Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-2   WIN (9/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.20 $2.20 28%
CT-4   TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-1 $24.60 $18.60 310%
CT-7   EXA (9/4/8/7)-(9/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-8 $16.90 $4.90 41%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:154     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNOISSEUR 8 6 11 11   1½ 1¼ (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 12.30  
SO RED THE ROSE 4 3 21 21   2½ 2¼ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00 19.80  
CHANNEL SCENT 2 5 54 5   3 3 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 115 20.00 14.40  
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 3 2 43 4   5 45 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
WAGER WORTHY 5 1 3 32   4 5 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 4.20  
HOLLY'S PERSUASION 6 7 77 711   67 612¼ (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 77% 0.30 1.30  
SARAH BELLUM 1 4 6 610   79 717¼ (geris samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00 59.10  
HOLMDEL PARK 7 8 810 815   817 827 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 122 2.50 5.40  
 
CT-2   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:224 :481       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BOUGIE 2 7 1½     12 1hd (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 13% 6.90 4.10 W
OUR GREAT NOTION 6 4 52     32 2hd (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 1.30  
OPPO TACO 3 5 2½     22 3 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 13% 6.50 10.10 S
JUJU ON DA BEAT 1 8 88     6 4 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 17.50  
LIVANA 8 1 41     5 55 (brown ronney)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 40% 1.50 3.20  
OFFICER CALLY 5 3 7     8 6 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 11.60  
STORMI VANNA 4 6 6     7 7 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 45.20  
WINDSOR'S MEMORY 7 2 31     43 87 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00 11% 8.40 9.10  
SCR  MISS ARGENTINA               (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
 
CT-3   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :46       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLE LIGHTS 3 4 15     1 1¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 48% 1.10 0.20 W
AT THE HALF 1 6 512½     48 2¾ (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 19.70  
THUNDER PUNCH 5 3 25     2 3 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 21% 3.80 4.90 S
SHENANDOAH CAT 7 1 35     36 4 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 9.60  
FIFTY GRAY SHADES 4 5 411½     5 5 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 91.90  
LIME AFTER LIME 2 7 718½     715 612 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 6% 14.40 16.10  
MOJO MATTERS 6 2 613     615 712½ (davis e)PELTROCHE F 113 20.00 96.60  
 
CT-4   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:222 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTINGENCY 6 1 1nk     1nk 1 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70 W
  (by FLATTER out of INSPEIGHTOFYOU by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DONATE LIFE 3 5 2nk     2nk 2 (schoen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 17% 4.80 1.20 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUARGENT by WAR FRONT)
QUEEN OF HEARTS 1 4 31     36 33 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
DEBT RELIEF 2 7 4     47 44 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 7.70  
  (by COLLECTED out of TIZ A BRITE MISS by HIGH BRITE)
FOE WHAT ITS WORTH 4 6 5     5 57 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 21.90  
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 5 2 6     611½ 612¾ (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 8.40  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
LAILAH NITE 7 3 713¾     716½ 720¼ (oxendin)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 54.80  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of AUSTRALIAN WALTZ by AUSTRALIA (GB))
 
CT-5   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:16 1:421   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREATANDGOOD 4 4 33 1½ 11 1nk 11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 0.60 38% 1.60 0.60 W
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
BAD LINEAGE 6 6 611½ 710½ 21 2nk 21 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 121 4.00 2.80  
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
JONAS HILL ROAD 1 7 712 6 3 38 315 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 21% 3.80 5.70 S
  (by TAPITURE out of EVERYWHERUWANTTOBE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT 3 1 22 3 4 49 416¼ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00 12.50  
  (by REDESDALE out of LIL LADY BIG PURSE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
MOON FALL 7 3 4 5 611 516 523 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00 11% 7.90 11.30  
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
GETTIN SPICY 2 2 12 2½ 714 729 649½ (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 114 30.00 77.70  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SOMESAYNEIGH 5 5 5 4 57 626 751 (dixon geoffrey )RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 23.90  
  (by BULLSBAY out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
SCR  CRUSH 'N RUN               (lewis r)MAWING A 121 20.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
CT-6   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:154 1:422   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD SLEW 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 1 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.20 45% 1.20 0.60 W
OCEAN STORM 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 20% 4.00 5.00 P
MEETMARYSMAN 3 2 3 31 34 3 3 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 45.80  
ALDRINALINE 8 8 5 43 4 4 4 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00 5.00  
NEVERFOLD 4 7 89 65 5 5 510¾ (ashby rand)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 11% 8.20 8.20  
HOW IS SHE 1 3 77 87 814 712½ 614 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 12.00 8.60  
SUGAR LIPS 7 6 4 5 6 611½ 716¼ (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00 67.60  
WELL EQUIPPED 5 4 67 75 713½ 819½ 833¼ (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 73.00  
 
CT-7   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:221 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIBER STRONG 9 1 2nk     1nk 1½ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 28% 2.50 1.20 W
MONCRIEF 8 2 1nk     2nk 2½ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 5.00 15% 5.60 6.80 P
JUBAY 1 9 6     6 3 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 111 10.00 10.20  
HOPPING HENRY 4 5 3     35 45 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 1.80 17% 4.70 2.80  
SETTLEMENT DATE 2 6 7     46 5 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 12.00 9.30  
TRIPLE BAD 7 3 8     58 6 (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00 13% 6.50 7.10  
RUN TO DAYLIGHT 5 7 9     8 7 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 62.50  
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY 6 4 5     910¼ 810½ (hillegass )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00 66.90  
BIGZ'S CABANA BOY 3 8 4     7 916¼ (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00 36.90  
 
CT-8   11/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:15     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY'S WINKSTER 1 2 65 4   3.2 1 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 42.50  
RAGTIME RICHES 6 4 77 6   4 2 (farrior anthon)REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 31% 2.30 1.90 P
10  VOICE OF NOW 10 9 2½ 2½   1nk 3 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 28% 2.60 5.90 S
SEIZE THE BREEZE 7 3 44 911   10 4 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
PERSONAL FINANCE 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 5 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 21.20  
MISS YOU AJAX 9 8 10 1013   7 6 (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 120 20.00 23.80  
NORLANDER 4 5 32 3   5 7 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 7% 12.80 7.80  
TAPADINE 2 6 8 7   6 8 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 12% 7.10 15.10  
ZAP MAN 5 10 9 810½   9 910½ (cockburn sam)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 2.90  
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY 8 7 54 5   8 1015¾ (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00 14.60  
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE               (deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.