Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - December 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(1/5/11/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(1/5/11/3/10)-(3/2/7/1/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-2   WIN (1/5/11/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/11/3/10)-(1/5/11/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/11/3/10)-(1/5/11/3/10)-(1/5/11/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/11/3/10)-(3/2/7/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/11/3/10)-(3/2/7/1/5)-(5/6/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-3   WIN (3/2/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1/5)-(3/2/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1/5)-(3/2/7/1/5)-(3/2/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1/5)-(5/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1/5)-(5/6/2)-(8/4/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(8/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(8/4/7)-(11/12/7/10/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-5   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/7)-(11/12/7/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7)-(11/12/7/10/3)-(2/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-6   WIN (11/12/7/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/7/10/3)-(11/12/7/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/7/10/3)-(11/12/7/10/3)-(11/12/7/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/12/7/10/3)-(2/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/12/7/10/3)-(2/1/5)-(7/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/2/8)-(8/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS CAIRO Nov19 Apr13 Feb12 Dec30   (de ho)CARRASCO R 125 4.50 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAIDA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 Sep21 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 126 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  DEARLY Mar17         (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DEARIE BE GOOD by SCRIMSHAW)
4  RILEY G Nov02 Oct07 Oct08     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 0.50 31% 2.30    
  (by FLATTER out of WICKED RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MY SASSY VALENTINE Oct26         (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 125 12.00 16% 5.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of CHOCOLATE ALMOND by JEBLAR)
6  FLOWERDEW Nov23 May24 Apr19 Mar02 Feb05 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARRAKESH EXPRESS by UNION RAGS)
7  CONCEPTUALIZE Nov23 Oct19 Mar25     (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 125 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of IMAGINE A STAR by CAN THE MAN)
 
LRL-2   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC SEAPORT Dec10 Nov17 Oct26 Oct18 Aug31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.80 29% 2.40    
SCR  KNOWING GLANCE Nov22 Oct30 Sep27 Aug30 Jul20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80    
2  POGGIBONSI Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 Aug26 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00    
3  MY FLICKER Nov26 Aug18 Jul30 May28 May05 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
4  BLACK ICE Nov04 Oct28 Sep30 Aug13 Jul30 (woodit jos)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
5  WINKIWINKI Dec09 Aug09 May08 Mar18   (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 12.00 21% 3.80    
6  CANOODLE Dec01 Nov24 Nov04 Sep04 Aug27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00    
SCR  BRZINA Nov26 Nov18 Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 6.00    
8  WHISTLER'S STYLE Dec08 Oct21 Sep23 Jul29 May14 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
9  KILLY START Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 Aug24 Jul14 (jacobson davi)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
10  PROPER ATTIRE May28 May06 Apr02 Feb18 Jan16 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ROYAL WHISPER Dec10 Nov26 Oct27 Oct13 Sep17 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
LRL-3   12/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DE LARRY Dec02 Nov11 Oct27     (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
2  MINIMO Dec08 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04   (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  RETURN FIRE Dec15 Dec02 Nov11 Oct29 Oct15 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  DOUBLE NICKEL Dec03 Nov03       (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
5  NOTION IN MOTION         (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 122 30.00 6% 15.80    
6  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Nov16 Oct28 Oct15 Sep29 Sep04 (corrales j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00    
7  HOW U DOIN Dec08 Nov21 Oct30 Oct18   (progno mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
8  VOLPE Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Sep29 Sep04 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 118 15.00    
9  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA Dec08 Sep14       (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
10  SEEKER Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Aug25 Aug10 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00    
11  SIMON'S CHOICE Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 Sep29 (wolfen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00    
12  WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Dec15 Nov24 Oct01 Sep04   (mohan da)RODRIGUEZ L 112 8.00    
 
LRL-4   12/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Willa On Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM CHASER Nov21 Jul18 Jun28 May30 May03 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of HAVRE DREAM by LE HAVRE (IRE))
2  MOODY WOMAN Nov20 Nov03 Sep16 Aug06 Jul01 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of A J'S GAL by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
3  I'M GITTIN THERE Dec01 Nov11 Sep29 Sep02 Jul16 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PERFECT MEASURE by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  WORST BEHAVIOUR Nov25 Nov02 Sep22 Aug29 Aug06 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of C J'S LEELEE by MIZZEN MAST)
5  HEADLAND Dec09 Nov17 Oct01 Aug25 Jul21 (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.00 27% 2.70    
  (by PAYNTER out of MISS SHELTOWEE by NAJRAN)
6  APPLE PICKER Nov25 Oct21 Sep16 Aug13 Jun18 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.40 24% 3.20    
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
LRL-5   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A CUTIE PIE Nov17 Oct07 Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 115 12.00    
SCR  DISCREET OPS Nov16         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 2.00    
3  SHARP EYES Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 Sep10 Aug13 (david carlos )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
4  BEACHFRONT BREEZE Nov15 Oct07 Sep16 Aug05 Jun30 (simoff andrew)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MUCHO TIGGER Nov17 Oct25 Oct07     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00    
SCR  KAPATUDE Oct25 Aug25 Aug02     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 20.00    
7  SHAKE IT BABY Nov25 Oct23 Oct07 Aug12 Jul22 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 114 8.00 13% 6.80    
8  SKY VICTORY Nov04         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  BUNNY HOP Nov23 Nov02 Oct13     (feliciano ben)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
10  STILL GAME Dec02 Nov17 Oct13 Sep27 Aug02 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00    
 
LRL-6   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dave's Friend Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLARIZATION Nov18 Oct24 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 20.00    
  (by LAST GUNFIGHTER out of HYGH JACQUE by WHEATON)
2  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Nov06 Oct04 Sep02 Aug13 Jul27 (salazar m)CARRASCO R 120 50.00    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of TIDAL CHANGE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
3  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Dec02 Oct12 Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 (jacobson davi)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00 5% 18.40    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MAJESTIC MISS by CASTLE HOWARD)
4  NO CENTS Sep30 Aug27 May21 Jan04 Nov23 (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FAKER by PETIONVILLE)
5  NICO Nov16 Oct14 Sep21 Aug18 Jun17 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
SCR  THREES OVER DEUCES Nov18 Nov01 Jul29 Jun14 May20 (capuano a)NO RIDER 120 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
7  SIR ALFRED JAMES Nov04 Oct20 Sep30 Sep16 Sep05 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.50 10% 9.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
8  COWAN Nov24 Oct27 Oct14 Oct01 Sep22 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TEMPERS FLAIR by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MANNY WAH Nov04 Oct06 Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 (walden will)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 5.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  GREELEY AND BEN Dec02 Nov10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct29 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 12.00 9% 9.80    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of TRACI'S WILD by LANGFUHR)
11  FACTOR IT IN Nov10 Oct20 Apr15 Mar19 Feb18 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  STAGE LEFT Dec08 Nov18 Oct27 Sep16 Sep03 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by CONGRATS out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
 
LRL-7   12/23/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Carousel Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADDLE UP JESSIE Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 Jul22 Jun17 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
2  HYBRID ECLIPSE Nov11 Sep30 Jul15 May27 Apr15 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.40 23% 3.30    
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
3  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Nov25 Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 Aug21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  LADY BREW Nov11 Oct13 Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of GINGER BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  PEYTON ELIZABETH Nov04 Oct15 Sep29 Sep18 Sep04 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 30.00 19% 4.20    
  (by FLATTER out of AURORA PROSPECT by ARCH)
6  CIRCLE HOME Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 Sep22 Aug03 (vera migu)CARRASCO R 120 12.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SAFE JOURNEY by FLATTER)
 
LRL-8   12/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Robert Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE CROWN Dec16 Nov24 Oct28 Oct14 Sep10 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 20.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
2  OFFALY COOL Dec02 Oct17 Sep04 Jul28 Jun26 (solis jacinto)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ASSURED by SIGNAL TAP)
SCR  FOREWARNED Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 Aug12 Jul22 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
4  AIN'T DA BEER COLD Nov25 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug13 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00    
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
5  LUIGI'S SPIRIT Dec02 Nov05 Oct13 Jun24 May18 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KITTERY POINT by INCLUDE)
SCR  KINETIC SKY Nov17 Sep21 Sep15 Jun15 Apr30 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
7  BE BETTER Nov25 Oct17 Sep10 Jul29 Jun17 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
8  MAGIC MICHAEL Dec08 Nov12 Oct26 Sep15 Sep24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DRAMEDY out of BEAR ALL by KITALPHA)
 
LRL-9   12/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY WEEKEND Nov09         (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00    
2  FORTUITOUS         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE BABY GIRL Oct29 Oct12 Sep08 Aug06   (howard davi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 27% 2.80    
4  MO TOUGH Dec07 Nov17 Oct28 Mar24 Feb23 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  GET LOADED Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Sep16 Aug26 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
6  VIROLOGIST Nov30 Oct25 Sep30 Aug28   (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 125 12.00    
7  FINALJUMP Dec01 Nov09 Feb05     (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 125 10.00    
8  TITIAN TYRANT Nov26 Mar11 Feb18 Dec30 Nov24 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.