Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-2   Win (9/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-3   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-4   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-5   Win (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-7   Win (9/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-8   Win (6/10/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH BELLUM Jan28 Jan06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 (geris j)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
CHANNEL SCENT Nov11 Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 (mcgill sylves)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 (shanley timothy)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug12 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
WAGER WORTHY Nov09 Oct19 Sep16 Aug26 Jun16 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
HOLLY'S PERSUASION Sep21 Aug04 Jun23 May27 May07 (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 77% 0.30    
HOLMDEL PARK Oct23 Sep12 Aug15 Jul17 Jun21 (hillegass alexandra)CULLUM W 122 2.50    
CONNOISSEUR Oct19 Jun07 May30 Nov22 Oct10 (shanley timoth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUJU ON DA BEAT Nov15 Oct26 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
LIL BOUGIE Nov01 Oct19 Aug29 Jul27 Jul01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
OPPO TACO Oct05 Sep15 Aug12 Jun10 May11 (walters dav)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
STORMI VANNA Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 Feb24   (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
OFFICER CALLY Nov01 Dec07 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (atkins mi)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  MISS ARGENTINA Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (gomez anali)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
OUR GREAT NOTION Oct19 Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 Jul15 (grams c)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00    
WINDSOR'S MEMORY Oct25         (grams c)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00 11% 8.40    
LIVANA Jul07 Jun10 May18 Apr28 Sep17 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
CT-3   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AT THE HALF Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
LIME AFTER LIME Jan21 Jan14 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 6% 14.40    
CASTLE LIGHTS Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul28 Jun02 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 48% 1.10    
FIFTY GRAY SHADES Oct21 Jul20 May19 Apr28 Jan20 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
THUNDER PUNCH Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
MOJO MATTERS Oct26 Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul22 (davis russell)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
SHENANDOAH CAT Jul21 May26 May12 Apr29 Apr20 (reynolds joan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF HEARTS Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Jul28   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEBT RELIEF         (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
DONATE LIFE Nov12 Oct10 Sep02 Jun11 Apr28 (schoenth)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 17% 4.80    
FOE WHAT ITS WORTH         (kolb l)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Nov05 Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 Aug31 (mcentee paul)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
CONTINGENCY Nov09         (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
LAILAH NITE         (oxendine )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONAS HILL ROAD         (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
GETTIN SPICY Nov16 Nov08 Nov01 Sep30 Sep07 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 114 30.00    
THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Nov03 Oct13 Sep29     (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00    
GREATANDGOOD Nov03 Oct13 Sep22     (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 0.60 38% 1.60    
SOMESAYNEIGH Oct25 Sep18 Jun02 May25 May04 (dixon geoffrey )SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
SCR  CRUSH 'N RUN Apr22 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 (lewis r)MAWING A 121 20.00    
BAD LINEAGE Oct28 Sep17 Sep01 Jul20 Jun01 (perry e)PELTROCHE F 121 4.00    
MOON FALL Nov11 Oct13 Sep08 Aug10 Jul06 (jones micha)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00 11% 7.90    
 
CT-6   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW IS SHE Oct26 Oct07 Jul20 Jun23 May25 (johnson jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 12.00    
OCEAN STORM Nov11 Jul06 Jun02 May06   (shanley tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
MEETMARYSMAN Nov11 Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 Jun30 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
NEVERFOLD Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul30 (ashby randy)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
WELL EQUIPPED Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Aug17 Jun23 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROAD SLEW Oct27 Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
SUGAR LIPS Nov24 Oct27 Oct18 Nov16 Oct22 (sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
ALDRINALINE Nov11 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Oct12 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00    
 
CT-7   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBAY Nov02 Oct05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 (racanelli m)BOCACHICA J 111 10.00    
SETTLEMENT DATE Nov17 Oct28 Jun30 Jun15 May19 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Nov09 Sep07 Jul29 Jul08 May26 (straughn william )RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
HOPPING HENRY Jul08 May05 Mar31 Feb02 Jan19 (sterling michael )PELTROCHE F 124 1.80 17% 4.70    
RUN TO DAYLIGHT Oct25 Sep29 Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Oct21 May26 Mar18 Mar10 Jan14 (hillegass al)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
TRIPLE BAD Nov16 Jan26       (wilhelm tabitha )CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00 13% 6.50    
MONCRIEF Nov12 Oct13 Sep02 Jul19 Jul01 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
FIBER STRONG Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Apr27 Apr07 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
CT-8   11/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY'S WINKSTER Nov09 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 (jones micha)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
TAPADINE Nov04 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul04 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
PERSONAL FINANCE Nov15 Oct19 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
NORLANDER Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
ZAP MAN Nov10 Jul09       (cockburn sam)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50    
RAGTIME RICHES Nov04 Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 (farrior anthony)REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 31% 2.30    
SEIZE THE BREEZE Nov15 Nov09 Oct19 Oct06 Sep16 (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 (deiter kelly)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
MISS YOU AJAX Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep08 Aug24 (knoblauch-perez mic)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
10  VOICE OF NOW Nov09 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul27 (deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.