Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $6.60 $0.60 10%
AQU-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $6.20 $2.20 55%
    EXA (2/6)-(2/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-2 $10.00 $6.00 150%
    TRI (2/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00  6-2-5 $11.65 $9.65 483%
    DD (1/7/4)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $20.40 $14.40 240%
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(1/7/4)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00  2-1-6 $31.00 $13.00 72%
AQU-4   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.50 $2.50 42%
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-7 $9.70 $3.70 62%
    DD (2/6)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $16.90 $10.90 182%
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(2/6)-(7/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  1-6-4 $97.00 $79.00 439%
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.90 $0.90 15%
AQU-7   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $27.75 $18.75 208%
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-5-7 $94.25 $85.25 947%
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $15.30 $6.30 70%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE NAME 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.35 W
LASER SHARP 6 5 4 1nk   1nk 2nk (terranova )RIVERA R 114 4.00 11% 8.30 9.10 P
DON VINO VICI 4 6 55 6   4 3 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 7.30  
GAME MISCONDUCT 3 2 3 4   34 4 (delauro edwar)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 15.70  
THUNDERSLAM 5 3 65 5   5 512¾ (johnson cleve)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 30.00  
PAPPOU'S LAUGH 1 4 1½ 3   614½ 626 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 8% 11.60 6.00  
 
AQU-2   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT EROS GIRL 1 2 13 1   16 1 (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.90 W
BEHIND THE COUCH 6 5 55 36   26 2 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 3.30  
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 4 4 6 5   4 3 (baker char)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 7 3 3 2   3 412½ (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 2.50  
MIDTOWN ROSE 5 1 44 612½   614½ 518¾ (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 5.70  
TOWERING GAZE 2 7 76 714½   716 620 (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 124 10.00 30.25  
LEFT LEANING LUCY 3 6 23 4   511 721¾ (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 12.00 34.50  
 
AQU-3   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIETAKESCHARGE 6 1 3 21   1nk 1¾ (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 W
P MUTTER PICKLE 2 3 2½ 11   2nk 2¾ (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 73% 0.40 1.45 P
UNICORN CAKE 5 2 4 4   32 3 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 4.20 S
VALENTINE GIFT 3 6 5 67   6 412 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 9.00  
ALLEY'S SONG 4 5 67 55   46 512 (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 20.90  
CONCERTI 1 4 1½ 31   5 618 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 6.60  
 
AQU-4   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:224 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY REPLY 4 5 5 4   21 1 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 117 3.00 18% 4.60 3.25 W
SHE'S AWESOME 7 2 31 2nk   11 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 54% 0.90 1.05 P
ROMAN GODDESS 2 4 4 5   43 3 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 4.10  
MY GIRL JAL 6 6 6 6   6 4 (legall ricardo )CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 13.50  
RED PEPPER GRILL 3 7 7 7   7 5 (davis g)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
QUEENS OVER THREES 1 1 1nk 3.2   5 6 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 120 10.00 11.50  
SHAMAN PRINCESS 5 3 2nk 1nk   33 79 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 7.60  
 
AQU-5   12/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 4 4 4 3½   1½ 1¾ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 4.60  
TO A T 6 7 6 6   54 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 15% 5.70 4.60 P
EVERYONELOVESLINDA 2 2 2nk 2½   2½ 3¾ (barker edw)RIVERA R 119 3.00 2.55  
SHESALITTLE EDGY 3 3 32 41   32 43 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 15% 5.70 5.90  
SOLIB 1 1 1nk 1½   42 5 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 12.90  
TIMED OUT 7 5 54 54   6 6 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 29% 2.50 6.90  
I'M BUZZY 5 6 711 710½   7 7 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 3.65  
 
AQU-6   12/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T BROKE 1 7 711¾ 63   13 15 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.45 W
STARSHIP DEFIANT 3 5 5 4   3 25 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 25.25  
MURSAL 2 6 6 7   67 3 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 14.30  
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 4 1 1½ 1½   23 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 15% 5.90 4.10  
GIVE ME KISSES 5 2 3½ 5   77 5 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.60  
GUNFYRE GAL 7 3 4¾ 2½   5 610¼ (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6.90  
ESSAOUIRA 6 4 2½ 3½   46 712¼ (dutrow richard )RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 8.90  
 
AQU-7   12/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:392   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNT AGAIN 4 2 32 42 3 1nk 1 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 28% 2.50 2.75 W
SMOKIE EYES 5 1 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 48% 1.10 4.60 P
RACING COLORS 7 6 810 810½ 88 36 3 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20 S
SARATOGA KISSES 2 5 55 55 5 4 48 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 3.75  
JUST A NYQUIST 1 8 68 6 66 6 512 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 5.00 4.60  
SHESASCOLDASICE 3 4 78 7 76 5 612½ (ferraro )DAVIS A 123 15.00 30.60  
BERNING HONOR 6 7 43 31 43 818¾ 731½ (schettino do)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 25.40  
MAGGIE T 8 3 1 1½ 1½ 714¾ 840 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 3.55  
 
AQU-8   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFUAH 3 5 31 5 5 12 12 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 4.30  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
CLEVER FOREVER 2 7 6 6 6 32 22 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 55% 0.80 1.45 P
  (by LAOBAN out of WAY SMARTER by SMART STRIKE)
TWIRLING VINE 5 1 1½ 1nk 11 22 3 (lugovich l)RIVERA R 124 12.00 10.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
BEARY FUNNY 4 3 53 4 31 4 4 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 10% 8.70 3.95  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
MUGSY FURY 1 8 87 8 7 5 5 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 40.25  
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
DOMINATION 8 6 7 7 8 8 611¼ (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 11% 7.90 5.20  
  (by LAOBAN out of MAY WHO by LION HEART)
DOLLY'S BANK 7 2 2½ 3.2 4 66 714½ (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00 54.25  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LEMON DROP DOLLY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCHERZANDO 6 4 4 2nk 21 7 815 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.