Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(5/7/6/4)-(1/5/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(1/5/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(1/5/9/2)-(4/1/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/2)-(1/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/2)-(1/5/9/2)-(1/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/2)-(4/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/2)-(4/1/5/6)-(8/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(8/3/5)-(3/10/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/7/5)-(8/3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(3/10/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(3/10/9/5)-(6/7/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/10/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/5)-(3/10/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/5)-(3/10/9/5)-(3/10/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/9/5)-(6/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9/5)-(6/7/2/1)-(3/5/7/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1/4)-(6/7/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/2/1)-(3/5/7/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/5/7/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/10/8)-(3/5/7/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/10/8)-(3/5/7/10/8)-(3/5/7/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HANDSOME MAN Nov01 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Jul14 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
2  KASIMBA Nov01 Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
3  YO VINNIE Oct28 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 4.50 8% 12.10    
4  MOSLEY NATURAL Aug11 Jul06 Jun03 Mar01 Dec16 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
SCR  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Oct21 May26 Mar18 Mar10 Jan14 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
6  SUSTENANCE Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Sep02 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00    
7  CAPTAIN CREED Oct28 Sep23 Jan06 Nov26 May06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 35% 1.90    
 
CT-2   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICA'S PRIDE Nov10 Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (gayle webster)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
2  SOME IS NINE Oct14 Sep15 Aug27 Aug03 Jul13 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80    
3  TIZBIT Nov03 Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
4  CALYPSO GHOST Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 Aug24 Aug09 (harting c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIMEISGOLDEN Oct24 Aug31 Jul29 May09 Apr13 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  FLAT DISCOUNT Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 Sep15 Sep02 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
7  UNICORN SALLY Nov05 Oct04 Sep26 Sep11 Aug09 (brooks gera)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
8  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Nov08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 Jul29 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
9  ONEPRETTYTHING Nov10 Oct19 Oct04 Sep02 Aug19 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
 
CT-3   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AND WHISTLE Oct26 Oct05 Aug26 Jul14 Jun11 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  LIL SPINNER Nov09 Jul01 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (sanchez-s)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  IMAGINE VICTORY Aug18 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
4  DALLAS Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 Sep13 Aug05 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
5  RIDE THE RAPIDS Nov03 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 22% 3.40    
6  HOVEL Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug05 Jul08 (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
SCR  SARAH BELLUM Jan28 Jan06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
8  MISS ANTIETAM Oct28 Oct01 Aug25 Aug06 Jul21 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
9  HOLDING COURT Oct07 Sep01 Jul23 Jun10 Mar25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 Jul22 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.00 14% 6.00    
2  NEVERFOLD Oct15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul30 Jun16 (ashby rand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
3  HARPERSGONEFISHING Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 Jul06 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
4  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Nov01 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  NOCASHREFUNDS Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
6  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 Aug04 Jul21 (sigler ronald )REYNOLDS C 118 4.50 7% 13.20    
7  REVEREND JACK Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 Jun09 Apr27 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00    
8  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug18 Aug11 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
9  JAZZ WITH DENIS Nov01 Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
 
CT-5   11/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEG UP Nov01 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
2  REY O REYES Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jun15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80    
3  O'RIGSBY Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  LIEUTENANT BROWN Oct27 Oct06 Sep22 Sep01 Jul21 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
5  AIR MEDAL Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Aug03 Jun22 (hanagan g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHASE LIL ME Nov01 Oct11 Sep07 Aug18 Jul07 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
7  SUMMONING DENIS Nov01 Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 ★    
8  ESPRESSO Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08   (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 50% 1.00    
9  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Nov01 Oct18 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (clatterbuck)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMMA SQUEEZE Nov08 Oct18 Sep16 Aug18 Jun22 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50    
2  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Oct28 Sep28 Sep02 Jul27 May27 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
3  AZZARO STEEL Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Aug09 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  ANDREZ CONQUIST Sep16 Aug30 Jul15     (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
5  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Oct28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 120 20.00 9% 10.50    
6  ALPHA WHISKEY Sep16 Aug03 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
SCR  SUPER QUALITY Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 Jun18 Apr28 (jones michae)MORALES KELVIN 120 10.00    
8  SOUTHERN LAD Oct28 Aug03 Jul07 Apr20 Feb19 (leaf robe)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
9  HOT FUDGE SONDE Oct28 May12 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 20% 4.00    
10  ZEN MASTER Oct28 Oct07 Sep03 Jul30 Jul07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.00    
SCR  BOMBOLONI Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Aug20 Aug03 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
SCR  MONSTER MASON Oct27 Aug11 Jul23 Jun11 May20 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
 
CT-7   11/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Randy Funkhouser Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGLE BEAST Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 Jun09 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
2  NO CHANGE Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 Jul08 May19 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LOOKS LIKE TROUBLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 (runco c)CULLUM W 123 30.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of FLEETING SENSATION by ZENSATIONAL)
4  C R'S MANDATE Oct14 Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 May12 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 20.00 ★    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of MALIBU BABY by MALIBU MOON)
5  LORD OF CORK Oct28 Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 121 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  MUAD'DIB Oct14 Aug25 Jul21 Jun16 Apr22 (runco c)BOCACHICA O 123 5.00 35% 1.80    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  SOCIAL CHIC Nov04 Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 May19 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 24% 3.20    
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  CANDY INVASION Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 Jun10 (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 123 20.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
SCR  COASTAL MISSION Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Apr22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 0.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
10  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Oct27 Sep07 Aug17 Jun16 May25 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of NOT EVEN FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
11  MACHEN'S RIDGE Oct27 Sep21 Sep09 Aug31 Jul07 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
  (by MACHEN out of LEGENDARY RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
CT-8   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUSH Nov11 Oct19 Sep28 Sep06 Aug31 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00    
2  LOOKING FOR FLARE Oct21 Aug05 Jul14 May27 May07 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
3  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Jul28 Jun30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
4  BOCA BIRDIE Oct28 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 117 30.00    
5  KATALIMA Oct28 Oct12 Jul22 Jul01 May20 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  HOLY HIP Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep22 Aug24 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
7  MISS LAUREN Oct12 Sep02 Aug03 Jul06 Jun01 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
8  MAY MAYS CASTLE Oct18 Sep09 Jul28 Jun16 Apr21 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov09 Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
10  BAYS CASTLE Oct18 Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.