The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

OP-1   Win (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
OP-2   Win (12/7/10/2/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 -0.80
OP-3   Win (5/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
OP-4   Win (4/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
OP-5   Win (5/12/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
OP-6   Win (10/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.00 -8.00
OP-7   Win (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $8.40 -8.00
OP-8   Win (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
OP-9   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 8.60
OP-10   Win (12/8/5/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $22.00 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
OP-1   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144 1:412   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT'N READY 1 5 6 6 5 2nk 1(gibson jona)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 0.80 40% 1.50 0.50 W
MO MOVES 7 3 21 21 1½ 1nk 2(medina robe)TORRES A 122 4.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
STRICKLAND 2 7 7 810½ 8 53(brennan terry)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 20.00 21.90  
DR. WOODS MIRACLE 4 8 810 710 7 64(hornsby tam)DE CRUZ 117 30.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
MY BROTHER MIKE 6 1 4 43 32 34 513½ (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00 7.20  
SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE 8 2 11 11 2½ 4614¼ (northrop debra)COURT K 117 30.00 40.80  
LUCKY SUPER NOVA 3 4 31 3 4 7718¼ (espinoza ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 30.00 9% 10.20 32.10  
MORE MONEY MO 5 6 5 54 66 812¾ 822 (espinoza edgar)ZIMMERMAN R 117 30.00 47.00  
SCR  DELUCA               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00    
 
OP-2   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  IAN GLASS 11 5 2 2nk   11 1(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 29% 2.40 3.60 W
WHOOPING JAY 3 1 1 1nk   21 2(petalino joe)ZIMMERMAN R 119 30.00 50.20  
CAMPISI 4 7 6 3½   334 (jansen kenn)DE CRUZ 114 15.00 5.20  
WILDWOOD MINISTRY 5 2 4 4   444 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 4.10  
BLACK STORM 8 11 119 11   856 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 24.70  
MORNING SNOW 2 6 73 7   56(cravens ronnie)FUENTES A 119 5.00 8% 11.30 17.50  
13  COLOR FAST 12 10 107 12   97(broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
11  SQUARE DEAL 10 8 8 53   68(milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 17.10  
TRAPPE VALLEY 7 12 129 10   119 910 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 119 10.00 17.20  
CABOT 1 4 5 8   71010¾ (hewitt michael)JORDAN R 119 30.00 41.80  
BAYRON 6 9 9 9   101111½ (padilla a)QUINONEZ S 121 3.50 26% 2.80 3.20  
10  STRINGS 9 3 3 64   121211¾ (martin kevi)TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 8.30 8.40  
SCR  CLASSIC KING               (villafranco marti)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.50    
SCR  RARE STRIPE               (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
 
OP-3   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($142K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 5 5 1nk 1½   1½ 1(rivelli lar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 3.50 54% 0.90 1.50 W
LEELOO 7 4 5 4   32(correas ig)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 3.40 P
BOW DRAW 1 7 4 3   43(west henry)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00 59.90  
CHANDANA 2 6 6 5   54(eggleston t)TORRES A 119 4.00 13% 6.50 5.30  
CONNIE K 9 1 2nk 2½   2½ 5(morse randy)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
LOVER GIRL 3 8 9 9   66(williams matt)FUENTES A 122 20.00 31.60  
DEALING JUSTICE 4 9 7 7   777 (mott riley)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 9.70  
PROMISES TO DANCE 6 3 31 6   88 8(cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 10.40  
SUMMER SHOES 8 2 8 8   912 912¾ (swearingen tom )BAILEY CHEL-C 114 8.00 11% 8.10 7.70  
 
OP-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER OCHO (CHI) 7 1 1 1   12 1¾ (sanchez ama)LEPAROUX R 124 2.00 29% 2.40 1.00 W
LIFE IS HARD 5 2 2 2   22 2¾ (divito jam)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8.20 P
MAJOR BLUE 2 5 3 5   33 3(lukas way)TORRES A 119 20.00 9.70  
WALKER'S WIN 3 6 6 42   43 4(becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 8% 12.10 21.60  
CLASSIC CAR WASH 6 7 7 6   66 5(casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 6.50  
BLUE LIGHT 9 4 4 32   56(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 14.10  
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 1 8 8 8   78 7(fires h)COURT K 119 15.00 34.20  
RUNAWAY JACK 4 9 9 9   912½ 810¾ (robertson mcle)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.00 40% 1.50 3.40  
MANUELITO 8 3 54 7   89 911 (haran john)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.80  
 
OP-5   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:004     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIP SHORTAGE 3 1 11 1½   113 (asmussen m)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 32% 2.10 2.50 W
LIL GIN N CLASS 1 5 3 32   223 (eggleston tim)FUENTES A 121 8.00 19% 4.20 5.20 P
BIG BOLT 2 6 21 2½   33(compton gre)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
12  GLOBAL RISK 10 2 4 42   47 412½ (cox h)TORRES A 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.40  
KAT'N CHROME 6 8 6 64   6512¾ (cravens ron)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 116 30.00 47.00  
11  BABE IN THE WOODS 9 4 8 7   7614 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00 3.00  
ERUMPENT 5 9 9 5   5714½ (creighton brett)JUAREZ NIK 116 30.00 32.40  
BABAS GAL 4 10 10 8   811 816¾ (bahena fernand)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 30.00 57.30  
10  COLLIER 8 7 7 9   911¼ 917¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 15.60  
COWGIRL CAMILLE 7 3 53 10   1016¼ 1024¾ (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00 30.30  
SCR  CHOCTAW GRACE               (witt ernie )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
SCR  RITA'S REVENGE               (martin e)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
 
OP-6   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDSHIPMAN'S DANCE 7 7 75 7   51½ (williams se)TORRES A 121 8.00 4.50  
RUBY QUEEN 3 4 42 62   4¾ 2½ (moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 19.60  
10  BANG BANG FURY 10 5 5 4   3.2 33 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 51% 1.00 1.30 S
CLEOPATRA SELENE 9 3 3 3.2   1nk 4(correas ig)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 16% 5.20 4.60  
SPIRITUAL LADY 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 5(sharp joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 32.50  
TALE OF LA BEE 2 2 1½ 1nk   66(hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 11% 8.50 5.30  
ARIJANA'S PEARL 5 6 8 86   710¼ 712¾ (robertson mcle)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
CATHOLIC SUE 4 8 10 9   912¾ 815¾ (hewitt michael)JORDAN R 121 20.00 37.20  
SAFECRACKER SUE 1 9 98 1010   1015¾ 919¾ (hewitt michael)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00 54.10  
THE BIG CALHOUNA 8 10 65 5   811¾ 1021½ (santamaria )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 12.20  
 
OP-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED AGAIN 7 2 42 31   1½ 1¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 3.20  
MILLERS RITE 2 8 8 8   42 2¼ (vance thoma)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.10 P
MR. KEATING 6 7 75 53   32 3½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 41% 1.50 3.20 S
RAGING 3 5 3 2nk   2½ 4(cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.60  
XCELLENT MEN 5 6 6 4   65(jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 5.80  
PINELAND 8 4 5 6   7610½ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 4.20  
TRABR'S CREED 1 3 11 1nk   5710½ (deville car)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00 17% 5.00 36.50  
KANT CONQUER ME 4 1 21 7   817¾ 829¾ (snodgrass e)BEALMEAR C 112 50.00 67.60  
SCR  BE THERE               (zito p)HARR KELSI 124 30.00    
SCR  SAFE BET               (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 124 20.00    
 
OP-8   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
See original race card.
:214 :454 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTICAL STAR 4 9 8 8   41(hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50 8% 11.20 1.70 W
STAYED IN FOR HALF 8 1 1nk 1nk   11 2(asmussen m)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 62% 0.60 4.40 P
10  VULCAN 10 2 2nk 2nk   31 3(sims philip)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 6.30  
DERBY DATE 3 5 7 7   646 (contreras c)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
EXXEL 7 7 65 5   55(lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 20.00 21.40  
COUNT DE MONET 2 3 32 32   21 6(swearingen tom )BAILEY CHEL-C 117 6.00 13.50  
NAVY SEAL 1 8 109 1010¾   77(knott nancy)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 114 10.00 6% 15.80 21.20  
SHOOTERS SHOOT 5 10 9 9   989 (kenneally eddie)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.00 4.30  
DEFLATER 6 6 5 4   8912 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00 79.30  
ARMAGNAC 9 4 4 6   1018¾ 1026 (lukas way)TORRES A 119 6.00 6.80  
 
OP-9   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT MUDDY Tinsel Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:113 1:37   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CAMPAIGN 1 4 3 32 2½ 11(sims philip)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 4.00 13% 6.80 6.30 W
SPEED BIAS 4 2 21 21 3½ 32(moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 14% 6.20 2.80 P
STRONG QUALITY 2 1 11 11 1½ 23(casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 S
SEIZE THE NIGHT 3 5 42 53 42 444 (cunningham )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50 6.90  
DENINGTON 6 6 67 6 53 56 56 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 3.00  
DOUBLE CROWN 5 3 5 43 6 613 625½ (ginter ray)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 26.40  
SCR  ARDANWOOD               (robertson mcle)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
 
OP-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERCREST GIRL 7 11 11 11   54 1¾ (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 123 8.00 10.00  
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 6 3 3 3   1½ 2¾ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 5% 19.00 1.90 P
LASSIE MY GIRL 2 8 10 85   31 31 (wilson melton)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 9.90  
HAMAZING DEBATE 8 9 9 95   64(gonzalez n)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 14% 5.90 6.00  
SASSY LASS 5 10 1210¾ 12   86 55 (mcbride d)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 5.00 7% 14.00 8.10  
MOCHA KISS 3 7 6 5   43 6(stuart shea)JORDAN R 121 20.00 51.00  
TIMBAVATI 4 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 76 (moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
GOLD STRATEGY 1 12 8 7   989 (hornsby tam)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 36.10  
10  MUSIC MISTRESS 10 5 5 6   11910½ (mckellar jo)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 19.70  
12  FLY LIKE THE WIND 12 4 42 4   109 1013½ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 118 3.50 48% 1.10 3.10  
11  NIGHT ORB 11 1 2½ 2nk   76 1114¾ (cravens ronnie)FUENTES A 122 15.00 51.30  
MISSY PIGGY 9 6 7 107   1213¼ 1217¾ (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 20.00 48.10  
SCR  CHAI TEA               (anderson do)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
SCR  HOT SPRINGS BLING               (donaldson jerry)COURT K 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.