NOTAH               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  PETROLO               (bond harold )RIVERA R 115 30.00    
 
AQU-7   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Bay Ridge Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FINGAL'S CAVE 2 5 1nk 1½ 1½ 13½ 14¾ (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 63% 0.60 2.10 W
3  VENTI VALENTINE 3 3 3½ 2½ 2½ 23½ 24¾ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 2.55  
1  CAIRO SUGAR 1 6 51¾ 42 63½ 55½ 36¼ (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 13.60  
5  BUSTIN BAY 5 1 2nk 31½ 31½ 34½ 46½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 12% 7.50 4.70  
6  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 6 2 41½ 62½ 42 45 58¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.00 2.60  
4  SWEETIE 4 4 63¼ 52 53 610 616½ (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY               (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
 
AQU-8   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:141 1:273   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BORNFORGREATNESS 8 3 71¾ 53½ 2nk 1nk 11 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.70 W
5  SONG OF SOLOMINI 5 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 61.25  
6  DAME CATHERINE 6 5 31 3½ 3.2 3.2 32 (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 ★ 8.30 S
2  WISE CONVERSATION 2 7 61¾ 65½ 53¼ 44¼ 45 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 9.40  
10  BELLS TOLLING 10 10 105¼ 87 86¾ 67¾ 58¾ (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 12.00 15.70  
4  LOVE LIKE CRAZY 4 4 2½ 1nk 41¾ 57¼ 69½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 18% 4.60 3.85  
3  DACTILOGRAFA 3 6 41½ 910 99¾ 99¾ 714 (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00 57.50  
7  MIA NIPOTINA 7 2 51½ 42 65¼ 78¼ 814¾ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 ★ 3.75  
11  MOTHER MARY 11 11 83¼ 76½ 76¼ 88¾ 915¼ (brown bruc)DAVIS A 119 15.00 22.20  
1  HANDLE ON YOU 1 8 94¼ 1014 1013¾ 1013¾ 1017½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 2.50 58% 0.70 1.60  
9  NICOLENA P. 9 9 118¾ 1122 1121¾ 1123¾ 1150¾ (sells rachel)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 30.00 90.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.