Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $16.60 $10.60 177%
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-3-5 $12.87 $9.87 329%
AQU-3   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $13.50 $7.50 125%
AQU-4   DD (5/3/2)-(8/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-8 $10.70 $1.70 19%
AQU-8   WIN (9/7/6/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $26.80 $16.80 168%
    EXA (9/7/6/1/12)-(9/7/6/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-9 $57.00 $37.00 185%
    DD (9/4/11/6/8)-(9/7/6/1/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-6 $40.00 $15.00 60%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STOP GIGGLING 2 3 11½ 11½   14 15¼ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 13% 7.00 4.10 W
3  GRACEFUL 3 2 32 32   34 25¼ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 16% 5.40 3.55 P
5  BELLE OF THE BALL 5 5 45 44½   45½ 36½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.80 44% 1.30 0.85 S
4  DRAMATIC EFFECT 4 4 55 56   56 48¼ (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00 37.00  
6  CHIARA (URU) 6 1 21½ 21½   24 513 (bond harol)RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.60  
1  AVALANCHE IS COMIN 1 6 65¼ 611   612 616 (chichakly a)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00 25.50  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:374   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AULA 5 5 22½ 22½ 21½ 1nk 1½ (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 6.90  
2  GRANDPA'S KID 1 2 59 59 58 34 2½ (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 ★ 12.80 P
8  MASTERWORK 7 4 12½ 12½ 11½ 2nk 31¼ (morley tho)RIVERA R 115 4.00 12% 7.40 2.75 S
3  STJAMES 2 7 711½ 715½ 614½ 413 48¼ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 42% 1.40 1.95  
7  MEMPHIS 6 6 611½ 615 714½ 517 510½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 4.30  
5  GOLDEN PURCHASE 4 3 46 45 35½ 617¼ 618 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00 46.00  
4  ANTHRACITE 3 1 33 34 47½ 725¼ 728¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 23% 3.30 4.50  
SCR  STRAPPED               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOVA RAGS 2 4 42½ 41½   3.2 11 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.15 W
5  BABY YODA 4 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 21 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.15 P
6  BEACHWALKER 5 1 66 69½   67¼ 33 (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 45.75  
1  SPUN AND WON 6 3 31½ 2nk   2nk 43½ (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.20  
4  B DAWK 3 5 55½ 57   55¾ 56½ (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 7.10  
2  BOURBON MUSIC 1 6 1½ 3½   41¾ 66¾ (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 16% 5.20 3.35  
SCR  COWAN               (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (jacobson d)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VOLEUSE 7 6 75 64½   12 12¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 67% 0.50 0.85 W
1  ACCELERINA 1 2 32 21½   32½ 22¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 6.90  
4  MALU 4 5 53 53½   43½ 32½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 ★ 5.30 S
7  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 3 42½ 32   54 47 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6.90  
2  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 2 1 1½ 11½   22 57 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
6  UNHOLY 5 7 87½ 79   610 611 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 36.25  
3  SASSY TALLAHASSEE 3 4 64½ 89½   723 740 (sells rach)RIVERA R 119 30.00 43.50  
9  ESSENTIAL LIFE 8 8 2½ 43½   831 867 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 10% 8.90 6.30  
SCR  DALE AVENUE               (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
 
AQU-5   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRINCE OF JOY 6 3 2nk 1nk 1½ 11 11¼ (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00 63.75  
4  CENTAVO 4 6 86 84¾ 56½ 43 21¼ (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 8.00 ★ 11.80 P
9  PIT BOSS 9 5 3½ 3½ 2½ 21 31¼ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5.80  
7  GOLDINI 7 7 41 51¼ 32 31½ 42 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 ★ 4.20  
8  HAMMERIN AAMER 8 8 74½ 73¼ 77½ 64½ 53¼ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 62% 0.60 1.65  
5  BLAKE B. 5 4 52 41 43½ 53 64¼ (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 3.50 5% 19.00 3.45  
1  MY FRIENDS BEER 1 1 63 61¾ 67½ 75 77¼ (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
2  CO CONSPIRATOR 2 2 1nk 2nk 89½ 89 812¼ (d'alessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00 28.75  
3  FOREVER WICKED 3 9 98½ 97¼ 915½ 910½ 916½ (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 30.00 51.00  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:124 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAYYA VALENTINE 4 5 2½ 3½ 1½ 11½ 14½ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 5.40  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RAYYA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  LA GIRVINA 3 1 3½ 2nk 2½ 42 24½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.90 P
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
6  MISINTENTION 5 7 52 41½ 41½ 21½ 36 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
7  SHIRL'S DELIGHT 6 6 41½ 51¾ 31 32 46½ (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 3.95  
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  WHY WASTE WORDS 2 4 63 74¼ 79 515 520 (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 6.00 16% 5.30 11.90  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  TOOSHAY 1 3 73¼ 63¾ 69 615¼ 620 (contessa ga)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 ★ 17.80  
  (by MO TOWN out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  LIL JERSEY GIRL 7 2 1½ 1nk 58 735¼ 759¼ (siculietan)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 50.00 46.75  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of NORTHERN WARRIOR by DESERT WARRIOR)
SCR  WATCH OVER ME               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MATCHMADEINHEAVEN by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
AQU-7   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ELYSIAN MEADOWS 8 8 21 2nk   11½ 1¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 38% 1.60 3.90 W
7  MISCHIEF JOKE 6 4 31½ 41¼   21½ 2¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.00  
3  ALWAYS A WARRIOR 2 2 42 51¼   52¾ 33¾ (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12.00  
6  DETECTIVE TOM 5 1 11 1nk   31½ 44 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
11  SLAMMIN GOLD 10 10 63 3.2   42½ 54½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.30 3.20  
4  AGGELOS THE GREAT 3 7 97½ 96¼   66¾ 66 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 31% 2.30 2.75  
8  PERLIANO 7 5 53 63¼   76¾ 710¼ (atras rob)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
1  RUNNING LUCKY 1 6 73½ 74¼   87 811¼ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 32.00  
10  TAPORICAL 9 9 1012 1014¼   1015 913 (sells rachel)SILVERA RUBEN 118 50.00 82.75  
5  ICE THE KICKER 4 3 84 85¾   912 1015¼ (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 30.00 64.75  
SCR  BONNE CHANCE               (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOVER STREET 6 10 97¾ 97½   42 1nk (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 9% 9.90 12.40 W
9  BETTER HUMOR ME 9 7 33 42½   31½ 2nk (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.70 2.30 P
11  REIGNING CHICK 10 5 65¾ 76½   73¼ 33½ (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9.70  
5  BERN ROSEY BERN 5 4 21½ 2½   2nk 44 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 16.90  
2  LAVON 2 2 1112¾ 1113½   53 54¼ (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 35.75  
3  DASHING DELLA 3 11 53¼ 31   1nk 66¼ (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 22.80  
1  FANCY FELINE 1 1 1010¾ 1011½   105¾ 76¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 6% 17.10 4.80  
12  JACKSON AVENUE 11 9 87¼ 65   63¼ 86½ (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
8  FREDDYMO FACTOR 8 8 76¼ 86½   84¾ 97¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 50.00 75.50  
7  SUPERS LUCKY LADY 7 6 11½ 1½   95¼ 1015¼ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 27% 2.80 2.30  
4  LONGLIVE THE QUEEN 4 3 43 54½   1112¼ 1135 (delacour a)RIVERA R 113 8.00 9.80  
SCR  HARLAN'S BOND               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.