Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (9/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (9/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00
PEN-7   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   11/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SPIN Nov02 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Nov16 Oct20 Oct11 Sep21 Aug20 (ramirez silvi)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 4.50    
ACT OF VALOR Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Sep07 Aug16 (murtough step)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
MEAN MACHINE Nov02 Jul07 Jun09 May04 Mar15 (dimitriou h)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
WASABI BOY Oct26 Sep20 Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
ON THE RIM Aug30 May26 Apr28 Mar17 Feb23 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Nov01 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30   (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50    
 
PEN-2   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY MOLY MOSES Oct26 Oct06 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (crook-demasi kat)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
ROAN FOR THE ROSE Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jun16 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 10% 9.30    
LA PAZ Sep21 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 May26 (smith th)SMITH DANIEL 115 10.00    
RUNYONESQUE Nov02 Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 Nov04 (graham edward)CORA D 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SMARTEN UP Nov14 Oct24 Oct17 Sep05 Jun14 (velazquez alf)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Nov02 Oct26 Sep21 Aug18 Jul27 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  THISTLE Oct24 Sep04 Aug18 Jan17 Nov09 (catalano l)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.50    
ORASHI Nov16 Sep13 May31 May10 Apr19 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
HANFORD Nov02 Oct05 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   11/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO COMMON CENT         (shea lydee)CORA D 123 10.00    
MADISON COUNTY Nov10 Oct27 Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 (harigeorgiou )INIRIO J 123 30.00    
SCR  PRINCESS WIGGY Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 123 10.00    
TEMPTRESS CALLING Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00    
GEMINI WARRIOR         (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
DISCO DAISY Nov01 Sep11 Aug23     (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRAJEC HOLIDAY Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 Aug23 Aug08 (albright)SMITH DANIEL 118 15.00    
WITHOUT A NET Nov01 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23   (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00    
CITY OF LONDON Nov01 Aug03 May25     (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
10  FANTASY FROST         (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 15.00 18% 4.50    
11  DIVINE PROMISE Nov02 Oct08 Sep29 Sep09 Aug05 (wagner karin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00    
SCR  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Oct25 Sep26       (grusmark karl)DAVILA A 123 12.00    
 
PEN-4   11/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP FOR THE WIN Nov10 Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00    
SCR  CLASSIC UNION Nov09 Oct17 Sep26 Sep04 Jul04 (velazquez daniel)MOYA F 123 4.50    
RUBY BLEU Nov08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 Jul03 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
RADIEUX Nov08 Sep08 May31 May10 Mar22 (catalano l)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
EAGLES CRY Nov17 Oct25 Oct16 Sep21 Sep01 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
TRENDING UP Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 May17 (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
JAYJAYDEE Nov08 Oct06 Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
P JS SILVER DUKE Oct27 Sep14 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
DR. STEVE Oct27 Sep26 Aug18 Jun28 Jun01 (murillo a)CORA D 120 4.00 55% 0.80    
 
PEN-5   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B B QUEEN Nov02         (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Nov17         (stowers michell)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
SCR  WILD GIRL Oct18 Jul07       (velazquez daniel)MOYA F 123 6.00    
MOONSHINE WARRIOR Nov02 Sep06 Jan27     (murillo ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
GET LOADED Nov09 Oct15 Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
VIROLOGIST Oct25 Sep30 Aug28     (bentley fenn)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PELOSI Nov17         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 123 15.00    
SCR  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Oct25 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 124 5.00    
BACK ON STAGE Nov02 Sep13       (graham edward)CORA D 123 3.50    
 
PEN-6   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANCY PHILLY Nov15 Oct27 Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 (stites w)CORA D 120 8.00    
IN GOOD TROUBLE Nov02 Sep06 Aug13 Jul13 Jun20 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
SCR  SWEET TALIA Nov12 Oct27 Sep30 Aug19 Jul23 (mcfarlane brandon)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
SCR  SEVEN YEARS LATER Nov03 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 (nicholson junio)TORRES WESLEY 120 15.00    
SCR  RUN LAURA RUN Nov09 Sep08 Aug04 May31 May05 (king lawrence)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
SCR  ASTONISHING ANABEL Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 Jun10 Feb10 (pino michael )SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.00    
SCR  GOOD SOURCE Nov09 Oct03 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Nov03 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 Aug03 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-7   11/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIRBY Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 Sep02 (maldonado)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Oct20 Oct09 Aug25 Jul12 Jun13 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
JACK'S LILLY Nov15 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep22 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  AMEN SYLVIA Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 Jul14 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 3.00    
SCR  RISQUE'S JEWEL Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Aug25 Jul26 (rodriguez mig)RAMOS C 122 10.00    
FIELD LETTERS Nov01 Sep14 Aug17 Aug04 Jul23 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
CHLOE ROSE Nov04 Oct21 Sep27 Sep02 Aug02 (wagner karin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
ZIPPY JO Nov01 Sep22 Sep14 Jul13 Oct19 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.