The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $25.00 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.60 -6.00
PEN-3   Win (8/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.40 -8.00
PEN-4   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.80 -4.00
PEN-5   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.20 -6.00
PEN-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $19.20 -4.00
PEN-7   Win (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $15.40 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOKY ONE 3 2 21 22   22 1½ (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 12.00 11.50  
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 2 1 11 12   12 2½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 P
FEDERAL CASE 1 3 32 4   33 3(kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 6.50  
BEYOND THE BEND 5 5 5 510½   54(george b)SMITH DANIEL 117 3.00 16% 5.30 2.20  
U U STAR 4 4 4 3   46 5(salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 1.50  
SCR  HASHTAG WINNING               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT               (ramirez silvi)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-2   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET ME AT MUNDIS 1 6 6 45   41½ (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 2.80  
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 5 4 32 32   32½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.20 65% 0.50 2.30 P
MOBEER 6 1 1nk 1½   12 3(beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 14.40  
JEAN VALJEAN 3 3 2nk 2½   22 4(merryman el)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 1.30  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 2 43 66   55(moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
PICTOR 4 5 5 5   611½ 616 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 9% 10.10 7.50  
 
PEN-3   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:22 :58       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR RONNY ALAN 5 2 24 23   211 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 2.70  
SUMMER ASH 3 10 813 814   721 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 20% 4.10 3.10 P
KAZ MUNNINGS 8 3 45 45   33 3(synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 36% 1.80 3.40 S
10  MONEYONTHELINE 10 6 57 58   56 43 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 14.50  
LARZ 4 1 14 13   154 (o'callahan )HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 7.00  
MILLBANK MAN 9 5 79 6   664 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00 5.90  
DORSODURO 7 4 3 34   45 75 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 120 10.00 17.30  
LONG TOM 6 8 916 918   88(salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00 92.70  
COUSIN BOB 2 7 69 710   911½ 912¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 18% 4.60 15.00  
MR BOLDACIOUS 1 9 1021 1026   1019½ 1021¼ (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 120 20.00 5% 19.00 61.10  
SCR  HELLMAN               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
 
PEN-4   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :58       1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS 4 1 11 11   13 1(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00 2.90  
KAZ MUSIC 5 5 44 21   23 2(sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 39% 1.60 1.80 P
NAIL POLISH 1 3 21 31   33(mcclellan e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 36% 1.80 2.70 S
UGHROUDA 3 4 55 49   424½ 432½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5.70  
SWEET BEAUTY 2 2 3 5100   5100 5100 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 4.50  
SCR  GIRVINIZED               (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50    
 
PEN-5   12/08/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S STYLE 6 6 42 21 11 13 11 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 2.60  
LINDALOVESGOLD 5 2 3 4 42 23 21 (russell bri)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 32% 2.10 2.00 P
RAW POWER 3 5 6 52 32 36 38 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00 19.20  
CHARM ALARM 2 4 5 6 65 4410½ (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 11.10  
WINGS OF A SONG 1 3 21 3 54 5512¾ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 119 4.00 24% 3.10 3.70  
WILL OR WON'T 4 1 11 11 21 613½ 622 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 16% 5.10 2.70  
SCR  LIVIN' AT THE BU               (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARGO SHIP 2 1 2½ 22   22 1½ (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 8.60  
SUTTON BREEZE 4 2 1½ 12   12 2½ (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 68% 0.50 0.50 P
BOURBON CURRENCY 3 5 53 4   32 3(wolfe jr)INIRIO J 120 8.00 5.40  
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY 5 3 4 5   58 49 (dunham bern)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 4.20  
ANNAMATED MOON 1 4 3½ 32   46 5(smith th)SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00 9% 10.50 10.00  
SCR  TOMMY THE TORCH               (murphy tim)DAVIS A 120 4.00    
 
PEN-7   12/08/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR RAGS 1 5 44 34   2nk 1(synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 6.70  
HE IS BAD 6 3 22 21   3½ 2(salvaggio v)CORA D 122 4.00 21% 3.70 1.90 P
BOSS HOLIDAY 8 1 12 11   1nk 33 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00 11% 8.50 3.60 S
SPELLED WELL 2 7 88 78   44(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00 29.90  
WICKED IRISHMAN 3 6 6 6   65(wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 2.50 27% 2.70 2.10  
HOLY CITY 4 8 7 46   56(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 7 4 5 8   77(bobadilla j)VARGAS L 122 12.00 66.80  
NOTORIOUS REY 5 2 33 57   810¾ 815¾ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 20.00 69.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.