Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-2   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.60 $2.60 33%
PRX-3   EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $19.40 $7.40 62%
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $34.00 $10.00 42%
PRX-8   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $13.60 $5.60 70%

Simulator Race results

 
PRX-1   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
See original race card.
:24 :502 1:183 1:473   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMALFI LADY 6 2 2nk 2 21 1nk 1 (christman kimb)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00 14.60  
HOLY BERRIES 8 1 1nk 1 11 2nk 2 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 122 4.00 25% 3.00 5.30 P
CASH ON FIRST 4 3 4 4 55 34 3 (aro michae)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 5.00 11% 7.90 15.40 S
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS 3 7 7 55 3 46 413½ (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 122 8.00 2.00  
CAPE NEDDICK 1 8 812¼ 810½ 68 5 515¾ (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 5.10  
MOONLITE IN HEAVEN 7 5 3 34 44 6 618½ (mosco robe)RIVERA R 117 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70  
LA LA LUCY 5 4 68 710 713 714½ 726 (mann farrel)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00 19.20  
KEFALIANI 2 6 54 67 823 826½ 850½ (nicholson juni)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 20.00 8% 11.70 40.00  
 
PRX-2   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:012     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL HAIL MO 3 5 4 4   32 1½ (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.00 8% 10.90 4.30 W
WICKED LADY 8 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2½ (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 15.00 18.20  
AUNT BERRA 7 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3¾ (smylie timoth)OCASIO M 118 5.00 3.30  
LORD JOAN 6 6 7 77   6 4 (collazo dan)CASTILLO A 122 10.00 8.60  
LOUELLA STREET 5 3 3 31   4 5 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 3.00 53% 0.90 3.20  
INCOMPARABLE 1 8 89 811   811¾ 610 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 6.00 8% 11.20 14.50  
ANGELIC GAL 2 7 64 54   5 710½ (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 8.00 5% 17.40 2.20  
SAY NO MORE 4 4 5 6   710¾ 810½ (nicholson )ROWLAND MADELINE 122 20.00 36.50  
SCR  RUBY DOOBY DOO               (ashton pat)HENRY JR 122 20.00    
 
PRX-3   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:144 1:43   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE BE THERE 2 3 3 31 1 16 110¾ (caban )GONZALEZ JR 125 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 W
COLONEL JUAN 3 1 4 21 2 26 210¾ (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 4.00 39% 1.60 3.80 P
CARTIER CAT 4 6 1½ 11 3 38 311¼ (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 2.00  
MORE THAN A DANCE 5 4 2½ 4 4 412 413¾ (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 1.60 3.30  
HE'SSOSUBTLE 6 5 5 69 612 514½ 516¾ (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 48.90  
JO JO KATZ 1 2 66 5 511½ 616½ 623½ (farro )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00 7% 13.60 8.40  
SCR  TRUE DAKOTAN               (soto- marti)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 15.00    
 
PRX-4   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADASHEV 7 1 43 3   1nk 1¾ (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00 8.20  
BIG JOHN 2 7 55 44   31 2¾ (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.70 P
LONG LEGGED BOY 1 6 79 55   4 31 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 118 8.00 8.40  
BIG WARDEN 6 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 45 (martinez alexan)RUIZ ELISEO 117 4.00 26% 2.90 11.10  
ON THE COME UP 3 4 1nk 1nk   5 55 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 18.20 0.90  
WHERESTHEPASSION 5 5 67 7   6 610½ (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 20.00 64.60  
IMAGINE THIS 4 8 814 811¾   7 710¾ (pollara )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 26.50  
LIAR SIDE CHAT 8 2 3½ 6   811¾ 821½ (soto c)OCASIO M 122 2.50 11% 8.30 12.70  
 
PRX-5   11/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:162 1:441   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORNBEAM 7 5 5 43 41 1 1 (noble f)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 22% 3.60 1.50 W
ET'S MAGIC MAN 3 3 3½ 3½ 1½ 2 2 (smylie timo)RAMOS C 122 4.00 3.50  
KODAPENDENT 5 6 6 6 64 3 3 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00 7.30  
SINGINTHRUTHESTORM 4 4 43 5 52 4 410½ (gonzalez-milian)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00 9% 10.30 5.30  
CAPE HEDGE 6 7 711½ 710¼ 78 510½ 510½ (soto- marti)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 15.00 55.20  
LET IT FLOW JOE 1 2 1nk 2nk 2½ 611½ 617½ (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.70  
SOVEREIGN CHANGE 2 1 2nk 1nk 31 719½ 738¾ (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00 24.90  
SCR  MR. EINSTEIN               (linder j)MOYA F 122 10.00    
SCR  RUTHENIAN               (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 125 8.00    
SCR  SMARTHUMOR               (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
 
PRX-6   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:144 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN SPADES 7 2 5 31 31 11 1 (dunn john)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00 11.70  
LAYTOWN 3 1 11 11 1nk 21 2 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 45% 1.20 1.10 P
BIG BEEMSTER 8 5 7 7 5 5 37 (solis jacint)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00 7.20  
SMARTEN UP 4 9 9 8 4 4 4 (velazquez )RIVERA R 120 12.00 14.90  
10  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA 9 6 8 94 7 6 5 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 16.60  
ROAN BURGUNDY 1 3 4 21 2nk 32 69 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 23% 3.30 4.60  
SECRET ALLIANCE 5 8 6 5 6 7 715¼ (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 10.00 3.90  
THTWASTHENTHISISNW 2 7 21 6 815¼ 823½ 834¾ (smith everton)OCASIO M 118 20.00 5% 19.00 59.00  
WHISKEYMAC 6 4 3 42 916¼ 923¾ 938 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 118 20.00 8% 11.30 34.20  
SCR  THISTLE               (catalano l)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00    
 
PRX-7   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:152     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE VIN 4 2 2½ 1nk   11 11 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 114 3.50 2.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NURSE DONNA by VINDICATION)
LONESOME BOY 3 4 5 4   21 21 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 6.00 27% 2.70 18.60 P
  (by NATIONHOOD out of ATTA GIRL PEARL by ATTA BOY ROY)
DEPOSITION 2 5 41 5   3 3 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
SHEER DOMINANCE 7 6 6 6   68 4 (linder louis )OCASIO M 119 10.00 13.70  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MISTY DAYLIGHT by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
PARTY AT SAM'S 1 1 1½ 2nk   43 58 (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.50 25.20  
  (by WEIGELIA out of MORE PARTY GIRL by MORE SMOKE)
POPS HARPER 5 3 31 3½   55 614½ (lynch cathal)PENNINGTON F 119 4.50 11% 7.80 4.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BAYOU MISS by DARING GROOM)
DRY DOCK 6 7 7 710¾   714 719½ (sanchez-pine)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00 30.70  
  (by ENTICED out of JUST JOYFUL by STREET BOSS)
 
PRX-8   11/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:141     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR UPTOWN GIRL 3 9 6 32   1 1 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 15.00 14% 6.40 5.80 W
THEGODDESSOFSNAKES 1 5 1nk 12   2 2 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 122 12.00 13.60  
MARY Q 6 3 3½ 22   32 3 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 3.50 14% 6.00 2.90 S
GINGERS WISH 9 7 97 9   6 4 (smith donovan)OCASIO M 122 5.00 33.50  
SOCIAL LADY 5 6 7 6   44 5 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
BURANO 2 8 5 5   57 6 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00 9% 9.80 3.40  
SUGAR SMILE 8 1 4¾ 7   815 716½ (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00 6.50  
BOSS LIKE BETH 7 2 83 8   712½ 817 (polachek jan)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 20.00 31.30  
LA REGALADA 4 4 2nk 4   916 925¾ (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 8.00 45.80  
 
PRX-9   11/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH EXIT 6 5 2nk 3½   31 1½ (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 125 8.00 6.50  
O'CONNER SUNSET 2 6 3½ 1nk   2½ 2½ (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00 12.80  
TALENTED MAN 1 1 1nk 2nk   1½ 3 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 1.80 36% 1.80 0.60 S
KOBE B 3 4 52 41   42 4 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 9% 9.60 5.00  
A C EXPRESSWAY 5 3 6 66   59 5 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 4.60  
ICONIC LEGACY 4 2 4 5   612 612¼ (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 4.50 19% 4.30 17.10  
SCR  TEN GAUGE               (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
 
PRX-10   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:011     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPFOR PAROLE 3 7 1nk 11   1½ 1 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 6.00 19% 4.10 1.20 W
THE GRAYT PUMPKIN 6 1 2nk 21   2½ 2 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00 26.70  
KEEP DEM TALKING 5 5 5 3   3 3 (king b)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 7% 13.60 10.20 S
KAIQUE 4 6 7 58   57 4 (linder)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 2.00 46% 1.20 1.20  
BUBBY PAPERMAKER 2 8 914¾ 913½   610 56 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 6% 16.40 10.40  
11  LORD SEABEE 9 4 3 4   4 6 (jenkins suz)NUNEZ Y 120 30.00 21.40  
DOCTOR MAGIC 7 3 810¾ 811½   710 710¼ (whylie hero)RAMOS C 120 15.00 67.00  
SHEA D CAPTURE 1 9 6 69   810¼ 811½ (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 124 30.00 86.10  
10  E T'S DEMON FIRE 8 2 4 711   917¼ 926 (chacon gust)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00 46.50  
SCR  BOY IS IT HOT               (king clarence )ORTIZ JOSHUA 110 30.00    
SCR  UPTOWN SHOES               (curry dee)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.