tbrs_res_20231215.ct.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Charles Town
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick										Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay			Pay				Profit/
			Type		Numbers										Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit			Amt				Loss

CT-1			Win		(7/3/5/4)										4		$2.00	$8.00	7	1		1	$5.40			$5.40				-2.60
CT-2			Win		(5/2/4)										3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		1	$12.00			$12.00				6.00
CT-3			Win		(8/5/1/6)										4		$2.00	$8.00	8	1		1	$2.60			$2.60				-5.40
CT-4			Win		(5/9/8/1)										4		$2.00	$8.00	4	1		0	$7.80							-8.00
CT-5			Win		(10/6/2/7)										4		$2.00	$8.00	6	1		1	$6.60			$6.60				-1.40
CT-6			Win		(9/6/8/5)										4		$2.00	$8.00	3	1		0	$4.20							-8.00
CT-7			Win		(3/7/4)										3		$2.00	$6.00	3	1		1	$2.60			$2.60				-3.40
CT-8			Win		(9/1/2/5)										4		$2.00	$8.00	2	1		1	$12.20			$12.20				4.20

Simulator Race results


CT-1			12/15/2023	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($12.7K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:22	:45³			:51⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	TOO BAD JUSTICE						7	1		1^nk			1^nk	1^2½		(reynolds joan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								2.50		48%		1.10		1.70	W
8	HINK'S PALADIN						8	2		2^nk			2^nk	2^2½		(johnston )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								6.00						13.60
5	BE BE BOP						5	7		6^2¾			3^2½	3^3¼		(davis billy)PELTROCHE F 122								5.00		12%		7.10		3.50	S
3	E J'S REVENGE						3	3		5^2¼			5^4½	4^4¾		(walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122								3.50		14%		5.90		3.80
2	JIMMY THE KID						2	5		4²			6^4¾	5^6¾		(martin r)REYNOLDS C 122								15.00						56.10
1	CHARITABLY GIFTED						1	6		3¹			4⁴	6^7¼		(harrison n)RODRIGUEZ V 120								6.00						9.10
6	BALI'S SHADE						6	4		7^6¼			7^7¾	7^8½		(murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 122								4.50						4.10
4	PRIMETIME JET						4	8		8^8¼			8^8¼	8^11¼		(shanley timoth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120								12.00		5%		19.00		20.20

CT-2			12/15/2023	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($12.7K)				3UP		M/F		PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:24³	:48¹	1:14²		1:21²			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	URKILLINGMEBETH						3	5		5^9½	5^9½		3⁴	1^½		(walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122								3.50		51%		1.00		5.00	W
8	GOLD TIME VIXEN						5	4		3^1½	2^½		1^nk	2^½		(kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122								2.50		★				3.80	P
2	JAMESTOWN ROAD						2	1		2¹	1^½		2^nk	3^3½		(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124								2.00		14%		6.00		0.30	S
7	SO RED THE ROSE						4	3		4^4½	4^9½		5⁶	4^7¼		(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 120								15.00						27.10
1	MISS WILD						1	2		1¹	3¹		4^5½	5^13¼		(schottroffe edw)ADAMS L 117								20.00						20.40
SCR	MISS WAVE															(hillegass alexandra)CULLUM W 122								4.00		11%		8.00
SCR	ONEPRETTYTHING															(smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122								30.00
SCR	PRACTICALLY THERE															(campbell larr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115								12.00

CT-3			12/15/2023	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($12.7K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:23²	:47¹	1:13¹		1:20¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	FOX RED						7	5		2^nk	1¹		1⁶	1^6¾		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122								1.80		46%		1.20		0.30	W
1	NO FOOLING DUDE						1	1		4³	4⁴		3⁶	2^6¾		(stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 120								12.00		12%		7.10		13.00	P
9	LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA						8	7		6^11¼	6^7½		5^10½	3^9¾		(borges isra)BOCACHICA J 115								12.00						41.40
7	ELEVATED FOREVER						6	3		5¹¹	5^7½		4¹⁰	4^10½		(garrido raul)LARROSA G 120								15.00						14.70
5	FLAT CAT						4	4		3^1½	2¹		2⁶	5^14¾		(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122								2.00		16%		5.40		3.40
4	ENVISION SUCCESS						3	8		8^21¾	8^19½		8²¹	6^16¾		(hummer richard)MARRERO CARLOS 120								30.00						93.50
2	JAZZ MAN DO						2	2		1^nk	3³		6¹¹	7^17¾		(adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								15.00						23.90
6	MACY'S BOY						5	6		7^14¾	7^11½		7¹⁴	8¹⁸		(campbell marshall)MAWING A 120								30.00		5%		19.00		######
SCR	GOLDEN APPEAL															(craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122								3.00

CT-4			12/15/2023	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($26.5K)				3UP		M/F		PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:22²	:47			:54			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BEE MOUNTAIN						4	4		1^2½			1⁴	1¹		(allen ferris)ALVELO C 122								2.50						2.90
3	STORMIN' ANNA						3	5		3^3½			3⁴	2¹		(pyke joseph)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								10.00		★				6.80	P
2	MAKAAN						2	6		4^4½			4^5½	3¹		(soldo elaine)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124								20.00						8.40
9	SOMEBODY LOVES ME						9	2		6^8½			6⁷	4^2¼		(peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 124								0.80		26%		2.90		1.00
6	ZIDORMI						6	3		2^2½			2⁴	5^6¼		(mcgill sylvester)RIOS-CONDE A 122								20.00						48.70
5	PURPLE CALLA						5	9		8^11½			7^8½	6^6½		(pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 117								15.00		26%		2.90		42.30
1	KIMSFAVORITESTORM						1	7		5⁵			5^6½	7^7¼		(hunt jame)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124								8.00		10%		9.30		6.00
8	LAZY ACES						8	8		9¹⁹			8^16½	8^17¼		(malgarini t)MAWING A 124								15.00		15%		5.50		56.90
7	TIZZ THE G						7	1		7^11½			9^18½	9^27¼		(pickett crysta)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124								30.00						24.40

CT-5			12/15/2023	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($13.7K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:22	:45⁴			:52			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MONTAUK DADDY						6	3		3^2½			2^nk	1^3¼		(spriggs tos)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								6.00		19%		4.20		2.30	W
5	STEVETHEVANDRIVER						5	6		1^½			1^nk	2^3¼		(brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122								3.50		★				4.40	P
10	DRINKWITHTHESTARS						9	1		2^½			3^½	3⁵		(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122								1.80		41%		1.50		1.40	S
1	DANCIN IN DUBAI						1	9		9^7¾			9^5¾	4^5¾		(brown kelto)BOCACHICA J 113								15.00						48.90
3	GRAND FIBER						3	5		8^6¼			8^4¾	5^6½		(mangual manolo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122								10.00						23.70
2	MAGICAL EXPRESS						2	7		5^3½			7^4¾	6^6¾		(joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 120								8.00		15%		5.70		9.40
7	HE IS BONAFIDE						7	2		6^3¾			5^3½	7^7¼		(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122								12.00		5%		19.00		10.80
4	HEY CONGRATS						4	8		4^3½			4^1½	8^7¼		(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								12.00						32.20
9	SO COURAGEOUS						8	4		7^3¾			6^4½	9^13½		(patterson kevin)RIVERA JAVIER 120								10.00						22.50
SCR	PEPE AND HEYWOOD															(nazario pedro)MONTANO JOSE 122								15.00

CT-6			12/15/2023	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($26.5K)				2		F		PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:22³	:46⁴			:53¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	YES TO LOVE						3	6		1^nk			1³	1⁴		(lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122								2.50		★				1.10
4	SYMPTOMATIC						4	4		5^2½			4⁴	2⁴		(viands r)MONTANO JOSE 122								6.00						11.40
7	GHOSTLY ANNA						6	3		2^nk			2³	3^5¾		(atkins ea)RODRIGUEZ V 122								15.00						28.90
2	BUTTERFLY WORLD						2	8		7⁵			6⁵	4^6½		(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122								10.00						14.00
1	SING ME TO SLEEP						1	7		4²			3^3½	5^7½		(peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 122								15.00						8.20
8	FRIEND FURH REAL						7	2		6^4½			7⁷	6¹⁰		(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122								12.00		7%		13.40		6.80
5	SHOTGUN MARGARET						5	5		8¹²			8⁸	7¹⁰		(shuler john)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								15.00		5%		19.00		22.20
10	SPECIAL KAYLEE						9	1		3¹			5⁴	8^10¼		(kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 122								15.00						26.20
9	QUEEN SABINE						8	9		9^12¼			9⁹	9^10¾		(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								3.00		42%		1.40		3.00
SCR	ANOTHER FINE JUBA															(boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								1.80
SCR	CANDY TRICKS															(sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122								6.00
SCR	IMADHI															(kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122								20.00
SCR	LITTLEBOURBONGIRL															(grams timot)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122								10.00
SCR	UNITE THE GIRLS															(mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122								4.00		29%		2.40

CT-7			12/15/2023	4620ft		DIRT			FAST			Allowance									Purse ($27.4K)				3UP		M/F		PT-10:02
See original race card.
:23²	:47⁴	1:13²		1:27¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	CREOLE						3	2		1¹	1⁵		1⁵	1^4¾		(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120								0.80		32%		2.10		0.30	W
6	PLANET FROLIC						6	5		4^3½	2⁵		2⁵	2^4¾		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118								3.00						5.20
7	SKY BUY						7	6		6⁵	5⁹		4⁹	3^10½		(perri gina)ALVELO C 118								8.00		28%		2.50		22.20	S
5	KILMALEY						5	3		2¹	3^5½		3⁹	4^11¼		(runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 111								6.00		★				8.20
1	TRAVEL SMART						1	7		7^5½	6¹⁰		6^10½	5^13¼		(runco c)CULLUM W 120								10.00						10.50
4	UNCONSCIOUS MIND						4	4		3^1½	4⁶		5¹⁰	6¹⁷		(davis e)PELTROCHE F 120								20.00		11%		8.10		48.10
2	LA CORONA						2	1		5⁴	7¹⁵		7^19½	7²⁶		(mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118								15.00						32.50

CT-8			12/15/2023	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($26.5K)				2		ALL		PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24	:48	1:14¹		1:20⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	PAPA LINGUINE						2	2		10¹⁴	6^5¾		3^1½	1³		(johnson r)MONTANO JOSE 122								5.00		6%		15.30		5.10	W
9	SHOOT THE BREEZE						8	6		3²	2^nk		1^nk	2³		(kolb l)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122								1.60		62%		0.60		0.60	P
1	LOVE IS WICKED						1	1		6^7½	7^6¾		6^3½	3³		(johnson c)PELTROCHE F 122								4.00		9%		10.00		4.40	S
10	OUTLAW BILLY						9	8		5⁴	4^¼		2^nk	4^4¾		(carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								10.00						26.40
6	SEABROOK ISLAND						5	3		4^2½	5^1¾		4^2½	5^8¼		(mckee cynth)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								12.00						23.50
7	VALHALLA'S PALACE						6	5		1^½	1^nk		5³	6¹¹		(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122								15.00						33.50
11	DANTE'S INFERNO						10	9		7^8½	8⁷		9^7½	7^11¼		(johnson r)CULLUM W 122								6.00		★				11.20
4	RUDD'S ROCKET						3	4		8^9½	10¹⁰		8⁷	8^13¾		(gillespie r)BOCACHICA J 115								30.00						82.40
8	SEATTLE PRINCE						7	7		2^½	3^.2		7⁵	9^14¾		(craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122								20.00						62.20
5	SAN SEBASTIAN						4	10		9¹⁰	9⁸		10^9½	10^20¼		(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								10.00		5%		19.00		21.10
SCR	DESTIN'S RAINBOW															(meyers f)ARAUJO DENIS 122								6.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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