Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(1/3)-(8/4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(8/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(8/4/2/1)-(7/2/3/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-3   WIN (8/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/1)-(7/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/1)-(7/2/3/6)-(6/5/3/10/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(6/5/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(6/5/3/10/2)-(8/4/7/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/5/3/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/10/2)-(6/5/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/10/2)-(6/5/3/10/2)-(6/5/3/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/10/2)-(8/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/10/2)-(8/4/7/10)-(8/9/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/10)-(8/4/7/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/10)-(8/4/7/10/1)-(8/4/7/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/7/10)-(8/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/10)-(8/9/1/2)-(4/1/13/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/2)-(8/9/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/2)-(8/9/1/4/2)-(8/9/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/1/2)-(4/1/13/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/1/13/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/13/2)-(4/1/13/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/13/2)-(4/1/13/2/5)-(4/1/13/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN THAT SAINT Nov30 Oct07 Aug04 Jul20   (noda orlando)HARKIE K 119 12.00 15% 5.70    
2  UNCLE EDDIE Sep03 Aug26 Aug04 Jul20 Jun28 (contessa g)RIVERA R 114 10.00 ★    
3  ROSSINGTON Nov27         (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
4  FLUFF THE PILLOW Nov24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 39% 1.60    
5  STATES UNITED Oct01         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50    
6  GAME MISCONDUCT Dec14 Oct13 Aug10 Jul09   (delauro edwar)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
7  VINO BARBARINO Dec02         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-2   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Alex Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGGREGATION Nov19 Oct04 Aug23 May11 Jul18 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by FLATTER out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
2  BARESE Dec03 Oct29 Sep04 Aug11 Jul01 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of RIGHT PREVAILS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  DR ARDITO Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug11 May29 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.00 31% 2.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
4  GENERAL BANKER Dec03 Oct15 May14 Apr22 Apr08 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM Oct29 May29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
AQU-3   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GRAD Nov20 Oct18 Sep25     (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ARCO AUGUSTA Oct13 Sep04       (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MORQ Dec02 Nov21 Oct19     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 30.00    
4  SOLO TONIGHT Dec08         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  HAIR ON FIRE Dec02 Oct05       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
6  BLUE MARBLE Dec02 Oct20 Oct05     (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 12.00    
7  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Nov21 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 Aug18 (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
8  JUDGE RULES Nov17         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
9  GOLDFIRE Oct22         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00    
 
AQU-4   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COBBLER Dec16 Nov26 Nov11 Oct20 Aug17 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00    
2  GUT FEELING Nov11 Oct07 Sep14 Aug12 Apr01 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  MANDATORY Dec02 May13 Apr20 Mar24 Feb19 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
4  GRANDPA'S KID Dec15 Dec01 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
5  VODKA MARDINI Nov09 Oct13 Feb02 Jan08 Dec15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
6  VON HOFF Nov25         (russell brittan)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 12% 7.60    
7  THANK YOU JON Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 Aug05 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK Dec01 May21 Apr27 Feb20 Jan01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  CENTAVO Dec15 Aug02 Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
10  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Dec01 Nov10 Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
 
AQU-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIE MAN         (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of VERY ACCOMPLISHED by BORREGO)
1A  EXECUTIVE MOVE         (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
2  SHORE TIME Dec10 Sep14       (siculietano d)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
2B  FRATELLINO Dec10 Sep21       (siculietano d)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
3  LI'L LANG         (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 7% 13.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of POSITIVELY JEAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
4  BIG RICH         (antonucci jena )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GENEROSITY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  ALLIED ATTACK Nov18 Aug05       (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  DOC SULLIVAN Dec02         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY         (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE EYED by FRIENDLY LOVER)
8  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE         (englehart )RIVERA R 114 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
9  SORORITY PRANK Nov04 Oct04 Sep04     (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  CHARLES J Nov16         (lee jose)DAVIS A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
 
AQU-6   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TETSU Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Oct18 Aug18 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL Dec06 Nov12 Oct28 Oct12 Sep30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00    
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET Nov04 Oct07 Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE Dec07 Nov26 Nov03 Oct22 Sep28 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
4  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Sep16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  ROYAL TRYST Nov30 Oct28 Oct14 Sep04 Aug09 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
6  POPPY'S PRIDE Dec07 Nov03 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
7  CAJUN CASANOVA Nov18 Oct04 Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 11% 8.20    
8  MY HARBORS DREAM Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul29 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
9  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Nov17 Oct06 Sep28 Aug19 Jul26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
10  FLINT RIDGE Oct28 Oct04 Sep04 Jul26 May12 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 119 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
AQU-7   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LIFE CHANGER Nov30 Jun10 Apr01 Jan27 Nov26 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep03 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
2  BOLD ENDEAVOR Nov26 Oct26 Oct01 Sep21 Aug03 (rodriguez gu)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR BOB Dec09 Nov23 Oct15 Aug25 Feb04 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
4  BOURBON CALLING Dec02 Nov02 Oct01 Aug18 Jul16 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 ★    
5  SYNTHESIS Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 Sep15 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
6  GUNTOWN Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 Sep02 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
SCR  MONTAUK POINT Oct14 Sep02 Jul21 May18 Mar31 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
8  POWER SEEKER Dec02 Oct26 Oct29     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
9  DUCALE Nov23 Oct25 Apr16     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
10  STOLEN BASE Oct14 Sep09 Aug28 Jul30 Jul09 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
 
AQU-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORING CHANCE Nov19         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  EASY PLAY Dec03 Nov14 Oct03 Sep02 Aug08 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Dec17 Dec03 Nov09 Oct08 Sep14 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
4  TRUE EMPRESS Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug09 (martin car)RIVERA R 117 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  LADY MINE Jun16 Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 Sep23 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Dec08 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May11 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
7  JACKSON AVENUE Dec15 Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 Sep24 (breed j)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
8  YANKEE AGATE Nov25 Jul12 Jun17 May28 Apr21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
9  LITTLE LINZEE Dec03 Aug27 Jul19 Jun18 Apr23 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00    
10  HIGHWAY HARMONY Nov21 Dec04 Nov04 Aug12   (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
11  SPECIAL PAL Nov21 Nov07 Sep26 Sep12   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 30.00    
12  NEWSDLEY Dec01 Nov03 Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
13  SANDY'S GARDEN Nov14 Sep24 Sep02 Jul29 Jun21 (lee jose)DAVIS A 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.