Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-3   WIN (1/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.00 $2.00 25%
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(1/5/9/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-5 $51.00 $19.00 59%
CT-4   TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-5-1 $31.30 $7.30 30%
    SFT (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-5-1-6 $78.30 $54.30 226%
    DD (1/5/9/2)-(4/1/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-4 $46.00 $14.00 44%
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(1/5/9/2)-(4/1/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00  6-5-4 $79.10 $15.10 24%
CT-7   EXA (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-7 $21.00 $5.00 31%
    SFT (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1/4)-(6/7/2/1/4)-(6/7/2/1/4) 96 $1.00 $96.00  2-7-6-1 $180.50 $84.50 88%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN CREED 6 6 21 2½   1nk 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 35% 1.90 0.70 W
SUSTENANCE 5 4 11 1½   2nk 2 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 9.90  
KASIMBA 2 2 31 42   3 3 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 34% 2.00 5.50 S
MY HANDSOME MAN 1 1 6 5   48 48 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 4.40  
YO VINNIE 3 3 53 6   5 5 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 4.50 8% 12.10 5.40  
MOSLEY NATURAL 4 5 4 3½   6 623¾ (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 21.80  
SCR  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY               (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
 
CT-2   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT DISCOUNT 6 5 5 1nk   1½ 1 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 14% 6.00 2.80 W
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 8 7 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00 3.60  
UNICORN SALLY 7 8 79 64   45 3 (brooks gera)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 18% 4.50 5.10 S
TIMEISGOLDEN 5 6 65 7   7 4 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 45% 1.20 5.30  
TIZBIT 3 3 915½ 912½   66 5 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 15.00 47.70  
AMERICA'S PRIDE 1 1 2nk 3½   3 611½ (gayle webster )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 34.00  
SOME IS NINE 2 4 33 4   56 713¾ (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 2.80  
ONEPRETTYTHING 9 9 810 810½   912½ 819¾ (smith osborne)ADAMS L 115 30.00 88.80  
CALYPSO GHOST 4 2 4 5   811½ 929½ (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 
CT-3   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:141     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE THE RAPIDS 5 3 2½ 1nk   1 11 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 22% 3.40 4.00 W
MISS ANTIETAM 7 4 34 36   2 21 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 5.30  
DALLAS 4 5 612 5   3 3 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 8.00 7.70  
LIL SPINNER 2 2 59 4   55 4 (sanchez-s)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
IMAGINE VICTORY 3 6 716 716½   611 5 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 13.30  
AND WHISTLE 1 1 1½ 2nk   44 610 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 41% 1.40 1.40  
HOVEL 6 8 821 820   712½ 712 (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 37.60  
HOLDING COURT 8 7 4 613½   822½ 829¼ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 43.50  
SCR  SARAH BELLUM               (geris samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
 
CT-4   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:131     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'LLTAKECAREOFIT 4 1 1 11   12 1 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 48% 1.10 1.30 W
NOCASHREFUNDS 5 5 4 3   22 2 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 9% 10.30 6.50 P
GRUMPY'S BUDDY 1 3 64 54   33 3 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.00 14% 6.00 2.40 S
STROLLINGINTHEWIND 6 9 8 7   5 44 (sigler ronald )REYNOLDS C 118 4.50 7% 13.20 5.20  
HARPERSGONEFISHING 3 4 2 21   4 5 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00 53.00  
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY 8 8 96 811½   88 66 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00 16.70  
REVEREND JACK 7 6 5 65   7 77 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 12.30  
NEVERFOLD 2 2 3 4   66 810¾ (ashby rand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00 46.60  
JAZZ WITH DENIS 9 7 7 916½   928 949¼ (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00 51.50  
 
CT-5   11/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REY O REYES 2 1 1nk 2nk 11 11 1 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 2.30  
LIEUTENANT BROWN 4 7 6 4 3 21 2 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 50.00  
AIR MEDAL 5 4 8 7 7 5 3 (hanagan g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
ESPRESSO 7 6 2nk 1nk 21 3 4 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 50% 1.00 4.10  
SUMMONING DENIS 6 3 5 6 5 6 53 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 3.30  
LEG UP 1 2 3 3 4 4 66 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 12.70  
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 8 8 7 8 812½ 7 7 (clatterbuck)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 14.30  
O'RIGSBY 3 5 4 5 6 8 812½ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 4.00 19% 4.20 3.70  
SCR  CHASE LIL ME               (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ZEN MASTER 9 9 21 1½   1 14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 21% 3.80 1.20 W
HOT FUDGE SONDE 8 7 4 31   2 24 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 20% 4.00 6.30 P
GAMMA SQUEEZE 1 2 6 54   3 3 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 5.30  
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 2 1 7 7   49 4 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 18.00  
ALPHA WHISKEY 6 6 3 41   5 513 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 8.50  
AZZARO STEEL 3 5 8 8   813 616¾ (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 28% 2.50 3.90  
SUBJECT TO CHANGE 5 3 5 6   711½ 717½ (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 120 20.00 9% 10.50 12.50  
SOUTHERN LAD 7 4 11 2½   610½ 818¾ (leaf robe)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00 44.10  
ANDREZ CONQUIST 4 8 910¼ 912¾   917 926 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 98.20  
SCR  BOMBOLONI               (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
SCR  MONSTER MASON               (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD               (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.00    
SCR  SUPER QUALITY               (jones michae)MORALES KELVIN 120 10.00    
 
CT-7   11/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Randy Funkhouser Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:133 1:394   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CHANGE 2 5 7 76 6 11 1¾ (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 8.00 20% 4.00 2.40 W
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LOOKS LIKE TROUBLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SOCIAL CHIC 7 8 55 6 7 5 2¾ (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 24% 3.20 6.00 P
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MUAD'DIB 6 3 3 34 4 21 3 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 5.00 35% 1.80 0.80 S
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JUNGLE BEAST 1 1 45 5 37 31 4 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
C R'S MANDATE 4 4 6 4 5 6 5 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 20.00 55.80  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of MALIBU BABY by MALIBU MOON)
CANDY INVASION 8 10 1011¼ 1012 919¼ 8 6 (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 123 20.00 23.40  
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 3 6 2 21 2nk 4 7 (runco c)CULLUM W 123 30.00 45.30  
  (by GORMLEY out of FLEETING SENSATION by ZENSATIONAL)
10  NO LOVE FOR JUBA 9 7 8 87 814¼ 95 8 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 28.10  
  (by JUBA out of NOT EVEN FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LORD OF CORK 5 2 1 11 1nk 7 918¾ (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 121 15.00 16.60  
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
11  MACHEN'S RIDGE 10 9 9 9 1019½ 1017 1036 (ovando m)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00 ######  
  (by MACHEN out of LEGENDARY RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
SCR  COASTAL MISSION               (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
 
CT-8   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 3 1 11 11   13 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 35% 1.90 1.50 W
KATALIMA 5 9 9 614½   38 2 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 26% 2.90 3.60 P
MISS LAUREN 7 6 21 21   23 3 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 14% 6.20 2.30 S
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 9 8 64 413½   4 4 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 68.30  
10  BAYS CASTLE 10 10 86 815¼   513 58 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
BOCA BIRDIE 4 7 1018½ 1029¼   922 613¼ (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 117 30.00 79.00  
LOOKING FOR FLARE 2 2 5 715   621 724 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 20.00 88.40  
HOLY HIP 6 4 7 918¼   1023 826¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 87.30  
PUSH 1 3 32 513½   821½ 936¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 5.50  
MAY MAYS CASTLE 8 5 4 39   721½ 1042¼ (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 10.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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