Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/1)-(1/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/3/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/3/4/5)-(5/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(5/4/2)-(1/5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/5/4/8)-(4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/8)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/8)-(4/1)-(5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/10)-(4/1/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/1/7)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(1/3/7/8)-(2/9/4/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/8)-(2/9/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/9/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/5/8)-(2/9/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/5/8)-(2/9/4/5/8)-(2/9/4/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GATE SONG         (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
2  DOROTHY'S DREAMS Nov24 Oct13 Aug31 Jul08   (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 ★    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  RECONCILE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of WELCOMING by TAPIT)
4  SARIR         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWAK by SCAT DADDY)
5  BOURBON SERENGETI         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TANZANIA ROAD by ARCH)
6  SABRINA         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SUCCESSFUL SLEW by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  TIARELLA         (de hor)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
 
AQU-2   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK MUNNY Dec01 Oct28 Sep17 Jul28 Jun23 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
2  DISCO EBO Oct31 Apr24 Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 0.80    
3  RACHEL'S ROCK Nov24 Oct28 Oct12 Sep17 May18 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  MOSIENKO Dec01 Oct12 Aug19 Jul20 Jun16 (lalman den)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
5  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 Dec02 Oct30 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FACE ABARRIO Dec01 Nov16 Oct07 Aug26 Aug18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 0.60 20% 4.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER Nov10 Oct21 Jun25 Mar04 Jan28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.60    
2  GUN MAESTRO Nov17 Oct21 Sep01 Aug18 Jun18 (abreu fernando)USKE S 122 6.00    
3  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Nov24 Mar18 Nov06     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
4  FLASH KISS Nov17 Oct14 Apr20 Dec16 Jul17 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
5  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Nov17 Oct14 Oct05 Sep15 Jun11 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
6  SCOTTO Nov11 Oct15 Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00    
7  FLASHY ALEX Jan01 Dec04 Nov25 Oct22 Oct07 (per)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00    
8  HAPPY BOB Nov20 Nov11 Sep14 Aug16 Aug04 (schettin)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
 
AQU-4   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL BE FAMOUS Dec03 Nov18 Nov03 Sep22 Aug16 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 113 4.00    
2  DIVINE CROSS Nov30 Sep14 Aug16 Jan22 Dec04 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Dec03 Nov09 Oct08 Sep14 Aug09 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
4  WARSAICHI Nov14 Oct23 Oct04 Aug21 Jul31 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  CURLINS CHOIR May20 Mar30 Mar03 Jan26 Dec10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  FANCY AZTECA Nov25 Oct05 Aug09 Jul02 Apr27 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20    
 
AQU-5   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE TO TWO Dec01         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
2  TROUBLED LUCK Dec01 Nov10 Oct13     (delauro edward)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Nov02 Oct12       (barker edw)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
4  CALL HER BLUFF Dec09 Nov09 Oct01 Sep01 Aug09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 8% 11.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
5  LANDED Sep28         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS         (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
7  COLLECT THE DATA Oct22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of DISCREET LADY by RIVOTIOUS)
8  BROOKLYN DANTZ Nov19         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  STARSINTHECITY Nov02 Oct12       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-6   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH HEAT May30 May15 Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MR PHIL Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 Jul16 Jun22 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  CHATEAU Nov18 Oct14 Jul30 Jul12 Jul02 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
4  STRIKING SPEED Nov11 Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 Aug04 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  AVA K'S BOY Nov21 Oct24 Oct09 Sep25 Aug28 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  CANDY TYCOON Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60    
SCR  FORWARD MOTION Dec01 Oct09 Sep20 Aug28 Jul31 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 119 20.00    
8  MACH ONE Dec08 May21 May13 Apr16 Jan26 (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE Nov30 Sep09 Aug11 May13 Apr08 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
10  GANDY DANCING Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep28 Jul14 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 ★    
11  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Nov06 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Sep12 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
 
AQU-7   12/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INONIT Nov17 Oct13 Aug11     (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
2  PROPHETIC Nov17 Oct20       (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
SCR  DILLON Nov03 Sep17 Aug03     (schettino domi)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
4  MANNY PENNY         (coffey marialice)USKE S 119 30.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SUN PENNIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  DIXIE PHARAOH Nov03 Sep04 Aug23 Jul16   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of POSSESSIVE by BERNARDINI)
6  BROWN DON'T STOP Nov03 Oct14       (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of KNIGHT TRAIN by MICROMANAGE)
7  MALIBU MARGARITA Nov04         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FROSTY MARGARITA by FROST GIANT)
8  VIN SANTO Nov17 Nov03 Sep17 Sep02   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
 
AQU-8   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKER'S CANDY Nov04 Oct07 Aug27 Jul17 May29 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  DARK VECTOR Dec02 Oct26 Aug25 Jul08 Jun10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
3  ROCCO STRONG Dec02 Oct21 Sep21 Aug10 Jun25 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
4  HOLD THE SALSA Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 Jun24 May27 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00    
5  LUNI SIMA Oct21 Sep28 Jun10 May21 Apr14 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
6  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Nov26 Nov05 Sep28 Aug20 Jul07 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
7  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul03 Dec08 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
8  GHOSTLYPRINCE Nov16 Oct19 Sep14 Aug16 Jul09 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  DADDY KNOWS Nov19 Jun11 May11 Mar25 Feb26 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00    
 
AQU-9   12/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Nov16 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul28 (friedman mit)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
2  BE OF COURAGE Nov16 Oct28 Oct04 Sep17 Aug27 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
3  UNCLE MARTY Oct20 Sep24 Aug30 May05 Apr07 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
4  SHARED SUCCESS Nov08 Oct23 Sep25 Aug27 Aug05 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 10% 8.90    
5  HORSE BE WITH YOU Nov20 Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Aug28 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 7% 13.80    
6  STREET COP OFFICER Nov14 Oct25 Oct02 Sep06 Aug22 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
SCR  SHPILKES Oct18 Oct04 Sep11 Jun10 May22 (preciado guada)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
8  SUPREME BEING Nov18 Oct31 Oct18 Sep24 Sep05 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  LAUREL VALLEY Nov18 Oct26 Sep16 Aug23 Jun25 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
10  ENGINEER EMPIRE Nov18 Mar26 Feb26     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
11  ACH DU LIEBER Nov20 Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Aug31 (breed ro)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.