Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-3   EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $14.70 $2.70 23%
AQU-6   EXA (4/1)-(4/1/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-1 $9.30 $5.30 133%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECONCILE 2 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 8.20  
  (by WAR FRONT out of WELCOMING by TAPIT)
BOURBON SERENGETI 4 2 2½ 2½   2 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.30 2.05 P
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TANZANIA ROAD by ARCH)
DOROTHY'S DREAMS 1 4 5 4   4 33 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 4.40 S
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
SARIR 3 5 42 33   35 4 (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.80 35% 1.80 1.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWAK by SCAT DADDY)
SABRINA 5 3 32 57   510 5 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 11.30  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SUCCESSFUL SLEW by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  GATE SONG               (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
SCR  TIARELLA               (de hor)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
 
AQU-2   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSIENKO 4 5 4 3   21 1 (lalman den)RIVERA R 115 8.00 11.20  
QUICK MUNNY 1 1 1½ 12   11 2 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 17% 4.70 3.90 P
SECRET LOVE (ARG) 5 2 5 43   4 3 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 20.40 S
DISCO EBO 2 4 2½ 22   3 48 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 0.80 1.30  
RACHEL'S ROCK 3 3 31 5   5 5 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 51% 1.00 1.30  
 
AQU-3   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FACE ABARRIO 6 1 12 1   1 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 0.60 20% 4.00 1.65 W
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 2 5 4 3   33 2 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 16% 5.40 3.05 P
GUN MAESTRO 1 7 7 4   2 3 (abreu fernando)USKE S 122 6.00 5.30  
HAPPY BOB 8 4 22 2   4 4 (schettin)DAVIS A 122 8.00 4.50  
FLASH KISS 3 6 3 56   55 5 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 14% 6.10 10.30  
SCOTTO 5 8 810½ 814½   711½ 612¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00 66.25  
FLASHY ALEX 7 3 53 611   611 712¾ (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00 24.50  
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 4 2 6 713   818½ 827¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12% 7.10 9.70  
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.60    
 
AQU-4   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY AZTECA 6 2 2nk 11   13 1 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 0.85  
HARLAN'S BOND 3 4 44 55   44 2 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 10.50  
CURLINS CHOIR 5 5 56 45   55 33 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 45% 1.20 3.75 S
WILL BE FAMOUS 1 3 3 32   23 4 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 113 4.00 3.65  
DIVINE CROSS 2 6 6 67   67 55 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
WARSAICHI 4 1 1nk 21   34 67 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 22% 3.60 13.60  
 
AQU-5   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDED 5 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 13 1 (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 25% 2.90 1.70 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CALLING AN AUDIBLE 3 8 8 41 32 23 2 (barker edw)RIVERA R 114 15.00 11.90  
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
FIVE TO TWO 1 1 3.2 2nk 2½ 3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 40% 1.50 4.50 S
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
CALL HER BLUFF 4 5 5 6 75 4 4 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 8% 11.00 12.40  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
TROUBLED LUCK 2 2 6 5 6 79 513 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 119 30.00 49.25  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
COLLECT THE DATA 6 4 2nk 3½ 4 58 613½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 3.40  
  (by UPSTART out of DISCREET LADY by RIVOTIOUS)
BROOKLYN DANTZ 7 6 4 8 8 811 714¼ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
STARSINTHECITY 8 7 7 7 5 68 820½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 5.00  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS               (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
 
AQU-6   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING SPEED 2 5 5 21   1nk 12 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 46% 1.20 0.45 W
HIGH HEAT 1 1 1nk 11   2nk 22 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 24% 3.20 5.30 P
11  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 5 4 4¼ 32   36 312¾ (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 30.00 15.90  
10  GANDY DANCING 4 2 3.2 4   4 414¼ (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 4.40  
MACH ONE 3 3 2nk 54   5 514¾ (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 122 30.00 8.50  
SCR  FORWARD MOTION               (ferraro m )RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  CHATEAU               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
SCR  CANDY TYCOON               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60    
SCR  MR PHIL               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  AVA K'S BOY               (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
 
AQU-7   12/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:163 1:411   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN DON'T STOP 5 5 4 3 1nk 1½ 1 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 9.70  
  (by BIG BROWN out of KNIGHT TRAIN by MICROMANAGE)
VIN SANTO 7 3 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 2 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 3.25 P
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
DIXIE PHARAOH 4 1 3 4 4 34 3 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 24% 3.20 4.20 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of POSSESSIVE by BERNARDINI)
INONIT 1 2 53 5 5 5 4 (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 20% 3.90 2.80  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
MALIBU MARGARITA 6 4 2 2½ 3.2 4 56 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.00 15% 5.80 2.95  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FROSTY MARGARITA by FROST GIANT)
MANNY PENNY 3 6 79 67 6 614½ 617½ (coffey marialice)USKE S 119 30.00 36.50  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SUN PENNIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
PROPHETIC 2 7 67 7 711¾ 720½ 721½ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 6.40  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
SCR  DILLON               (schettino domi)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
 
AQU-8   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKER'S CANDY 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1¼ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90 1.75 W
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 6 4 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 2¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 10% 9.00 2.85 P
ROCCO STRONG 2 2 3½ 33 34 3 39 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 14% 6.30 5.80 S
HOLD THE SALSA 3 5 68 710 7 5 410½ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00 60.00  
LUNI SIMA 4 7 7 6 57 48 512¾ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 25.25  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 7 3 5 4 4 6 614¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
DADDY KNOWS 8 6 45 58 69 713½ 717¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00 3.85  
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 5 8 813½ 812 813 816½ 828½ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 6.20  
SCR  DARK VECTOR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
AQU-9   12/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:382   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ENGINEER EMPIRE 9 2 21 2½ 11 15 16 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 4.50  
SHARED SUCCESS 4 1 42 4 3 25 26 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 10% 8.90 3.25 P
HORSE BE WITH YOU 5 4 3 5 66 4 3 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 7% 13.80 9.70 S
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 1 7 63 8 55 3 47 (friedman mit)HARKIE K 118 15.00 26.00  
SUPREME BEING 7 10 1011½ 1014¾ 910 611 511 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
BE OF COURAGE 2 8 53 31 4 510 613 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 40% 1.50 7.00  
11  ACH DU LIEBER 10 6 9 9 1010½ 916 717½ (breed ro)DAVIS A 123 30.00 53.25  
LAUREL VALLEY 8 3 11 1½ 21 712½ 821 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 22% 3.60 3.20  
STREET COP OFFICER 6 9 85 7 87 815½ 921 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 34.50  
UNCLE MARTY 3 5 7 65 77 1023 1031¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 5.80  
SCR  SHPILKES               (preciado guada)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.