Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-4 $12.50 $3.50 39%
AQU-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-1 $5.10 $1.10 28%
    DD (4/7/1)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $10.80 $4.80 80%
AQU-6   WIN (8/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.40 $3.40 43%
    DD (6/5/3/10/2)-(8/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-4 $21.00 $1.00 5%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VINO BARBARINO 7 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 15% 5.70 5.20 W
4  FLUFF THE PILLOW 4 4 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 39% 1.60 1.00 P
3  ROSSINGTON 3 7 78½ 711¼ 77½ 67 36¼ (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 29.00  
5  STATES UNITED 5 3 42 31½ 32 35 47¼ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 3.75  
1  CROWN THAT SAINT 1 6 66 66¼ 53½ 56½ 58 (noda orlando)HARKIE K 119 12.00 15% 5.70 18.10  
6  GAME MISCONDUCT 6 2 31 41¾ 42½ 45½ 610 (delauro edwar)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00 23.70  
2  UNCLE EDDIE 2 5 53 53¼ 66 79 710¾ (contessa g)RIVERA R 114 10.00 ★ 3.95  
 
AQU-2   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Alex Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DR ARDITO 3 2 53½ 56½ 44½ 23 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.00 31% 2.20 1.70 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
1  AGGREGATION 1 3 2nk 1½ 13½ 13 2½ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 40% 1.50 1.25 P
  (by FLATTER out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
2  BARESE 2 4 1nk 2½ 23½ 45 35 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 7.70  
  (by LAOBAN out of RIGHT PREVAILS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  GENERAL BANKER 4 5 42½ 33½ 33½ 35 45 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 ★ 3.65  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM 5 1 32 44 511 520 528¾ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 17.00  
  (by CURLIN out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
AQU-3   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GOLDFIRE 8 4 41½ 31½ 3.2 11 1½ (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 4.40  
8  JUDGE RULES 7 7 64 63½ 41¾ 21 2½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 51% 1.00 1.50 P
4  SOLO TONIGHT 4 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 31 33 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.00 1.70 S
2  ARCO AUGUSTA 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 42 47¼ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
6  BLUE MARBLE 5 3 52 52½ 53¼ 512 520¾ (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 12.00 11.00  
3  MORQ 3 6 74½ 74½ 77¾ 718 621½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00 56.25  
1  GO GRAD 1 5 31 42 63¾ 615 724½ (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
7  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 6 8 811½ 813½ 817¾ 838 862½ (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 26.00  
SCR  HAIR ON FIRE               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
 
AQU-4   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:10 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 8 2 31½ 31 2nk 12 13 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 8.20  
6  VON HOFF 6 3 2nk 1nk 3½ 22 23 (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 12% 7.60 17.80 P
4  GRANDPA'S KID 4 8 812¾ 811¾ 53½ 53½ 33 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 10.00 7.00  
3  MANDATORY 3 5 52¾ 54¼ 43 43½ 43¼ (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 16% 5.10 4.50  
7  THANK YOU JON 7 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 33 57½ (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.55  
2  GUT FEELING 2 6 65¾ 64¾ 74¾ 65½ 67¾ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 23% 3.40 5.80  
1  THE COBBLER 1 7 78¾ 76¾ 85¼ 77½ 712 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00 15.30  
5  VODKA MARDINI 5 4 41¾ 41¼ 63¾ 89 813¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 6.50  
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  CENTAVO               (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
 
AQU-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOC SULLIVAN 7 6 66½ 33   2nk 11¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.60 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  SORORITY PRANK 9 1 22 22   1nk 21¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 11.60  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  ALLIED ATTACK 5 11 77½ 76¾   45½ 35½ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 27% 2.70 2.75 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  LI'L LANG 1 3 12 12   3½ 46 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 7% 13.10 8.70  
  (by TAPITURE out of POSITIVELY JEAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
1A  EXECUTIVE MOVE 11 4 45½ 66½   67 58 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00 28.75  
  (by THE FACTOR out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
10  CHARLES J 10 5 89 86¾   89½ 69 (lee jose)DAVIS A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
1  IRIE MAN 2 8 109½ 109   78½ 79¾ (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 28.75  
  (by CONGRATS out of VERY ACCOMPLISHED by BORREGO)
2  SHORE TIME 4 7 99½ 98¾   99¾ 813¾ (siculietano d)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
4  BIG RICH 3 10 56 56½   1010¾ 916½ (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 4.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GENEROSITY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2B  FRATELLINO 6 2 33 43½   56½ 1017¼ (siculietano d)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 17.90  
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
8  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE 8 9 1114½ 1116   1119¾ 1131 (englehart )RIVERA R 114 12.00 33.25  
  (by FREUD out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY               (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE EYED by FRIENDLY LOVER)
 
AQU-6   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 2 6 53½ 34   11 12½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 13% 6.90 4.70 W
5  ROYAL TRYST 3 9 912½ 915   84¾ 22½ (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 29.50  
8  MY HARBORS DREAM 6 2 2½ 1nk   21 32¾ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.00 39% 1.60 1.65 S
10  FLINT RIDGE 9 8 86½ 78   63½ 44 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 119 8.00 8% 11.40 7.00  
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 7 76½ 810½   74½ 54¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 14.30  
7  CAJUN CASANOVA 5 1 43 67   53½ 64¼ (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 11% 8.20 10.20  
6  POPPY'S PRIDE 4 4 1½ 2nk   31½ 74¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 4.00  
1A  TETSU 8 5 64½ 45   42½ 84¾ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 ★ 8.00  
9  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 7 3 32½ 55½   911¾ 922½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 41.75  
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE               (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00    
 
AQU-7   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:103 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GUNTOWN 6 5 31½ 52¼ 51¾ 3.2 1½ (abreu fern)RIVERA R 118 6.00 8.20  
5  SYNTHESIS 4 3 11 1nk 2nk 1nk 2½ (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 19.60  
2  BOLD ENDEAVOR 1 8 53½ 32 3.2 51¾ 3½ (rodriguez gu)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60 S
4  BOURBON CALLING 3 4 41½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 4¾ (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 ★ 5.10  
10  STOLEN BASE 9 6 85¾ 73¾ 63¼ 41¾ 51¾ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 14.70  
8  POWER SEEKER 7 9 97¾ 96 73½ 73½ 63 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
9  DUCALE 8 1 63¾ 42¼ 41¾ 63¼ 73¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80 2.00  
3  MR BOB 2 7 74¼ 84 87½ 87½ 89 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 12.90  
1A  LIFE CHANGER 5 2 21 63¼ 99 99 917¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 13% 6.50 14.90  
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
SCR  MONTAUK POINT               (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
 
AQU-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADY MINE 5 12 86½ 53½   3½ 13¼ (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★ 2.75  
9  LITTLE LINZEE 8 5 41½ 3½   1nk 23¼ (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 7.30  
3  HARLAN'S BOND 3 8 107¼ 76   63¾ 33¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 14.80  
13  SANDY'S GARDEN 12 1 2nk 1½   2nk 45½ (lee jose)DAVIS A 122 10.00 20% 4.00 5.60  
2  EASY PLAY 2 2 1nk 2½   41½ 55½ (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
12  NEWSDLEY 11 6 52 42½   74¾ 66¼ (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 44.00  
10  HIGHWAY HARMONY 9 7 63 64   53½ 76½ (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00 36.50  
4  TRUE EMPRESS 4 9 97 910½   87¼ 89 (martin car)RIVERA R 117 4.00 33% 2.00 3.80  
8  YANKEE AGATE 7 3 75½ 810   98¼ 99½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 26.25  
1  SCORING CHANCE 1 11 1212¼ 1213½   109¼ 109½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90 3.85  
7  JACKSON AVENUE 6 10 117¾ 1113   119¼ 1111¾ (breed j)LUZZI J 122 30.00 55.25  
11  SPECIAL PAL 10 4 3½ 1012   1214¼ 1221½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 88.00  
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.