Handicappers' Racing Form

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Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

OP-1   Win (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-2   Win (12/7/10/2/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-3   Win (5/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-4   Win (4/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-5   Win (5/12/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-6   Win (10/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-7   Win (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-8   Win (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-9   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
OP-10   Win (12/8/5/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
OP-1   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT'N READY Oct25 Sep25 Jul21 Jun02 Apr14 (gibson jona)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 0.80 40% 1.50    
STRICKLAND May12 Mar23 Mar03 Feb19 Jan22 (brennan terry)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 20.00    
SCR  DELUCA Feb25 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10   (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00    
LUCKY SUPER NOVA         (espinoza e)HERNANDEZ J 117 30.00 9% 10.20    
DR. WOODS MIRACLE Jul30 Jun17 May27 Apr22 Mar30 (hornsby tam)DE CRUZ 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
MORE MONEY MO May05 Apr22 Apr07     (espinoza edgar)ZIMMERMAN R 117 30.00    
MY BROTHER MIKE Nov11 Oct14 Sep15 Sep04 Aug06 (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00    
MO MOVES Nov09 Oct15 Sep22 Sep10 Aug28 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE Oct21 Sep11 Aug06 Jul04 Jun17 (northrop debra)COURT K 117 30.00    
 
OP-2   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABOT Nov13 Oct19 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 (hewitt michael)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
MORNING SNOW Oct27 Sep29 Sep09 Aug19 Jun11 (cravens ron)FUENTES FRANCISCO 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  CLASSIC KING Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 Jun24 May28 (villafranco marti)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.50    
WHOOPING JAY Oct27 Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 Jun22 (petalino joe)ZIMMERMAN R 119 30.00    
CAMPISI Nov11 Sep30 Sep12 Sep02 Aug15 (jansen kenn)DE CRUZ 114 15.00    
WILDWOOD MINISTRY Nov18 Oct28 Oct17 Sep02 Jul29 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
BAYRON Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Sep14 Jul13 (padilla a)QUINONEZ S 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
TRAPPE VALLEY Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Oct07 Sep14 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 119 10.00    
BLACK STORM Sep13 May14 Apr14 Mar26 Mar17 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
10  STRINGS Sep23 Aug11 Jul17 Apr07 Mar15 (martin kevi)TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 8.30    
11  SQUARE DEAL Jun24 Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
12  IAN GLASS Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 Aug26 Aug10 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
13  COLOR FAST Dec07 Oct28 Sep01 Jul20 Jul04 (broberg kar)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RARE STRIPE Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 Sep09 Apr12 (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
 
OP-3   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($142K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOW DRAW May11 Apr28 Mar26 Feb25 Feb12 (west henry)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
CHANDANA Nov14 Oct17 Sep21 Aug02 Jul05 (eggleston t)TORRES A 119 4.00 13% 6.50    
LOVER GIRL Nov08 Oct12 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 (williams matt)FUENTES A 122 20.00    
DEALING JUSTICE Nov16 Aug27 Jul23 Jun09 Apr21 (mott riley)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00    
BACK TO OHIO Nov20 Oct05 Aug26 Jul11 Oct29 (rivelli lar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 3.50 54% 0.90    
PROMISES TO DANCE Nov01 Sep29 Feb23 Dec01 Oct13 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00    
LEELOO Oct29 Sep30 Aug26 Mar18 Feb24 (correas ig)SANTANA JR 124 2.00    
SUMMER SHOES May04 Mar31 Mar04 Jan29 Dec30 (swearingen tom )BAILEY CHEL-C 114 8.00 11% 8.10    
CONNIE K May04 Mar31 Mar04 Jan21 Dec30 (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-4   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Nov05 Jun29 Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 (fires h)COURT K 119 15.00    
MAJOR BLUE Oct25 Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 (lukas way)TORRES A 119 20.00    
WALKER'S WIN Nov07 May28 May06 Mar30 Nov27 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
RUNAWAY JACK Nov01 Aug30 Jun21 May25 Apr01 (robertson mc)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
LIFE IS HARD Aug02 Jul09 Apr22 Mar17 Feb05 (divito jam)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
CLASSIC CAR WASH Nov17 Oct21 Apr08 Mar11 Feb11 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
SUPER OCHO (CHI) Nov23 Oct26 Feb25 Jan27 Jan07 (sanchez ama)LEPAROUX R 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
MANUELITO Nov08 Oct12 Sep21 Aug05 Jul05 (haran john)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE LIGHT Nov23 Oct13 Sep20 Aug13 Jun25 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
 
OP-5   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RITA'S REVENGE         (martin e)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
LIL GIN N CLASS Nov09 Oct18 Sep08     (eggleston tim)FUENTES A 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
BIG BOLT Nov03 Oct26 Oct07 Sep21   (compton gre)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHOCTAW GRACE Nov12 Oct08 Sep20 Aug11   (witt ernie )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
CHIP SHORTAGE Nov09         (asmussen m)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
BABAS GAL Nov11 Oct07       (bahena ferna)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 30.00    
ERUMPENT         (creighton brett)JUAREZ NIK 116 30.00    
KAT'N CHROME Oct12         (cravens ron)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 116 30.00    
COWGIRL CAMILLE         (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
10  COLLIER Nov01 Oct08 Sep14 Aug18   (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
11  BABE IN THE WOODS Nov24 Nov02 Sep21 Aug26   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00    
12  GLOBAL RISK         (cox h)TORRES A 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
OP-6   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 2 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFECRACKER SUE         (hewitt michael)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00    
TALE OF LA BEE Nov23 Nov02       (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 11% 8.50    
RUBY QUEEN Oct15 Aug06       (moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
CATHOLIC SUE         (hewitt michael)JORDAN R 121 20.00    
ARIJANA'S PEARL Oct13 Sep08       (robertson mc)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRITUAL LADY Nov16 Oct11 Sep09 Aug02   (sharp joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
MIDSHIPMAN'S DANCE         (williams se)TORRES A 121 8.00    
THE BIG CALHOUNA         (santamaria )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
CLEOPATRA SELENE Oct21 Sep16       (correas ig)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 16% 5.20    
10  BANG BANG FURY Nov03 Sep16       (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
OP-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRABR'S CREED Nov16         (deville car)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00 17% 5.00    
MILLERS RITE May05 Apr08 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 (vance thoma)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
RAGING         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SAFE BET Nov04 Oct07 Sep22     (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 124 20.00    
KANT CONQUER ME Jun28 Sep07       (snodgrass e)BEALMEAR C 112 50.00    
XCELLENT MEN Nov12 Oct28 Aug03     (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
MR. KEATING Jun02 Apr22       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
WICKED AGAIN Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug04 Apr08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50    
PINELAND Nov24 Nov01       (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
SCR  BE THERE Nov22 Nov04 Oct26 Sep04 Aug13 (zito p)HARR KELSI 124 30.00    
 
OP-8   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVY SEAL (IRE) Aug20 Jul27 Jun11 May06 Apr22 (knott nancy)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 114 10.00 6% 15.80    
COUNT DE MONET May22 Apr29 Mar05 Dec31 Dec09 (swearingen tom )BAILEY CHEL-C 117 6.00    
DERBY DATE Nov11 Oct02 Sep07 Aug02 Jun15 (contreras c)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
NAUTICAL STAR Nov20 Sep23 Aug18 Apr01 Feb18 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50 8% 11.20    
SHOOTERS SHOOT Nov26 Oct19 Oct01 Aug13 Jul16 (kenneally eddie)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.00    
DEFLATER Jul20 Jul03 Jun03 May05 Apr28 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
EXXEL Nov24 Nov04 May06 Apr29 Apr01 (lund valorie)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 20.00    
STAYED IN FOR HALF Nov11 Oct14 Sep24 Aug24 Jun22 (asmussen m)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 62% 0.60    
ARMAGNAC Apr22 Mar19 Sep03 Aug07 May21 (lukas way)TORRES A 119 6.00    
10  VULCAN Nov17 Oct21 Sep20 Aug04 Jun30 (sims philip)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
OP-9   12/16/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Tinsel Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CAMPAIGN Nov04 Oct20 Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 (sims philip)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 4.00 13% 6.80    
STRONG QUALITY Nov18 Aug31 Aug12 Jun10 Apr13 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
SEIZE THE NIGHT Nov05 Sep30 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 (cunningham )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
SPEED BIAS Oct28 Sep21 Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 (moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
DOUBLE CROWN Nov24 Oct28 Oct14 Sep10 Sep04 (ginter ray)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  ARDANWOOD Sep09 Jul21 Jun28 Jun02 Apr28 (robertson mcle)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
DENINGTON Nov26 Oct28 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00    
 
OP-10   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD STRATEGY Sep05 Aug07 May29 Apr14 Mar18 (hornsby tam)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
LASSIE MY GIRL Jul08 Apr30 Apr08 Feb18 Jan28 (wilson melton)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
MOCHA KISS Nov25 Apr30 Apr14 Apr01 Mar19 (stuart shea)JORDAN R 121 20.00    
TIMBAVATI Feb18 Jan08 Dec09 Nov25   (moquett e)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY LASS Apr30 Apr08 Apr01 Feb25 Jan14 (mcbride d)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 5.00 7% 14.00    
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Sep15 Jun11 Apr30 Apr01 Mar10 (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
RIVERCREST GIRL Oct25 Oct04 Aug31 Jul02 Jun11 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 123 8.00    
HAMAZING DEBATE Oct07 Sep05 Jul30 May29 May04 (gonzalez n)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00 14% 5.90    
MISSY PIGGY Sep13 Sep02 Jul27     (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 20.00    
10  MUSIC MISTRESS Aug07 May29 Apr30 Apr15 Mar18 (mckellar jo)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
11  NIGHT ORB Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 Jun15 May29 (cravens ronnie)FUENTES A 122 15.00    
12  FLY LIKE THE WIND Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 Jan07   (calhoun wil)TORRES A 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  CHAI TEA Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 Jun21 Jun04 (anderson do)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
SCR  HOT SPRINGS BLING Nov01 Oct04 Sep13 Jun29 May17 (donaldson jerry)COURT K 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.