The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
PEN-2   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $32.00 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (9/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
PEN-4   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $19.80 $19.80 13.80
PEN-5   Win (2/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
PEN-6   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
PEN-7   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $15.40 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT PELEE 4 2 2½ 1½   11 1(kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 3.00 11% 7.90 1.40 W
RIDLEY PARK 6 5 64 5   52(houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 8.30  
COOL IN BLUE 2 6 31 4   21 3(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 45% 1.20 2.30 S
TROPANDHAGEN 3 3 4 3   44(synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 20% 4.00 3.20  
CALI HEAT 1 1 1½ 2½   35(salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.00 6.30  
OUR ANDREW B 5 4 53 6   6615¼ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 118 8.00 39.40  
 
PEN-2   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSPECTIVE CANDY 5 1 2nk 11   11(graci a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 15.00  
WAHINE MEANIE 6 2 42 21   22(fields kevin)INIRIO J 121 6.00 17% 4.70 4.20 P
TRECHMO GIRL 4 5 58 5   58 3(kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 39.10  
LOUELLA STREET 1 4 3½ 3   34(aristone philip)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.00 39% 1.60 1.40  
CHASING ARTEMIS 3 6 611 6   610 5(sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 16% 5.20 3.10  
INCONTROVERTIBLE 2 3 1nk 4   46 6(meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 2.50  
SCR  REAL GOOD VYBZ               (williams omani)CORA D 122 3.50    
 
PEN-3   12/01/2023 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:144 1:281   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMP (ARG) 3 5 6 6 4 3½ 1¼ (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 22% 3.50 1.20 W
TRIBAL NOTION 8 3 4 4¼ 3.2 1nk 2¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 45% 1.20 3.80 P
PRATT 1 4 5 7 7 43(mcclellan c)CHIAPPE R 118 15.00 22.80  
CAJUN OCCASION 5 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 42 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
SUPER DUDE 7 8 7 5¾ 5 652 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 9% 10.30 15.00  
CRITICAL THINKING 6 6 31 2nk 2nk 56(shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00 10.30  
UNCLE YUDI 2 9 9 8 8 77(mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 24.90  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 4 1 1nk 3.2 6 88(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 10.40  
10  PURPLE SHIRT 9 7 8 9 9 9910½ (harigeorgio)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 30.00 45.90  
SCR  TOM HAGEN               (meyers madison )ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
 
PEN-4   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 5 6 5 3½   12 12 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 19% 4.10 8.90 W
MADELINE'S GROGU 4 5 42 4   422 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.50 3.70  
LOVING CUP (JPN) 3 7 7 54   53(mcmahon deme)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00 2.60  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 6 2 2nk 2nk   22 4(beattie m)CHIAPPE R 119 3.00 44% 1.30 1.60  
NEWSDLEY 7 1 1nk 1nk   35(sinnefia pa)RODRIGUEZ R 119 5.00 5.20  
POSITIVE FORCE 1 4 6 6   610 611¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00 6% 15.10 13.80  
ASUE 2 3 3 7   715½ 722½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 41.20  
 
PEN-5   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHANIE MY LOVE 8 1 2½ 11   11(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00 16% 5.40 1.60 W
UNFETTERED DIVA 5 4 42 3   22(demario a)CORA D 122 8.00 11.60  
LONDON LADY 2 7 64 4   46 3(lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 40% 1.50 2.70 S
LET'S GO MO 1 8 8 88   64(miller a)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH 4 6 76 6   55(stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 27.80  
JESS'S GYPSY GIRL 3 3 3 5   811 610¾ (alvarado di)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.50 24% 3.10 2.80  
ELEVENMONTHSLATER 7 5 5 7   711 711 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 11.60  
ANIMAL PRINCESS 6 2 1½ 21   35 811¾ (graci a)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 12.70  
 
PEN-6   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF AMMO 3 5 53 1   13 14 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 54% 0.90 1.90 W
LADYNESS 4 6 65 5   57 24 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 8.20  
THROWBACK 1 1 1½ 3   23 3(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 10% 9.00 4.10 S
UPTOWN SERAPHINA 6 4 3½ 2   35 4(houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.50 2.20  
MADI'S TUNE 2 3 2½ 4   47 516 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 13% 6.80 4.70  
AMERICAN DREAMER 5 2 4 66   611 620¼ (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 6.00 11.00  
SCR  BO RUNKLE               (moreno tito)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
 
PEN-7   12/01/2023 5490ft DIRT WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:144 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FREEZE KAZ 4 2 1½ 1 13 18 1(sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 6.70  
NIEUWENDYK 1 4 47 3 3 28 2(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 23% 3.40 0.30 P
SILK PRINCE 2 5 59 510½ 410½ 413 312¼ (rose orlando)CORA D 123 8.00 6.60  
TWIST OF FAITH 3 1 2½ 2 23 310 414½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 3.50 40% 1.50 6.10  
TERRIBLEIGH 5 3 34 4 517½ 530 543¼ (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 17.90  
SCR  FAST STUDY               (schettino d)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00    
SCR  PRINCIPE               (sanchez-)GONZALEZ JR 124 12.00    
SCR  WILLIAM'S CAUSE               (eidschun gregory)ALVARADO R 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.