Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-5   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $10.40 $4.40 73%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLANET FROLIC 2 2 2 2nk   1nk 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 0.40 40% 1.50 0.10 W
VIENNA'S TWIRL 7 3 1 1nk   2nk 2 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 121 5.00 5.50  
I LOVE MARIA 1 1 3 4   4 310 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 21% 3.70 21.40 S
BEST WORST IDEA 3 4 4 3   35 410¼ (ramirez jos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00 14.30  
DREAM OF GOLD 5 7 710¾ 6   511¼ 511¼ (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
NINETY PROOF 4 6 5 5   612¾ 620¾ (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 28.70  
IVY WAY 6 5 610½ 714¼   715¼ 722½ (saleem gor)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 20.00 57.50  
 
CT-2   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:141     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN 1 1 1 1nk   2nk 1 (dollinger-st)BATISTA A 120 4.00 4.20  
SPARKLEINYOUREYE 5 3 5 3.2   1nk 2 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 3.00 12% 7.10 3.70 P
PHILMARY CASTLE 2 2 3 5   33 36 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 15.00 47.10  
KAALA 6 5 4 4¼   44 4 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 0.90  
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 3 7 6 6   5 5 (hamlin kathleen )MAWING A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 50.00  
LUZIA 4 4 7 7   7 614¼ (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 11.90  
O K SMARTY PANTS 7 6 2 2nk   6 714¾ (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 62% 0.60 4.70  
 
CT-3   11/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:221 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHEN MARGARITAS 6 2 1     1 1 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00 23.40  
  (by MACHEN out of GRAPEFRUIT LEAGUE by LATENT HEAT)
SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE 1 8 57     4 2 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 121 10.00 16.80  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
JUBA'S PUNCH 8 1 2     2 3 (joy j)CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00 20% 4.00 2.00 S
  (by JUBA out of SCOTTISH PUNCH by MY BOY ADAM)
TRUE INDY 7 3 45     3 4 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 121 10.00 10% 9.10 9.20  
  (by AARON'S WAY out of BOBBIE'S THE BEST by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PRINCESS MARGARET 3 6 7     6 5 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 25% 3.00 6.70  
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
TRUE BUCKPASSING 5 7 814½     713¼ 6 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 121 10.00 10.60  
  (by AARON'S WAY out of METAL FIRECRACKER by LITE THE FUSE)
RIGHT TO REFUSE 4 4 3     5 711 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.20 1.20  
  (by REDESDALE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
COLD CASH 2 5 6     813¾ 816¾ (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 10.00 10% 9.10 33.20  
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of WHERE'S MY MONEY by PETIONVILLE)
SCR  BABY BREEZE               (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00    
  (by GANDHI out of BABY LEXI by STORM BOOT)
 
CT-4   11/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARMA BUS 1 5 2nk     1½ 1 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10 W
MAGICAL SURPRISE 3 3 4     33 2 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 6.40  
EL PACHO 6 1 1nk     2½ 33 (reyes d)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 2.40  
GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) 7 2 6     67 45 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 8.00 5% 19.00 30.70  
BORN TO SIN 2 6 33     57 5 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.00 4.80  
S S MIRAGE 4 7 5     4 6 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 4.50 31% 2.20 10.30  
DONNIE B 5 4 711¾     7 7 (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 48.60  
 
CT-5   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:15     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE TWIRLIN 4 4 21 2nk   1½ 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 26% 2.80 3.30 W
SKYLAR'S SISTER 5 3 5 4   3½ 2 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 0.80 P
MARTHARITA 3 5 74 7   5 3 (horner g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 25.50  
SUPERSNAKE 2 2 4 5   4 4 (murtaugh andrew )MAWING A 120 10.00 18.80  
WICKED SAUCY 1 1 11 1nk   2½ 5 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 120 30.00 70.60  
THE MONEY MACHINE 6 7 63 6   6 6 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 6% 15.60 6.40  
BLUESKYSLOOKINATME 7 6 31 3.2   7 730 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 3.90  
SCR  KENTUCKY REIGN               (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.00    
 
CT-6   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 3 2 64 75   21 1¾ (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 3.60  
REMYS SHOWTIME 5 4 21 2nk   11 2¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80 61% 0.60 1.50 P
ROCKIN THE PALACE 7 7 77 87   6 31 (stites fl)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 15.10  
MACHEN'S RIDGE 4 8 87 6   31 41 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 9.80  
TIMMY 2 3 53 54   5 5 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
COLT ROCK 8 6 11 1nk   4 6 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 11% 8.20 4.30  
MAKOTO 1 1 3 32   7 711¾ (saleem gor)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 82.70  
CHANGE YOUR LUCK 6 5 4 43   8 813¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 10.00 5.00  
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA               (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
 
CT-7   11/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:22 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY DREAMS 3 5 5     43 1¼ (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 17.80  
CARIBBEAN PLEASURE 4 3 2nk     12 2¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 47% 1.10 0.80 P
TAP SECRET 2 7 32     33 31 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 11% 7.80 4.50 S
JEFFERSON NATIVE 1 4 1nk     22 4 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50 18% 4.60 2.00  
TIZ NO CLOWN 5 6 64     5 5 (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 118 30.00 64.30  
BO'S BOURBON 6 1 4     67 610½ (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00 12.50  
BRISTOL CHANNEL 7 2 7     7 711 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00 50.10  
SCR  BALI'S SHADE               (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
SCR  POLITICAL DECISION               (murtaug)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   11/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:134     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIANA RED 5 4 1015¾ 911¾   36 1¾ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 8.20  
MONTAUK DADDY 3 3 21 2nk   11 2¾ (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 32% 2.10 6.10 P
PROTA 1 1 11 1nk   21 3 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 8% 11.20 14.20 S
ELVIRUS 8 7 7 6   46 4 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 10% 9.20 2.10  
NEWS BOX 2 2 6 810¾   7 5 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 16% 5.10 3.30  
11  NOTION TO TAPIT 9 10 8 7   5 6 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 9.70  
TOP OF THE MINT 6 9 915¾ 1012¼   9 7 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 16.10  
12  CRIMSON ROCKET 10 8 44 4   6 812¾ (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 12.10  
PRINCE OF FENTON 4 5 54 5   8 918½ (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 16.70  
HEY CONGRATS 7 6 32 35   1012¼ 1026 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 13% 6.70 14.20  
SCR  SOUTHERN LAD               (leaf jr)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  SULEMAN               (laguna homero)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.