Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $16.60 $10.60 177%
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-3-5 $12.87 $9.87 329%
AQU-3   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $13.50 $7.50 125%
AQU-4   DD (5/3/2)-(8/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-8 $10.70 $1.70 19%
AQU-8   WIN (9/7/6/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $26.80 $16.80 168%
    EXA (9/7/6/1/12)-(9/7/6/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-9 $57.00 $37.00 185%
    DD (9/4/11/6/8)-(9/7/6/1/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-6 $40.00 $15.00 60%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STOP GIGGLING   (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 13% 7.00 4.10 W
3  GRACEFUL   (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 16% 5.40 3.55 P
5  BELLE OF THE BALL   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.80 44% 1.30 0.85 S
4  DRAMATIC EFFECT   (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00 37.00  
6  CHIARA (URU)   (bond harol)RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.60  
1  AVALANCHE IS COMIN   (chichakly a)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00 25.50  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AULA   (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 6.90  
2  GRANDPA'S KID   (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 ★ 12.80 P
8  MASTERWORK   (morley tho)RIVERA R 115 4.00 12% 7.40 2.75 S
3  STJAMES   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 42% 1.40 1.95  
7  MEMPHIS   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 4.30  
5  GOLDEN PURCHASE   (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00 46.00  
4  ANTHRACITE   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 23% 3.30 4.50  
SCR  STRAPPED   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOVA RAGS   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.15 W
5  BABY YODA   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.15 P
6  BEACHWALKER   (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 45.75  
1  SPUN AND WON   (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.20  
4  B DAWK   (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 7.10  
2  BOURBON MUSIC   (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 16% 5.20 3.35  
SCR  COWAN   (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER   (jacobson d)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VOLEUSE   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 67% 0.50 0.85 W
1  ACCELERINA   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 6.90  
4  MALU   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 ★ 5.30 S
7  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6.90  
2  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH   (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
6  UNHOLY   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 36.25  
3  SASSY TALLAHASSEE   (sells rach)RIVERA R 119 30.00 43.50  
9  ESSENTIAL LIFE   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 10% 8.90 6.30  
SCR  DALE AVENUE   (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
 
AQU-5   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRINCE OF JOY   (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00 63.75  
4  CENTAVO   (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 8.00 ★ 11.80 P
9  PIT BOSS   (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5.80  
7  GOLDINI   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 ★ 4.20  
8  HAMMERIN AAMER   (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 62% 0.60 1.65  
5  BLAKE B.   (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 3.50 5% 19.00 3.45  
1  MY FRIENDS BEER   (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
2  CO CONSPIRATOR   (d'alessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00 28.75  
3  FOREVER WICKED   (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 30.00 51.00  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAYYA VALENTINE   (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 5.40  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RAYYA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  LA GIRVINA   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.90 P
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
6  MISINTENTION   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
7  SHIRL'S DELIGHT   (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 3.95  
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  WHY WASTE WORDS   (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 6.00 16% 5.30 11.90  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  TOOSHAY   (contessa ga)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 ★ 17.80  
  (by MO TOWN out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  LIL JERSEY GIRL   (siculietan)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 50.00 46.75  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of NORTHERN WARRIOR by DESERT WARRIOR)
SCR  WATCH OVER ME   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MATCHMADEINHEAVEN by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
AQU-7   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ELYSIAN MEADOWS   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 38% 1.60 3.90 W
7  MISCHIEF JOKE   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.00  
3  ALWAYS A WARRIOR   (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12.00  
6  DETECTIVE TOM   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
11  SLAMMIN GOLD   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.30 3.20  
4  AGGELOS THE GREAT   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 31% 2.30 2.75  
8  PERLIANO   (atras rob)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
1  RUNNING LUCKY   (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 32.00  
10  TAPORICAL   (sells rachel)SILVERA RUBEN 118 50.00 82.75  
5  ICE THE KICKER   (giddings melan)LUZZI J 120 30.00 64.75  
SCR  BONNE CHANCE   (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLOVER STREET   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 9% 9.90 12.40 W
9  BETTER HUMOR ME   (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.70 2.30 P
11  REIGNING CHICK   (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9.70  
5  BERN ROSEY BERN   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 16.90  
2  LAVON   (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 35.75  
3  DASHING DELLA   (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 22.80  
1  FANCY FELINE   (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 6% 17.10 4.80  
12  JACKSON AVENUE   (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
8  FREDDYMO FACTOR   (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 50.00 75.50  
7  SUPERS LUCKY LADY   (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 27% 2.80 2.30  
4  LONGLIVE THE QUEEN   (delacour a)RIVERA R 113 8.00 9.80  
SCR  HARLAN'S BOND   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.