Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(9/3/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(9/3/2/8)-(3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (9/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/2/8)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/8)-(3/5/2)-(6/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/3/1)-(4/1/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(4/1/8)-(6/2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(6/2/4/5)-(9/4/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/5)-(9/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/5)-(9/4/8/7)-(6/10/2/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/7)-(9/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/7)-(9/4/8/7)-(9/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/8/7)-(6/10/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/10/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/2/4/7)-(6/10/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/2/4/7)-(6/10/2/4/7)-(6/10/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH BELLUM Jan28 Jan06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
2  CHANNEL SCENT Nov11 Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 (mcgill sylv)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
3  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SO RED THE ROSE Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
5  WAGER WORTHY Nov09 Oct19 Sep16 Aug26 Jun16 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 ★    
6  HOLLY'S PERSUASION Sep21 Aug04 Jun23 May27 May07 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 77% 0.30    
7  HOLMDEL PARK Oct23 Sep12 Aug15 Jul17 Jun21 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 122 2.50 ★    
8  CONNOISSEUR Oct19 Jun07 May30 Nov22 Oct10 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUJU ON DA BEAT Nov15 Oct26 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
2  LIL BOUGIE Nov01 Oct19 Aug29 Jul27 Jul01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  OPPO TACO Oct05 Sep15 Aug12 Jun10 May11 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  STORMI VANNA Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 Feb24   (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
5  OFFICER CALLY Nov01 Dec07 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  MISS ARGENTINA Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
7  OUR GREAT NOTION Oct19 Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 Jul15 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00    
8  WINDSOR'S MEMORY Oct25         (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00 11% 8.40    
9  LIVANA Jul07 Jun10 May18 Apr28 Sep17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
CT-3   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE HALF Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
2  LIME AFTER LIME Jan21 Jan14 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 6% 14.40    
3  CASTLE LIGHTS Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul28 Jun02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 48% 1.10    
4  FIFTY GRAY SHADES Oct21 Jul20 May19 Apr28 Jan20 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
5  THUNDER PUNCH Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  MOJO MATTERS Oct26 Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul22 (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
7  SHENANDOAH CAT Jul21 May26 May12 Apr29 Apr20 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF HEARTS Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Jul28   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
2  DEBT RELIEF         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIZ A BRITE MISS by HIGH BRITE)
3  DONATE LIFE Nov12 Oct10 Sep02 Jun11 Apr28 (schoen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 17% 4.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUARGENT by WAR FRONT)
4  FOE WHAT ITS WORTH         (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Nov05 Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 Aug31 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  CONTINGENCY Nov09         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by FLATTER out of INSPEIGHTOFYOU by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  LAILAH NITE         (oxendin)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of AUSTRALIAN WALTZ by AUSTRALIA (GB))
 
CT-5   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JONAS HILL ROAD         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of EVERYWHERUWANTTOBE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  GETTIN SPICY Nov16 Nov08 Nov01 Sep30 Sep07 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 114 30.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
3  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Nov03 Oct13 Sep29     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of LIL LADY BIG PURSE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  GREATANDGOOD Nov03 Oct13 Sep22     (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 0.60 38% 1.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
5  SOMESAYNEIGH Oct25 Sep18 Jun02 May25 May04 (dixon geoffre)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
SCR  CRUSH 'N RUN Apr22 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 (lewis r)MAWING A 121 20.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
7  BAD LINEAGE Oct28 Sep17 Sep01 Jul20 Jun01 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 121 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
8  MOON FALL Nov11 Oct13 Sep08 Aug10 Jul06 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00 11% 7.90    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
 
CT-6   11/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW IS SHE Oct26 Oct07 Jul20 Jun23 May25 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 12.00    
2  OCEAN STORM Nov11 Jul06 Jun02 May06   (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  MEETMARYSMAN Nov11 Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 Jun30 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
4  NEVERFOLD Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul30 (ashby rand)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
5  WELL EQUIPPED Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Aug17 Jun23 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROAD SLEW Oct27 Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
7  SUGAR LIPS Nov24 Oct27 Oct18 Nov16 Oct22 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
8  ALDRINALINE Nov11 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Oct12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00    
 
CT-7   11/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBAY Nov02 Oct05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 111 10.00    
2  SETTLEMENT DATE Nov17 Oct28 Jun30 Jun15 May19 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
3  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Nov09 Sep07 Jul29 Jul08 May26 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
4  HOPPING HENRY Jul08 May05 Mar31 Feb02 Jan19 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 1.80 17% 4.70    
5  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Oct25 Sep29 Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
6  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Oct21 May26 Mar18 Mar10 Jan14 (hillegass )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
7  TRIPLE BAD Nov16 Jan26       (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00 13% 6.50    
8  MONCRIEF Nov12 Oct13 Sep02 Jul19 Jul01 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
9  FIBER STRONG Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Apr27 Apr07 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
CT-8   11/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANNY'S WINKSTER Nov09 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
2  TAPADINE Nov04 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul04 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
3  PERSONAL FINANCE Nov15 Oct19 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
4  NORLANDER Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
5  ZAP MAN Nov10 Jul09       (cockburn sam)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50    
6  RAGTIME RICHES Nov04 Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 (farrior anthon)REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 31% 2.30    
7  SEIZE THE BREEZE Nov15 Nov09 Oct19 Oct06 Sep16 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
9  MISS YOU AJAX Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep08 Aug24 (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
10  VOICE OF NOW Nov09 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  COUNTRY CHARLIE Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul27 (deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.