Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (7/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/2)-(6/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(3/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(3/2/1)-(2/6/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/6/8/3)-(1/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/3)-(1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/3)-(1/8/5)-(4/1/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/5)-(1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/5)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5)-(4/1/7/2)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (4/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/2)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/6/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/6/3/2)-(1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(1/5/4)-(6/5/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE NEDDICK Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug19 Jul04 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00    
KEFALIANI Oct23 Oct11 Oct04 Aug22   (nicholson juni)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 20.00 8% 11.70    
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug23 Jul05 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 122 8.00    
CASH ON FIRST Oct30 Aug22 Aug02 May23 Mar08 (aro michae)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
LA LA LUCY Oct11 Oct04 Sep11 Aug29 Jul24 (mann farrel)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
AMALFI LADY Oct11 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Jul12 (christman kimb)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00    
MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Jun25 May14 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 (mosco robe)RIVERA R 117 2.00 27% 2.70    
HOLY BERRIES Oct16 Jul15 Jul08 Jun02 Apr23 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-2   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCOMPARABLE Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Jul12 Jun28 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
ANGELIC GAL Oct23 Oct12 Sep04 Aug12 Jul28 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 8.00 5% 17.40    
ALL HAIL MO Oct30 Oct11 Sep18 Jun26 May31 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.00 8% 10.90    
SAY NO MORE Oct06 Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 (nicholson )ROWLAND MADELINE 122 20.00    
SCR  RUBY DOOBY DOO Oct26 Sep08 Aug29 Jul26 Jul12 (ashton pat)HENRY JR 122 20.00    
LOUELLA STREET Oct30 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jun19 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
LORD JOAN Oct02 Sep18 Feb22 Feb15 Jan17 (collazo dan)CASTILLO A 122 10.00    
AUNT BERRA Oct03 Sep11 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (smylie timoth)OCASIO M 118 5.00    
WICKED LADY Oct23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun07 Apr27 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 15.00    
 
PRX-3   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JO JO KATZ Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 (farro )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00 7% 13.60    
WE BE THERE Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 Jul25 Jul10 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
COLONEL JUAN Oct10 Sep12 Aug23 Apr24 Mar28 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  TRUE DAKOTAN Oct31 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 Jul24 (soto- marti)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 15.00    
CARTIER CAT Oct16 Oct03 Sep05 Jul16 Jul03 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
MORE THAN A DANCE Oct04 Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 1.60    
HE'SSOSUBTLE Nov01 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 Aug16 (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
 
PRX-4   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG LEGGED BOY Nov01 Oct02 Sep20 Sep02 Jul03 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 118 8.00    
BIG JOHN Oct16 Aug26 Aug03 Jun11 Apr28 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
ON THE COME UP Oct13 Sep22 Aug27 Aug13 Jul08 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 5% 18.20    
IMAGINE THIS Apr17 Feb06 Jan17 Nov30 Nov07 (pollara )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
WHERESTHEPASSION Oct21 Oct02 Sep19 Aug30 Aug02 (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 20.00    
BIG WARDEN Aug21 Aug01 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 (martinez alexan)RUIZ ELISEO 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
DADASHEV Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
LIAR SIDE CHAT May10 Apr12 Mar22     (soto c)OCASIO M 122 2.50 11% 8.30    
 
PRX-5   11/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT FLOW JOE Oct23 Aug04 Jul10 Jun27 Jun14 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SOVEREIGN CHANGE Oct25 Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
ET'S MAGIC MAN Oct17 Oct04 Sep22 Aug23 Jul25 (smylie timo)RAMOS C 122 4.00    
SCR  RUTHENIAN Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 125 8.00    
SINGINTHRUTHESTORM Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul25 (gonzalez-milian)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00 9% 10.30    
KODAPENDENT Oct30 Jul10 Jun26 Jun07 May30 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00    
CAPE HEDGE Oct30 Sep27 Aug17 Jul22 Jul10 (soto- marti)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 15.00    
HORNBEAM Oct30 Oct10 Sep20 Aug23 Jul17 (noble f)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SMARTHUMOR Oct30 Oct02 Aug30 Jul19 Jun14 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
SCR  MR. EINSTEIN Oct30 Oct04 Sep18 Aug30 Aug10 (linder j)MOYA F 122 10.00    
 
PRX-6   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAN BURGUNDY Oct24 Oct13 Sep15 Aug22 Aug13 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
THTWASTHENTHISISNW Oct04 Jul08 Jun28 May05 Apr16 (smith everton)OCASIO M 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THISTLE Oct24 Sep04 Aug18 Jan17 Nov09 (catalano l)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00    
LAYTOWN Oct04 Sep26 Sep04 Jul25 Jul11 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
SMARTEN UP Oct24 Oct17 Sep05 Jun14 May24 (velazquez )RIVERA R 120 12.00    
SECRET ALLIANCE Jul23 Jun26 Jun07 May09 Apr03 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 10.00    
WHISKEYMAC Oct16 Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 118 20.00 8% 11.30    
IN SPADES Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 Jul04 Jun10 (dunn john)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00    
BIG BEEMSTER Oct24 Oct04 Sep26 Aug28 Jun17 (solis jacint)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
10  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Nov01 Oct24 Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
 
PRX-7   11/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY AT SAM'S         (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of MORE PARTY GIRL by MORE SMOKE)
DEPOSITION Nov04 Oct14 Sep23     (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
LONESOME BOY Sep17 Aug22 Jul19     (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of ATTA GIRL PEARL by ATTA BOY ROY)
LE VIN Oct08 Sep23 Aug22     (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 114 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NURSE DONNA by VINDICATION)
POPS HARPER Oct05         (lynch cathal)PENNINGTON F 119 4.50 11% 7.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BAYOU MISS by DARING GROOM)
DRY DOCK         (sanchez-pine)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of JUST JOYFUL by STREET BOSS)
SHEER DOMINANCE Oct17         (linder louis )OCASIO M 119 10.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MISTY DAYLIGHT by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
 
PRX-8   11/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Oct09 Sep19 Sep04 Aug04 Jul17 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 122 12.00    
BURANO Oct11 Aug21 Jul19 Nov22 Oct05 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00 9% 9.80    
OUR UPTOWN GIRL Oct18 Sep23 Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 15.00 14% 6.40    
LA REGALADA Oct09 Apr17 Mar08 Jan30 Nov28 (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 8.00    
SOCIAL LADY Sep19 Jul06 Jun18 Apr19 Mar22 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
MARY Q Oct02 Jan24 Nov29 Nov09   (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
BOSS LIKE BETH Oct31 Oct18 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 (polachek jan)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 20.00    
SUGAR SMILE Oct11 Aug31 Aug08 Nov22 Oct12 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
GINGERS WISH Oct25 Oct11 Oct02 Sep19 Jul18 (smith donovan)OCASIO M 122 5.00    
 
PRX-9   11/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALENTED MAN Oct16 Oct02 Aug21 Jul07 May31 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
O'CONNER SUNSET Oct28 Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00    
SCR  TEN GAUGE Oct30 Sep25 Sep03 Jun10 Apr30 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
KOBE B Jul23 Jun25 Jun09 May17 Apr25 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
ICONIC LEGACY Oct02 Sep06 Jul24 Jun19 May23 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
A C EXPRESSWAY Oct16 Sep09 Jul22 Jul03 May29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
IRISH EXIT Oct19 Sep26 Sep06 Jul28 Jul17 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 125 8.00    
 
PRX-10   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEA D CAPTURE Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 May15 May08 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 124 30.00    
SCR  BOY IS IT HOT Jun11 Jun02 Jan24 Jan03 Dec07 (king clarence )ORTIZ JOSHUA 110 30.00    
SCR  UPTOWN SHOES Oct31 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Jul05 (curry dee)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 5.00    
BUBBY PAPERMAKER Oct31 Oct02 Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 6% 16.40    
UPFOR PAROLE Oct31 Oct16 Sep04 Aug21 Jul11 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 6.00 19% 4.10    
KAIQUE Oct31 Sep06 Aug23 Jul11 Jun14 (linder)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 2.00 46% 1.20    
KEEP DEM TALKING Oct31 Aug25 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 (king b)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50 7% 13.60    
THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jul12 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
DOCTOR MAGIC Oct04 Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Aug12 (whylie o)PARISH R 120 15.00    
10  E T'S DEMON FIRE Oct31 Oct16 Sep26     (chacon gust)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00    
11  LORD SEABEE Oct31 Oct02       (jenkins suz)NUNEZ Y 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.