The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $18.40 -4.00
AQU-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $24.40 -4.00
AQU-3   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 -2.70
AQU-4   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.70 -6.00
AQU-5   Win (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
AQU-6   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -1.10
AQU-7   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $21.40 -6.00
AQU-8   Win (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -2.50
AQU-9   Win (2/9/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $11.00 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECONCILE 2 1 1½ 1½   11(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 8.20  
BOURBON SERENGETI 4 2 2½ 2½   22(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.30 2.05 P
DOROTHY'S DREAMS 1 4 5 4   433 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 4.40 S
SARIR 3 5 42 33   35 4(ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.80 35% 1.80 1.00  
SABRINA 5 3 32 57   510 5(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 11.30  
SCR  GATE SONG               (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  TIARELLA               (de horac)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
 
AQU-2   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSIENKO 4 5 4 3   21 1(lalman denni)RIVERA R 115 8.00 11.20  
QUICK MUNNY 1 1 1½ 12   11 2(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 17% 4.70 3.90 P
SECRET LOVE (ARG) 5 2 5 43   43(kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 20.40 S
DISCO EBO 2 4 2½ 22   348 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 0.80 1.30  
RACHEL'S ROCK 3 3 31 5   55(david a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 51% 1.00 1.30  
 
AQU-3   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FACE ABARRIO 6 1 12 1   11(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 0.60 20% 4.00 1.65 W
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 2 5 4 3   33 2(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 16% 5.40 3.05 P
GUN MAESTRO 1 7 7 4   23(abreu fernando)USKE S 122 6.00 5.30  
HAPPY BOB 8 4 22 2   44(schettino )DAVIS A 122 8.00 4.50  
FLASH KISS 3 6 3 56   55 5(terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 14% 6.10 10.30  
SCOTTO 5 8 810½ 814½   711½ 612¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00 66.25  
FLASHY ALEX 7 3 53 611   611 712¾ (persa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00 24.50  
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 4 2 6 713   818½ 827¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12% 7.10 9.70  
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.60    
 
AQU-4   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY AZTECA 6 2 2nk 11   13 1(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 0.85  
HARLAN'S BOND 3 4 44 55   44 2(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 10.50  
CURLINS CHOIR 5 5 56 45   55 33 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 45% 1.20 3.75 S
WILL BE FAMOUS 1 3 3 32   23 4(toscano john)RIVERA R 113 4.00 3.65  
DIVINE CROSS 2 6 6 67   67 55 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
WARSAICHI 4 1 1nk 21   34 67 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 22% 3.60 13.60  
 
AQU-5   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDED 5 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 13 1(ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 25% 2.90 1.70 W
CALLING AN AUDIBLE 3 8 8 41 32 23 2(barker edwar)RIVERA R 114 15.00 11.90  
FIVE TO TWO 1 1 3.2 2nk 2½ 33(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 40% 1.50 4.50 S
CALL HER BLUFF 4 5 5 6 75 44(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 8% 11.00 12.40  
TROUBLED LUCK 2 2 6 5 6 79 513 (delauro j)LUZZI J 119 30.00 49.25  
COLLECT THE DATA 6 4 2nk 3½ 4 58 613½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 3.40  
BROOKLYN DANTZ 7 6 4 8 8 811 714¼ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
STARSINTHECITY 8 7 7 7 5 68 820½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 5.00  
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS               (chichakly amir)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
 
AQU-6   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING SPEED 2 5 5 21   1nk 12 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 46% 1.20 0.45 W
HIGH HEAT 1 1 1nk 11   2nk 22 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 24% 3.20 5.30 P
11  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 5 4 4¼ 32   36 312¾ (breed rona)DAVIS A 124 30.00 15.90  
10  GANDY DANCING 4 2 3.2 4   4414¼ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 4.40  
MACH ONE 3 3 2nk 54   5514¾ (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 122 30.00 8.50  
SCR  FORWARD MOTION               (ferraro an)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  CHATEAU               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
SCR  CANDY TYCOON               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60    
SCR  MR PHIL               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  AVA K'S BOY               (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
 
AQU-7   12/17/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:163 1:411   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN DON'T STOP 5 5 4 3 1nk 1½ 1(noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 9.70  
VIN SANTO 7 3 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 2(brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 3.25 P
DIXIE PHARAOH 4 1 3 4 4 34 3(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 24% 3.20 4.20 S
INONIT 1 2 53 5 5 54(lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 20% 3.90 2.80  
MALIBU MARGARITA 6 4 2 2½ 3.2 456 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.00 15% 5.80 2.95  
MANNY PENNY 3 6 79 67 6 614½ 617½ (coffey marialice)USKE S 119 30.00 36.50  
PROPHETIC 2 7 67 7 711¾ 720½ 721½ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 6.40  
SCR  DILLON               (schettino domini)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
 
AQU-8   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKER'S CANDY 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90 1.75 W
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 6 4 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 2¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 10% 9.00 2.85 P
ROCCO STRONG 2 2 3½ 33 34 339 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 14% 6.30 5.80 S
HOLD THE SALSA 3 5 68 710 7 5410½ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00 60.00  
LUNI SIMA 4 7 7 6 57 48 512¾ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 25.25  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 7 3 5 4 4 6614¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
DADDY KNOWS 8 6 45 58 69 713½ 717¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00 3.85  
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 5 8 813½ 812 813 816½ 828½ (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 6.20  
SCR  DARK VECTOR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
AQU-9   12/17/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:382   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ENGINEER EMPIRE 9 2 21 2½ 11 15 16 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.50  
SHARED SUCCESS 4 1 42 4 3 25 26 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 10% 8.90 3.25 P
HORSE BE WITH YOU 5 4 3 5 66 43(englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 7% 13.80 9.70 S
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 1 7 63 8 55 347 (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 118 15.00 26.00  
SUPREME BEING 7 10 1011½ 1014¾ 910 611 511 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
BE OF COURAGE 2 8 53 31 4 510 613 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 40% 1.50 7.00  
11  ACH DU LIEBER 10 6 9 9 1010½ 916 717½ (breed rona)DAVIS A 123 30.00 53.25  
LAUREL VALLEY 8 3 11 1½ 21 712½ 821 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 22% 3.60 3.20  
STREET COP OFFICER 6 9 85 7 87 815½ 921 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 34.50  
UNCLE MARTY 3 5 7 65 77 1023 1031¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 5.80  
SCR  SHPILKES               (preciado guadalu)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.