Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
AQU-2   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $15.80  
AQU-3   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
AQU-4   Win (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
AQU-5   Win (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $129.50  
AQU-6   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.80  
AQU-7   Win (9/4/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.80 $9.80  
AQU-8   Win (9/7/6/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $26.80 $26.80 16.80

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOP GIGGLING 2 3 1 1   14 1 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 13% 7.00 4.10 W
GRACEFUL 3 2 32 32   34 2 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 16% 5.40 3.55 P
BELLE OF THE BALL 5 5 45 4   4 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 0.80 44% 1.30 0.85 S
DRAMATIC EFFECT 4 4 55 56   56 4 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00 37.00  
CHIARA (URU) 6 1 2 2   24 513 (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.60  
AVALANCHE IS COMIN 1 6 6 611   612 616 (chichakly ami)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00 25.50  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:374   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AULA 5 5 2 2 2 1nk 1½ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 6.90  
GRANDPA'S KID 1 2 59 59 58 34 2½ (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 12.80 P
MASTERWORK 7 4 1 1 1 2nk 3 (morley thoma)RIVERA R 115 4.00 12% 7.40 2.75 S
STJAMES 2 7 711½ 715½ 614½ 413 4 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 42% 1.40 1.95  
MEMPHIS 6 6 611½ 615 714½ 517 510½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 4.30  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 4 3 46 45 3 617¼ 618 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00 46.00  
ANTHRACITE 3 1 33 34 4 725¼ 728¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 23% 3.30 4.50  
SCR  STRAPPED               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVA RAGS 2 4 4 4   3.2 11 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.15 W
BABY YODA 4 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 21 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.15 P
BEACHWALKER 5 1 66 6   6 33 (persa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 45.75  
SPUN AND WON 6 3 3 2nk   2nk 4 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.20  
B DAWK 3 5 5 57   5 5 (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 7.10  
BOURBON MUSIC 1 6 1½ 3½   4 6 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 16% 5.20 3.35  
SCR  COWAN               (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (jacobson dav)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLEUSE 7 6 75 6   12 1 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 67% 0.50 0.85 W
ACCELERINA 1 2 32 2   3 2 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 6.90  
MALU 4 5 53 5   4 3 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 5.30 S
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 3 4 32   54 47 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6.90  
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 2 1 1½ 1   22 57 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
UNHOLY 5 7 8 79   610 611 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 36.25  
SASSY TALLAHASSEE 3 4 6 8   723 740 (sells rachel)RIVERA R 119 30.00 43.50  
ESSENTIAL LIFE 8 8 2½ 4   831 867 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 10% 8.90 6.30  
SCR  DALE AVENUE               (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
 
AQU-5   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF JOY 6 3 2nk 1nk 1½ 11 1 (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00 63.75  
CENTAVO 4 6 86 8 5 43 2 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 8.00 11.80 P
PIT BOSS 9 5 3½ 3½ 2½ 21 3 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5.80  
GOLDINI 7 7 41 5 32 3 42 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 4.20  
HAMMERIN AAMER 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 62% 0.60 1.65  
BLAKE B. 5 4 52 41 4 53 6 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 3.50 5% 19.00 3.45  
MY FRIENDS BEER 1 1 63 6 6 75 7 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
CO CONSPIRATOR 2 2 1nk 2nk 8 89 812¼ (d'alessand)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00 28.75  
FOREVER WICKED 3 9 9 9 915½ 910½ 916½ (persa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 30.00 51.00  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:124 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAYYA VALENTINE 4 5 2½ 3½ 1½ 1 1 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 5.40  
LA GIRVINA 3 1 3½ 2nk 2½ 42 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.90 P
MISINTENTION 5 7 52 4 4 2 36 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 S
SHIRL'S DELIGHT 6 6 4 5 31 32 4 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 3.95  
WHY WASTE WORDS 2 4 63 7 79 515 520 (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 6.00 16% 5.30 11.90  
TOOSHAY 1 3 7 6 69 615¼ 620 (contessa gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 17.80  
LIL JERSEY GIRL 7 2 1½ 1nk 58 735¼ 759¼ (siculietano )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 50.00 46.75  
SCR  WATCH OVER ME               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
 
AQU-7   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELYSIAN MEADOWS 8 8 21 2nk   1 1¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 38% 1.60 3.90 W
MISCHIEF JOKE 6 4 3 4   2 2¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.00  
ALWAYS A WARRIOR 2 2 42 5   5 3 (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12.00  
DETECTIVE TOM 5 1 11 1nk   3 44 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
11  SLAMMIN GOLD 10 10 63 3.2   4 5 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.30 3.20  
AGGELOS THE GREAT 3 7 9 9   6 66 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 31% 2.30 2.75  
PERLIANO 7 5 53 6   7 710¼ (atras rob)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
RUNNING LUCKY 1 6 7 7   87 811¼ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 32.00  
10  TAPORICAL 9 9 1012 1014¼   1015 913 (sells rachel)SILVERA RUBEN 118 50.00 82.75  
ICE THE KICKER 4 3 84 8   912 1015¼ (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 120 30.00 64.75  
SCR  BONNE CHANCE               (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOVER STREET 6 10 9 9   42 1nk (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 9% 9.90 12.40 W
BETTER HUMOR ME 9 7 33 4   3 2nk (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.70 2.30 P
11  REIGNING CHICK 10 5 6 7   7 3 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9.70  
BERN ROSEY BERN 5 4 2 2½   2nk 44 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 16.90  
LAVON 2 2 1112¾ 1113½   53 5 (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 35.75  
DASHING DELLA 3 11 5 31   1nk 6 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 22.80  
FANCY FELINE 1 1 1010¾ 1011½   10 7 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 6% 17.10 4.80  
12  JACKSON AVENUE 11 9 8 65   6 8 (breed rona)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 8 8 7 8   8 9 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 50.00 75.50  
SUPERS LUCKY LADY 7 6 1 1½   9 1015¼ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 27% 2.80 2.30  
LONGLIVE THE QUEEN 4 3 43 5   1112¼ 1135 (delacour arn)RIVERA R 113 8.00 9.80  
SCR  HARLAN'S BOND               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.