Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Laurel Park
Saturday - December 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-2   WIN (1/5/11/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.60 $3.60 36%
    EXA (1/5/11/3/10)-(1/5/11/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-11 $44.50 $24.50 123%
    TRI (1/5/11/3/10)-(1/5/11/3/10)-(1/5/11/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-11-1 $50.65 $20.65 69%
LRL-4   EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-6-2 $5.85 $2.85 95%
LRL-6   WIN (11/12/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $13.60 $3.60 36%
LRL-7   DD (11/12/7/10/3)-(2/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  10-1 $22.40 $7.40 49%
LRL-9   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $19.40 $7.40 62%

Simulator Race results

 
LRL-1   12/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:124     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWERDEW 6 3 5 6   22 1½ (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 5.00 3.20  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARRAKESH EXPRESS by UNION RAGS)
RILEY G 4 1 2nk 1   12 2½ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 0.50 31% 2.30 0.50 P
  (by FLATTER out of WICKED RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 2 6 710¾ 7   712½ 313½ (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 126 30.00 43.10  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
CONCEPTUALIZE 7 2 4 5   510 414 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 125 6.00 24% 3.20 9.80  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of IMAGINE A STAR by CAN THE MAN)
PRINCESS CAIRO 1 5 1nk 4   410 515¼ (de ho)CARRASCO R 125 4.50 5.70  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAIDA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DEARLY 3 4 3 3   3 615½ (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 30.00 25.10  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DEARIE BE GOOD by SCRIMSHAW)
MY SASSY VALENTINE 5 7 6 2   612 722 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 125 12.00 16% 5.20 23.70  
  (by KHOZAN out of CHOCOLATE ALMOND by JEBLAR)
 
LRL-2   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FLICKER 2 5 75 6   42 1nk (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 12% 7.50 5.80 W
11  ROYAL WHISPER 10 7 5 4   2 2nk (gorham michael )MENA E 123 8.00 15% 5.70 3.20 P
MYSTIC SEAPORT 6 4 31 1nk   1 3 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.80 29% 2.40 0.70 S
WHISTLER'S STYLE 7 10 99 9   7 45 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00 10.80  
KILLY START 8 8 87 7   8 57 (jacobson davi)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 72.70  
POGGIBONSI 1 3 1½ 2nk   3 6 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00 12.60  
BLACK ICE 3 9 10 10   10 7 (woodit jos)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00 64.00  
CANOODLE 5 6 65 8   9 8 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00 54.50  
WINKIWINKI 4 2 2½ 3.2   55 910½ (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 12.00 21% 3.80 19.30  
10  PROPER ATTIRE 9 1 4 5   6 1011 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
SCR  BRZINA               (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 6.00    
SCR  KNOWING GLANCE               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80    
 
LRL-3   12/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:15 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASHING D'ARTAGNAN 6 5 7 7 1012¼ 3.2 1¼ (corrales j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00 57.40  
RETURN FIRE 3 7 11 1 11 2nk 2¼ (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.00 34% 2.00 4.40 P
MINIMO 2 10 5 4 21 1nk 3½ (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 20% 4.10 3.20 S
NOTION IN MOTION 5 11 1212¾ 1111¼ 9 5 41 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 122 30.00 6% 15.80 10.90  
EL DE LARRY 1 12 910¼ 8 88 6 5 (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 10% 9.30 5.10  
11  SIMON'S CHOICE 11 1 6 6 4 4 69 (wolfen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 18.10  
HOW U DOIN 7 4 1010¾ 10 78 7 717½ (progno mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00 11% 8.30 6.90  
12  WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD 12 2 31 3 5 8 819½ (mohan da)RODRIGUEZ L 112 8.00 16.30  
VOLPE 8 3 43 54 6 9 929¼ (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 118 15.00 25.10  
DOUBLE NICKEL 4 8 8 9 1115¼ 1110¾ 1029½ (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 12.30  
10  SEEKER 10 6 21 2 33 10 1134¼ (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00 5.70  
MUCHO DE LA MANCHA 9 9 1111¼ 1212¼ 1216¾ 1213¾ 1242½ (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00 23.00  
 
LRL-4   12/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Willa On Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADLAND 5 2 2nk 2nk   13 1 (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.00 27% 2.70 1.40 W
  (by PAYNTER out of MISS SHELTOWEE by NAJRAN)
APPLE PICKER 6 5 33 3   3 2 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.40 24% 3.20 1.00 P
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
DREAM CHASER 1 4 1nk 1nk   23 3 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00 12.40 DQ↓4
  (by BOISTEROUS out of HAVRE DREAM by LE HAVRE (IRE))
MOODY WOMAN 2 6 67 4   45 4 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 21% 3.70 4.30 S
  (by GORMLEY out of A J'S GAL by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
WORST BEHAVIOUR 4 3 5 67   6 54 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00 35.80  
  (by BERNARDINI out of C J'S LEELEE by MIZZEN MAST)
I'M GITTIN THERE 3 1 45 5   5 6 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 30.00 28.70  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PERFECT MEASURE by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
LRL-5   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A CUTIE PIE 1 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 115 12.00 5.80  
10  STILL GAME 6 5 67 5   3 2 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00 15.40  
SHARP EYES 2 6 2nk 2nk   22 3 (david carlos )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00 9.60  
SKY VICTORY 5 3 55 6   611 411½ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 45% 1.20 1.10  
BEACHFRONT BREEZE 3 2 31 3   56 513¾ (simoff andrew)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 20% 3.90 2.50  
SHAKE IT BABY 4 4 4 4   45 614½ (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 114 8.00 13% 6.80 4.70  
SCR  BUNNY HOP               (feliciano ben)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
SCR  DISCREET OPS               (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 2.00    
SCR  KAPATUDE               (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 20.00    
SCR  MUCHO TIGGER               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00    
 
LRL-6   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dave's Friend Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GREELEY AND BEN 8 9 10 9   8 1½ (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 12.00 9% 9.80 5.80 W
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of TRACI'S WILD by LANGFUHR)
DOLLARIZATION 1 6 55 6   64 2½ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 20.00 16.30  
  (by LAST GUNFIGHTER out of HYGH JACQUE by WHEATON)
NO CENTS 4 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 3½ (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00 15.10  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FAKER by PETIONVILLE)
COWAN 7 4 32 34   1½ 4¾ (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00 5.70  
  (by KANTHAROS out of TEMPERS FLAIR by SMART STRIKE)
11  FACTOR IT IN 9 1 4 4   3 5¾ (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00 44% 1.30 2.90  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  STAGE LEFT 10 2 66 56   53 61 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 10% 8.90 3.00  
  (by CONGRATS out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 2 8 8 7   7 7 (salazar m)CARRASCO R 120 50.00 61.30  
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of TIDAL CHANGE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
NICO 5 10 9 1010¼   9 8 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 35.60  
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
SIR ALFRED JAMES 6 7 77 8   10 9 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50 10% 9.00 5.70  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 3 3 2nk 2nk   4 10 (jacobson davi)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00 5% 18.40 7.60  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MAJESTIC MISS by CASTLE HOWARD)
SCR  MANNY WAH               (walden will)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 5.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES               (capuano a)TBA 120 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
 
LRL-7   12/23/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Carousel Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:26 :51 1:16 1:41   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADDLE UP JESSIE 1 6 22 2½ 2½ 1 1 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 20% 4.00 1.10 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
HYBRID ECLIPSE 2 2 45 4 33 3 2 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.40 23% 3.30 1.70 P
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
LADY BREW 4 3 3 3 43 44 39 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7.80  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of GINGER BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
CIRCLE HOME 6 5 68 6 6 6 4 (vera migu)CARRASCO R 120 12.00 27.50  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SAFE JOURNEY by FLATTER)
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 3 1 55 5 5 58 511 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 4.40  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PEYTON ELIZABETH 5 4 12 1½ 1½ 2 615¼ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 30.00 19% 4.20 16.10  
  (by FLATTER out of AURORA PROSPECT by ARCH)
 
LRL-8   12/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Robert Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:14 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE CROWN 1 1 4 42 22 2nk 1hd (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 20.00 10.10  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
OFFALY COOL 2 4 1½ 1½ 12 1nk 2hd (solis jacinto)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 24% 3.20 0.60 P
  (by KANTHAROS out of ASSURED by SIGNAL TAP)
MAGIC MICHAEL 6 5 54 54 5 3 3 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 21% 3.70 4.30 S
  (by DRAMEDY out of BEAR ALL by KITALPHA)
BE BETTER 5 6 6 6 66 4 4 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.50 34% 1.90 3.00  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
LUIGI'S SPIRIT 4 3 31 32 3 56 58 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00 17.50  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KITTERY POINT by INCLUDE)
AIN'T DA BEER COLD 3 2 2½ 2½ 43 614 628 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00 20.90  
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  FOREWARNED               (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
SCR  KINETIC SKY               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
 
LRL-9   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TOUGH 4 5 45 2   2½ 1¼ (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.50 22% 3.60 3.60 W
LITTLE BABY GIRL 3 1 22 1   1½ 2¼ (howard davi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 27% 2.80 2.40 P
FINALJUMP 7 2 5 5   44 3 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 125 10.00 8.90  
VIROLOGIST 6 7 3 3   34 47 (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 125 12.00 21.30  
GET LOADED 5 6 89 7   6 510¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 9.30  
TITIAN TYRANT 8 3 66 6   7 611¼ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 3.50 29% 2.40 3.90  
QUALITY WEEKEND 1 4 12 4   5 711½ (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00 7.90  
FORTUITOUS 2 8 7 814¾   824¾ 837¾ (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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