Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-3   DD (12/7/10/2/13)-(5/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-5 $21.20 $1.20 6%
OP-5   EXA (5/12/2/3)-(5/12/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-2 $18.00 $2.00 13%
    TRI (5/12/2/3)-(5/12/2/3/4)-(5/12/2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-2-3 $30.00 $6.00 25%
    SFT (5/12/2/3)-(5/12/2/3/4)-(5/12/2/3/4)-(5/12/2/3/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  5-2-3-12 $23.30 $13.70 143%
OP-9   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $14.60 $8.60 143%
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $27.40 $21.40 357%
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-2 $38.40 $35.40 1180%
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $16.60 $4.60 38%

Simulator Race results

 
OP-1   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144 1:412   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT'N READY 1 5 6 6 5 2nk 1 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 0.80 40% 1.50 0.50 W
MO MOVES 7 3 21 21 1½ 1nk 2 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 4.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
STRICKLAND 2 7 7 810½ 8 5 3 (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 20.00 21.90  
DR. WOODS MIRACLE 4 8 810 710 7 6 4 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 117 30.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
MY BROTHER MIKE 6 1 4 43 32 34 513½ (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00 7.20  
SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE 8 2 11 11 2½ 4 614¼ (northrop debra)COURT K 117 30.00 40.80  
LUCKY SUPER NOVA 3 4 31 3 4 7 718¼ (espinoza )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 30.00 9% 10.20 32.10  
MORE MONEY MO 5 6 5 54 66 812¾ 822 (espinoza edgar)ZIMMERMAN R 117 30.00 47.00  
SCR  DELUCA               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00    
 
OP-2   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  IAN GLASS 11 5 2 2nk   11 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 29% 2.40 3.60 W
WHOOPING JAY 3 1 1 1nk   21 2 (petalino joe)ZIMMERMAN R 119 30.00 50.20  
CAMPISI 4 7 6 3½   3 34 (jansen ke)DE CRUZ 114 15.00 5.20  
WILDWOOD MINISTRY 5 2 4 4   4 44 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 4.10  
BLACK STORM 8 11 119 11   8 56 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 24.70  
MORNING SNOW 2 6 73 7   5 6 (cravens ronn)FUENTES A 119 5.00 8% 11.30 17.50  
13  COLOR FAST 12 10 107 12   9 7 (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
11  SQUARE DEAL 10 8 8 53   6 8 (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 17.10  
TRAPPE VALLEY 7 12 129 10   119 910 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 119 10.00 17.20  
CABOT 1 4 5 8   7 1010¾ (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 119 30.00 41.80  
BAYRON 6 9 9 9   10 1111½ (padilla carlos)QUINONEZ S 121 3.50 26% 2.80 3.20  
10  STRINGS 9 3 3 64   12 1211¾ (martin ke)TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 8.30 8.40  
SCR  CLASSIC KING               (villafranco mar)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.50    
SCR  RARE STRIPE               (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
 
OP-3   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($142K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 5 5 1nk 1½   1½ 1 (rivelli l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 3.50 54% 0.90 1.50 W
LEELOO 7 4 5 4   3 2 (correas )SANTANA JR 124 2.00 3.40 P
BOW DRAW 1 7 4 3   4 3 (west henr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00 59.90  
CHANDANA 2 6 6 5   5 4 (eggleston)TORRES A 119 4.00 13% 6.50 5.30  
CONNIE K 9 1 2nk 2½   2½ 5 (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
LOVER GIRL 3 8 9 9   6 6 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 20.00 31.60  
DEALING JUSTICE 4 9 7 7   7 77 (mott riley)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 9.70  
PROMISES TO DANCE 6 3 31 6   88 8 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 10.40  
SUMMER SHOES 8 2 8 8   912 912¾ (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 8.00 11% 8.10 7.70  
 
OP-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER OCHO (CHI) 7 1 1 1   12 1¾ (sanchez a)LEPAROUX R 124 2.00 29% 2.40 1.00 W
LIFE IS HARD 5 2 2 2   22 2¾ (divito j)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8.20 P
MAJOR BLUE 2 5 3 5   33 3 (lukas w)TORRES A 119 20.00 9.70  
WALKER'S WIN 3 6 6 42   43 4 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 8% 12.10 21.60  
CLASSIC CAR WASH 6 7 7 6   66 5 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 6.50  
BLUE LIGHT 9 4 4 32   5 6 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 14.10  
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 1 8 8 8   78 7 (fires h)COURT K 119 15.00 34.20  
RUNAWAY JACK 4 9 9 9   912½ 810¾ (robertson mc)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.00 40% 1.50 3.40  
MANUELITO 8 3 54 7   89 911 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.80  
 
OP-5   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:004     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIP SHORTAGE 3 1 11 1½   1 13 (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 32% 2.10 2.50 W
LIL GIN N CLASS 1 5 3 32   2 23 (eggleston ti)FUENTES A 121 8.00 19% 4.20 5.20 P
BIG BOLT 2 6 21 2½   3 3 (compton g)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
12  GLOBAL RISK 10 2 4 42   47 412½ (cox brad )TORRES A 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.40  
KAT'N CHROME 6 8 6 64   6 512¾ (cravens r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 116 30.00 47.00  
11  BABE IN THE WOODS 9 4 8 7   7 614 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00 3.00  
ERUMPENT 5 9 9 5   5 714½ (creighton brett)JUAREZ NIK 116 30.00 32.40  
BABAS GAL 4 10 10 8   811 816¾ (bahena ferna)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 30.00 57.30  
10  COLLIER 8 7 7 9   911¼ 917¾ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 15.60  
COWGIRL CAMILLE 7 3 53 10   1016¼ 1024¾ (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00 30.30  
SCR  CHOCTAW GRACE               (witt erni)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
SCR  RITA'S REVENGE               (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
 
OP-6   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDSHIPMAN'S DANCE 7 7 75 7   5 1½ (williams )TORRES A 121 8.00 4.50  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STICKS WONDERGIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
RUBY QUEEN 3 4 42 62   4¾ 2½ (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 19.60  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  BANG BANG FURY 10 5 5 4   3.2 33 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 51% 1.00 1.30 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of READY REPLY by MORE THAN READY)
CLEOPATRA SELENE 9 3 3 3.2   1nk 4 (correas )SANTANA JR 121 2.50 16% 5.20 4.60  
  (by BERNARDINI out of CLEOPATRA'S CHARM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SPIRITUAL LADY 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 5 (sharp joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 32.50  
  (by NYQUIST out of SPIRIT LETS HEARIT by GIROLAMO)
TALE OF LA BEE 2 2 1½ 1nk   6 6 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 11% 8.50 5.30  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of TALE OF LA COMETE by TALE OF EKATI)
ARIJANA'S PEARL 5 6 8 86   710¼ 712¾ (robertson mc)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
  (by CURLIN out of SHERINI by BERNARDINI)
CATHOLIC SUE 4 8 10 9   912¾ 815¾ (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 121 20.00 37.20  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of STREET FLIRT by STREET BOSS)
SAFECRACKER SUE 1 9 98 1010   1015¾ 919¾ (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00 54.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of UPPER BRASS by HARD SPUN)
THE BIG CALHOUNA 8 10 65 5   811¾ 1021½ (santamari)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 12.20  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NUTMEG by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
OP-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED AGAIN 7 2 42 31   1½ 1¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 3.20  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
MILLERS RITE 2 8 8 8   42 2¼ (vance tho)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.10 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ROMANTIC FROLIC by VINDICATION)
MR. KEATING 6 7 75 53   32 3½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 41% 1.50 3.20 S
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TWEETERDINI by BERNARDINI)
RAGING 3 5 3 2nk   2½ 4 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.60  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KEEWATIN ICE by INTIDAB)
XCELLENT MEN 5 6 6 4   6 5 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 5.80  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
PINELAND 8 4 5 6   7 610½ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 4.20  
  (by COLLECTED out of INHERITANCE by TAPIT)
TRABR'S CREED 1 3 11 1nk   5 710½ (deville c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00 17% 5.00 36.50  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of COME ACORKIN by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
KANT CONQUER ME 4 1 21 7   817¾ 829¾ (snodgrass)BEALMEAR C 112 50.00 67.60  
  (by KANTHAROS out of CONQUEST SO TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  BE THERE               (zito p)HARR KELSI 124 30.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
SCR  SAFE BET               (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 124 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of APPEALING BRIDE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
OP-8   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
See original race card.
:214 :454 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTICAL STAR 4 9 8 8   4 1 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50 8% 11.20 1.70 W
STAYED IN FOR HALF 8 1 1nk 1nk   11 2 (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 62% 0.60 4.40 P
10  VULCAN 10 2 2nk 2nk   31 3 (sims phil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 6.30  
DERBY DATE 3 5 7 7   6 46 (contreras)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
EXXEL 7 7 65 5   5 5 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 20.00 21.40  
COUNT DE MONET 2 3 32 32   21 6 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 6.00 13.50  
NAVY SEAL (IRE) 1 8 109 1010¾   7 7 (knott nan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 114 10.00 6% 15.80 21.20  
SHOOTERS SHOOT 5 10 9 9   9 89 (kenneally eddi)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.00 4.30  
DEFLATER 6 6 5 4   8 912 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00 79.30  
ARMAGNAC 9 4 4 6   1018¾ 1026 (lukas w)TORRES A 119 6.00 6.80  
 
OP-9   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Tinsel Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:113 1:37   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CAMPAIGN 1 4 3 32 2½ 1 1 (sims phil)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 4.00 13% 6.80 6.30 W
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
SPEED BIAS 4 2 21 21 3½ 3 2 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 14% 6.20 2.80 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOT SUMMER by MALIBU MOON)
STRONG QUALITY 2 1 11 11 1½ 2 3 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TIZ SO SWEET by TIZNOW)
SEIZE THE NIGHT 3 5 42 53 42 4 44 (cunningha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50 6.90  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CANDLE MAKER by TAPIT)
DENINGTON 6 6 67 6 53 56 56 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 3.00  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
DOUBLE CROWN 5 3 5 43 6 613 625½ (ginter r)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 26.40  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  ARDANWOOD               (robertson mc)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of FIRE ASSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
OP-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERCREST GIRL 7 11 11 11   54 1¾ (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 123 8.00 10.00  
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 6 3 3 3   1½ 2¾ (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 5% 19.00 1.90 P
LASSIE MY GIRL 2 8 10 85   31 31 (wilson melto)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 9.90  
HAMAZING DEBATE 8 9 9 95   6 4 (gonzalez jaime )ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 14% 5.90 6.00  
SASSY LASS 5 10 1210¾ 12   86 55 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 118 5.00 7% 14.00 8.10  
MOCHA KISS 3 7 6 5   43 6 (stuart shea)JORDAN R 121 20.00 51.00  
TIMBAVATI 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 76 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
GOLD STRATEGY 1 12 8 7   9 89 (hornsby t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 36.10  
10  MUSIC MISTRESS 10 5 5 6   11 910½ (mckellar )DE CRUZ 118 15.00 19.70  
12  FLY LIKE THE WIND 12 4 42 4   109 1013½ (calhoun w)TORRES A 118 3.50 48% 1.10 3.10  
11  NIGHT ORB 11 1 2½ 2nk   76 1114¾ (cravens ronn)FUENTES A 122 15.00 51.30  
MISSY PIGGY 9 6 7 107   1213¼ 1217¾ (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 20.00 48.10  
SCR  CHAI TEA               (anderson )DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
SCR  HOT SPRINGS BLING               (donaldson jerry)COURT K 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.