Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(5/4/2)-(8/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(8/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(8/3/2/1)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/9/1)-(8/3/2/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/2/1)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/1)-(6/2)-(6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(6/2/5)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/1)-(3/6/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/6/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEDERAL CASE Nov22 Oct26 Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNING Nov22 Oct25 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
3  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Nov22 Nov02 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  SPOOKY ONE Nov01 Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jul06 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 12.00    
5  U U STAR Nov22 Oct28 Oct17 Sep20 Aug30 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50    
6  BEYOND THE BEND Nov22 Nov02 Sep20 Aug25 Aug08 (george)SMITH DANIEL 117 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Nov16 Oct20 Oct11 Sep21 Aug20 (ramirez sil)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-2   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Oct28 Sep01 Jul01 May18 Mar10 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
2  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 Aug02 Jul07 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  JEAN VALJEAN Oct24 Sep13 Aug17 Jul12 Sep26 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
4  PICTOR Nov17 Oct25 Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 9% 10.10    
5  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Nov17 Oct25 Sep21 Aug18 Aug02 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.20 65% 0.50    
6  MOBEER Nov16 Oct25 Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00    
 
PEN-3   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR BOLDACIOUS Nov17 Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COUSIN BOB Oct25 Sep07 Aug25 Jun29 Jun15 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 18% 4.60    
3  SUMMER ASH Nov24 Nov04 Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  LARZ Nov17 Oct26 Oct16 Sep21 Sep06 (o'callaha)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00    
5  OUR RONNY ALAN Nov24 Oct27 Jun29 Jun03 May11 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00    
6  LONG TOM Nov17 Nov03 Oct25 Sep07 Aug24 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
7  DORSODURO Nov24 Nov16 Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
8  KAZ MUNNINGS Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Jul06 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
9  MILLBANK MAN Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00 ★    
10  MONEYONTHELINE Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 Sep06 Jan13 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
SCR  HELLMAN Nov24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Aug19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
 
PEN-4   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIRVINIZED Nov16 Oct25 Oct09 Sep08 Aug18 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50    
2  NAIL POLISH Oct27 Oct11 Sep08 Aug31 Aug03 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
3  SWEET BEAUTY Nov09 Oct27 Sep21 Aug04 Jul15 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
4  UGHROUDA Nov08 Jan11 Dec11 Oct19 Sep14 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
5  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Nov09 Sep21 Sep02 Jun18 May27 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00    
6  KAZ MUSIC Nov17 Oct25 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-5   12/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIVIN' AT THE BU Oct12 Jun07 Jan30 Aug18 Jul31 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
2  WINGS OF A SONG Oct17 Sep23 Sep06 Aug18 Jul17 (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  CHARM ALARM Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep22 Sep05 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
4  RAW POWER Sep15 Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00    
5  WILL OR WON'T Nov22 Oct29 Oct14 Sep14 Aug23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
6  LINDALOVESGOLD Nov06 Sep23 Aug30 Jul18 Jun20 (russell b)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  WHISTLER'S STYLE Oct21 Sep23 Jul29 May14 Apr02 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50    
 
PEN-6   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNAMATED MOON Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 115 6.00 9% 10.50    
2  CARGO SHIP Oct27 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
3  BOURBON CURRENCY Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 Aug24 Aug11 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
SCR  TOMMY THE TORCH Nov22 Nov14 Oct17 Sep19 Sep05 (murphy t)DAVIS A 120 4.00    
5  SUTTON BREEZE Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 68% 0.50    
6  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Oct03 Jul05 Jun19 May31 Apr18 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 2.50    
 
PEN-7   12/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR RAGS Nov12 Nov05 Oct19 Mar03 Jan13 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
2  SPELLED WELL Nov16 Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 May06 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
3  WICKED IRISHMAN Nov24 Nov09 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  HOLY CITY Nov24 Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 Sep18 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  NOTORIOUS REY Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug04 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 20.00    
6  HE IS BAD Nov08 Sep20 Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
7  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Nov24 Oct26 Sep30 Sep20 Aug04 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
8  BOSS HOLIDAY Oct05 Aug30 Aug06 Jul14 Jun23 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.