Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/4)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4)-(5/2)-(8/5/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(8/5/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(8/5/1/6)-(5/9/8/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/6)-(5/9/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/6)-(5/9/8/1)-(10/6/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/1)-(5/9/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/1)-(5/9/8/1/3)-(5/9/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/8/1)-(10/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8/1)-(10/6/2/7)-(9/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/7)-(10/6/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/7)-(10/6/2/5/7)-(10/6/2/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/2/7)-(9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/2/7)-(9/8/5)-(3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/8/5)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5)-(3/7/4)-(9/1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(9/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/5)-(9/1/2/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/5)-(9/1/2/5/11)-(9/1/2/5/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARITABLY GIFTED Nov24 Oct07 Sep09 Jul15 May21 (harrison glenn )RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
2  JIMMY THE KID Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 Aug16 (martin august )REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
3  E J'S REVENGE Sep22 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
4  PRIMETIME JET Nov09 Sep28 Jul14 May26 Apr21 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BE BE BOP Nov24 Nov09 Oct13 Aug31 Aug10 (davis billy)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  BALI'S SHADE Nov02 Oct18 Sep01 Aug17 Jul12 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 4.50    
7  TOO BAD JUSTICE Oct31 Oct09 Sep28 Aug09 Jul15 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
8  HINK'S PALADIN Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep30 Sep18 (johnsto)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
 
CT-2   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS WILD Nov10 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Aug27 (schottroffe e)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
2  JAMESTOWN ROAD Dec08 Nov20 Oct14 Oct03 Sep22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICALLY THERE Dec09 Nov10 Nov01 Oct20 Oct05 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
SCR  MISS WAVE Nov08 Oct14 Aug19 Jul01 May25 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
5  URKILLINGMEBETH Dec01 Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 May21 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  ONEPRETTYTHING Dec07 Nov18 Nov10 Oct19 Oct04 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
7  SO RED THE ROSE Nov30 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
8  GOLD TIME VIXEN Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 ★    
 
CT-3   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO FOOLING DUDE Dec06 Nov09 Oct21 Sep14 Aug17 (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
2  JAZZ MAN DO Nov24 Nov09 Oct04 Sep09 Aug20 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN APPEAL Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Aug31 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00    
4  ENVISION SUCCESS Dec06 Jul14 Aug18 Jul28 May26 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
5  FLAT CAT Jul01 May06 Apr22 Jun04 May14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
6  MACY'S BOY Dec06 Nov24 Nov09 Apr21 Feb17 (campbell marshal)MAWING A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  ELEVATED FOREVER Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 Aug11 Jul22 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
8  FOX RED Dec07 Nov22 Nov02 Sep11 Aug26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
9  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Dec07 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 (borges is)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
 
CT-4   12/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Nov24 Aug24 Jul21 Jun09 May04 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
2  MAKAAN Nov24 Aug26 Aug02 Jul14 Mar17 (soldo elain)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
3  STORMIN' ANNA Nov04 Jul07 Jun09 Dec08 Oct28 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 ★    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
4  BEE MOUNTAIN Oct29 Oct12 Sep08 Aug03 Jul06 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 2.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN by NAJRAN)
5  PURPLE CALLA         (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00 26% 2.90    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of FLORAL OFFERING by FLOWER ALLEY)
6  ZIDORMI Oct13 Sep01 Jul07     (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FRAU BLUCHER by LONHRO (AUS))
7  TIZZ THE G Nov24         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 30.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of JEALOUS WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
8  LAZY ACES         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00 15% 5.50    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of STACEY'S FLIGHT by ROMAN RULER)
9  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 Sep21 Sep01 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 0.80 26% 2.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CT-5   12/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN IN DUBAI Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep22 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
2  MAGICAL EXPRESS Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
3  GRAND FIBER Nov09 Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 (mangual mano)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
4  HEY CONGRATS Nov29 Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep01 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
5  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Nov24 Nov03 Sep30 Sep03 Aug27 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 ★    
6  MONTAUK DADDY Nov29 Nov03 Oct20 Sep26 Sep14 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  HE IS BONAFIDE Nov24 Oct20 Sep21 Sep03 Aug10 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 (nazario pedro)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
9  SO COURAGEOUS Nov20 Nov03 Oct07 Jul02 Apr28 (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
10  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 May05 Mar31 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
 
CT-6   12/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SING ME TO SLEEP Nov02 Oct12       (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  BUTTERFLY WORLD Nov24         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
3  YES TO LOVE Nov08 Oct27 Aug10 Jul20   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.50 ★    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'S A PROBLEM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  SYMPTOMATIC Nov24         (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IDEAL THOUGHTS by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  SHOTGUN MARGARET Oct27 Oct12 Aug31     (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
SCR  UNITE THE GIRLS         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  GHOSTLY ANNA Nov24 Nov02 Oct22     (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
8  FRIEND FURH REAL Nov24 Oct12       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 7% 13.40    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of I AM FURH REAL by FIBER SONDE)
9  QUEEN SABINE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
10  SPECIAL KAYLEE Nov24 Nov02 Sep21     (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Nov02         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ROCK OF WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  CANDY TRICKS         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  IMADHI Oct12 Sep21       (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of MONSTER IMAGE by MEADOW MONSTER)
 
CT-7   12/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVEL SMART Nov03 Oct18 Jun16 May20 Apr28 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
2  LA CORONA Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 May04 Aug01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
3  CREOLE Nov02 Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 Jun15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 0.80 32% 2.10    
4  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Nov04 Oct13 Sep22     (davis e)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 11% 8.10    
5  KILMALEY Sep04 Aug03 Jul08 May31   (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 6.00 ★    
6  PLANET FROLIC Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 Sep29 Jun04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00    
7  SKY BUY Nov25 Oct27 Oct05 Sep15 Aug03 (perri gina)ALVELO C 118 8.00 28% 2.50    
 
CT-8   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IS WICKED Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  PAPA LINGUINE         (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 6% 15.30    
  (by ALDRIN out of MOM'S RAVIOLIS by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  DESTIN'S RAINBOW Sep16 Aug19 Jul21 Jun04   (meyers madison)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BECKY'S RAINBOW by INDYGO SHINER)
4  RUDD'S ROCKET Dec01 Nov02       (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
5  SAN SEBASTIAN         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
6  SEABROOK ISLAND Nov24 Nov03 Oct13     (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
7  VALHALLA'S PALACE Nov03 Oct13 Sep16     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM DUE by CATIENUS)
8  SEATTLE PRINCE Nov25         (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  SHOOT THE BREEZE Nov24 Nov03       (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by JUBA out of BREEZIE WEEZIE by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  OUTLAW BILLY Nov25         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TOP TIARA by ARCHARCHARCH)
11  DANTE'S INFERNO Nov24 Nov03       (johnson r)CULLUM W 122 6.00 ★    
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.