The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 6.40
AQU-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
AQU-3   Win (8/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $10.80 -8.00
AQU-4   Win (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $18.40 -8.00
AQU-5   Win (6/5/3/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -2.80
AQU-6   Win (8/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 3.40
AQU-7   Win (8/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $18.40 -8.00
AQU-8   Win (4/1/13/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.50 -8.00
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VINO BARBARINO 7 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 15% 5.70 5.20 W
4  FLUFF THE PILLOW 4 4 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 39% 1.60 1.00 P
3  ROSSINGTON 3 7 78½ 711¼ 77½ 67 36¼ (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 29.00  
5  STATES UNITED 5 3 42 31½ 32 35 47¼ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 3.75  
1  CROWN THAT SAINT 1 6 66 66¼ 53½ 56½ 58 (noda orlando)HARKIE K 119 12.00 15% 5.70 18.10  
6  GAME MISCONDUCT 6 2 31 41¾ 42½ 45½ 610 (delauro edward )OLVER MADISON 114 15.00 23.70  
2  UNCLE EDDIE 2 5 53 53¼ 66 79 710¾ (contessa gar)RIVERA R 114 10.00 ★ 3.95  
 
AQU-2   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alex Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DR ARDITO 3 2 53½ 56½ 44½ 23 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.00 31% 2.20 1.70 W
1  AGGREGATION 1 3 2nk 1½ 13½ 13 2½ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 40% 1.50 1.25 P
2  BARESE 2 4 1nk 2½ 23½ 45 35 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 7.70  
4  GENERAL BANKER 4 5 42½ 33½ 33½ 35 45 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 ★ 3.65  
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM 5 1 32 44 511 520 528¾ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 17.00  
 
AQU-3   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GOLDFIRE 8 4 41½ 31½ 3.2 11 1½ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 4.40  
8  JUDGE RULES 7 7 64 63½ 41¾ 21 2½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 51% 1.00 1.50 P
4  SOLO TONIGHT 4 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 31 33 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.00 1.70 S
2  ARCO AUGUSTA 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 42 47¼ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
6  BLUE MARBLE 5 3 52 52½ 53¼ 512 520¾ (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 12.00 11.00  
3  MORQ 3 6 74½ 74½ 77¾ 718 621½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00 56.25  
1  GO GRAD 1 5 31 42 63¾ 615 724½ (d'alessandro ra)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
7  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 6 8 811½ 813½ 817¾ 838 862½ (goberdhan chandra)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 26.00  
SCR  HAIR ON FIRE               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
 
AQU-4   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:10 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 8 2 31½ 31 2nk 12 13 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 8.20  
6  VON HOFF 6 3 2nk 1nk 3½ 22 23 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 12% 7.60 17.80 P
4  GRANDPA'S KID 4 8 812¾ 811¾ 53½ 53½ 33 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 10.00 7.00  
3  MANDATORY 3 5 52¾ 54¼ 43 43½ 43¼ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 16% 5.10 4.50  
7  THANK YOU JON 7 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 33 57½ (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.55  
2  GUT FEELING 2 6 65¾ 64¾ 74¾ 65½ 67¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 23% 3.40 5.80  
1  THE COBBLER 1 7 78¾ 76¾ 85¼ 77½ 712 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00 15.30  
5  VODKA MARDINI 5 4 41¾ 41¼ 63¾ 89 813¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 6.50  
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  CENTAVO               (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
 
AQU-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOC SULLIVAN 7 6 66½ 33   2nk 11¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.60 W
9  SORORITY PRANK 9 1 22 22   1nk 21¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 11.60  
5  ALLIED ATTACK 5 11 77½ 76¾   45½ 35½ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 27% 2.70 2.75 S
3  LI'L LANG 1 3 12 12   3½ 46 (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 7% 13.10 8.70  
1A  EXECUTIVE MOVE 11 4 45½ 66½   67 58 (baker)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00 28.75  
10  CHARLES J 10 5 89 86¾   89½ 69 (lee joseph)DAVIS A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
1  IRIE MAN 2 8 109½ 109   78½ 79¾ (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 28.75  
2  SHORE TIME 4 7 99½ 98¾   99¾ 813¾ (siculietano dan)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
4  BIG RICH 3 10 56 56½   1010¾ 916½ (antonucci m)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 4.40  
2B  FRATELLINO 6 2 33 43½   56½ 1017¼ (siculietano dan)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 17.90  
8  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE 8 9 1114½ 1116   1119¾ 1131 (englehart je)RIVERA R 114 12.00 33.25  
SCR  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY               (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
 
AQU-6   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 2 6 53½ 34   11 12½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 13% 6.90 4.70 W
5  ROYAL TRYST 3 9 912½ 915   84¾ 22½ (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 29.50  
8  MY HARBORS DREAM 6 2 2½ 1nk   21 32¾ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.00 39% 1.60 1.65 S
10  FLINT RIDGE 9 8 86½ 78   63½ 44 (rodriguez gu)RIVERA R 119 8.00 8% 11.40 7.00  
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 7 76½ 810½   74½ 54¼ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 14.30  
7  CAJUN CASANOVA 5 1 43 67   53½ 64¼ (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 11% 8.20 10.20  
6  POPPY'S PRIDE 4 4 1½ 2nk   31½ 74¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 4.00  
1A  TETSU 8 5 64½ 45   42½ 84¾ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 ★ 8.00  
9  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 7 3 32½ 55½   911¾ 922½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 41.75  
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE               (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 30.00    
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00    
 
AQU-7   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:103 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GUNTOWN 6 5 31½ 52¼ 51¾ 3.2 1½ (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 118 6.00 8.20  
5  SYNTHESIS 4 3 11 1nk 2nk 1nk 2½ (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 19.60  
2  BOLD ENDEAVOR 1 8 53½ 32 3.2 51¾ 3½ (rodriguez gust)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60 S
4  BOURBON CALLING 3 4 41½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 4¾ (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 ★ 5.10  
10  STOLEN BASE 9 6 85¾ 73¾ 63¼ 41¾ 51¾ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 14.70  
8  POWER SEEKER 7 9 97¾ 96 73½ 73½ 63 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
9  DUCALE 8 1 63¾ 42¼ 41¾ 63¼ 73¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80 2.00  
3  MR BOB 2 7 74¼ 84 87½ 87½ 89 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 12.90  
1A  LIFE CHANGER 5 2 21 63¼ 99 99 917¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 13% 6.50 14.90  
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
SCR  MONTAUK POINT               (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
 
AQU-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADY MINE 5 12 86½ 53½   3½ 13¼ (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★ 2.75  
9  LITTLE LINZEE 8 5 41½ 3½   1nk 23¼ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 7.30  
3  HARLAN'S BOND 3 8 107¼ 76   63¾ 33¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 14.80  
13  SANDY'S GARDEN 12 1 2nk 1½   2nk 45½ (lee joseph)DAVIS A 122 10.00 20% 4.00 5.60  
2  EASY PLAY 2 2 1nk 2½   41½ 55½ (d'alessandro ral)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
12  NEWSDLEY 11 6 52 42½   74¾ 66¼ (synnefias dim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 44.00  
10  HIGHWAY HARMONY 9 7 63 64   53½ 76½ (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00 36.50  
4  TRUE EMPRESS 4 9 97 910½   87¼ 89 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 117 4.00 33% 2.00 3.80  
8  YANKEE AGATE 7 3 75½ 810   98¼ 99½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 26.25  
1  SCORING CHANCE 1 11 1212¼ 1213½   109¼ 109½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90 3.85  
7  JACKSON AVENUE 6 10 117¾ 1113   119¼ 1111¾ (breed jr)LUZZI J 122 30.00 55.25  
11  SPECIAL PAL 10 4 3½ 1012   1214¼ 1221½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00 88.00  
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.