Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-3   WIN (9/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $16.00 $8.00 100%
PEN-4   EXA (9/7/5)-(9/7/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-9 $19.20 $1.20 7%
    TRI (9/7/5)-(9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  7-9-6 $36.40 $18.40 102%
    SFT (9/7/5)-(9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/5) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-9-6-5 $26.11 $24.31 1351%
    DD (9/5/10/6)-(9/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-7 $54.80 $30.80 128%
PEN-5   EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $40.00 $28.00 233%
    PK3 (9/5/10/6)-(9/7/5)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-7-3/4/7/8 $39.60 $21.60 120%
PEN-7   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $9.60 $5.60 140%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY 6 1 42 21   1nk 1 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 1.70  
WASABI BOY 4 2 21 31   3 2 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40 4.30 P
MAGIC SPIN 1 4 11 11   2nk 3 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 32% 2.10 0.80 S
MEAN MACHINE 3 5 69 6   68 48 (dimitriou)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
ON THE RIM 5 6 54 5   5 510 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 43.10  
ACT OF VALOR 2 3 32 43   46 611¼ (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 15.00 36.70  
SCR  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT               (ramirez sil)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 4.50    
 
PEN-2   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIMBLE SHANKS 5 5 43 21 2 1nk 1¾ (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 3.20  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 2 3 1 11 1 2nk 2¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 10% 9.30 35.90 P
ORASHI 6 6 7 7 5 4 33 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 9.80  
RUNYONESQUE 4 7 5 5 33 32 43 (graham edward)CORA D 120 3.00 40% 1.50 0.80  
LA PAZ 3 2 2 42 6 6 513¾ (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 10.00 11.40  
HANFORD 7 4 6 64 79 7 613¾ (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00 22.30  
HOLY MOLY MOSES 1 1 3 32 4 5 715½ (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 23% 3.30 4.10  
SCR  SMARTEN UP               (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50    
SCR  THISTLE               (catalano l)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.50    
 
PEN-3   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :471       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO DAISY 4 1 1nk 1½   1 1 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00 W
11  DIVINE PROMISE 9 7 55 5   4 2 (wagner karin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00 3.10  
CITY OF LONDON 7 3 3½ 2½   2 3 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 31% 2.30 2.30 S
GEMINI WARRIOR 3 6 4 4   3 46 (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 28% 2.60 6.70  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 5 9 88 610½   58 5 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 118 15.00 29.10  
WITHOUT A NET 6 2 2nk 3   610 611¾ (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 2.20  
TEMPTRESS CALLING 2 5 7 810¾   713½ 713 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 23.50  
10  FANTASY FROST 8 8 911 913¾   917 815 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 15.00 18% 4.50 57.50  
MADISON COUNTY 1 4 66 710½   815 916¾ (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 123 30.00 78.50  
SCR  JOYFUL DEPARTURE               (grusmark karl)DAVILA A 123 12.00    
SCR  NO COMMON CENT               (shea lydee)CORA D 123 10.00    
SCR  PRINCESS WIGGY               (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 123 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:122 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAYJAYDEE 6 1 31 2 2½ 2nk 1¾ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.60 2.20 W
DR. STEVE 8 2 1nk 1 1½ 1nk 2¾ (murillo a)CORA D 120 4.00 55% 0.80 1.70 P
TRENDING UP 5 5 7 4 33 3 3 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 10.90 S
EAGLES CRY 4 7 6 7 56 44 4 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
P JS SILVER DUKE 7 4 5 5 66 66 5 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 15.00 10.30  
JUMP FOR THE WIN 1 3 4 3 44 5 6 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 7.20  
RADIEUX 3 8 8 8 77 79 711¼ (catalano l)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 17.70  
RUBY BLEU 2 6 2nk 64 815 824 831¼ (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 22.10  
SCR  CLASSIC UNION               (velazquez dani)MOYA F 123 4.50    
 
PEN-5   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE WARRIOR 3 4 11 11   1½ 1¼ (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 28% 2.60 1.50 W
VIROLOGIST 5 1 21 31   3½ 2¼ (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
BACK ON STAGE 6 2 4 21   2½ 3¼ (graham edward)CORA D 123 3.50 2.00  
GET LOADED 4 6 5 5   42 4¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 4.00 46% 1.20 2.70  
B B QUEEN 1 3 3 4   5 56 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 12.00 10.10  
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL 2 5 6 6   67 6 (stowers miche)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00 25.70  
SCR  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE               (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 124 5.00    
SCR  PELOSI               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 15.00    
SCR  WILD GIRL               (velazquez dani)MOYA F 123 6.00    
 
PEN-6   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN GOOD TROUBLE 2 1 1nk 11   11 1½ (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 2.10  
PHANCY PHILLY 1 3 3 3   21 2½ (stites w)CORA D 120 8.00 4.00  
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 3 2 2nk 21   33 37 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 42% 1.40 0.40 S
SCR  SEVEN YEARS LATER               (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 120 15.00    
SCR  RUN LAURA RUN               (king lawren)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
SCR  GOOD SOURCE               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
SCR  SWEET TALIA               (mcfarlane brandon)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
SCR  ASTONISHING ANABEL               (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.00    
 
PEN-7   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S LILLY 2 4 44 3   32 1¼ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 33% 2.00 3.80 W
KIRBY 1 3 3 1nk   11 2¼ (maldona)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00 1.30  
CHLOE ROSE 4 1 1½ 2nk   21 34 (wagner karin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 38% 1.60 1.20 S
FIELD LETTERS 3 5 5 5   44 4 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 12.80  
ZIPPY JO 5 2 2½ 4   56 512¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 18.10  
SCR  AMEN SYLVIA               (shea lydee)CORA D 122 3.00    
SCR  GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  RISQUE'S JEWEL               (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.